Getafe v Valencia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Getafe

16:00 UTC

Valencia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,037h before kick-off

Getafe win

39.7%

model 35.8%

Draw

29.0%

model 29.4%

Valencia win

31.3%

model 34.7%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
1-0 12.6%
0-1 12.3%
0-0 11.5%
2-1 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.7%	Under 2.5	63.3%
BTTS yes	43.6%	BTTS no	56.4%
Getafe 1+	66.4%	Getafe 2+	29.8%
Valencia 1+	65.7%	Valencia 2+	29.0%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

89/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Getafe to win neither half

Win either half · usually 38%

53.9% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 1081 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Valencia not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 81%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Getafe have created 0.76 xG a match over their last five while Valencia have allowed 1.59.
At home Getafe average 1.10 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Getafe have an estimated 39.7% win probability, against 31.3% for Valencia and 29.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for Getafe and 1.07 for Valencia.

Why Getafe

Getafe have created 0.76 xG a match over their last five while Valencia have allowed 1.59. At home Getafe average 1.10 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.0%. A combined 2.16 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.09 to 1.07. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Valencia can win

Valencia have created 1.15 xG a match over their last five while Getafe have allowed 1.68. Away from home Valencia average 1.14 xG a match.

Key players

Getafe's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Martín Satriano (0.35), Enes Ünal (0.29), Ramón Terrats (0.28). Valencia's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Largie Ramazani (0.29), Umar Sadiq (0.29), Hugo Duro (0.28).

Availability

1 of Getafe's top three contributors did not start their last match. Getafe had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.02 expected goal involvements a match. 45% of Getafe's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Valencia's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Getafe: 31% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.20 xG a match from set pieces. Valencia: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.22 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Getafe are the model's most likely outcome at 39.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 89/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Getafe are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLWLDDLWLD last 10 scored 6 from 7.6 xG conceded 11 from 16.8 xG

Valencia are finishing below their chances — 2.5 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WDLLLLWLDD last 10 scored 9 from 11.5 xG conceded 16 from 15.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362935	1.09–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292941	0.96–1.19	0-1 14%	36%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to win	35.8%	36.3%	46.3%	0.78×	2.75
Valencia to win	33.9%	30.4%	28.3%	1.07×	3.29
Draw	30.3%	30.4%	25.5%	1.19×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe & not both score	23.6%	21.8%	24.8%	0.88×	4.58
Valencia & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	14.3%	1.52×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	5.3%	2.51×	7.54
Getafe & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	21.6%	0.61×	7.54
Valencia & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe & under 3.5	29.9%	26.1%	32.3%	0.81×	3.84
Valencia & under 3.5	28.5%	26.1%	21.3%	1.23×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	20.4%	1.27×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.1%	20.4%	1.27×	3.84
Getafe & over 1.5	22.5%	21.6%	33.8%	0.64×	4.63
Valencia & over 1.5	21.0%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.63
Getafe & under 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Valencia & under 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	11.4%	1.58×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Getafe & over 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	28.0%	0.64×	5.56
Valencia & over 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Getafe & under 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	12.6%	1.02×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	5.3%	2.43×	7.79
Valencia & under 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	7.1%	1.82×	7.79
Getafe & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Valencia & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (1UP)	49.1%	44.0%	62.7%	0.70×	2.27
Valencia (1UP)	47.4%	43.9%	47.1%	0.93×	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (2UP)	35.8%	37.3%	48.1%	0.78×	2.68
Valencia (2UP)	33.9%	30.6%	29.9%	1.02×	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.8%	36.0%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Valencia to win 2nd half	32.0%	34.3%	27.6%	1.25×	2.91
Getafe to win 2nd half	30.2%	34.3%	39.6%	0.87×	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	84.3%	84.2%	1.00×	1.19
Valencia over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	52.4%	52.1%	1.01×	1.91
Valencia under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	47.6%	47.9%	0.99×	2.10
Valencia over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	15.7%	15.8%	1.00×	6.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	82.6%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Getafe over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	55.0%	59.1%	0.93×	1.82
Getafe under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	45.0%	40.9%	1.10×	2.22
Getafe over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	17.4%	20.4%	0.85×	5.75

