Schalke 04 v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Schalke 04

14:30 UTC

RasenBallsport Leipzig

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 172h before kick-off

Schalke 04 win

29.2%

model 30.9%

Draw

22.5%

model 20.4%

RasenBallsport Leipzig win

48.3%

model 48.7%

292248

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 8.2%
1-1 7.5%
2-2 7.1%
2-1 6.5%
1-3 6.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	75.3%	Under 2.5	24.7%
BTTS yes	73.3%	BTTS no	26.7%
Schalke 04 1+	82.4%	Schalke 04 2+	51.9%
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1+	88.9%	RasenBallsport Leipzig 2+	64.5%

Expected goals 1.74 – 2.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

96/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 43%

63.9% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1002 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 76%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1611 Elo against 1571.
Away from home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 1.24 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RasenBallsport Leipzig have an estimated 48.3% win probability, against 29.2% for Schalke 04 and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.74 for Schalke 04 and 2.20 for RasenBallsport Leipzig.

Why Schalke 04

Their last eleven was closer to full strength: RasenBallsport Leipzig were missing 1.58 expected goal involvements a match against 0.68.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why RasenBallsport Leipzig can win

RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1611 Elo against 1571. Away from home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 1.24 xG a match.

Key players

Schalke 04's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Junior Adamu (0.35), Moussa Sylla (0.35), Adil Aouchiche (0.33). RasenBallsport Leipzig's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Christoph Baumgartner (0.54), Yan Diomande (0.52), Rômulo (0.52).

Availability

2 of Schalke 04's top three contributors did not start their last match. 3 of RasenBallsport Leipzig's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of RasenBallsport Leipzig's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Schalke 04: 37% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.25 xG a match from set pieces. RasenBallsport Leipzig: 54% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.51 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RasenBallsport Leipzig are the model's most likely outcome at 48.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 8.2%. Confidence 96/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Schalke 04 are finishing below their chances — 3.4 goals fewer than expected across 6 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDWDLL last 6 scored 4 from 7.4 xG conceded 7 from 13.5 xG

RasenBallsport Leipzig have scored 23 from 24.1 expected and conceded 21 from 21.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WLWLWLWLWL last 10 scored 23 from 24.1 xG conceded 21 from 21.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	312049	1.74–2.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	272152	1.51–2.16	1-2 9%	71%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win	68.8%	64.9%	33.5%	1.94×	1.54
Schalke 04 to win	17.3%	19.4%	42.0%	0.46×	5.16
Draw	13.9%	13.5%	24.7%	0.55×	7.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig & both teams score	54.6%	48.7%	18.5%	2.63×	2.06
Schalke 04 & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	22.3%	0.60×	7.53
RasenBallsport Leipzig & not both score	14.3%	13.3%	15.1%	0.88×	7.53
Draw & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	19.0%	0.70×	7.53
Schalke 04 & not both score	2.4%	4.8%	19.9%	0.24×	20.63
Draw & not both score	0.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.68

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 1.5	67.4%	67.7%	27.7%	2.45×	1.48
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 3.5	56.6%	54.9%	14.2%	3.87×	1.82
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 2.5	64.8%	54.9%	23.5%	2.34×	1.82
Schalke 04 & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	35.7%	0.50×	5.56
Schalke 04 & over 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	29.9%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	13.5%	12.8%	19.0%	0.68×	7.79
Schalke 04 & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 3.5	12.3%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	9.7%	1.32×	7.79
Draw & over 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	9.7%	1.32×	7.79
Schalke 04 & under 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	21.8%	0.22×	20.81
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81
Draw & under 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.82
Draw & under 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.82
Schalke 04 & under 2.5	1.5%	4.8%	12.3%	0.39×	20.83
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 1.5	1.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.83
Schalke 04 & under 1.5	0.8%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.83
Draw & under 1.5	0.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (1UP)	84.2%	87.9%	52.2%	1.68×	1.14
Schalke 04 (1UP)	45.1%	43.7%	60.2%	0.73×	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2UP)	68.8%	68.5%	36.5%	1.88×	1.46
Schalke 04 (2UP)	18.2%	17.3%	45.4%	0.38×	5.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 2nd half	59.4%	62.1%	29.2%	2.13×	1.61
2nd half drawn	20.8%	24.0%	33.5%	0.72×	4.16
Schalke 04 to win 2nd half	19.8%	18.3%	37.4%	0.49×	5.46

