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DePaul Blue Demons v Alabama A&M Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 9 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
DePaul Blue Demons win
94.0%
Draw
0.0%
Alabama A&M Bulldogs win
6.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 76.05–59.76 76-60 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to score 100+ 0.8% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.19
DePaul Blue Demons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.35
DePaul Blue Demons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
DePaul Blue Demons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.36
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to win H1 79.8% 79.3% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
DePaul Blue Demons to win H1 79.7% 79.2% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win H1 17.2% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.92
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win H1 17.1% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.92
H1 tied 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 tied 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 52.5 87.4% 87.7% 93.8% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 76.5 87.3% 87.7% 75.5% 1.16× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 78.4% 77.4% 87.5% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 78.5% 77.4% 63.3% 1.22× 1.29
H1 over 56.5 77.6% 77.4% 87.5% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 77.8% 77.4% 63.3% 1.22× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 68.7% 67.4% 80.7% 0.84× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 69.0% 67.4% 53.1% 1.27× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 68.1% 67.4% 80.7% 0.84× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 68.5% 67.4% 53.1% 1.27× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 61.4% 62.7% 74.9% 0.84× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 61.8% 62.7% 45.6% 1.38× 1.59
H1 over 61.5 61.0% 62.7% 74.9% 0.84× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 61.4% 62.7% 45.6% 1.38× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 53.7% 52.6% 69.0% 0.76× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 54.2% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 54.0% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 53.6% 52.6% 69.0% 0.76× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.3% 52.6% 34.8% 1.52× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.2% 52.6% 34.8% 1.52× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 49.7% 47.4% 65.3% 0.73× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 49.8% 47.4% 65.3% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 46.4% 47.4% 31.0% 1.53× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 46.3% 47.4% 31.0% 1.53× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 45.8% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 46.0% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 38.6% 37.3% 25.1% 1.48× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 38.2% 37.3% 54.4% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 39.0% 37.3% 25.1% 1.48× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 38.6% 37.3% 54.4% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 31.3% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 31.0% 32.6% 46.9% 0.69× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 31.9% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 31.5% 32.6% 46.9% 0.69× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 22.4% 22.6% 12.5% 1.80× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 22.2% 22.6% 36.7% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 56.5 21.6% 22.6% 12.5% 1.80× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 21.5% 22.6% 36.7% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 12.6% 12.3% 6.2% 1.97× 8.14
H1 over 76.5 12.7% 12.3% 24.5% 0.50× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to win H2 81.6% 79.5% 56.9% 1.40× 1.26
DePaul Blue Demons to win H2 81.6% 79.5% 57.5% 1.38× 1.26
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win H2 15.6% 20.4% 38.5% 0.53× 4.90
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win H2 15.6% 20.4% 38.9% 0.52× 4.90
H2 tied 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 2.8% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 84.5 87.2% 85.2% 70.5% 1.21× 1.17
H2 over 60.5 84.8% 81.8% 92.7% 0.88× 1.22
