Troyes v Le Mans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Troyes

14:00 UTC

Le Mans

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 1,278h before kick-off

Troyes win

54.0%

model 54.2%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.3%

Le Mans win

23.0%

model 23.5%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 8.3%
3-1 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	58.9%	BTTS no	41.1%
Troyes 1+	85.0%	Troyes 2+	56.6%
Le Mans 1+	69.2%	Le Mans 2+	33.0%

Expected goals 1.90 – 1.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Troyes over 0.5 in 1st half

Home goals O/U 1HT · usually 48%

69.2% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 354 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Troyes leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time · usually 53%

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 66 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Troyes.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Troyes have an estimated 54.0% win probability, against 23.0% for Le Mans and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.90 for Troyes and 1.18 for Le Mans.

Why Troyes

Nothing in the data singles out Troyes.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Le Mans can win

Nothing in the data singles out Le Mans.

Key players

Troyes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Renaud Ripart (0.39), Kandet Diawara (0.21), Antoine Mille (0.21). Le Mans's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Louis Mafouta (0.67), Dame Gueye (0.35), Lucas Buades (0.21).

Availability

1 of Troyes's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Le Mans's top three contributors did not start their last match. Le Mans changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Troyes: 46% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Le Mans: 44% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.18 xG a match from set pieces. Troyes's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Troyes are the model's most likely outcome at 54.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	542223	1.90–1.18	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532027	2.20–1.54	2-1 9%	72%	70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to win	54.2%	52.0%	45.6%	1.14×	1.92
Le Mans to win	23.5%	22.2%	31.8%	0.70×	4.51
Draw	22.3%	22.1%	22.8%	0.97×	4.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes & both teams score	28.0%	26.4%	22.0%	1.20×	3.79
Troyes & not both score	26.2%	26.3%	23.7%	1.11×	3.80
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.8%	16.4%	1.08×	5.63
Le Mans & both teams score	13.1%	12.2%	15.9%	0.76×	8.22
Le Mans & not both score	10.4%	12.1%	16.1%	0.76×	8.24
Draw & not both score	4.6%	3.7%	6.6%	0.57×	26.98

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes & over 1.5	45.4%	46.6%	35.7%	1.30×	2.15
Troyes & over 2.5	37.1%	37.5%	28.2%	1.33×	2.67
Troyes & under 3.5	32.1%	33.1%	28.9%	1.15×	3.02
Troyes & over 3.5	22.1%	21.5%	16.8%	1.28×	4.65
Le Mans & over 1.5	18.1%	17.6%	25.6%	0.69×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	17.6%	16.4%	1.07×	5.69
Troyes & under 2.5	17.0%	17.6%	17.5%	1.01×	5.69
Le Mans & under 3.5	16.0%	17.6%	20.7%	0.85×	5.70
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.7%	16.5%	0.77×	7.86
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.7%	16.5%	0.77×	7.86
Le Mans & over 2.5	14.9%	12.7%	20.0%	0.64×	7.86
Troyes & under 1.5	8.7%	7.5%	10.0%	0.75×	13.40
Le Mans & under 2.5	8.6%	7.5%	12.0%	0.62×	13.40
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.41
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.41
Le Mans & over 3.5	7.5%	7.5%	11.2%	0.66×	13.41
Le Mans & under 1.5	5.4%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.42
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.6%	6.6%	0.70×	21.91

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (1UP)	69.0%	72.3%	58.0%	1.25×	1.38
Le Mans (1UP)	42.9%	43.4%	49.6%	0.88×	2.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (2UP)	54.2%	54.1%	47.1%	1.15×	1.85
Le Mans (2UP)	23.5%	21.2%	34.2%	0.62×	4.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.9%	37.5%	31.2%	1.20×	2.67
Le Mans to win 2nd half	32.9%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.96
Troyes to win 2nd half	30.2%	33.7%	42.1%	0.80×	2.97