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.6%	87.0%	56.6%	1.54×	1.15
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.6%	60.2%	20.7%	2.91×	1.66
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.4%	39.8%	79.3%	0.50×	2.51
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.4%	13.0%	43.4%	0.30×	7.70

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.1%	70.7%	74.4%	0.95×	1.41
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	70.6%	63.2%	1.12×	1.42
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	29.4%	36.8%	0.80×	3.40
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.9%	29.3%	25.6%	1.14×	3.41

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	88.0%	1.09×	1.04
RasenBallsport Leipzig (+1.5)	91.8%	92.1%	75.5%	1.22×	1.09
RasenBallsport Leipzig (+0.5)	82.7%	82.5%	58.0%	1.42×	1.21
RasenBallsport Leipzig (-0.5)	68.8%	68.7%	33.5%	2.05×	1.46
Schalke 04 (+0.5)	31.2%	31.3%	66.5%	0.47×	3.19
Schalke 04 (-0.5)	17.3%	17.5%	42.0%	0.42×	5.73
Schalke 04 (-1.5)	8.2%	7.9%	24.5%	0.32×	12.68
Schalke 04 (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	12.0%	0.31×	27.10

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede	85.3%	86.2%	79.2%	1.09×	1.16
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet	14.7%	13.8%	20.8%	0.66×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 1st half	55.0%	50.8%	51.9%	0.98×	1.97
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 1st half	45.0%	49.2%	48.1%	1.02×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 2nd half	67.4%	65.7%	63.2%	1.04×	1.52
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 2nd half	32.6%	34.3%	36.8%	0.93×	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 6.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 corners	75.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 5.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 5.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 corners	24.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 6.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	74.4%	1.31×	1.03
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals	87.3%	87.8%	42.9%	2.05×	1.14
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	20.9%	3.25×	1.47
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	92.7%	0.58×	1.87
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	7.3%	6.35×	2.15
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	79.1%	0.40×	3.13
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 goals	12.7%	12.2%	57.1%	0.21×	8.20
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	25.6%	0.10×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 1st half	77.8%	75.3%	45.7%	1.65×	1.33
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 1st half	55.7%	61.8%	85.8%	0.72×	1.62
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 1st half	44.3%	38.2%	14.2%	2.68×	2.62
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 1st half	22.2%	24.7%	54.3%	0.45×	4.05

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 2nd half	51.0%	50.8%	36.5%	1.39×	1.97
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 1st half	27.8%	26.2%	24.1%	1.09×	3.81
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores equally in both	21.2%	22.1%	39.5%	0.56×	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (away no bet)	55.5%	57.3%	63.0%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.5%	42.7%	37.0%	1.15×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig even goals	50.0%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
RasenBallsport Leipzig odd goals	50.0%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals	55.5%	53.2%	24.9%	2.14×	1.88
Not both halves over 1.5	44.5%	46.8%	75.2%	0.62×	2.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	94.4%	93.4%	72.3%	1.29×	1.07
Both halves under 1.5 goals	5.6%	6.6%	27.7%	0.24×	15.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	88.9%	90.5%	66.5%	1.36×	1.11
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 2+ in a row	77.2%	75.7%	34.4%	2.20×	1.32
Either team to score 3+ in a row	55.7%	55.1%	29.3%	1.88×	1.82
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ in a row	47.7%	46.1%	12.4%	3.71×	2.17
Schalke 04 to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	36.6%	42.5%	0.86×	2.73
Schalke 04 to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.0%	17.8%	0.67×	8.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 corners (+3.5)	90.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Schalke 04 corners (+2.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Schalke 04 corners (+1.5)	77.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+3.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+2.5)	63.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+1.5)	52.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Schalke 04 corners (-1.5)	47.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Schalke 04 corners (-2.5)	36.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Schalke 04 corners (-3.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-1.5)	22.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-2.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-3.5)	9.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	32.0%	23.3%	5.8%	4.00×	4.29
1-2	5.0%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
1-3	6.0%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
1-4	5.4%	7.4%	1.6%	4.50×	13.51
2-3	5.8%	7.4%	2.8%	2.61×	13.51
2-4	5.2%	7.4%	1.0%	7.08×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.29
0-0	0.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.32
0-1	1.5%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.30
0-4	2.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.30
1-0	0.8%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.31
1-1	2.8%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.30
2-0	0.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
2-1	2.7%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.30
3-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.32
3-1	1.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.31
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
3-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.30
3-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.30
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.4%	3.82×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2nd half DNB)	75.0%	79.4%	43.8%	1.81×	1.26
Schalke 04 (2nd half DNB)	25.0%	20.6%	56.2%	0.37×	4.85

