Frosinone v Internazionale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Frosinone

14:00 UTC

Internazionale

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,083h before kick-off

Frosinone win

17.7%

model 15.2%

Draw

17.7%

model 16.6%

Internazionale win

64.6%

model 68.2%

181865

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.0%
1-3 7.9%
0-2 7.4%
1-1 6.8%
0-3 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	74.0%	Under 2.5	26.0%
BTTS yes	65.1%	BTTS no	34.9%
Frosinone 1+	70.1%	Frosinone 2+	34.0%
Internazionale 1+	92.9%	Internazionale 2+	74.2%

Expected goals 1.21 – 2.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 25%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Internazionale or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 66%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1701.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Internazionale have an estimated 64.6% win probability, against 17.7% for the draw and 17.7% for Frosinone. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Frosinone and 2.65 for Internazionale.

Why Frosinone

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Internazionale were missing 1.12 expected goal involvements a match against 0.10.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.7%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Internazionale can win

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1701. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Frosinone's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Antonio Raimondo (0.52), Giorgi Kvernadze (0.39), Giacomo Calo (0.26). Internazionale's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lautaro Martínez (0.76), Marcus Thuram (0.57), Federico Dimarco (0.52).

Availability

1 of Internazionale's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Frosinone: 44% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.36 xG a match from set pieces. Internazionale: 61% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.90 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Internazionale are the model's most likely outcome at 64.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.0%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Frosinone are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 7.4 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDWLW last 7 scored 13 from 11.9 xG conceded 9 from 16.4 xG

Internazionale have scored 28 from 28.3 expected and conceded 13 from 12.7 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WDDWWWWDWW last 10 scored 28 from 28.3 xG conceded 13 from 12.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	151768	1.21–2.65	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	141571	1.36–3.00	1-2 8%	81%	71%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win	67.8%	64.8%	33.7%	1.93×	1.54
Draw	17.6%	19.4%	26.4%	0.73×	5.16
Frosinone to win	14.6%	13.5%	40.0%	0.34×	7.39

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & both teams score	36.0%	33.3%	13.2%	2.52×	3.01
Internazionale & not both score	31.9%	29.6%	20.6%	1.44×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.53
Frosinone & both teams score	8.9%	8.3%	17.5%	0.47×	12.01
Frosinone & not both score	5.7%	8.3%	22.6%	0.37×	12.02
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	7.9%	0.61×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale & over 1.5	60.4%	54.6%	24.6%	2.21×	1.83
Internazionale & over 2.5	51.3%	48.8%	18.1%	2.69×	2.05
Internazionale & over 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	7.5%	4.13×	3.25
Internazionale & under 3.5	33.4%	30.8%	26.3%	1.17×	3.25
Internazionale & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.5%	12.8%	18.6%	0.69×	7.79
Frosinone & over 1.5	11.4%	12.8%	29.9%	0.43×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	19.7%	0.65×	7.79
Frosinone & over 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.63
Frosinone & under 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	29.6%	0.27×	12.63
Internazionale & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Frosinone & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	16.8%	0.29×	20.81
Frosinone & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	10.6%	0.45×	20.81
Frosinone & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	7.9%	0.61×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1UP)	79.6%	79.1%	50.5%	1.57×	1.26
Frosinone (1UP)	34.4%	33.1%	55.3%	0.60×	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2UP)	67.8%	68.3%	36.2%	1.89×	1.46
Frosinone (2UP)	14.6%	14.3%	41.8%	0.34×	6.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win 2nd half	52.6%	51.5%	30.2%	1.71×	1.94
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.3%	35.0%	0.98×	2.91
Frosinone to win 2nd half	14.8%	11.7%	35.0%	0.33×	8.57

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	70.3%	85.1%	0.83×	1.42
Internazionale over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.5%	70.2%	50.0%	1.40×	1.43
Internazionale under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.5%	29.8%	50.0%	0.60×	3.35
Internazionale over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	29.7%	14.9%	1.99×	3.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.4%	94.2%	81.5%	1.16×	1.06
Frosinone under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	63.3%	46.3%	1.37×	1.58
Frosinone over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	36.7%	53.7%	0.68×	2.72
Frosinone over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.6%	5.8%	18.5%	0.31×	17.21

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Internazionale (+1.5)	94.9%	92.1%	82.5%	1.12×	1.09
Internazionale (+0.5)	85.4%	88.4%	60.0%	1.47×	1.13
Internazionale (-0.5)	67.8%	68.7%	33.7%	2.04×	1.46
Frosinone (+0.5)	32.2%	31.3%	66.3%	0.47×	3.19
Frosinone (-0.5)	14.6%	11.6%	40.0%	0.29×	8.66
Frosinone (-1.5)	5.1%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.71
Frosinone (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.21

