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Model probabilities from 'dc-xg'

How to read this table
The coloured bar is the model's split between home win / draw / away win. xG is how many goals each side is expected to score, and Score is the single likeliest exact scoreline — likeliest is not the same as likely, so treat it as a shape rather than a forecast. For ranked selections across every market, use the Radar.
Order
One list, earliest first, whatever the competition.
Leagues
Ticking none shows them all.
Kick-off Fixture Home / Draw / Away xG Score O2.5 BTTS
Thu 22 Oct
13:40
Al Hazem v Al Fayha 1.28–1.01 1-1 40% 47%
Thu 22 Oct
14:45
Al Fateh v Al Shabab 1.45–1.32 1-1 52% 57%
Thu 22 Oct
18:00
Al Ahli v Al Khaleej 2.75–0.82 2-0 69% 53%
Fri 23 Oct
09:00
Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory 1.20–1.25 1-1 44% 50%
Fri 23 Oct
13:30
Al Faisaly v Al Nassr FC 0.73–2.83 0-2 69% 49%
Fri 23 Oct
15:30
Al Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah 1.05–0.88 0-0 30% 40%
Fri 23 Oct
16:30
Akhmat Grozny v Gazovik Orenburg 1.52–0.82 1-0 41% 45%
Fri 23 Oct
17:00
Randers FC v Brøndby IF 1.15–1.45 1-1 48% 53%
Fri 23 Oct
17:00
IF Elfsborg v Malmö FF 1.38–1.35 1-1 51% 56%
Fri 23 Oct
17:00
Västerås SK v Halmstads BK 1.96–0.81 2-0 52% 48%
Fri 23 Oct
17:30
SC Rheindorf Altach v Austria Vienna 1.11–1.21 1-1 41% 48%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Almere City v Roda JC Kerkrade 1.92–1.26 1-1 62% 61%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
De Graafschap v RKC Waalwijk 2.06–1.81 2-1 74% 73%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
FC Den Bosch v MVV Maastricht 1.87–1.44 1-1 64% 64%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
FC Eindhoven v Jong PSV 1.80–1.37 1-1 61% 62%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
FC Volendam v Jong FC Utrecht 2.89–0.98 2-0 74% 59%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Jong AZ v Helmond Sport 1.83–1.46 1-1 64% 64%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo 1.95–3.93 1-3 93% 84%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
TOP Oss v Jong Ajax 1.56–1.14 1-1 51% 53%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Vitesse v FC Emmen 2.31–1.46 2-1 73% 69%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
AS Nancy Lorraine v Stade Laval 1.13–1.07 1-1 38% 45%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Clermont Foot v Guingamp 1.28–1.13 1-1 43% 49%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Dunkerque v Metz 1.28–1.66 1-1 56% 58%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Pau v Grenoble 1.24–1.28 1-1 46% 51%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Sochaux v Annecy 0.60–0.77 0-0 16% 24%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Go Ahead Eagles v Telstar 2.00–1.49 1-1 68% 68%
Fri 23 Oct
18:00
Al Qadsiah v Al Hilal 1.55–1.73 1-1 64% 66%
Fri 23 Oct
18:45
KV Kortrijk v KV Mechelen 1.18–1.59 1-1 52% 55%
Fri 23 Oct
19:00
Ipswich v Nottingham Forest 1.29–1.86 1-1 61% 61%
Fri 23 Oct
19:00
Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough 1.02–1.29 1-1 41% 48%
Sat 24 Oct
01:00
Necaxa v FC Juarez 1.94–1.29 1-1 63% 63%
Sat 24 Oct
01:00
América de Cali v Cúcuta Deportivo 2.36–0.61 2-0 57% 42%
Sat 24 Oct
03:00
Atlante FC v Atlético de San Luis 1.31–1.26 1-1 47% 53%
Sat 24 Oct
04:00
Newcastle Jets v Macarthur FC 2.56–1.43 2-1 76% 70%
Sat 24 Oct
05:00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-Pulse 1.57–0.52 1-0 35% 32%
Sat 24 Oct
06:00
Kashima Antlers v Kashiwa Reysol 1.70–1.24 1-1 56% 58%
Sat 24 Oct
06:00
Tokyo Verdy 1969 v Avispa Fukuoka 0.91–1.05 0-1 31% 39%
Sat 24 Oct
06:00
Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia 1.10–1.04 1-0 36% 43%
Sat 24 Oct
06:00
Western Sydney Wanderers v Auckland FC 0.95–1.76 0-1 51% 51%
Sat 24 Oct
07:00
Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga 1.89–1.35 1-1 63% 63%

Latest results

DateMatchGoals xG
19 Oct 26 Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry 3–1 0.97–1.14 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Real Madrid v Sevilla 4–1 2.13–1.32 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Osasuna v Racing Santander 2–0 3.08–0.22 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Malaga v Real Sociedad 2–5 1.92–2.57 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Celta Vigo v Alaves 2–1 0.76–1.18 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Nottingham Forest v Arsenal 0–1 0.75–0.92 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Leeds United v Manchester United 1–1 1.41–1.08 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace 5–0 2.25–0.63 analysis →
18 Oct 26 Bournemouth v Sunderland 2–0 4.39–0.09 analysis →
17 Oct 26 Venezia v Napoli 1–0 0.68–2.56 analysis →
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On this page

Upcoming fixtures

What this page is for

The diary. Every fixture already ingested and priced appears here in kick-off order, whether the model has a strong opinion about it or not. It is the complete list, not a shortlist.

How to read a row

The coloured bar is the model's split between home win, draw and away win. xG is how many goals each side is expected to score, and Score is the single likeliest exact scoreline.

The likeliest exact scoreline is rarely a likely one — in a typical football match the most probable score sits somewhere around one chance in ten. Read it as the shape the model expects, not as a forecast of the result.

What it will not tell you

Nothing here is ranked by how good a bet it is. A fixture the model is almost indifferent about sits in the same list as one it has a firm view on.

Where to go next

Radar ranks selections across every market. Clicking any fixture opens its Match page, where the shot map, the xG timeline and every stored market price live.

Press esc to close Read the full guide