H2 under 80.5 78.8% 75.8% 62.9% 1.21× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 78.2% 75.8% 59.2% 1.28× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 75.2% 75.8% 85.3% 0.89× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 74.6% 72.2% 86.5% 0.83× 1.39
H2 under 77.5 70.0% 72.2% 53.0% 1.36× 1.39
H2 under 77.5 69.5% 66.4% 49.8% 1.33× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 65.6% 66.4% 78.2% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 65.1% 66.4% 80.0% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 63.3% 61.6% 46.6% 1.32× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 62.9% 61.6% 43.6% 1.41× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 58.5% 57.3% 72.8% 0.79× 1.74
H2 over 69.5 58.3% 57.3% 74.8% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 73.5 56.2% 57.3% 39.6% 1.45× 1.74
H2 under 73.5 56.0% 57.3% 36.9% 1.55× 1.74
H2 under 72.5 52.5% 52.4% 36.6% 1.43× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 52.4% 52.4% 34.1% 1.54× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 51.2% 52.4% 66.4% 0.79× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 51.1% 52.4% 68.8% 0.76× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 48.8% 47.6% 33.6% 1.42× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 48.9% 47.6% 31.2% 1.52× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 47.5% 47.6% 63.4% 0.75× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 47.6% 47.6% 65.9% 0.72× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 44.0% 42.7% 63.1% 0.68× 2.34
H2 over 73.5 43.8% 42.7% 60.4% 0.71× 2.34
H2 under 69.5 41.5% 42.7% 27.2% 1.57× 2.34
H2 under 69.5 41.7% 42.7% 25.2% 1.69× 2.34
H2 over 75.5 36.7% 38.4% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 37.1% 38.4% 56.4% 0.68× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 34.5% 33.6% 21.8% 1.55× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 34.9% 33.6% 20.0% 1.68× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 30.5% 33.6% 50.2% 0.67× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 30.0% 27.8% 47.0% 0.59× 3.59
H2 under 64.5 25.4% 27.8% 13.5% 2.06× 3.59
H2 under 64.5 24.8% 24.2% 14.7% 1.64× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 21.2% 24.2% 37.1% 0.65× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 21.8% 24.2% 40.8% 0.59× 4.13
H2 under 60.5 15.2% 18.2% 7.3% 2.50× 5.50
H2 over 84.5 12.8% 14.8% 29.5% 0.50× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons leading at half time 79.7% 79.7% 57.9% 1.38× 1.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs leading at half time 17.2% 17.0% 38.2% 0.45× 5.88
Level at half time 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons +10.5 99.4% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +12.5 99.6% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +14.5 99.8% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +2.5 95.9% 97.4% 68.0% 1.43× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +3.5 96.7% 97.4% 70.8% 1.38× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +4.5 97.3% 97.4% 73.7% 1.32× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +5.5 97.8% 97.4% 76.4% 1.28× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +6.5 98.3% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +7.5 98.6% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +8.5 98.9% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +9.5 99.2% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 95.0% 91.1% 65.4% 1.39× 1.10
DePaul Blue Demons −1.5 92.6% 91.1% 60.8% 1.50× 1.10
DePaul Blue Demons −2.5 91.0% 91.1% 57.7% 1.58× 1.10
DePaul Blue Demons −3.5 89.2% 85.9% 54.1% 1.59× 1.16
DePaul Blue Demons −4.5 87.2% 85.9% 50.7% 1.70× 1.16
DePaul Blue Demons −5.5 85.0% 85.9% 47.0% 1.83× 1.16
DePaul Blue Demons −6.5 82.6% 81.1% 44.3% 1.83× 1.23
DePaul Blue Demons −7.5 80.0% 76.5% 41.3% 1.85× 1.31
DePaul Blue Demons −8.5 77.2% 76.5% 38.5% 1.99× 1.31
DePaul Blue Demons −9.5 74.1% 71.6% 35.5% 2.02× 1.40
DePaul Blue Demons −10.5 70.9% 71.6% 32.6% 2.20× 1.40
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +20.5 65.7% 66.7% 86.5% 0.77× 1.50
DePaul Blue Demons −12.5 64.0% 61.9% 27.6% 2.24× 1.62
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +18.5 58.5% 57.1% 83.9% 0.68× 1.75
DePaul Blue Demons −14.5 56.6% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +16.5 51.0% 52.4% 80.7% 0.65× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons −16.5 49.0% 47.6% 19.3% 2.47× 2.10
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +14.5 43.4% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
DePaul Blue Demons −18.5 41.5% 42.9% 16.1% 2.66× 2.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +12.5 36.0% 38.1% 72.4% 0.53× 2.63