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT (DNB)	73.0%	73.9%	44.4%	1.66×	1.35
Schalke 04 leading at HT (DNB)	27.0%	26.1%	55.6%	0.47×	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig (12)	86.1%	86.5%	75.3%	1.15×	1.16
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (X2)	82.7%	80.6%	58.0%	1.39×	1.24
Schalke 04 or draw (1X)	31.2%	35.1%	66.5%	0.53×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw at HT	80.1%	84.1%	63.3%	1.33×	1.19
Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT	73.8%	75.0%	65.9%	1.14×	1.33
Schalke 04 or draw at HT	46.1%	52.0%	70.7%	0.74×	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1UP)	84.2%	88.7%	64.7%	1.37×	1.13
Schalke 04 or draw (1UP)	45.1%	53.1%	73.8%	0.72×	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw in 2nd half	80.2%	81.7%	62.6%	1.31×	1.22
Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig in 2nd half	79.2%	76.0%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
Schalke 04 or draw in 2nd half	40.6%	37.9%	70.8%	0.54×	2.64

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	58.5%	58.5%	46.0%	1.27×	1.71
A half drawn	41.5%	41.5%	54.0%	0.77×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (DNB)	79.9%	74.8%	44.4%	1.69×	1.34
Schalke 04 (DNB)	20.1%	25.2%	55.6%	0.45×	3.97

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score first	64.9%	64.8%	43.1%	1.50×	1.54
Schalke 04 to score first	34.7%	27.6%	51.2%	0.54×	3.62
No goal scored	0.4%	4.2%	5.8%	0.72×	23.90

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	83.0%	68.4%	59.5%	1.15×	1.46
Not both teams to score	17.0%	31.6%	40.5%	0.78×	3.16

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	80.2%	74.6%	50.2%	1.49×	1.34
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.4%	12.7%	0.97×	8.09
Not both score & under 2.5	6.0%	8.3%	28.0%	0.30×	12.07
Both score & under 2.5	2.8%	4.6%	9.4%	0.49×	21.63

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	50.1%	51.1%	79.2%	0.65×	1.96
Both teams to score 2+	49.9%	48.9%	20.8%	2.35×	2.05

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	59.0%	65.3%	35.0%	1.86×	1.53
Not both to score in 2nd half	41.0%	34.7%	65.0%	0.53×	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score 2nd half only	33.8%	27.7%	28.3%	0.98×	3.61
Both score in both halves	25.2%	27.1%	6.9%	3.93×	3.69
Neither half both score	23.5%	21.3%	51.2%	0.42×	4.69
Both score 1st half only	17.5%	15.0%	13.9%	1.08×	6.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	57.2%	58.3%	79.3%	0.73×	1.72
Both teams to score by HT	42.8%	41.7%	20.7%	2.02×	2.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	86.3%	87.0%	67.5%	1.29×	1.15
A half without a goal	13.7%	13.0%	32.5%	0.40×	7.69

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.7%	47.2%	39.8%	1.19×	2.12
7+ goals	31.1%	30.7%	4.3%	7.09×	3.26
2-3 goals	17.5%	20.2%	38.3%	0.53×	4.94
0-1 goals	2.6%	1.8%	17.9%	0.10×	54.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+	69.4%	60.4%	20.9%	2.89×	1.66
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 2	17.9%	19.6%	22.1%	0.88×	5.11
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 1	9.9%	8.6%	31.7%	0.27×	11.67
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 0	2.8%	4.6%	25.6%	0.18×	21.87