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans (+2.5)	85.3%	88.9%	90.0%	0.99×	1.13
Troyes (+0.5)	76.5%	78.5%	68.2%	1.15×	1.27
Le Mans (+1.5)	68.8%	69.0%	75.0%	0.92×	1.45
Troyes (-0.5)	54.2%	51.7%	45.6%	1.13×	1.94
Le Mans (+0.5)	45.8%	48.3%	54.4%	0.89×	2.07
Troyes (-1.5)	31.2%	31.0%	25.0%	1.24×	3.23
Le Mans (-0.5)	23.5%	21.5%	31.8%	0.67×	4.66
Troyes (-2.5)	14.7%	11.1%	10.0%	1.11×	9.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans to concede	85.0%	89.6%	77.5%	1.16×	1.12
Le Mans clean sheet	15.0%	10.4%	22.5%	0.46×	9.58

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans to concede in 1st half	69.2%	68.6%	47.7%	1.44×	1.46
Le Mans clean sheet in 1st half	30.8%	31.4%	52.3%	0.60×	3.18

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans under 6.5 corners	90.2%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Le Mans under 5.5 corners	83.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Le Mans under 4.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Le Mans over 2.5 corners	60.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Le Mans under 3.5 corners	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Le Mans over 3.5 corners	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Le Mans under 2.5 corners	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Le Mans over 4.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Le Mans over 5.5 corners	16.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Le Mans over 6.5 corners	9.8%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.3%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Le Mans under 2.5 goals	88.4%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Le Mans over 0.5 goals	69.2%	67.3%	69.9%	0.96×	1.49
Le Mans under 1.5 goals	67.0%	67.2%	63.2%	1.06×	1.49
Le Mans over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.8%	36.8%	0.89×	3.05
Le Mans under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.7%	30.1%	1.09×	3.06
Le Mans over 2.5 goals	11.6%	11.0%	15.4%	0.71×	9.07
Le Mans over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.7%	6.6%	0.41×	37.29

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	93.3%	87.2%	1.07×	1.07
Le Mans under 0.5 in 1st half	66.2%	67.1%	57.3%	1.17×	1.49
Le Mans over 0.5 in 1st half	33.8%	32.9%	42.7%	0.77×	3.04
Le Mans over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.7%	12.8%	0.53×	14.87

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (away no bet)	70.8%	74.2%	66.7%	1.11×	1.35
Draw (away no bet)	29.2%	25.8%	33.3%	0.77×	3.87

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans even goals	54.7%	52.5%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Le Mans odd goals	45.3%	47.5%	43.7%	1.09×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.3%	79.9%	83.0%	0.96×	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.7%	20.1%	17.0%	1.18×	4.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.3%	71.1%	65.5%	1.09×	1.41
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.7%	28.9%	34.5%	0.84×	3.46

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.9%	61.4%	60.2%	1.02×	1.63
Troyes to score 2+ in a row	47.6%	47.7%	38.1%	1.25×	2.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.7%	25.1%	22.6%	1.11×	3.98
Le Mans to score 2+ in a row	23.1%	21.8%	28.1%	0.78×	4.59
Troyes to score 3+ in a row	20.3%	21.7%	14.0%	1.55×	4.60
Le Mans to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	7.3%	9.2%	0.79×	13.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Troyes corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Troyes corners (+1.5)	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Le Mans corners (+3.5)	65.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Le Mans corners (+2.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Troyes corners (-1.5)	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Le Mans corners (+1.5)	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Troyes corners (-2.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Troyes corners (-3.5)	34.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Le Mans corners (-1.5)	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Le Mans corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Le Mans corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	60.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	39.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.3%	11.6%	10.1%	1.14×	8.64
2-1	9.8%	7.3%	8.0%	0.92×	13.74
1-0	8.7%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.74
2-0	8.3%	7.3%	7.6%	0.95×	13.74
1-2	6.1%	7.3%	6.6%	1.11×	13.75
2-2	5.8%	7.3%	4.8%	1.50×	13.75
3-1	6.2%	7.3%	6.2%	1.17×	13.75
0-1	5.4%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.75
3-0	5.3%	7.3%	3.7%	1.94×	13.76
Any other score	5.1%	7.3%	5.1%	1.41×	13.76
0-0	4.6%	1.8%	6.6%	0.28×	55.39
3-2	3.7%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.42
0-2	3.2%	1.8%	5.8%	0.31×	55.43
4-0	2.5%	1.8%	1.7%	1.05×	55.45
4-1	2.9%	1.8%	2.0%	0.89×	55.44
0-3	1.3%	1.8%	2.5%	0.72×	55.48
1-3	2.4%	1.8%	3.4%	0.53×	55.45
2-3	2.3%	1.8%	1.9%	0.96×	55.45
3-3	1.4%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	55.47
4-2	1.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	55.47
0-4	0.4%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	55.50
1-4	0.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	55.49
2-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.8%	2.31×	55.49
3-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.8%	2.31×	55.50
4-3	0.7%	1.8%	0.3%	5.78×	55.49
4-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	5.77×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes leading at HT (DNB)	81.1%	83.4%	53.2%	1.57×	1.20
Le Mans leading at HT (DNB)	18.9%	16.6%	46.8%	0.35×	6.03

