betaider.com
Sign in

Juventus v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Juventus win
69.7%
model 68.0%
Draw
19.3%
model 19.1%
Udinese win
11.0%
model 12.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 12.1%
  2. 1-0 11.4%
  3. 2-1 9.7%
  4. 1-1 9.1%
  5. 3-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.556.0% Under 2.544.0%
BTTS yes48.4% BTTS no51.6%
Juventus 1+88.1% Juventus 2+62.7%
Udinese 1+55.0% Udinese 2+19.0%

Expected goals 2.13 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
91/100
Data quality
90/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Juventus to score 2+ in a row
Consecutive goals · usually 32%
59.3% fair odds 1.69
strong signal · 721 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Udinese not to score in both halves
Score both halves · usually 78%
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1459.
  • Juventus have created 1.87 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11.
  • At home Juventus average 1.60 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Juventus have an estimated 69.7% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 11.0% for Udinese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.13 for Juventus and 0.80 for Udinese.

Why Juventus

Juventus carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1459. Juventus have created 1.87 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. At home Juventus average 1.60 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Udinese can win

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Juventus have allowed 0.58. Away from home Udinese average 1.14 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Juventus were missing 1.38 expected goal involvements a match against 0.83.

Key players

Juventus's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kenan Yildiz (0.43), Randal Kolo Muani (0.43), Dusan Vlahovic (0.38). Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24).

Availability

2 of Juventus's top three contributors did not start their last match. 45% of Juventus's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Juventus: 58% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.62 xG a match from set pieces. Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces. Juventus's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Juventus are the model's most likely outcome at 69.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.1%. Confidence 91/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Juventus are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 6.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