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to score 3+	30.1%	32.5%	27.5%	1.18×	3.07
Schalke 04 to score exactly 1	28.2%	26.5%	28.7%	0.93×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	23.3%	1.14×	3.77
Schalke 04 to score exactly 0	14.7%	14.3%	20.8%	0.69×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT	53.9%	48.0%	29.3%	1.63×	2.09
Draw at HT	26.2%	25.0%	34.1%	0.73×	3.99
Schalke 04 leading at HT	19.9%	15.9%	36.7%	0.43×	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: 2	51.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: 1	31.2%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: X	17.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:1)	82.7%	78.0%	58.0%	1.34×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	9.1%	9.3%	17.6%	0.53×	10.78
Schalke 04 (0:1)	8.2%	9.3%	24.5%	0.38×	10.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:2)	91.8%	90.7%	75.5%	1.20×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.9%	3.8%	12.7%	0.30×	26.59
Schalke 04 (0:2)	3.3%	3.7%	12.0%	0.31×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	88.0%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	4.9%	0.48×	42.12
Schalke 04 (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	92.8%	1.06×	1.02
Schalke 04 (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.07
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	4.9%	0.25×	82.01

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (1:0)	51.8%	54.0%	16.9%	3.20×	1.85
Schalke 04 (1:0)	31.2%	30.0%	66.5%	0.45×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	17.1%	17.1%	16.7%	1.02×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (2:0)	48.2%	49.3%	83.1%	0.59×	2.03
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2:0)	34.7%	33.2%	7.2%	4.63×	3.01
Draw (2:0)	17.1%	15.8%	9.9%	1.60×	6.33

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	56.4%	57.4%	47.5%	1.21×	1.74
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	25.9%	1.01×	3.81
Halves equal	16.4%	17.8%	26.8%	0.66×	5.62

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede	97.2%	96.3%	74.4%	1.29×	1.04
Schalke 04 clean sheet	2.8%	3.7%	25.6%	0.14×	27.06

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 1st half	77.8%	78.4%	45.7%	1.72×	1.28
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 1st half	22.2%	21.6%	54.3%	0.40×	4.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 2nd half	87.6%	87.9%	56.6%	1.55×	1.14
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 2nd half	12.4%	12.1%	43.4%	0.28×	8.24

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 over 2.5 corners	87.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Schalke 04 over 3.5 corners	75.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Schalke 04 under 6.5 corners	65.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Schalke 04 over 4.5 corners	61.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Schalke 04 under 5.5 corners	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Schalke 04 over 5.5 corners	47.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Schalke 04 under 4.5 corners	38.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Schalke 04 over 6.5 corners	35.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Schalke 04 under 3.5 corners	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Schalke 04 under 2.5 corners	13.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	88.3%	0.99×	1.15
Schalke 04 over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	79.2%	1.10×	1.15
Schalke 04 under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	72.5%	0.94×	1.47
Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals	57.2%	58.6%	50.7%	1.16×	1.71
Schalke 04 under 1.5 goals	42.8%	41.4%	49.3%	0.84×	2.42
Schalke 04 over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	27.5%	1.16×	3.12
Schalke 04 under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	20.8%	0.61×	7.84
Schalke 04 over 3.5 goals	12.9%	12.7%	11.7%	1.09×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	83.9%	80.5%	1.04×	1.19
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	50.6%	51.9%	0.97×	1.98
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	49.4%	48.1%	1.03×	2.02
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	16.1%	19.5%	0.83×	6.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 scores more in 2nd half	43.0%	42.3%	38.2%	1.11×	2.37
Schalke 04 scores equally in both	31.0%	33.1%	36.8%	0.90×	3.02
Schalke 04 scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.7%	25.2%	1.10×	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (home no bet)	83.2%	86.7%	57.6%	1.51×	1.15
Draw (home no bet)	16.8%	13.3%	42.4%	0.31×	7.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 even goals	51.1%	50.7%	52.8%	0.96×	1.97
Schalke 04 odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	47.2%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	23.0%	24.4%	6.9%	3.54×	4.10
HT 0-1	15.1%	18.6%	16.6%	1.12×	5.38
HT 1-1	12.0%	11.0%	9.9%	1.11×	9.12
HT 0-2	11.3%	11.0%	7.2%	1.53×	9.12
HT 0-0	10.0%	10.9%	23.1%	0.47×	9.13
HT 1-2	9.0%	6.9%	3.4%	2.01×	14.45
HT 1-0	8.0%	6.9%	19.2%	0.36×	14.46
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.4%	4.2%	0.57×	41.98
HT 2-2	3.6%	2.4%	1.3%	1.76×	42.06
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.4%	9.4%	0.25×	42.09