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes or Le Mans (12)	77.7%	77.9%	77.2%	1.01×	1.28
Troyes or draw (1X)	76.5%	77.8%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
Le Mans or draw (X2)	45.8%	48.0%	54.4%	0.88×	2.08

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes or draw at HT	87.0%	88.3%	71.1%	1.24×	1.13
Troyes or Le Mans at HT	68.4%	66.3%	61.5%	1.08×	1.51
Le Mans or draw at HT	44.5%	40.5%	67.2%	0.60×	2.47

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes or draw (1UP)	76.5%	84.6%	72.5%	1.17×	1.18
Le Mans or draw (1UP)	45.8%	54.9%	62.2%	0.88×	1.82

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans or draw in 2nd half	69.8%	66.3%	57.9%	1.15×	1.51
Troyes or draw in 2nd half	67.1%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Troyes or Le Mans in 2nd half	63.1%	62.5%	68.8%	0.91×	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	57.9%	56.8%	1.02×	1.73
Neither half drawn	43.2%	42.1%	43.2%	0.97×	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (DNB)	69.8%	68.6%	58.9%	1.17×	1.46
Le Mans (DNB)	30.2%	31.4%	41.1%	0.76×	3.19

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to score first	58.9%	62.2%	49.3%	1.26×	1.61
Le Mans to score first	36.5%	37.2%	44.3%	0.84×	2.69
No goal scored	4.6%	4.1%	6.6%	0.62×	24.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	56.8%	54.0%	1.05×	1.76
Not both teams to score	41.1%	43.2%	46.0%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.6%	45.4%	44.0%	1.03×	2.20
Not both score & under 2.5	30.3%	34.3%	35.7%	0.96×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	10.8%	11.7%	10.5%	1.12×	8.54
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	11.7%	10.1%	1.15×	8.55

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.3%	81.2%	84.7%	0.96×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	18.7%	18.8%	15.3%	1.23×	5.31

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.5%	70.4%	69.9%	1.01×	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.5%	29.6%	30.1%	0.98×	3.38

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.5%	57.5%	57.4%	1.00×	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	24.4%	23.7%	1.03×	4.11
Both score 1st half only	16.9%	18.2%	12.6%	1.44×	5.51
Both score in both halves	6.4%	6.5%	6.6%	0.99×	15.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.6%	79.7%	81.0%	0.98×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	23.4%	20.3%	19.0%	1.06×	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.6%	63.0%	59.4%	1.06×	1.59
A half without a goal	38.4%	37.0%	40.6%	0.91×	2.70

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.2%	43.4%	1.00×	2.31
4-6 goals	33.3%	31.6%	30.7%	1.03×	3.16
0-1 goals	18.8%	20.8%	22.6%	0.92×	4.82
7+ goals	3.7%	2.0%	3.6%	0.55×	50.80

