Venezia v Sassuolo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Venezia

14:00 UTC

Sassuolo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 1,107h before kick-off

Venezia win

38.5%

model 39.3%

Draw

23.1%

model 22.6%

Sassuolo win

38.4%

model 38.1%

382338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.7%
2-1 8.3%
1-2 8.1%
2-2 7.0%
1-0 5.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.0%	Under 2.5	34.0%
BTTS yes	66.8%	BTTS no	33.2%
Venezia 1+	82.0%	Venezia 2+	51.1%
Sassuolo 1+	81.4%	Sassuolo 2+	50.2%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

90/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 32%

55.8% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 91%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Venezia.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Venezia have an estimated 38.5% win probability, against 38.4% for Sassuolo and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Venezia and 1.68 for Sassuolo.

Why Venezia

Nothing in the data singles out Venezia.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.71 to 1.68. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Sassuolo can win

Away from home Sassuolo average 1.94 xG a match.

Key players

Venezia's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Akor Adams (0.38), John Yeboah (0.35), Antoine Hainaut (0.31). Sassuolo's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Armand Lauriente (0.43), Domenico Berardi (0.38), Andrea Pinamonti (0.34).

Availability

64% of Venezia's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Sassuolo's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Sassuolo's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Venezia: 53% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.39 xG a match from set pieces. Sassuolo: 49% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.33 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Venezia are the model's most likely outcome at 38.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 90/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Venezia are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WLLLLLLLLW last 10 scored 10 from 16.4 xG conceded 23 from 23.3 xG

Sassuolo are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LLLLWDWLDL last 10 scored 15 from 18.8 xG conceded 20 from 18.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392338	1.71–1.68	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342243	1.60–1.82	1-1 10%	67%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to win	42.9%	42.9%	33.7%	1.28×	2.33
Venezia to win	34.6%	30.4%	40.0%	0.76×	3.29
Draw	22.6%	24.4%	26.4%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo & both teams score	26.0%	25.2%	13.2%	1.90×	3.97
Venezia & both teams score	21.3%	21.8%	17.5%	1.24×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	18.6%	0.96×	5.56
Sassuolo & not both score	16.9%	18.0%	20.6%	0.87×	5.57
Venezia & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.53
Draw & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	7.9%	0.61×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo & over 1.5	36.8%	34.9%	24.6%	1.42×	2.87
Sassuolo & over 2.5	31.4%	30.8%	18.1%	1.69×	3.25
Venezia & over 1.5	29.2%	26.1%	29.9%	0.87×	3.84
Venezia & over 2.5	24.9%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.63
Sassuolo & under 3.5	23.4%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Venezia & under 3.5	19.6%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Sassuolo & over 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	7.5%	2.41×	5.56
Venezia & over 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Sassuolo & under 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
