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Model probabilities from 'nba-normal'

How to read this table
The coloured bar is the model's split between home win and away win — there is no draw, because overtime resolves one. Projected is the score the model expects, Spread is the margin that follows from it, and Total is the combined points. A projection is the centre of a wide distribution: the typical game lands about 11 points either side of the projected margin, so treat the spread as a lean, not a forecast. For ranked selections across every market, use the Radar.
Order
One list, earliest first, whatever the competition.
Leagues
Ticking none shows them all.
Tip-off Fixture Home / Away Projected Spread Total
Fri 23 Oct
23:00
Boston Celtics v New York Knicks 105.2–106.5 A −1.0 211.7
Fri 23 Oct
23:00
Charlotte Hornets v Atlanta Hawks 117.0–112.2 H −4.5 229.2
Fri 23 Oct
23:00
Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks 120.8–119.4 H −1.5 240.3
Fri 23 Oct
23:00
Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves 112.7–112.3 H −0.5 225.0
Fri 23 Oct
23:00
Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors 110.5–123.4 A −13.0 233.9
Sat 24 Oct
00:00
Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons 114.9–118.3 A −3.5 233.1
Sat 24 Oct
00:00
Milwaukee Bucks v Chicago Bulls 118.3–117.8 H −0.5 236.1
Sat 24 Oct
01:30
San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets 113.8–105.5 H −8.5 219.3
Sat 24 Oct
01:30
Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans 122.6–125.6 A −3.0 248.1
Sat 24 Oct
02:00
Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies 122.1–114.3 H −8.0 236.4
Sat 24 Oct
02:00
Los Angeles Lakers v LA Clippers 113.0–110.8 H −2.0 223.9
Sat 24 Oct
02:00
Sacramento Kings v Portland Trail Blazers 111.1–118.3 A −7.5 229.4
Sat 24 Oct
22:00
Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat 120.3–115.2 H −5.0 235.5
Sat 24 Oct
23:30
Cleveland Cavaliers v Brooklyn Nets 119.2–103.2 H −16.0 222.5
Sat 24 Oct
23:30
Philadelphia 76ers v Milwaukee Bucks 117.7–109.8 H −8.0 227.5
Sun 25 Oct
00:00
Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets 112.7–112.7 pick'em 225.4
Sun 25 Oct
00:00
Chicago Bulls v Washington Wizards 127.3–119.3 H −8.0 246.5
Sun 25 Oct
00:00
Dallas Mavericks v San Antonio Spurs 109.5–123.6 A −14.0 233.1
Sun 25 Oct
01:00
Denver Nuggets v New Orleans Pelicans 126.3–116.5 H −10.0 242.7
Sun 25 Oct
02:00
Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors 113.9–109.8 H −4.0 223.6
Sun 25 Oct
21:00
Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers 115.4–124.1 A −9.0 239.5
Sun 25 Oct
22:00
Brooklyn Nets v Indiana Pacers 111.5–114.4 A −3.0 225.9
Sun 25 Oct
23:00
New York Knicks v Orlando Magic 114.5–103.5 H −11.0 218.0
Sun 25 Oct
23:00
Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors 113.0–111.7 H −1.5 224.7
Sun 25 Oct
23:00
Oklahoma City Thunder v LA Clippers 117.2–106.4 H −11.0 223.7
Sun 25 Oct
23:30
Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons 108.7–114.3 A −5.5 223.0
Mon 26 Oct
01:00
Sacramento Kings v Memphis Grizzlies 119.7–119.3 H −0.5 239.0
Mon 26 Oct
23:00
Charlotte Hornets v Washington Wizards 125.9–107.6 H −18.5 233.5
Mon 26 Oct
23:00
Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves 116.6–113.7 H −3.0 230.3
Mon 26 Oct
23:30
Boston Celtics v Chicago Bulls 121.4–106.9 H −14.5 228.3
Mon 26 Oct
23:30
Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks 127.2–118.3 H −9.0 245.5
Tue 27 Oct
00:00
Milwaukee Bucks v Indiana Pacers 116.7–115.7 H −1.0 232.4
Tue 27 Oct
00:00
Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns 116.2–104.6 H −11.5 220.7
Tue 27 Oct
00:30
Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks 114.5–110.9 H −3.5 225.4
Tue 27 Oct
01:00
Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies 125.0–124.3 H −0.5 249.3
Tue 27 Oct
02:00
Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors 122.1–114.6 H −7.5 236.8
Tue 27 Oct
23:30
Boston Celtics v Brooklyn Nets 115.3–95.7 H −19.5 211.0
Wed 28 Oct
00:00
New York Knicks v Detroit Pistons 110.1–104.8 H −5.5 215.0
Wed 28 Oct
00:00
San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings 125.4–104.5 H −21.0 229.9
Wed 28 Oct
03:00
Los Angeles Lakers v Portland Trail Blazers 113.9–110.3 H −3.5 224.2

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What this page is for

The diary. Every fixture already ingested and priced appears here in tip-off order, whether the model has a strong opinion about it or not. It is the complete list, not a shortlist.

How to read a row

The coloured bar is the model's split between home win and away win — there is no draw, because overtime resolves one. Projected is the score the model expects, Spread is the margin that follows from it, and Total is the combined points.

The likeliest exact scoreline is rarely a likely one — in a typical football match the most probable score sits somewhere around one chance in ten. Read it as the shape the model expects, not as a forecast of the result.

What it will not tell you

Nothing here is ranked by how good a bet it is. A fixture the model is almost indifferent about sits in the same list as one it has a firm view on.

Where to go next

Radar ranks selections across every market. Clicking any fixture opens its Match page, where the shot map, the xG timeline and every stored market price live.

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