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	89.8%	1.07×	1.04
Valencia (+1.5)	86.0%	88.5%	79.3%	1.12×	1.13
Getafe (+0.5)	66.1%	68.7%	71.7%	0.96×	1.46
Valencia (+0.5)	64.2%	63.0%	53.7%	1.17×	1.59
Getafe (-0.5)	35.8%	37.0%	46.3%	0.80×	2.70
Valencia (-0.5)	33.9%	31.3%	28.3%	1.11×	3.19
Getafe (-1.5)	14.0%	11.5%	20.7%	0.56×	8.66
Getafe (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	10.2%	0.36×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia to concede	65.0%	67.7%	80.5%	0.84×	1.48
Valencia clean sheet	35.0%	32.3%	19.5%	1.66×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia clean sheet in 1st half	70.5%	76.7%	52.3%	1.47×	1.30
Valencia to concede in 1st half	29.5%	23.3%	47.7%	0.49×	4.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia to concede in 2nd half	50.3%	54.8%	59.1%	0.93×	1.83
Valencia clean sheet in 2nd half	49.7%	45.2%	40.9%	1.11×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Valencia under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Valencia over 2.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Valencia under 4.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Valencia over 3.5 corners	55.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Valencia under 3.5 corners	44.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Valencia over 4.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Valencia under 2.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Valencia over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Valencia over 6.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Valencia under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Valencia under 1.5 goals	73.1%	71.9%	67.9%	1.06×	1.39
Valencia over 0.5 goals	63.7%	63.2%	70.0%	0.90×	1.58
Valencia under 0.5 goals	36.3%	36.8%	30.0%	1.23×	2.72
Valencia over 1.5 goals	26.9%	28.1%	32.1%	0.88×	3.56
Valencia over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.05
Valencia over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.5%	2.9%	0.85×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia under 1.5 in 1st half	96.7%	96.1%	92.8%	1.04×	1.04
Valencia under 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	74.8%	63.1%	1.19×	1.34
Valencia over 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	25.2%	36.9%	0.68×	3.97
Valencia over 1.5 in 1st half	3.3%	3.9%	7.2%	0.54×	25.59

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia scores equally in both	44.2%	43.8%	41.7%	1.05×	2.29
Valencia scores more in 2nd half	42.7%	43.7%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
Valencia scores more in 1st half	13.1%	11.4%	20.8%	0.55×	8.76

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (away no bet)	54.2%	51.7%	64.5%	0.80×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.8%	48.3%	35.5%	1.36×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia even goals	56.6%	56.9%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Valencia odd goals	43.4%	43.1%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.4%	92.6%	85.9%	1.08×	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.6%	7.4%	14.1%	0.53×	13.46

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	50.4%	50.1%	37.6%	1.33×	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	49.6%	49.9%	62.4%	0.80×	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	41.4%	38.6%	52.4%	0.74×	2.59
Getafe to score 2+ in a row	22.8%	19.6%	34.5%	0.57×	5.10
Valencia to score 2+ in a row	21.5%	19.6%	23.8%	0.82×	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.0%	19.2%	0.63×	8.32
Getafe to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.5%	13.2%	0.42×	18.07
Valencia to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	6.5%	0.85×	18.12

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe corners (+3.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Valencia corners (+3.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Getafe corners (+2.5)	81.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Valencia corners (+2.5)	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Getafe corners (+1.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Valencia corners (+1.5)	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Getafe corners (-1.5)	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Valencia corners (-1.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Getafe corners (-2.5)	27.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Valencia corners (-2.5)	19.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Getafe corners (-3.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Valencia corners (-3.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.3%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.72
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	15.3%	0.75×	8.72
0-0	12.7%	11.5%	5.3%	2.17×	8.72
0-1	12.9%	11.5%	7.1%	1.63×	8.72
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.51
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
2-0	7.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.51
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.65×	58.32
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.86×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.43×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.59×	58.32
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (2nd half DNB)	51.4%	52.7%	41.1%	1.28×	1.90
Getafe (2nd half DNB)	48.6%	47.3%	58.9%	0.80×	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe leading at HT (DNB)	56.0%	57.0%	61.5%	0.93×	1.75
Valencia leading at HT (DNB)	44.0%	43.0%	38.5%	1.12×	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe or Valencia (12)	69.7%	69.6%	74.5%	0.93×	1.44
Getafe or draw (1X)	66.1%	69.6%	71.7%	0.97×	1.44
Valencia or draw (X2)	64.2%	63.7%	53.7%	1.19×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe or draw at HT	81.8%	84.2%	78.1%	1.08×	1.19
Valencia or draw at HT	76.7%	79.2%	65.0%	1.22×	1.26
Getafe or Valencia at HT	41.5%	41.8%	56.8%	0.74×	2.39