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans to score exactly 1	36.3%	34.6%	33.2%	1.04×	2.89
Le Mans to score exactly 0	30.8%	33.2%	30.1%	1.10×	3.01
Le Mans to score exactly 2	21.4%	23.9%	21.5%	1.11×	4.18
Le Mans to score 3+	11.6%	13.4%	15.4%	0.87×	7.48

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to score 3+	29.6%	27.1%	22.9%	1.18×	3.69
Troyes to score exactly 1	28.4%	27.1%	31.8%	0.85×	3.69
Troyes to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.1%	23.1%	1.17×	3.70
Troyes to score exactly 0	15.0%	13.6%	22.5%	0.60×	7.38

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes leading at HT	55.5%	59.5%	32.8%	1.82×	1.68
Draw at HT	31.6%	33.7%	38.5%	0.87×	2.97
Le Mans leading at HT	13.0%	11.7%	28.9%	0.40×	8.57

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes -1: 2	45.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Troyes -1: 1	31.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Troyes -1: X	23.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans (0:1)	45.8%	48.0%	54.4%	0.88×	2.08
Troyes (0:1)	31.2%	34.5%	25.0%	1.38×	2.90
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.4%	20.7%	1.18×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans (0:2)	68.8%	66.1%	75.0%	0.88×	1.51
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	16.3%	15.1%	1.08×	6.14
Troyes (0:2)	14.7%	11.8%	10.0%	1.18×	8.48

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans (0:3)	85.3%	88.2%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	9.0%	7.0%	6.1%	1.14×	14.37
Troyes (0:3)	5.7%	6.9%	4.1%	1.69×	14.55

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans (0:4)	94.3%	94.2%	95.9%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.8%	1.3%	2.7%	0.48×	79.39
Troyes (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.6%	0.80×	80.37

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (1:0)	76.5%	78.0%	68.2%	1.14×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.3%	11.8%	15.1%	0.78×	8.45
Le Mans (1:0)	9.2%	8.6%	16.8%	0.51×	11.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (2:0)	90.8%	91.6%	83.2%	1.10×	1.09
Draw (2:0)	6.4%	6.6%	9.8%	0.67×	15.20
Le Mans (2:0)	2.9%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	37.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	40.2%	49.2%	26.8%	1.83×	2.03
2nd half highest scoring	35.8%	38.9%	47.3%	0.82×	2.57
Halves equal	23.9%	23.2%	26.1%	0.89×	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to concede	69.2%	67.0%	69.9%	0.96×	1.49
Troyes clean sheet	30.8%	33.0%	30.1%	1.09×	3.03

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes clean sheet in 1st half	66.2%	67.3%	57.3%	1.18×	1.49
Troyes to concede in 1st half	33.8%	32.7%	42.7%	0.77×	3.06

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Troyes over 3.5 corners	70.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Troyes under 6.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Troyes over 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Troyes under 5.5 corners	55.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Troyes over 5.5 corners	44.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Troyes under 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Troyes over 6.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Troyes under 3.5 corners	29.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Troyes under 2.5 corners	16.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes under 3.5 goals	87.5%	87.8%	91.7%	0.96×	1.14
Troyes over 0.5 goals	85.0%	87.7%	77.5%	1.13×	1.14
Troyes under 2.5 goals	70.4%	72.7%	77.1%	0.94×	1.38
Troyes over 1.5 goals	56.6%	55.7%	45.9%	1.21×	1.80
Troyes under 1.5 goals	43.4%	44.3%	54.1%	0.82×	2.26
Troyes over 2.5 goals	29.6%	27.3%	22.9%	1.19×	3.66
Troyes under 0.5 goals	15.0%	12.3%	22.5%	0.55×	8.15
Troyes over 3.5 goals	12.5%	12.2%	8.3%	1.48×	8.20

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes over 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	69.2%	47.7%	1.45×	1.45
Troyes under 1.5 in 1st half	67.1%	69.0%	87.4%	0.79×	1.45
Troyes over 1.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.0%	12.6%	2.45×	3.23
Troyes under 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	30.8%	52.3%	0.59×	3.25