DePaul Blue Demons −20.5 34.3% 33.3% 13.5% 2.47× 3.01
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +10.5 29.1% 28.4% 67.4% 0.42× 3.53
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +9.5 25.9% 28.4% 64.5% 0.44× 3.53
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +8.5 22.8% 23.5% 61.5% 0.38× 4.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +7.5 20.0% 23.5% 58.7% 0.40× 4.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +6.5 17.4% 18.9% 55.7% 0.34× 5.29
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +5.5 15.0% 14.1% 53.0% 0.27× 7.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +4.5 12.8% 14.1% 49.3% 0.29× 7.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +3.5 10.8% 14.1% 45.9% 0.31× 7.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +2.5 9.0% 8.9% 42.3% 0.21× 11.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs +1.5 7.4% 8.9% 39.2% 0.23× 11.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −1.5 5.0% 8.9% 34.6% 0.26× 11.25
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −2.5 4.1% 2.6% 32.0% 0.08× 38.72
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −3.5 3.3% 2.6% 29.3% 0.09× 38.73
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −4.5 2.7% 2.6% 26.3% 0.10× 38.73
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −5.5 2.2% 2.6% 23.6% 0.11× 38.73
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −6.5 1.7% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.73
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −7.5 1.4% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.73
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −8.5 1.1% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −9.5 0.8% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −10.5 0.6% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −12.5 0.4% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −14.5 0.2% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 77.4% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 75.9% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 24.1% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 22.6% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 77.7% 78.1% 48.6% 1.61× 1.28
Alabama A&M Bulldogs at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 13.5% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.17
Level at HT / DePaul Blue Demons at FT 2.8% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Alabama A&M Bulldogs at HT / Alabama A&M Bulldogs at FT 3.6% 2.1% 25.8% 0.08× 47.73
DePaul Blue Demons at HT / Alabama A&M Bulldogs at FT 2.1% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Alabama A&M Bulldogs at FT 0.3% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to win 94.0% 90.6% 63.2% 1.43× 1.10
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win 6.0% 9.4% 36.8% 0.25× 10.69
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Alabama A&M Bulldogs even 50.1% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.6% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
DePaul Blue Demons odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Alabama A&M Bulldogs odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.4% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.9% 97.0% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.1% 3.0% 5.8% 0.52× 33.38
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 70.5 87.0% 83.9% 48.7% 1.72× 1.19
DePaul Blue Demons under 86.5 85.5% 83.9% 80.8% 1.04× 1.19
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 50.5 84.7% 80.7% 96.7% 0.83× 1.24
DePaul Blue Demons over 66.5 84.6% 80.7% 78.7% 1.03× 1.24
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 67.5 79.1% 75.1% 38.4% 1.96× 1.33
DePaul Blue Demons over 69.5 76.0% 75.1% 69.6% 1.08× 1.33
DePaul Blue Demons under 83.5 77.2% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 53.5 75.4% 75.1% 93.9% 0.80× 1.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 65.5 72.6% 70.7% 32.2% 2.20× 1.41
DePaul Blue Demons under 81.5 70.5% 70.7% 67.9% 1.04× 1.41
DePaul Blue Demons over 71.5 69.1% 66.4% 63.7% 1.04× 1.51
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 55.5 68.1% 66.4% 91.3% 0.73× 1.51
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 63.5 65.1% 66.4% 26.1% 2.54× 1.51
DePaul Blue Demons under 79.5 63.0% 61.2% 61.6% 0.99× 1.63
DePaul Blue Demons over 73.5 61.4% 61.2% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 57.5 60.0% 61.2% 88.1% 0.69× 1.63
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 61.5 56.9% 57.1% 20.7% 2.76× 1.75