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to concede	65.1%	72.3%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
Internazionale clean sheet	34.9%	27.7%	28.4%	0.98×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 1st half	54.8%	50.6%	57.9%	0.87×	1.98
Internazionale to concede in 1st half	45.2%	49.4%	42.1%	1.17×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 2nd half	63.7%	61.8%	46.3%	1.34×	1.62
Internazionale to concede in 2nd half	36.3%	38.2%	53.7%	0.71×	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Internazionale over 3.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Internazionale under 6.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Internazionale over 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Internazionale under 5.5 corners	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Internazionale over 5.5 corners	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Internazionale under 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Internazionale over 6.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Internazionale under 3.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Internazionale under 2.5 corners	16.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 0.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	69.6%	1.33×	1.08
Internazionale under 3.5 goals	77.1%	76.3%	97.1%	0.79×	1.31
Internazionale over 1.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	35.0%	1.94×	1.47
Internazionale under 2.5 goals	56.0%	59.4%	88.1%	0.67×	1.68
Internazionale over 2.5 goals	44.0%	40.6%	11.9%	3.41×	2.46
Internazionale under 1.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	65.0%	0.49×	3.13
Internazionale over 3.5 goals	22.9%	23.7%	2.9%	8.23×	4.21
Internazionale under 0.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	30.4%	0.25×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale over 0.5 in 1st half	73.1%	68.8%	41.2%	1.67×	1.45
Internazionale under 1.5 in 1st half	62.2%	63.6%	89.9%	0.71×	1.57
Internazionale over 1.5 in 1st half	37.8%	36.4%	10.1%	3.61×	2.75
Internazionale under 0.5 in 1st half	26.9%	31.2%	58.8%	0.53×	3.21

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale scores more in 1st half	40.9%	43.4%	23.9%	1.81×	2.31
Internazionale scores more in 2nd half	31.8%	33.6%	32.8%	1.02×	2.97
Internazionale scores equally in both	27.3%	26.3%	43.4%	0.61×	3.80

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.6%	51.8%	39.8%	1.30×	1.93
Frosinone (away no bet)	45.4%	48.2%	60.2%	0.80×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale even goals	50.4%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90
Internazionale odd goals	49.6%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.4%	76.7%	87.3%	0.88×	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.6%	23.3%	12.7%	1.83×	4.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.1%	72.4%	60.2%	1.20×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.9%	27.6%	39.8%	0.69×	3.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.5%	71.9%	53.4%	1.35×	1.39
Internazionale to score 2+ in a row	61.9%	60.1%	27.8%	2.16×	1.66
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.9%	36.6%	17.9%	2.04×	2.74
Internazionale to score 3+ in a row	32.7%	29.2%	7.9%	3.68×	3.43
Frosinone to score 2+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	31.7%	0.51×	6.15
Frosinone to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	10.1%	0.26×	38.46

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Internazionale corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Frosinone corners (+3.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Internazionale corners (+1.5)	74.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Frosinone corners (+2.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Frosinone corners (+1.5)	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Internazionale corners (-1.5)	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Internazionale corners (-2.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Frosinone corners (-1.5)	25.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Internazionale corners (-3.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Frosinone corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Frosinone corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	60.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	39.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.4%	11.5%	2.8%	4.15×	8.72
0-2	9.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.50
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.50
0-3	7.4%	7.4%	3.5%	2.12×	13.50
1-1	7.8%	7.4%	11.9%	0.62×	13.50
1-3	7.8%	7.4%	2.0%	3.62×	13.50
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	7.9%	0.22×	58.30
0-4	4.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.29
1-0	3.2%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.30
1-4	4.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.29
2-0	1.7%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.31
2-1	4.1%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.30
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
2-4	2.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.32
3-1	1.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (2nd half DNB)	78.1%	79.6%	46.3%	1.72×	1.26
Frosinone (2nd half DNB)	21.9%	20.4%	53.7%	0.38×	4.91