Venezia & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	9.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Sassuolo & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Venezia & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	7.9%	0.61×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (1UP)	61.8%	62.8%	50.5%	1.24×	1.59
Venezia (1UP)	54.9%	52.7%	55.3%	0.95×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (2UP)	42.9%	47.2%	36.2%	1.30×	2.12
Venezia (2UP)	34.6%	30.6%	41.8%	0.73×	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to win 2nd half	40.1%	41.7%	30.2%	1.38×	2.40
2nd half drawn	30.4%	34.3%	35.0%	0.98×	2.92
Venezia to win 2nd half	29.5%	25.8%	35.0%	0.74×	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	70.3%	85.1%	0.83×	1.42
Sassuolo over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.1%	70.1%	50.0%	1.40×	1.43
Sassuolo under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.9%	29.9%	50.0%	0.60×	3.35
Sassuolo over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	29.7%	14.9%	1.99×	3.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	75.4%	81.5%	0.93×	1.33
Venezia over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	58.1%	53.7%	1.08×	1.72
Venezia under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	41.9%	46.3%	0.91×	2.39
Venezia over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	24.6%	18.5%	1.33×	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (+2.5)	93.4%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Sassuolo (+1.5)	83.2%	82.5%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Sassuolo (+0.5)	65.4%	68.7%	60.0%	1.14×	1.46
Venezia (+0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75
Sassuolo (-0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	33.7%	1.28×	2.33
Venezia (-0.5)	34.6%	31.3%	40.0%	0.78×	3.19
Venezia (-1.5)	16.8%	17.5%	17.5%	1.00×	5.73
Venezia (-2.5)	6.6%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to concede	79.7%	78.8%	71.6%	1.10×	1.27
Sassuolo clean sheet	20.3%	21.2%	28.4%	0.75×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo clean sheet in 1st half	50.3%	50.5%	57.9%	0.87×	1.98
Sassuolo to concede in 1st half	49.7%	49.5%	42.1%	1.18×	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to concede in 2nd half	59.7%	57.5%	53.7%	1.07×	1.74
Sassuolo clean sheet in 2nd half	40.3%	42.5%	46.3%	0.92×	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sassuolo under 5.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sassuolo over 2.5 corners	69.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sassuolo under 4.5 corners	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sassuolo over 3.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Sassuolo under 3.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sassuolo over 4.5 corners	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sassuolo under 2.5 corners	30.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Sassuolo over 5.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Sassuolo over 6.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo under 3.5 goals	89.2%	87.8%	97.1%	0.90×	1.14
Sassuolo over 0.5 goals	83.4%	81.5%	69.6%	1.17×	1.23
Sassuolo under 2.5 goals	73.2%	71.9%	88.1%	0.82×	1.39
Sassuolo over 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.6%	35.0%	1.53×	1.87
Sassuolo under 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.4%	65.0%	0.71×	2.15
Sassuolo over 2.5 goals	26.8%	28.1%	11.9%	2.36×	3.56
Sassuolo under 0.5 goals	16.6%	18.5%	30.4%	0.61×	5.40
Sassuolo over 3.5 goals	10.8%	12.2%	2.9%	4.22×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	83.2%	89.9%	0.93×	1.20
Sassuolo under 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	55.4%	58.8%	0.94×	1.81
Sassuolo over 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	41.2%	1.08×	2.24
Sassuolo over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	16.8%	10.1%	1.66×	5.95