WLDWWDLWDL last 10 scored 12 from 18.7 xG conceded 12 from 5.8 xG

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.13–0.80 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.14–0.65 2-0 14% 53% 42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to win 70.0% 73.5% 40.0% 1.84× 1.36
Draw 18.1% 19.4% 26.4% 0.73× 5.16
Udinese to win 11.9% 13.5% 33.7% 0.40× 7.43
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus & not both score 40.4% 40.0% 22.6% 1.77× 2.50
Juventus & both teams score 29.7% 25.2% 17.5% 1.44× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 13.3% 13.3% 18.6% 0.71× 7.53
Udinese & both teams score 6.0% 8.3% 13.2% 0.63× 12.02
Udinese & not both score 5.9% 8.3% 20.6% 0.40× 12.02
Draw & not both score 4.9% 4.9% 7.9% 0.61× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus & over 1.5 59.2% 55.0% 29.9% 1.84× 1.82
Juventus & over 2.5 47.1% 45.1% 23.3% 1.93× 2.22
Juventus & under 3.5 41.5% 40.3% 29.6% 1.36× 2.48
Juventus & over 3.5 28.5% 26.1% 10.6% 2.46× 3.84
Juventus & under 2.5 22.9% 21.6% 16.8% 1.28× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 13.5% 12.8% 19.7% 0.65× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.5% 12.8% 19.7% 0.65× 7.79
Draw & over 1.5 13.3% 12.8% 18.6% 0.69× 7.79
Juventus & under 1.5 10.9% 12.8% 10.2% 1.26× 7.79
Udinese & under 3.5 9.2% 7.9% 26.3% 0.30× 12.63
Udinese & over 1.5 8.0% 7.9% 24.6% 0.32× 12.63
Udinese & over 2.5 6.5% 7.9% 18.1% 0.44× 12.63
Udinese & under 2.5 5.4% 7.9% 15.6% 0.51× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.9% 4.8% 7.9% 0.61× 20.81
Draw & over 2.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.9% 0.70× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.9% 0.70× 20.81
Udinese & under 1.5 3.9% 4.8% 9.1% 0.53× 20.81
Udinese & over 3.5 2.6% 4.8% 7.5% 0.64× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (1UP) 79.6% 79.1% 55.3% 1.43× 1.26
Udinese (1UP) 28.4% 27.1% 50.5% 0.54× 3.69
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (2UP) 70.0% 80.5% 41.8% 1.92× 1.24
Udinese (2UP) 11.9% 14.0% 36.2% 0.39× 7.16
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to win 2nd half 62.5% 59.8% 35.0% 1.71× 1.67
2nd half drawn 26.5% 25.7% 35.0% 0.74× 3.89
Udinese to win 2nd half 11.0% 11.1% 30.2% 0.37× 9.01
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half 92.9% 92.1% 85.1% 1.08× 1.09
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half 64.8% 60.2% 50.0% 1.20× 1.66
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half 35.2% 39.8% 50.0% 0.80× 2.51
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half 7.1% 7.9% 14.9% 0.53× 12.58
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.3% 75.4% 53.7% 1.40× 1.33
Juventus under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.8% 58.0% 81.5% 0.71× 1.72
Juventus over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.2% 42.0% 18.5% 2.27× 2.38
Juventus under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.7% 24.6% 46.3% 0.53× 4.07
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (+0.5) 88.1% 88.5% 66.3% 1.33× 1.13
Udinese (+2.5) 74.8% 73.7% 92.3% 0.80× 1.36
Juventus (-0.5) 70.0% 73.6% 40.0% 1.84× 1.36
Udinese (+1.5) 53.7% 52.4% 82.5% 0.64× 1.91
Juventus (-1.5) 46.3% 47.6% 17.5% 2.71× 2.10
Udinese (+0.5) 30.0% 26.4% 60.0% 0.44× 3.79
Juventus (-2.5) 25.2% 26.3% 7.7% 3.42× 3.80
Udinese (-0.5) 11.9% 11.5% 33.7% 0.34× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese to concede 89.2% 86.3% 71.6% 1.21× 1.16
Udinese clean sheet 10.8% 13.7% 28.4% 0.48× 7.32
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese to concede in 1st half 54.5% 50.6% 42.1% 1.20× 1.98
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half 45.5% 49.4% 57.9% 0.85× 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half 76.3% 75.7% 53.7% 1.41× 1.32
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half 23.7% 24.3% 46.3% 0.53× 4.11
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners 91.0% 89.9% — — 1.11
Udinese under 5.5 corners 84.1% 81.4% — — 1.23
Udinese under 4.5 corners 73.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Udinese over 2.5 corners 60.1% 61.8% — — 1.62
Udinese under 3.5 corners 58.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Udinese over 3.5 corners 41.6% 42.8% — — 2.33
Udinese under 2.5 corners 39.9% 38.2% — — 2.62
Udinese over 4.5 corners 26.6% 28.4% — — 3.52
Udinese over 5.5 corners 15.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
Udinese over 6.5 corners 9.0% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals 99.1% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Udinese under 2.5 goals 95.3% 97.5% 88.1% 1.11× 1.03
Udinese under 1.5 goals 81.1% 81.4% 65.0% 1.25× 1.23
Udinese over 0.5 goals 54.8% 53.6% 69.6% 0.77× 1.87
Udinese under 0.5 goals 45.2% 46.4% 30.4% 1.53× 2.15
Udinese over 1.5 goals 18.9% 18.6% 35.0% 0.53× 5.39
Udinese over 2.5 goals 4.7% 2.5% 11.9% 0.21× 39.79