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT (DNB)	76.0%	74.8%	48.9%	1.53×	1.34
Frosinone leading at HT (DNB)	24.0%	25.2%	51.1%	0.49×	3.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (X2)	85.4%	86.5%	60.0%	1.44×	1.16
Frosinone or Internazionale (12)	82.4%	80.6%	73.6%	1.10×	1.24
Frosinone or draw (1X)	32.2%	35.2%	66.3%	0.53×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw at HT	83.0%	84.3%	71.6%	1.18×	1.19
Frosinone or Internazionale at HT	71.1%	75.0%	55.4%	1.35×	1.33
Frosinone or draw at HT	45.9%	52.5%	72.8%	0.72×	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw (1UP)	85.4%	91.7%	65.5%	1.40×	1.09
Frosinone or draw (1UP)	34.4%	39.3%	71.6%	0.55×	2.54

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale or draw in 2nd half	85.2%	88.3%	65.0%	1.36×	1.13
Frosinone or Internazionale in 2nd half	67.4%	65.7%	65.0%	1.01×	1.52
Frosinone or draw in 2nd half	47.4%	48.5%	69.8%	0.69×	2.06

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	47.9%	50.0%	36.5%	1.37×	2.00
A half drawn	52.1%	50.0%	63.5%	0.79×	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (DNB)	82.3%	80.3%	45.7%	1.76×	1.25
Frosinone (DNB)	17.7%	19.7%	54.3%	0.36×	5.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score first	67.7%	69.5%	43.6%	1.59×	1.44
Frosinone to score first	29.2%	28.1%	48.6%	0.58×	3.56
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.4%	55.0%	49.2%	1.12×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.6%	45.0%	50.8%	0.88×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.6%	47.2%	37.4%	1.26×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	24.5%	27.8%	40.1%	0.69×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	16.2%	21.5%	10.8%	1.99×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	7.8%	8.3%	11.9%	0.70×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.2%	82.6%	86.5%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.8%	17.4%	13.5%	1.30×	5.73

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.5%	74.1%	74.9%	0.99×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.5%	25.9%	25.1%	1.03×	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.6%	54.7%	62.7%	0.87×	1.83
Both score 1st half only	24.9%	21.2%	12.3%	1.73×	4.73
Both score 2nd half only	16.4%	15.0%	20.3%	0.74×	6.67
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	4.9%	1.38×	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	67.0%	70.4%	82.9%	0.85×	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	33.0%	29.6%	17.1%	1.74×	3.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.6%	66.5%	52.8%	1.26×	1.51
A half without a goal	32.4%	33.6%	47.2%	0.71×	2.98

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.2%	42.1%	48.4%	0.87×	2.38
4-6 goals	39.7%	35.2%	23.8%	1.48×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.7%	16.9%	27.0%	0.63×	5.91
7+ goals	6.4%	7.6%	1.0%	7.91×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score 3+	44.0%	37.4%	11.9%	3.14×	2.68
Internazionale to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	23.2%	1.18×	3.66
Internazionale to score exactly 1	21.3%	22.3%	34.7%	0.64×	4.49
Internazionale to score exactly 0	8.7%	8.6%	30.4%	0.28×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Frosinone to score exactly 0	34.9%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.07
Frosinone to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.8%	24.8%	0.76×	5.33
Frosinone to score 3+	9.0%	10.3%	15.0%	0.69×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale leading at HT	54.1%	47.5%	27.2%	1.75×	2.10
Draw at HT	28.9%	25.0%	44.6%	0.56×	4.01
Frosinone leading at HT	17.0%	15.7%	28.4%	0.55×	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale -1: 2	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Internazionale -1: 1	32.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Internazionale -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:1)	85.4%	89.1%	60.0%	1.48×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	9.5%	9.3%	22.6%	0.41×	10.77
Frosinone (0:1)	5.1%	9.2%	17.5%	0.52×	10.89

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:2)	94.9%	90.8%	82.5%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	3.7%	3.8%	10.0%	0.38×	26.65
Frosinone (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	7.7%	0.49×	26.79

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.15
Frosinone (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Frosinone (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (1:0)	45.8%	49.0%	14.4%	3.40×	2.04
Frosinone (1:0)	32.2%	30.1%	66.3%	0.45×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	22.1%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (2:0)	54.2%	55.9%	85.6%	0.65×	1.79
Internazionale (2:0)	26.0%	23.2%	5.9%	3.94×	4.31
Draw (2:0)	19.8%	15.9%	8.7%	1.84×	6.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	45.9%	48.7%	27.0%	1.80×	2.05
2nd half highest scoring	32.1%	30.0%	46.2%	0.65×	3.33
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	26.9%	0.90×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede	91.3%	92.9%	69.6%	1.33×	1.08
Frosinone clean sheet	8.7%	7.1%	30.4%	0.23×	14.06