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo scores more in 2nd half	45.7%	48.1%	32.8%	1.46×	2.08
Sassuolo scores equally in both	31.8%	33.6%	43.4%	0.77×	2.97
Sassuolo scores more in 1st half	22.5%	22.0%	23.9%	0.92×	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia (away no bet)	60.5%	61.9%	60.2%	1.03×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.5%	38.1%	39.8%	0.96×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo even goals	51.4%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90
Sassuolo odd goals	48.6%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.1%	81.2%	87.3%	0.93×	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.9%	18.8%	12.7%	1.47×	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.9%	72.3%	60.2%	1.20×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.1%	27.7%	39.8%	0.70×	3.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.8%	62.3%	53.4%	1.17×	1.60
Sassuolo to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.8%	27.8%	1.40×	2.58
Venezia to score 2+ in a row	35.6%	36.5%	31.7%	1.15×	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.2%	25.2%	17.9%	1.41×	3.97
Sassuolo to score 3+ in a row	16.0%	16.2%	7.9%	2.05×	6.16
Venezia to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.0%	10.1%	1.19×	8.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Venezia corners (+2.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sassuolo corners (+3.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Venezia corners (+1.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sassuolo corners (+2.5)	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sassuolo corners (+1.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Venezia corners (-1.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Venezia corners (-2.5)	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sassuolo corners (-1.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Venezia corners (-3.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sassuolo corners (-2.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Sassuolo corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	11.9%	0.62×	13.50
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
2-2	6.9%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
1-0	5.4%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	2.0%	3.62×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	2.8%	2.68×	13.51
0-0	3.4%	1.7%	7.9%	0.22×	58.30
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.31
1-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.30
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (2nd half DNB)	57.6%	59.6%	46.3%	1.29×	1.68
Venezia (2nd half DNB)	42.4%	40.4%	53.7%	0.75×	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia leading at HT (DNB)	50.2%	54.6%	51.1%	1.07×	1.83
Sassuolo leading at HT (DNB)	49.8%	45.4%	48.9%	0.93×	2.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia or Sassuolo (12)	77.4%	75.6%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Sassuolo or draw (X2)	65.4%	69.6%	60.0%	1.16×	1.44
Venezia or draw (1X)	57.1%	57.1%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia or draw at HT	69.5%	66.7%	72.8%	0.92×	1.50
Sassuolo or draw at HT	69.3%	66.7%	71.6%	0.93×	1.50
Venezia or Sassuolo at HT	61.2%	61.6%	55.4%	1.11×	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo or draw (1UP)	65.4%	76.1%	65.5%	1.16×	1.31
Venezia or draw (1UP)	57.1%	63.0%	71.6%	0.88×	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	74.2%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
Venezia or Sassuolo in 2nd half	69.6%	65.7%	65.0%	1.01×	1.52
Venezia or draw in 2nd half	59.9%	58.3%	69.8%	0.83×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.4%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.6%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (DNB)	55.4%	58.0%	45.7%	1.27×	1.72
Venezia (DNB)	44.6%	42.0%	54.3%	0.77×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to score first	51.2%	53.3%	43.6%	1.22×	1.88
Venezia to score first	45.5%	45.9%	48.6%	0.95×	2.18
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.5%	58.4%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.5%	41.6%	50.8%	0.82×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.9%	47.6%	37.4%	1.27×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	24.5%	27.8%	40.1%	0.69×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	11.9%	0.70×	12.05
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.6%	80.7%	86.5%	0.93×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.4%	19.3%	13.5%	1.44×	5.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.9%	65.3%	74.9%	0.87×	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.1%	34.7%	25.1%	1.38×	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.2%	52.7%	62.7%	0.84×	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	30.2%	26.8%	20.3%	1.32×	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.7%	12.3%	0.87×	9.33
Both score in both halves	9.9%	6.9%	4.9%	1.39×	14.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	81.1%	82.9%	0.98×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.6%	18.9%	17.1%	1.11×	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.7%	59.9%	52.8%	1.13×	1.67
A half without a goal	35.3%	40.1%	47.2%	0.85×	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.2%	42.1%	48.4%	0.87×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.3%	35.1%	23.8%	1.48×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.8%	16.9%	27.0%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	5.7%	7.6%	1.0%	7.90×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to score exactly 1	29.8%	27.4%	34.7%	0.79×	3.65
Sassuolo to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	23.2%	1.18×	3.66
Sassuolo to score 3+	26.8%	27.4%	11.9%	2.30×	3.66
Sassuolo to score exactly 0	16.6%	19.6%	30.4%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia to score exactly 1	32.4%	32.6%	32.1%	1.01×	3.07
Venezia to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Venezia to score 3+	21.6%	23.3%	15.0%	1.55×	4.29