DePaul Blue Demons under 77.5 55.0% 52.3% 55.4% 0.94× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons over 75.5 53.3% 52.3% 51.0% 1.02× 1.91
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 59.5 51.6% 52.3% 84.5% 0.62× 1.91
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 60.5 52.7% 52.3% 18.0% 2.90× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons under 76.5 50.8% 52.3% 52.3% 1.00× 1.91
DePaul Blue Demons over 76.5 49.2% 47.7% 47.7% 1.00× 2.09
DePaul Blue Demons under 75.5 46.7% 47.7% 49.0% 0.97× 2.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 59.5 48.4% 47.7% 15.5% 3.08× 2.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 60.5 47.3% 47.7% 82.0% 0.58× 2.09
DePaul Blue Demons over 77.5 45.0% 47.7% 44.6% 1.07× 2.09
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 61.5 43.1% 42.9% 79.3% 0.54× 2.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 57.5 40.0% 38.8% 11.9% 3.25× 2.58
DePaul Blue Demons under 73.5 38.6% 38.8% 42.6% 0.91× 2.58
DePaul Blue Demons over 79.5 37.0% 38.8% 38.4% 1.01× 2.58
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 63.5 34.9% 33.6% 73.9% 0.46× 2.98
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 55.5 31.9% 33.6% 8.7% 3.86× 2.98
DePaul Blue Demons under 71.5 30.9% 33.6% 36.3% 0.93× 2.98
DePaul Blue Demons over 81.5 29.5% 29.3% 32.1% 0.91× 3.42
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 65.5 27.4% 29.3% 67.8% 0.43× 3.42
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 53.5 24.6% 24.9% 6.1% 4.06× 4.02
DePaul Blue Demons under 69.5 24.0% 24.9% 30.4% 0.82× 4.02
DePaul Blue Demons over 83.5 22.8% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 67.5 20.9% 24.9% 61.6% 0.40× 4.02
Alabama A&M Bulldogs under 50.5 15.3% 19.3% 3.3% 5.80× 5.18
DePaul Blue Demons under 66.5 15.4% 19.3% 21.3% 0.91× 5.18
DePaul Blue Demons over 86.5 14.5% 16.1% 19.2% 0.84× 6.21
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 70.5 13.0% 16.1% 51.4% 0.31× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 116.5 points 90.0% 88.8% 95.9% 0.93× 1.13
Under 156.5 points 90.0% 85.0% 69.8% 1.22× 1.18
Under 151.5 points 83.3% 80.6% 60.6% 1.33× 1.24
Over 121.5 points 82.8% 80.6% 92.1% 0.87× 1.24
Under 146.5 points 74.3% 70.8% 50.2% 1.41× 1.41
Over 126.5 points 73.2% 70.8% 87.0% 0.81× 1.41
Under 143.5 points 67.9% 65.9% 43.7% 1.51× 1.52
Over 129.5 points 66.4% 65.9% 83.3% 0.79× 1.52
Under 141.5 points 63.2% 61.5% 39.6% 1.55× 1.63
Over 131.5 points 61.7% 61.5% 79.9% 0.77× 1.63
Under 139.5 points 58.4% 56.5% 35.4% 1.60× 1.77
Over 133.5 points 56.7% 56.5% 76.4% 0.74× 1.77
Under 137.5 points 53.4% 52.3% 31.0% 1.69× 1.91
Over 135.5 points 51.7% 52.3% 72.9% 0.72× 1.91
Under 136.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 28.9% 1.81× 1.91
Over 136.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 71.1% 0.67× 2.10
Under 135.5 points 48.3% 47.7% 27.1% 1.76× 2.10
Over 137.5 points 46.6% 47.7% 69.0% 0.69× 2.10
Under 133.5 points 43.3% 43.5% 23.6% 1.84× 2.30
Over 139.5 points 41.6% 43.5% 64.6% 0.67× 2.30
Under 131.5 points 38.3% 38.5% 20.1% 1.92× 2.60
Over 141.5 points 36.8% 38.5% 60.4% 0.64× 2.60
Under 129.5 points 33.6% 34.1% 16.7% 2.04× 2.93
Over 143.5 points 32.1% 34.1% 56.3% 0.61× 2.93
Under 126.5 points 26.8% 29.2% 13.0% 2.24× 3.43
Over 146.5 points 25.7% 29.2% 49.8% 0.59× 3.43
Under 121.5 points 17.2% 19.4% 7.9% 2.47× 5.15
Over 151.5 points 16.7% 19.4% 39.4% 0.49× 5.15
Over 156.5 points 10.0% 15.0% 30.2% 0.50× 6.69
Under 116.5 points 10.0% 11.2% 4.1% 2.69× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons to win both halves 63.3% 60.7% 33.2% 1.83× 1.65
Alabama A&M Bulldogs to win both halves 1.3% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.77
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
DePaul Blue Demons by 26+ 18.9% 16.8% 7.9% 2.12× 5.97
DePaul Blue Demons by 11-15 18.1% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
DePaul Blue Demons by 16-20 18.6% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
DePaul Blue Demons by 21-25 15.4% 16.8% 5.6% 3.01× 5.97
DePaul Blue Demons by 6-10 14.1% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.11
DePaul Blue Demons by 1-5 8.9% 7.5% 16.2% 0.46× 13.40
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 1-5 3.9% 2.0% 13.2% 0.15× 49.29
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 6-10 1.5% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.31
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 11-15 0.5% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.32
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Alabama A&M Bulldogs by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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