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Model probabilities from 'nba-normal'
How to read this table
The coloured bar is the model's split between home win and away win —
there is no draw, because overtime resolves one. Projected is the score
the model expects, Spread is the margin that follows from it, and
Total is the combined points. A projection is the centre
of a wide distribution: the typical game lands about 11 points either side of the projected margin, so treat the spread as a lean, not a forecast.
For ranked selections across every market, use the
Radar.
| Tip-off | Fixture | Home / Away | Projected | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thu 17 Sep 23:30 |
|
91.8–76.7 | H −15.0 | 168.5 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 00:00 |
|
83.1–84.5 | A −1.5 | 167.7 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 00:00 |
|
93.6–84.8 | H −9.0 | 178.5 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 02:00 |
|
88.4–87.5 | H −1.0 | 175.9 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 02:00 |
|
82.9–89.5 | A −6.5 | 172.4 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 23:30 |
|
91.3–102.7 | A −11.5 | 194.1 | |
|
Fri 18 Sep 23:30 |
|
91.9–85.7 | H −6.0 | 177.5 | |
|
Sat 19 Sep 02:00 |
|
86.9–74.2 | H −12.5 | 161.1 | |
|
Sat 19 Sep 17:00 |
|
89.6–82.1 | H −7.5 | 171.6 | |
|
Sat 19 Sep 23:00 |
|
94.0–83.9 | H −10.0 | 177.9 | |
|
Sun 20 Sep 01:00 |
|
83.4–69.7 | H −13.5 | 153.1 | |
|
Sun 20 Sep 17:00 |
|
77.4–90.4 | A −13.0 | 167.8 | |
|
Sun 20 Sep 19:00 |
|
87.1–95.3 | A −8.0 | 182.4 | |
|
Sun 20 Sep 20:00 |
|
93.7–86.0 | H −7.5 | 179.7 | |
|
Sun 20 Sep 23:00 |
|
92.2–90.6 | H −1.5 | 182.8 | |
|
Mon 21 Sep 01:00 |
|
91.4–81.0 | H −10.5 | 172.4 | |
|
Tue 22 Sep 00:00 |
|
88.9–89.3 | A −0.5 | 178.2 | |
|
Tue 22 Sep 02:00 |
|
84.0–87.6 | A −3.5 | 171.6 | |
|
Tue 22 Sep 23:30 |
|
84.2–74.1 | H −10.0 | 158.3 | |
|
Wed 23 Sep 00:00 |
|
95.0–94.2 | H −1.0 | 189.2 | |
|
Wed 23 Sep 00:00 |
|
94.1–87.9 | H −6.0 | 182.0 | |
|
Wed 23 Sep 02:00 |
|
94.8–85.1 | H −9.5 | 179.9 | |
|
Wed 23 Sep 02:00 |
|
76.1–84.9 | A −9.0 | 161.1 | |
|
Thu 24 Sep 00:00 |
|
88.9–89.3 | A −0.5 | 178.2 | |
|
Thu 24 Sep 02:00 |
|
82.6–88.4 | A −6.0 | 171.0 | |
|
Thu 24 Sep 23:00 |
|
87.0–85.7 | H −1.5 | 172.7 | |
|
Thu 24 Sep 23:30 |
|
86.5–81.2 | H −5.5 | 167.7 | |
|
Fri 25 Sep 00:00 |
|
96.1–93.1 | H −3.0 | 189.2 | |
|
Fri 25 Sep 02:00 |
|
75.8–84.9 | A −9.0 | 160.7 | |
|
Fri 25 Sep 02:00 |
|
84.3–88.7 | A −4.5 | 173.1 | |
|
Sat 3 Oct 23:00 |
|
119.6–116.3 | H −3.0 | 235.9 | |
|
Sun 4 Oct 23:00 |
|
132.1–117.5 | H −14.5 | 249.6 | |
|
Mon 5 Oct 23:00 |
|
125.8–114.7 | H −11.0 | 240.5 | |
|
Mon 5 Oct 23:00 |
|
112.3–104.7 | H −7.5 | 217.0 | |
|
Mon 5 Oct 23:00 |
|
106.3–115.4 | A −9.0 | 221.7 | |
|
Tue 6 Oct 00:00 |
|
109.6–116.9 | A −7.5 | 226.5 | |
|
Tue 6 Oct 02:00 |
|
110.1–119.2 | A −9.0 | 229.2 | |
|
Tue 6 Oct 23:00 |
|
116.9–99.6 | H −17.5 | 216.6 | |
|
Wed 7 Oct 00:00 |
|
124.3–108.1 | H −16.0 | 232.4 | |
|
Wed 7 Oct 01:00 |
|
119.3–130.3 | A −11.0 | 249.6 |
Latest results
| Date | Match | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 26 |
|
97–71 | analysis → |
| 30 Aug 26 |
|
69–86 | analysis → |
| 30 Aug 26 |
|
74–90 | analysis → |
| 30 Aug 26 |
|
89–81 | analysis → |
| 29 Aug 26 |
|
101–69 | analysis → |
| 29 Aug 26 |
|
85–66 | analysis → |
| 28 Aug 26 |
|
88–82 | analysis → |
| 28 Aug 26 |
|
93–73 | analysis → |
| 28 Aug 26 |
|
111–91 | analysis → |
| 28 Aug 26 |
|
83–101 | analysis → |