Venezia to score exactly 0	20.3%	23.3%	28.4%	0.82×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.8%	38.4%	44.6%	0.86×	2.60
Venezia leading at HT	30.7%	33.3%	28.4%	1.17×	3.01
Sassuolo leading at HT	30.5%	33.3%	27.2%	1.22×	3.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo -1: 1	57.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Sassuolo -1: 2	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sassuolo -1: X	20.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (0:1)	65.4%	65.2%	60.0%	1.09×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.8%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.61
Venezia (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (0:2)	83.2%	82.9%	82.5%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	10.0%	1.10×	9.11
Venezia (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (0:3)	93.4%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.00
Venezia (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	81.93
Venezia (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia (1:0)	57.1%	58.3%	66.3%	0.88×	1.72
Sassuolo (1:0)	22.9%	21.7%	14.4%	1.50×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.0%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia (2:0)	77.1%	80.5%	85.6%	0.94×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.9%	10.3%	8.7%	1.19×	9.71
Sassuolo (2:0)	10.0%	10.3%	5.9%	1.74×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.5%	50.2%	46.2%	1.09×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	27.0%	0.97×	3.82
Halves equal	21.5%	24.3%	26.9%	0.90×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia to concede	83.4%	80.9%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
Venezia clean sheet	16.6%	19.1%	30.4%	0.63×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia clean sheet in 1st half	50.5%	55.4%	58.8%	0.94×	1.81
Venezia to concede in 1st half	49.6%	44.6%	41.2%	1.08×	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia to concede in 2nd half	67.1%	67.2%	50.0%	1.34×	1.49
Venezia clean sheet in 2nd half	32.9%	32.8%	50.0%	0.66×	3.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia over 2.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Venezia under 6.5 corners	72.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Venezia over 3.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Venezia under 5.5 corners	61.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Venezia over 4.5 corners	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Venezia under 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Venezia over 5.5 corners	38.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Venezia under 3.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Venezia over 6.5 corners	27.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Venezia under 2.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.2%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Venezia over 0.5 goals	79.7%	77.7%	71.6%	1.09×	1.29
Venezia under 2.5 goals	78.4%	77.7%	85.0%	0.91×	1.29
Venezia under 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88
Venezia over 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.8%	39.7%	1.18×	2.14
Venezia over 2.5 goals	21.6%	22.3%	15.0%	1.48×	4.49
Venezia under 0.5 goals	20.3%	22.3%	28.4%	0.78×	4.49
Venezia over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.8%	4.7%	1.66×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia under 1.5 in 1st half	84.9%	83.9%	89.3%	0.94×	1.19
Venezia under 0.5 in 1st half	50.3%	50.3%	57.9%	0.87×	1.99
Venezia over 0.5 in 1st half	49.7%	49.7%	42.1%	1.18×	2.01
Venezia over 1.5 in 1st half	15.2%	16.1%	10.7%	1.51×	6.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia scores more in 2nd half	38.8%	37.9%	36.2%	1.05×	2.64
Venezia scores equally in both	35.1%	37.9%	41.7%	0.91×	2.64
Venezia scores more in 1st half	26.2%	27.8%	22.2%	1.25×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo (home no bet)	65.5%	64.1%	56.0%	1.14×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	34.5%	35.9%	44.0%	0.82×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia even goals	52.1%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Venezia odd goals	47.9%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.4%	27.9%	33.8%	0.83×	3.58
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	18.4%	1.01×	5.38
HT 0-1	17.4%	18.6%	18.1%	1.02×	5.38
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	10.3%	1.07×	9.08
Any other HT score	6.4%	6.9%	3.4%	2.05×	14.50
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	5.4%	1.27×	14.51
HT 2-0	6.0%	6.9%	5.8%	1.19×	14.51
HT 1-2	4.1%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.01
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.01
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo at HT / Sassuolo at FT	23.3%	21.8%	19.1%	1.14×	4.58
Venezia at HT / Venezia at FT	20.7%	21.7%	22.0%	0.99×	4.60
Draw at HT / Sassuolo at FT	15.5%	16.7%	12.9%	1.30×	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.6%	16.1%	0.78×	7.91
Draw at HT / Venezia at FT	11.4%	12.6%	15.9%	0.80×	7.92
Venezia at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	4.7%	1.28×	16.66
Sassuolo at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	5.9%	0.59×	28.59
Venezia at HT / Sassuolo at FT	4.0%	3.5%	1.9%	1.82×	28.62
Sassuolo at HT / Venezia at FT	2.4%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to score last	51.2%	52.1%	44.0%	1.18×	1.92
Venezia to score last	45.5%	46.4%	48.2%	0.96×	2.16
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.6%	95.7%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Sassuolo to lead by 1 at any time	61.8%	61.4%	50.5%	1.22×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.5%	54.8%	43.6%	1.26×	1.82
Venezia to lead by 1 at any time	54.9%	50.9%	55.3%	0.92×	1.96
Sassuolo to lead by 2 at any time	31.3%	29.8%	20.2%	1.48×	3.36
Venezia to lead by 2 at any time	24.7%	19.7%	23.9%	0.82×	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.3%	19.7%	15.1%	1.30×	5.09
Sassuolo to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	6.5%	1.61×	9.55
Venezia to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	8.8%	0.77×	14.83