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe or draw (1UP)	66.1%	76.1%	78.0%	0.98×	1.31
Valencia or draw (1UP)	64.2%	71.7%	60.3%	1.19×	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia or draw in 2nd half	69.8%	65.7%	60.4%	1.09×	1.52
Getafe or draw in 2nd half	68.0%	65.7%	72.4%	0.91×	1.52
Getafe or Valencia in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	67.0%	0.95×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.2%	72.5%	62.1%	1.17×	1.38
Neither half drawn	25.8%	27.5%	37.9%	0.72×	3.64

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (DNB)	51.4%	50.9%	62.0%	0.82×	1.96
Valencia (DNB)	48.6%	49.1%	38.0%	1.29×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to score first	44.4%	41.8%	55.1%	0.76×	2.39
Valencia to score first	42.9%	41.7%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40
No goal scored	12.7%	10.0%	5.3%	1.88×	10.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.6%	55.0%	44.2%	1.25×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.4%	45.0%	55.8%	0.81×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.5%	47.3%	34.9%	1.35×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.9%	33.3%	40.7%	0.82×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.4%	15.3%	0.81×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.4%	89.0%	85.8%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.6%	11.0%	14.2%	0.77×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.9%	73.8%	70.8%	1.04×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.1%	26.2%	29.2%	0.90×	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.6%	63.5%	59.7%	1.06×	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	24.2%	21.4%	23.7%	0.90×	4.68
Both score 1st half only	5.4%	6.8%	11.2%	0.60×	14.80
Both score in both halves	1.9%	4.8%	5.7%	0.86×	20.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	92.7%	93.1%	83.3%	1.12×	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	7.3%	6.9%	16.7%	0.41×	14.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	64.3%	59.8%	44.9%	1.33×	1.67
A goal in each half	35.7%	40.2%	55.1%	0.73×	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	49.2%	0.96×	2.12
0-1 goals	38.9%	35.1%	24.7%	1.42×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.9%	16.9%	23.7%	0.71×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	2.6%	0.71×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Valencia to score exactly 0	36.3%	35.9%	30.0%	1.20×	2.78
Valencia to score exactly 2	18.6%	19.6%	21.6%	0.91×	5.11
Valencia to score 3+	8.3%	8.6%	10.6%	0.81×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	38.3%	0.93×	2.81
Getafe to score exactly 0	35.0%	35.6%	19.5%	1.82×	2.81
Getafe to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.8%	22.7%	0.83×	5.33
Getafe to score 3+	9.0%	10.3%	19.7%	0.52×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	58.5%	58.2%	43.2%	1.35×	1.72
Getafe leading at HT	23.3%	20.8%	35.0%	0.59×	4.81
Valencia leading at HT	18.2%	15.8%	21.9%	0.72×	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe -1: 2	64.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Getafe -1: X	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Getafe -1: 1	14.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (0:1)	64.2%	61.4%	53.7%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.2%	25.7%	0.94×	4.13
Getafe (0:1)	14.0%	13.7%	20.7%	0.66×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (0:2)	86.0%	87.1%	79.3%	1.10×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	10.6%	0.73×	13.02
Getafe (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	10.2%	0.37×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	89.8%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.07
Getafe (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.52×	82.02
Getafe (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (1:0)	66.1%	70.1%	71.7%	0.98×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	17.5%	1.24×	4.61
Valencia (1:0)	12.9%	12.7%	10.9%	1.16×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (2:0)	87.1%	88.5%	89.1%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.91×	15.67
Valencia (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	4.0%	0.57×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	56.4%	57.4%	51.2%	1.12×	1.74
Halves equal	27.1%	26.2%	23.1%	1.14×	3.81
1st half highest scoring	16.5%	17.8%	25.8%	0.69×	5.61