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	47.3%	47.1%	20.4%	2.31×	2.12
Draw at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	15.5%	16.7%	9.9%	1.69×	5.98
Schalke 04 at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	9.8%	6.0%	28.1%	0.21×	16.54
Schalke 04 at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	6.0%	6.0%	3.6%	1.67×	16.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	13.6%	0.44×	16.67
Draw at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	5.2%	6.0%	10.9%	0.55×	16.67
Schalke 04 at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.64
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.63
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	2.3%	3.5%	3.3%	1.06×	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score last	64.8%	62.5%	44.3%	1.41×	1.60
Schalke 04 to score last	34.8%	32.8%	50.0%	0.66×	3.05
No goal scored	0.4%	4.2%	5.8%	0.72×	23.90

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.6%	95.7%	94.2%	1.02×	1.04
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 1 at any time	84.2%	87.9%	52.2%	1.68×	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	79.3%	78.6%	55.7%	1.41×	1.27
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 2 at any time	63.4%	61.4%	23.5%	2.61×	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	48.7%	44.6%	25.4%	1.75×	2.24
Schalke 04 to lead by 1 at any time	45.1%	44.5%	60.2%	0.74×	2.25
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 3 at any time	42.3%	39.1%	9.9%	3.96×	2.56
Schalke 04 to lead by 2 at any time	18.2%	14.9%	32.9%	0.45×	6.69
Schalke 04 to lead by 3 at any time	6.5%	6.7%	15.7%	0.43×	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 most corners	57.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
RasenBallsport Leipzig most corners	31.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	66.2%	68.8%	77.9%	0.88×	1.45
3-6 goals	60.0%	63.3%	58.6%	1.08×	1.58
1-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	83.0%	0.64×	1.88
2-5 goals	50.4%	53.2%	70.9%	0.75×	1.88
4-6 goals	48.7%	48.5%	39.8%	1.22×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.2%	43.6%	51.6%	0.85×	2.29
1-4 goals	35.4%	39.2%	71.9%	0.55×	2.55
2-4 goals	33.1%	35.2%	59.8%	0.59×	2.84
5-6 goals	33.1%	35.2%	18.2%	1.93×	2.84
4-5 goals	32.9%	35.2%	32.7%	1.08×	2.84
7+ goals	31.1%	35.2%	4.3%	8.12×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.0%	30.2%	40.5%	0.75×	3.31
1-3 goals	19.7%	18.8%	50.4%	0.37×	5.31
2-3 goals	17.5%	18.8%	38.3%	0.49×	5.31
1-2 goals	8.4%	8.9%	31.5%	0.28×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig never behind	54.4%	62.6%	39.8%	1.57×	1.60
Schalke 04 never behind	15.4%	18.1%	47.8%	0.38×	5.52

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	45.7%	1.11×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	54.3%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.5%	51.5%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.5%	48.5%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.1%	51.9%	53.0%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.9%	48.1%	47.0%	1.02×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.6%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	82.1%	1.16×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	62.8%	1.47×	1.08
Over 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	43.9%	1.76×	1.29
Over 4.5 goals	64.2%	61.8%	22.4%	2.75×	1.62
Under 5.5 goals	53.0%	52.5%	88.6%	0.59×	1.90
Over 5.5 goals	47.0%	47.5%	11.4%	4.18×	2.11
Under 4.5 goals	35.8%	38.2%	77.6%	0.49×	2.61
Under 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	56.1%	0.40×	4.41
Under 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	37.2%	0.21×	12.93
Under 1.5 goals	2.6%	4.6%	17.9%	0.25×	21.88
Under 0.5 goals	0.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.92