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	48.8%	51.4%	41.7%	1.23×	1.94
Le Mans (home no bet)	51.2%	48.6%	58.3%	0.83×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes even goals	51.1%	50.2%	51.3%	0.98×	1.99
Troyes odd goals	48.9%	49.8%	48.7%	1.02×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.0%	22.7%	21.1%	1.08×	4.41
HT 0-0	20.4%	22.6%	28.5%	0.79×	4.43
HT 2-0	14.1%	11.2%	6.6%	1.71×	8.91
Any other HT score	12.3%	11.2%	4.7%	2.39×	8.94
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	12.97
HT 0-1	8.4%	7.7%	16.8%	0.46×	12.99
HT 2-1	5.8%	7.7%	3.3%	2.34×	13.02
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.5%	4.5%	0.55×	39.88
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.5%	5.5%	0.46×	39.90
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.5%	0.8%	3.21×	39.93

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes at HT / Troyes at FT	43.6%	42.7%	27.5%	1.56×	2.34
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.7%	12.0%	12.9%	0.92×	8.36
Draw at HT / Le Mans at FT	10.4%	11.9%	11.1%	1.08×	8.37
Le Mans at HT / Le Mans at FT	9.6%	6.6%	19.3%	0.34×	15.16
Draw at HT / Troyes at FT	9.5%	6.6%	14.8%	0.45×	15.16
Troyes at HT / Draw at FT	8.3%	6.6%	3.9%	1.69×	15.19
Troyes at HT / Le Mans at FT	3.6%	3.4%	1.7%	1.98×	29.36
Le Mans at HT / Draw at FT	2.4%	3.4%	6.2%	0.54×	29.41
Le Mans at HT / Troyes at FT	1.0%	3.4%	3.6%	0.95×	29.47

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to score last	58.9%	56.6%	53.2%	1.06×	1.77
Le Mans to score last	36.5%	38.0%	40.4%	0.94×	2.63
No goal scored	4.6%	4.1%	6.6%	0.62×	24.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.9%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Troyes to lead by 1 at any time	69.0%	71.0%	58.0%	1.22×	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.2%	51.0%	51.3%	0.99×	1.96
Le Mans to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	42.1%	49.6%	0.85×	2.38
Troyes to lead by 2 at any time	38.7%	37.3%	29.5%	1.27×	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.8%	20.1%	0.98×	5.06
Troyes to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	17.7%	11.9%	1.49×	5.66
Le Mans to lead by 2 at any time	14.9%	11.4%	22.0%	0.52×	8.80
Le Mans to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	2.6%	8.4%	0.31×	37.87

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes most corners	65.5%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Le Mans most corners	24.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.9%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.9%	73.9%	1.07×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.6%	78.8%	76.4%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	73.6%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
2-4 goals	61.4%	62.3%	60.4%	1.03×	1.61
1-3 goals	58.4%	58.8%	59.4%	0.99×	1.70
3-6 goals	55.7%	58.7%	50.9%	1.15×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.2%	52.3%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	43.4%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.6%	38.9%	37.3%	1.04×	2.57
1-2 goals	36.0%	38.8%	39.3%	0.99×	2.58
4-6 goals	33.3%	34.1%	30.7%	1.11×	2.93
4-5 goals	27.8%	30.5%	25.7%	1.18×	3.28
5-6 goals	16.1%	18.1%	13.7%	1.32×	5.54
7+ goals	3.7%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	48.86

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes never behind	52.5%	61.3%	50.4%	1.22×	1.63
Le Mans never behind	26.3%	30.9%	42.0%	0.74×	3.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.1%	47.3%	1.06×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.9%	52.7%	0.95×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.1%	51.8%	51.6%	1.00×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.9%	48.2%	48.4%	1.00×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.7%	49.5%	1.05×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.3%	50.5%	0.96×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.6%	93.4%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.8%	92.9%	91.4%	1.02×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	80.9%	77.4%	1.05×	1.24
Under 4.5 goals	80.2%	80.9%	82.8%	0.98×	1.24
Under 3.5 goals	63.0%	61.6%	65.8%	0.94×	1.63
Over 2.5 goals	59.4%	57.8%	54.3%	1.06×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	40.6%	42.2%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	37.0%	38.4%	34.2%	1.13×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	19.8%	19.1%	17.2%	1.11×	5.24
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	19.1%	22.6%	0.84×	5.25
Over 5.5 goals	9.2%	7.1%	8.6%	0.82×	14.14
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.4%	6.6%	0.67×	22.77