Udinese over 3.5 goals 0.9% 2.5% 2.9% 0.87× 39.99
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half 94.9% 94.0% 89.9% 1.05× 1.06
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half 69.8% 69.6% 58.8% 1.18× 1.44
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half 30.2% 30.4% 41.2% 0.74× 3.29
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half 5.1% 6.0% 10.1% 0.60× 16.62
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese scores equally in both 52.6% 51.0% 43.4% 1.18× 1.96
Udinese scores more in 2nd half 26.4% 26.3% 32.8% 0.80× 3.81
Udinese scores more in 1st half 21.1% 21.9% 23.9% 0.92× 4.56
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (away no bet) 79.4% 73.7% 60.2% 1.22× 1.36
Draw (away no bet) 20.6% 26.3% 39.8% 0.66× 3.80
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese even goals 60.2% 59.0% 55.5% 1.06× 1.69
Udinese odd goals 39.8% 41.0% 44.5% 0.92× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.2% 82.7% 87.3% 0.95× 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.8% 17.3% 12.7% 1.36× 5.78
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.9% 68.6% 60.2% 1.14× 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.1% 31.4% 39.8% 0.79× 3.19
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 65.7% 62.3% 53.4% 1.17× 1.61
Juventus to score 2+ in a row 58.9% 55.3% 31.7% 1.74× 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 32.0% 29.2% 17.9% 1.63× 3.43
Juventus to score 3+ in a row 30.3% 29.1% 10.1% 2.88× 3.44
Udinese to score 2+ in a row 11.8% 12.0% 27.8% 0.43× 8.31
Udinese to score 3+ in a row 2.0% 2.5% 7.9% 0.32× 39.51
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus corners (+3.5) 96.5% 95.7% — — 1.05
Juventus corners (+2.5) 94.0% 89.6% — — 1.12
Juventus corners (+1.5) 90.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Juventus corners (-1.5) 69.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Juventus corners (-2.5) 59.6% 57.1% — — 1.75
Udinese corners (+3.5) 50.1% 52.4% — — 1.91
Juventus corners (-3.5) 49.9% 47.6% — — 2.10
Udinese corners (+2.5) 40.4% 42.9% — — 2.33
Udinese corners (+1.5) 30.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
Udinese corners (-1.5) 9.8% 10.4% — — 9.58
Udinese corners (-2.5) 6.0% 10.4% — — 9.59
Udinese corners (-3.5) 3.5% 4.3% — — 23.44
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 37.2% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 35.4% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 27.5% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 73.8% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 70.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 64.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 62.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 55.2% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 54.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 45.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 44.8% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 37.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 35.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 29.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 26.2% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-0 12.1% 11.5% 6.7% 1.70× 8.72
1-0 10.9% 11.5% 10.2% 1.12× 8.72
1-1 8.6% 7.4% 11.9% 0.62× 13.50
2-1 9.6% 7.4% 9.4% 0.79× 13.50
3-0 9.0% 7.4% 3.6% 2.05× 13.50
3-1 7.1% 7.4% 3.1% 2.37× 13.51
Any other score 7.6% 7.4% 2.8% 2.68× 13.50
4-0 5.0% 7.4% 1.7% 4.40× 13.51
0-0 4.9% 1.7% 7.9% 0.22× 58.29
0-1 3.9% 1.7% 9.1% 0.19× 58.30
0-2 1.5% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.31
0-3 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.78× 58.32
1-2 3.4% 1.7% 7.5% 0.23× 58.30
1-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 0.84× 58.31
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.38× 58.32
2-2 3.8% 1.7% 6.0% 0.29× 58.30
2-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.13× 58.32
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.30
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.04× 58.31
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.13× 58.32
4-1 4.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.30
4-2 1.6% 1.7% 0.2% 7.13× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 7.13× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.13× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (2nd half DNB) 85.0% 85.6% 53.7% 1.59× 1.17
Udinese (2nd half DNB) 15.0% 14.4% 46.3% 0.31× 6.93
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus leading at HT (DNB) 73.3% 74.0% 51.1% 1.45× 1.35
Udinese leading at HT (DNB) 26.7% 26.0% 48.9% 0.53× 3.85
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus or draw (1X) 88.1% 86.5% 66.3% 1.30× 1.16
Juventus or Udinese (12) 81.9% 80.6% 73.6% 1.10× 1.24
Udinese or draw (X2) 30.0% 26.5% 60.0% 0.44× 3.78