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede in 1st half	73.1%	67.7%	41.2%	1.64×	1.48
Frosinone clean sheet in 1st half	26.9%	32.3%	58.8%	0.55×	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede in 2nd half	67.5%	67.2%	50.0%	1.34×	1.49
Frosinone clean sheet in 2nd half	32.5%	32.8%	50.0%	0.66×	3.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 6.5 corners	80.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Frosinone over 2.5 corners	74.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Frosinone under 5.5 corners	70.2%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Frosinone over 3.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Frosinone under 4.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Frosinone over 4.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Frosinone under 3.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Frosinone over 5.5 corners	29.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Frosinone under 2.5 corners	25.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Frosinone over 6.5 corners	19.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Frosinone under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	85.0%	1.09×	1.08
Frosinone under 1.5 goals	71.7%	74.2%	60.3%	1.23×	1.35
Frosinone over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
Frosinone under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	28.4%	1.13×	3.12
Frosinone over 1.5 goals	28.3%	25.8%	39.7%	0.65×	3.88
Frosinone over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	15.0%	0.52×	12.87
Frosinone over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	90.2%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Frosinone under 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	50.4%	57.9%	0.87×	1.98
Frosinone over 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	49.6%	42.1%	1.18×	2.02
Frosinone over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	9.8%	10.7%	0.91×	10.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone scores equally in both	45.0%	47.2%	41.7%	1.13×	2.12
Frosinone scores more in 1st half	32.4%	32.9%	22.2%	1.48×	3.04
Frosinone scores more in 2nd half	22.5%	21.2%	36.2%	0.59×	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale (home no bet)	79.4%	78.2%	56.0%	1.40×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	20.6%	21.8%	44.0%	0.50×	4.59

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone even goals	56.1%	55.3%	56.3%	0.98×	1.81
Frosinone odd goals	43.9%	44.7%	43.8%	1.02×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	19.4%	18.6%	18.1%	1.03×	5.37
Any other HT score	16.5%	18.6%	3.4%	5.52×	5.39
HT 0-0	14.7%	11.0%	33.8%	0.33×	9.05
HT 0-2	12.7%	11.0%	5.4%	2.04×	9.07
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	10.3%	1.07×	9.08
HT 1-0	8.9%	6.9%	18.4%	0.38×	14.46
HT 1-2	7.6%	6.9%	2.6%	2.61×	14.48
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.05
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.4%	5.8%	0.41×	42.10
HT 2-2	2.3%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale at HT / Internazionale at FT	49.4%	47.9%	19.1%	2.51×	2.09
Draw at HT / Internazionale at FT	15.2%	16.7%	12.9%	1.30×	5.99
Frosinone at HT / Frosinone at FT	9.4%	6.0%	22.0%	0.27×	16.56
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.4%	6.0%	16.1%	0.37×	16.56
Frosinone at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.60
Draw at HT / Frosinone at FT	4.3%	3.5%	15.9%	0.22×	28.61
Internazionale at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	5.9%	0.59×	28.63
Frosinone at HT / Internazionale at FT	3.2%	3.5%	1.9%	1.82×	28.65
Internazionale at HT / Frosinone at FT	0.9%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to score last	67.7%	70.3%	44.0%	1.60×	1.42
Frosinone to score last	29.2%	27.8%	48.2%	0.58×	3.60
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.7%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Internazionale to lead by 1 at any time	79.6%	78.7%	50.5%	1.56×	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.8%	61.4%	43.6%	1.41×	1.63
Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time	53.3%	50.9%	20.2%	2.52×	1.97
Frosinone to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.9%	55.3%	0.54×	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.3%	29.8%	15.1%	1.97×	3.35
Internazionale to lead by 3 at any time	29.9%	25.6%	6.5%	3.94×	3.91
Frosinone to lead by 2 at any time	9.9%	6.8%	23.9%	0.28×	14.79
Frosinone to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	8.8%	0.18×	62.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale most corners	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Frosinone most corners	35.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.9%	83.4%	89.2%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.7%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.7%	68.8%	80.8%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.3%	63.3%	47.2%	1.34×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.1%	59.1%	61.7%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.7%	53.2%	45.2%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.9%	53.2%	67.5%	0.79×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.2%	43.6%	48.4%	0.90×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.8%	1.18×	2.30
4-6 goals	39.7%	39.2%	23.8%	1.65×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.0%	35.2%	21.8%	1.62×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.2%	30.2%	44.1%	0.69×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.8%	24.5%	10.6%	2.31×	4.09
7+ goals	6.4%	8.9%	1.0%	9.23×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale never behind	62.6%	68.2%	44.7%	1.53×	1.47
Frosinone never behind	17.3%	18.4%	49.5%	0.37×	5.45