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.7%	88.2%	90.6%	0.97×	1.13
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.1%	76.4%	79.3%	0.96×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.0%	76.4%	70.6%	1.08×	1.31
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.3%	53.1%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.7%	46.9%	42.8%	1.10×	2.13
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.0%	23.6%	29.4%	0.80×	4.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.9%	23.6%	20.7%	1.14×	4.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.3%	11.8%	9.4%	1.26×	8.46
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.84

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.6%	78.2%	71.5%	1.09×	1.28
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.6%	78.1%	87.2%	0.90×	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.8%	57.6%	66.1%	0.87×	1.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.2%	42.4%	33.9%	1.25×	2.36
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.4%	21.9%	12.8%	1.71×	4.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.4%	21.8%	28.5%	0.76×	4.59

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.0%	75.4%	1.09×	1.22
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	80.3%	81.4%	0.99×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.1%	51.3%	1.05×	1.85
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.9%	48.7%	0.94×	2.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	19.7%	18.6%	1.06×	5.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	18.0%	24.6%	0.73×	5.57

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans not to score in both halves	81.9%	81.5%	77.4%	1.05×	1.23
Troyes not to score in both halves	64.4%	62.7%	68.0%	0.92×	1.60
Troyes to score in both halves	35.6%	37.3%	32.0%	1.17×	2.68
Le Mans to score in both halves	18.1%	18.5%	22.6%	0.82×	5.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	57.9%	54.0%	1.07×	1.73
Only Troyes scores	26.2%	25.6%	23.7%	1.08×	3.90
Only Le Mans scores	10.4%	10.8%	16.1%	0.67×	9.30
Neither team scores	4.6%	3.9%	6.6%	0.60×	25.42

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	21.5%	20.3%	1.06×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	21.8%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.4%	16.2%	0.76×	8.08
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	8.7%	1.41×	8.10
6 or more goals	9.2%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.11
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.4%	6.6%	0.67×	22.82

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.8%	46.4%	48.7%	0.95×	2.15
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	33.2%	32.9%	1.01×	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	22.6%	18.5%	18.6%	1.00×	5.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans not to win both halves	95.7%	96.6%	90.6%	1.07×	1.04
Troyes not to win both halves	83.2%	82.9%	83.3%	1.00×	1.21
Troyes to win both halves	16.8%	17.1%	16.7%	1.02×	5.85
Le Mans to win both halves	4.3%	3.4%	9.4%	0.36×	29.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to win either half	68.9%	67.3%	58.2%	1.16×	1.49
Le Mans to win neither half	58.4%	59.5%	53.7%	1.11×	1.68
Le Mans to win either half	41.6%	40.5%	46.3%	0.87×	2.47
Troyes to win neither half	31.1%	32.7%	41.8%	0.78×	3.05

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Le Mans not to win to nil	89.6%	88.4%	83.9%	1.05×	1.13
Troyes not to win to nil	73.8%	74.4%	76.3%	0.98×	1.34
Troyes to win to nil	26.2%	25.6%	23.7%	1.08×	3.90
Le Mans to win to nil	10.4%	11.6%	16.1%	0.72×	8.59

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes by 1	23.0%	23.7%	20.7%	1.14×	4.21
Draw	22.3%	23.7%	22.8%	1.04×	4.21
Troyes by 2	16.5%	17.0%	15.1%	1.12×	5.89
Troyes by 3+	14.7%	11.9%	10.0%	1.19×	8.42
Le Mans by 1	14.3%	11.9%	15.1%	0.78×	8.42
Le Mans by 2	6.4%	7.1%	9.8%	0.72×	14.13
Le Mans by 3+	2.9%	2.8%	7.2%	0.39×	35.37