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia most corners	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Sassuolo most corners	34.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.4%	89.2%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.5%	78.7%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.2%	72.4%	80.8%	0.90×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.2%	63.3%	47.2%	1.34×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.1%	61.7%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.0%	53.2%	45.2%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.7%	53.2%	67.5%	0.79×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.2%	43.6%	48.4%	0.90×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	36.8%	1.18×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.3%	39.2%	23.8%	1.65×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.2%	35.2%	21.8%	1.62×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.8%	35.2%	44.1%	0.80×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.7%	18.8%	10.6%	1.78×	5.31
7+ goals	5.7%	8.9%	1.0%	9.22×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo never behind	41.7%	48.5%	44.7%	1.08×	2.06
Venezia never behind	34.8%	36.4%	49.5%	0.73×	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.6%	56.6%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.4%	43.4%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.9%	50.6%	1.03×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.1%	49.4%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.2%	87.6%	97.0%	0.90×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	73.0%	1.20×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.6%	72.5%	88.6%	0.82×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	65.9%	66.3%	48.1%	1.38×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.0%	58.6%	75.4%	0.78×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.0%	41.4%	24.6%	1.68×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	34.1%	33.7%	51.9%	0.65×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	11.4%	2.41×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	27.0%	0.46×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	3.0%	4.13×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.9%	92.4%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.3%	86.7%	96.7%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.7%	81.1%	64.0%	1.27×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.8%	67.5%	86.8%	0.78×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.3%	55.8%	32.2%	1.73×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.7%	44.2%	67.8%	0.65×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.2%	32.5%	13.2%	2.47×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.3%	18.9%	36.0%	0.53×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.7%	13.3%	3.3%	4.05×	7.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.1%	7.6%	1.0%	7.74×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.0%	85.9%	91.2%	0.94×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.9%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.1%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.9%	29.9%	1.23×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.1%	33.8%	0.83×	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.0%	14.1%	8.8%	1.61×	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	85.5%	78.6%	1.09×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.1%	68.7%	82.5%	0.83×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	55.0%	43.0%	1.28×	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	45.0%	57.0%	0.79×	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.9%	31.3%	17.5%	1.79×	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	14.5%	21.4%	0.68×	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia not to score in both halves	70.3%	73.8%	75.8%	0.97×	1.36
Sassuolo not to score in both halves	66.7%	69.8%	78.4%	0.89×	1.43
Sassuolo to score in both halves	33.3%	30.2%	21.6%	1.40×	3.31
Venezia to score in both halves	29.7%	26.2%	24.2%	1.08×	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.5%	59.9%	49.2%	1.22×	1.67
Only Sassuolo scores	16.9%	16.0%	20.6%	0.78×	6.24
Only Venezia scores	13.2%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.4%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.6%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.4%	17.5%	25.0%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
6 or more goals	12.8%	12.1%	3.0%	4.04×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	12.6%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.4%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.4%	4.5%	7.9%	0.56×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	36.4%	0.99×	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.2%	33.8%	0.83×	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.5%	21.3%	1.01×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.0%	15.6%	8.8%	1.78×	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.9%	54.3%	43.0%	1.26×	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	26.8%	29.3%	35.7%	0.82×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	13.3%	14.3%	21.4%	0.67×	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia not to win both halves	90.9%	94.1%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Sassuolo not to win both halves	87.8%	87.9%	91.1%	0.96×	1.14
Sassuolo to win both halves	12.2%	12.1%	8.9%	1.36×	8.26
Venezia to win both halves	9.1%	5.9%	10.1%	0.59×	16.87

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sassuolo to win either half	58.4%	59.1%	48.4%	1.22×	1.69
Venezia to win either half	51.1%	54.3%	53.2%	1.02×	1.84
Venezia to win neither half	48.9%	45.7%	46.8%	0.98×	2.19
Sassuolo to win neither half	41.6%	40.9%	51.6%	0.79×	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Venezia not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
Sassuolo not to win to nil	83.1%	83.1%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Sassuolo to win to nil	16.9%	16.9%	20.6%	0.82×	5.92
Venezia to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.6%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
Sassuolo by 1	20.0%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.86
Venezia by 1	17.8%	17.1%	22.6%	0.75×	5.87
Sassuolo by 2	12.9%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.51
Venezia by 2	10.2%	11.7%	10.0%	1.18×	8.51
Sassuolo by 3+	10.0%	11.7%	5.9%	1.99×	8.51
Venezia by 3+	6.6%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.91