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.1%	51.6%	56.6%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.9%	48.4%	43.4%	1.12×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	50.6%	1.03×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	49.4%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	73.0%	1.20×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	97.0%	0.90×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	88.6%	0.82×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.7%	66.3%	48.1%	1.38×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.9%	52.5%	75.4%	0.70×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.1%	47.5%	24.6%	1.93×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.3%	33.7%	51.9%	0.65×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	11.4%	2.41×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	3.0%	4.13×	8.06
Under 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	27.0%	0.46×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.1%	92.4%	99.0%	0.93×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.8%	81.1%	96.7%	0.84×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.2%	81.1%	64.0%	1.27×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.4%	67.4%	86.8%	0.78×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.8%	55.8%	32.2%	1.73×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.2%	44.2%	67.8%	0.65×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.6%	32.6%	13.2%	2.47×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.8%	18.9%	36.0%	0.53×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.2%	18.9%	3.3%	5.76×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.9%	7.6%	1.0%	7.74×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	85.3%	89.1%	66.2%	1.35×	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	70.0%	71.8%	91.2%	0.79×	1.39
Over 1.5 in 1st half	57.0%	63.6%	29.9%	2.12×	1.57
Under 1.5 in 1st half	43.0%	36.4%	70.1%	0.52×	2.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	30.0%	28.2%	8.8%	3.22×	3.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	14.7%	10.9%	33.8%	0.32×	9.18

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.4%	78.6%	1.01×	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.4%	82.5%	0.96×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.2%	57.0%	0.93×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.8%	43.0%	1.09×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.6%	17.5%	1.17×	4.86
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.6%	21.4%	0.96×	4.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to score in both halves	83.6%	84.4%	75.8%	1.11×	1.19
Internazionale not to score in both halves	50.6%	55.1%	78.4%	0.70×	1.81
Internazionale to score in both halves	49.4%	44.9%	21.6%	2.07×	2.23
Frosinone to score in both halves	16.4%	15.6%	24.2%	0.65×	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.4%	58.7%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Only Internazionale scores	31.9%	33.3%	20.6%	1.62×	3.00
Only Frosinone scores	5.7%	7.1%	22.6%	0.31×	14.05
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.72

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.6%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	18.6%	17.5%	25.0%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.04×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.2%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.5%	7.9%	0.56×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	30.0%	28.3%	8.8%	3.23×	3.53
1 goal in 1st half	28.2%	28.3%	36.4%	0.78×	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	27.0%	28.2%	21.3%	1.33×	3.54
No goals in 1st half	14.7%	10.8%	33.8%	0.32×	9.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.7%	45.1%	43.0%	1.05×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.6%	33.8%	35.7%	0.95×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.7%	22.7%	21.4%	1.06×	4.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win both halves	97.5%	97.2%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Internazionale not to win both halves	71.6%	72.5%	91.1%	0.80×	1.38
Internazionale to win both halves	28.4%	27.5%	8.9%	3.09×	3.64
Frosinone to win both halves	2.5%	2.8%	10.1%	0.28×	35.73

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale to win either half	78.2%	79.9%	48.4%	1.65×	1.25
Frosinone to win neither half	70.7%	72.9%	46.8%	1.56×	1.37
Frosinone to win either half	29.3%	27.1%	53.2%	0.51×	3.69
Internazionale to win neither half	21.8%	20.1%	51.6%	0.39×	4.98

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win to nil	94.3%	92.1%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
Internazionale not to win to nil	68.1%	69.7%	79.4%	0.88×	1.44
Internazionale to win to nil	31.9%	30.3%	20.6%	1.48×	3.30
Frosinone to win to nil	5.7%	7.9%	22.6%	0.35×	12.69

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internazionale by 3+	26.0%	27.9%	5.9%	4.73×	3.59
Internazionale by 1	22.1%	24.1%	19.4%	1.25×	4.15
Internazionale by 2	19.8%	17.1%	8.7%	1.97×	5.86
Draw	17.6%	17.0%	26.4%	0.64×	5.87
Frosinone by 1	9.5%	7.2%	22.6%	0.32×	13.90
Frosinone by 2	3.7%	2.7%	10.0%	0.27×	36.79
Frosinone by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.86