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede	63.7%	63.7%	70.0%	0.91×	1.57
Getafe clean sheet	36.3%	36.3%	30.0%	1.21×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe clean sheet in 1st half	75.3%	77.3%	63.1%	1.22×	1.29
Getafe to concede in 1st half	24.7%	22.7%	36.9%	0.62×	4.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede in 2nd half	51.8%	52.5%	52.1%	1.01×	1.91
Getafe clean sheet in 2nd half	48.2%	47.5%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 6.5 corners	78.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Getafe over 2.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Getafe under 5.5 corners	67.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Getafe over 3.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Getafe under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Getafe over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Getafe under 3.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Getafe over 5.5 corners	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Getafe under 2.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Getafe over 6.5 corners	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Getafe under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	80.3%	1.15×	1.08
Getafe under 1.5 goals	71.8%	74.2%	57.7%	1.29×	1.35
Getafe over 0.5 goals	65.0%	63.6%	80.5%	0.79×	1.57
Getafe under 0.5 goals	35.0%	36.4%	19.5%	1.87×	2.75
Getafe over 1.5 goals	28.2%	25.8%	42.3%	0.61×	3.88
Getafe over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	19.7%	0.39×	12.87
Getafe over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	96.4%	85.9%	1.12×	1.04
Getafe under 0.5 in 1st half	70.5%	78.9%	52.3%	1.51×	1.27
Getafe over 0.5 in 1st half	29.5%	21.1%	47.7%	0.44×	4.74
Getafe over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	3.6%	14.1%	0.26×	27.54

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe scores equally in both	44.1%	42.3%	32.3%	1.31×	2.36
Getafe scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.8%	40.4%	0.94×	2.65
Getafe scores more in 1st half	16.4%	15.2%	27.4%	0.55×	6.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia (home no bet)	52.8%	51.4%	52.6%	0.98×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	47.2%	48.6%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe even goals	56.1%	55.3%	47.5%	1.16×	1.81
Getafe odd goals	43.9%	44.7%	52.5%	0.85×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	53.1%	51.8%	32.2%	1.61×	1.93
HT 1-0	18.6%	18.6%	22.0%	0.85×	5.36
HT 0-1	15.1%	18.6%	16.1%	1.15×	5.38
HT 1-1	5.3%	6.9%	10.1%	0.68×	14.50
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.08
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.16
HT 2-1	0.9%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.24
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.4%	1.6%	1.44×	42.25
Any other HT score	0.9%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.24
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.4%	1.2%	2.01×	42.29

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.1%	21.6%	14.1%	1.53×	4.62
Draw at HT / Valencia at FT	18.7%	16.8%	11.5%	1.45×	5.97
Draw at HT / Getafe at FT	17.7%	16.7%	17.8%	0.94×	5.97
Getafe at HT / Getafe at FT	16.7%	16.7%	26.3%	0.64×	5.98
Valencia at HT / Valencia at FT	13.3%	12.7%	13.2%	0.96×	7.90
Getafe at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.62
Valencia at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	6.4%	0.55×	28.66
Getafe at HT / Valencia at FT	2.0%	3.5%	3.8%	0.92×	28.72
Valencia at HT / Getafe at FT	1.4%	3.5%	2.6%	1.34×	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to score last	44.4%	40.1%	54.9%	0.73×	2.49
Valencia to score last	42.9%	40.0%	39.9%	1.00×	2.50
No goal scored	12.7%	9.4%	5.3%	1.77×	10.65

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.3%	91.2%	94.7%	0.96×	1.10
Getafe to lead by 1 at any time	49.1%	44.6%	62.7%	0.71×	2.24
Valencia to lead by 1 at any time	47.4%	44.5%	47.1%	0.95×	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.6%	29.9%	41.9%	0.71×	3.34
Getafe to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	26.5%	0.56×	6.69
Valencia to lead by 2 at any time	16.7%	14.9%	15.8%	0.95×	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.7%	6.8%	17.2%	0.39×	14.81
Getafe to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.7%	12.5%	0.53×	15.02
Valencia to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.34×	60.31