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	97.2%	97.2%	77.8%	1.25×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	90.1%	92.4%	54.1%	1.71×	1.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.1%	75.9%	28.6%	2.66×	1.32
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	63.0%	61.9%	95.3%	0.65×	1.62
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	56.8%	55.8%	12.8%	4.37×	1.79
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	43.2%	44.2%	87.2%	0.51×	2.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	37.0%	38.1%	4.7%	8.17×	2.63
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.9%	24.1%	71.4%	0.34×	4.14
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	9.9%	7.6%	45.9%	0.17×	13.13
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	2.8%	2.8%	22.2%	0.13×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.3%	76.9%	1.16×	1.12
Over 1.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.6%	41.5%	1.65×	1.46
Under 2.5 in 1st half	59.6%	63.9%	84.6%	0.76×	1.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	40.4%	36.1%	15.4%	2.34×	2.77
Under 1.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.4%	58.5%	0.54×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	10.0%	10.7%	23.1%	0.47×	9.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	95.9%	96.0%	84.7%	1.13×	1.04
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	83.2%	55.7%	1.49×	1.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	62.0%	61.7%	27.1%	2.28×	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	38.0%	38.3%	72.9%	0.53×	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	16.8%	44.3%	0.38×	5.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	4.1%	4.0%	15.3%	0.26×	25.29

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score in both halves	68.1%	69.9%	27.8%	2.51×	1.43
Schalke 04 not to score in both halves	62.9%	63.6%	64.1%	0.99×	1.57
Schalke 04 to score in both halves	37.1%	36.5%	35.9%	1.01×	2.74
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to score in both halves	31.9%	30.1%	72.2%	0.42×	3.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	83.0%	76.8%	59.5%	1.29×	1.30
Only RasenBallsport Leipzig scores	14.3%	11.0%	15.1%	0.73×	9.05
Only Schalke 04 scores	2.4%	4.6%	19.9%	0.23×	21.75
Neither team scores	0.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	47.0%	49.5%	11.4%	4.36×	2.02
Exactly 5 goals	17.2%	17.5%	11.2%	1.56×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.5%	21.7%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	11.3%	12.1%	19.0%	0.64×	8.25
Exactly 2 goals	6.2%	7.6%	19.4%	0.39×	13.14
Exactly 1 goals	2.2%	4.5%	12.3%	0.36×	22.41
Exactly 0 goals	0.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.76×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	40.4%	38.6%	15.4%	2.51×	2.59
2 goals in 1st half	26.5%	28.4%	26.2%	1.09×	3.52
1 goal in 1st half	23.1%	21.5%	35.6%	0.60×	4.66
No goals in 1st half	10.0%	10.7%	23.1%	0.46×	9.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	82.9%	82.9%	55.7%	1.49×	1.21
1 goal in 2nd half	13.0%	14.3%	29.2%	0.49×	6.98
No goals in 2nd half	4.1%	4.0%	15.3%	0.26×	25.29

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	84.0%	1.16×	1.03
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win both halves	68.0%	69.8%	90.9%	0.77×	1.43
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win both halves	32.0%	30.2%	9.1%	3.31×	3.31
Schalke 04 to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	16.0%	0.18×	35.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win either half	81.3%	83.3%	49.4%	1.69×	1.20
Schalke 04 to win neither half	64.2%	65.2%	41.9%	1.55×	1.54
Schalke 04 to win either half	35.8%	34.8%	58.1%	0.60×	2.87
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win neither half	18.7%	16.7%	50.6%	0.33×	6.00

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win to nil	97.6%	96.2%	80.1%	1.20×	1.04
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	84.9%	1.04×	1.14
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	15.1%	0.79×	8.40
Schalke 04 to win to nil	2.4%	3.8%	19.9%	0.19×	26.18

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 3+	34.7%	27.7%	7.2%	3.86×	3.61
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 1	17.1%	17.0%	16.7%	1.02×	5.87
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 2	17.1%	17.0%	9.9%	1.73×	5.87
Draw	13.9%	11.8%	24.7%	0.48×	8.51
Schalke 04 by 1	9.1%	7.2%	17.6%	0.41×	13.90
Schalke 04 by 2	4.9%	2.7%	12.7%	0.21×	36.75
Schalke 04 by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	12.0%	0.23×	36.80