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe most corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Valencia most corners	38.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.4%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.9%	72.4%	68.6%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.5%	63.3%	72.9%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.2%	59.1%	69.2%	0.85×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.2%	59.1%	61.0%	0.97×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.3%	53.2%	44.9%	1.18×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.5%	49.2%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.5%	35.2%	47.5%	0.74×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.1%	35.2%	43.8%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.2%	30.2%	35.6%	0.85×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.9%	14.8%	23.7%	0.62×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.5%	14.8%	20.1%	0.74×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.3%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	2.6%	0.99×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe never behind	39.9%	44.2%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Valencia never behind	38.1%	44.1%	37.3%	1.18×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	53.6%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.1%	46.4%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	64.1%	61.4%	54.3%	1.13×	1.63
Odd goals in 1st half	35.9%	38.6%	45.7%	0.84×	2.59

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.9%	49.4%	1.05×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.1%	50.6%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.3%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	73.8%	1.12×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.0%	66.3%	50.1%	1.32×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	75.3%	0.82×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	24.7%	1.55×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	34.0%	33.7%	49.9%	0.67×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	26.2%	0.68×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.7%	12.4%	5.3%	2.35×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.0%	97.2%	93.2%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.5%	92.4%	83.6%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.0%	81.1%	65.6%	1.24×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.4%	51.9%	33.1%	1.57×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.6%	48.1%	66.9%	0.72×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.0%	18.9%	34.4%	0.55×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.5%	7.6%	16.4%	0.46×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.0%	2.8%	6.8%	0.41×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	97.4%	97.8%	90.0%	1.09×	1.02
Under 1.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.1%	70.1%	1.27×	1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	54.7%	32.2%	1.70×	1.83
Over 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	45.3%	67.8%	0.67×	2.21
Over 1.5 in 1st half	13.3%	10.9%	29.9%	0.36×	9.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	2.7%	2.2%	10.0%	0.22×	46.23

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	83.2%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.1%	82.0%	0.96×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	54.9%	53.4%	1.03×	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	45.1%	46.6%	0.97×	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.9%	18.0%	1.16×	4.78
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	16.8%	21.0%	0.80×	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.5%	81.0%	1.06×	1.17
Getafe not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.4%	73.6%	1.16×	1.17
Getafe to score in both halves	14.8%	14.6%	26.4%	0.55×	6.85
Valencia to score in both halves	12.8%	14.5%	19.0%	0.76×	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.4%	46.5%	55.8%	0.83×	2.15
Only Getafe scores	23.6%	22.3%	24.8%	0.90×	4.49
Only Valencia scores	22.3%	22.2%	14.3%	1.55×	4.50
Neither team scores	12.7%	11.0%	5.3%	2.09×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.0%	24.9%	25.5%	0.98×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	26.2%	24.9%	19.5%	1.27×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.6%	17.5%	23.9%	0.73×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.7%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.6%	7.6%	11.9%	0.64×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	8.3%	0.54×	22.38
6 or more goals	1.9%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.8%	32.2%	1.61×	1.93
1 goal in 1st half	33.6%	35.8%	38.0%	0.94×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	10.6%	10.7%	20.0%	0.53×	9.37
3+ goals in 1st half	2.7%	2.2%	10.0%	0.22×	46.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.8%	45.4%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	33.9%	35.5%	0.96×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.0%	18.0%	1.28×	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia not to win both halves	94.2%	94.2%	94.7%	0.99×	1.06
Getafe not to win both halves	93.0%	94.1%	88.0%	1.07×	1.06
Getafe to win both halves	7.0%	5.9%	12.0%	0.49×	17.01
Valencia to win both halves	5.8%	5.8%	5.3%	1.10×	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia to win neither half	55.6%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
Getafe to win neither half	53.6%	54.3%	37.5%	1.45×	1.84
Getafe to win either half	46.4%	45.7%	62.5%	0.73×	2.19
Valencia to win either half	44.4%	40.9%	44.2%	0.93×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Valencia not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	85.7%	0.91×	1.28
Getafe not to win to nil	76.4%	78.1%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Getafe to win to nil	23.6%	21.9%	24.8%	0.88×	4.57
Valencia to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	14.3%	1.53×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.3%	27.6%	25.5%	1.08×	3.62
Getafe by 1	21.8%	24.1%	25.7%	0.94×	4.15
Valencia by 1	21.1%	24.1%	17.5%	1.38×	4.15
Getafe by 2	9.8%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.90
Valencia by 2	9.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.02×	13.90
Getafe by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	10.2%	0.27×	36.77
Valencia by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	4.0%	0.68×	36.79