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus or draw at HT 84.3% 84.4% 72.8% 1.16× 1.19
Juventus or Udinese at HT 58.6% 57.2% 55.4% 1.03× 1.75
Udinese or draw at HT 57.1% 57.1% 71.6% 0.80× 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus or draw (1UP) 88.1% 92.1% 71.6% 1.29× 1.09
Udinese or draw (1UP) 30.0% 32.2% 65.5% 0.49× 3.10
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus or draw in 2nd half 89.0% 88.9% 69.8% 1.27× 1.13
Juventus or Udinese in 2nd half 73.5% 74.3% 65.0% 1.14× 1.35
Udinese or draw in 2nd half 37.5% 40.2% 65.0% 0.62× 2.49
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 56.9% 58.4% 63.5% 0.92× 1.71
Neither half drawn 43.1% 41.6% 36.5% 1.14× 2.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (DNB) 85.5% 87.0% 54.3% 1.60× 1.15
Udinese (DNB) 14.5% 13.0% 45.7% 0.29× 7.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to score first 70.2% 74.9% 48.6% 1.54× 1.34
Udinese to score first 25.0% 23.3% 43.6% 0.53× 4.29
No goal scored 4.9% 4.3% 7.9% 0.54× 23.16
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.1% 51.3% 50.8% 1.01× 1.95
Both teams to score 48.9% 48.7% 49.2% 0.99× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.3% 41.6% 37.4% 1.11× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 33.2% 34.5% 40.1% 0.86× 2.90
Not both score & over 2.5 17.9% 21.6% 10.8% 1.99× 4.64
Both score & under 2.5 8.6% 8.3% 11.9% 0.70× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.7% 85.6% 86.5% 0.99× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.3% 14.4% 13.5% 1.07× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.1% 73.8% 74.9% 0.99× 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.9% 26.2% 25.1% 1.04× 3.82
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.1% 65.4% 62.7% 1.04× 1.53
Both score 2nd half only 22.4% 21.1% 20.3% 1.04× 4.75
Both score 1st half only 12.1% 10.7% 12.3% 0.87× 9.37
Both score in both halves 4.4% 5.0% 4.9% 1.01× 20.12
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.5% 83.3% 82.9% 1.00× 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.5% 16.7% 17.1% 0.98× 5.98
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.8% 57.4% 52.8% 1.09× 1.74
A half without a goal 42.2% 42.6% 47.2% 0.90× 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.7% 42.1% 48.4% 0.87× 2.37
4-6 goals 32.4% 30.7% 23.8% 1.29× 3.25
0-1 goals 19.6% 20.3% 27.0% 0.75× 4.94
7+ goals 3.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1.92× 54.16
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese to score exactly 0 45.2% 42.8% 30.4% 1.41× 2.34
Udinese to score exactly 1 35.9% 35.9% 34.7% 1.03× 2.78
Udinese to score exactly 2 14.2% 12.9% 23.2% 0.56× 7.75
Udinese to score 3+ 4.7% 4.6% 11.9% 0.39× 21.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to score 3+ 38.5% 35.6% 15.0% 2.37× 2.81
Juventus to score exactly 2 26.8% 26.5% 24.8% 1.07× 3.77
Juventus to score exactly 1 24.0% 23.3% 32.1% 0.73× 4.29
Juventus to score exactly 0 10.8% 14.3% 28.4% 0.50× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus leading at HT 42.9% 42.9% 28.4% 1.51× 2.33
Draw at HT 41.4% 42.8% 44.6% 0.96× 2.33
Udinese leading at HT 15.7% 15.6% 27.2% 0.57× 6.40
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus -1: 1 46.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Juventus -1: 2 30.0% 26.6% — — 3.76
Juventus -1: X 23.7% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (0:1) 46.3% 46.1% 17.5% 2.63× 2.17
Udinese (0:1) 30.0% 27.1% 60.0% 0.45× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 23.7% 24.2% 22.6% 1.07× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese (0:2) 53.7% 58.2% 82.5% 0.71× 1.72
Juventus (0:2) 25.2% 23.9% 7.7% 3.11× 4.18
Draw (0:2) 21.0% 20.3% 10.0% 2.03× 4.93
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese (0:3) 74.8% 77.9% 92.3% 0.84× 1.28
Draw (0:3) 13.8% 10.0% 4.7% 2.13× 10.03
Juventus (0:3) 11.5% 9.9% 3.1% 3.18× 10.07
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese (0:4) 88.5% 92.0% 96.9% 0.95× 1.09
Draw (0:4) 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 2.02× 21.65
Juventus (0:4) 4.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.27× 81.61
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (1:0) 88.1% 86.1% 66.3% 1.30× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 8.5% 6.9% 19.4% 0.36× 14.48
Udinese (1:0) 3.4% 3.3% 14.4% 0.23× 30.57
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus (2:0) 96.6% 96.8% 85.6% 1.13× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 2.7% 2.3% 8.7% 0.26× 43.66
Udinese (2:0) 0.8% 2.3% 5.9% 0.39× 43.78
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 54.3% 50.3% 46.2% 1.09× 1.99
1st half highest scoring 23.1% 24.4% 27.0% 0.90× 4.11
Halves equal 22.5% 24.3% 26.9% 0.90× 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to concede 54.8% 53.3% 69.6% 0.77× 1.88
Juventus clean sheet 45.2% 46.7% 30.4% 1.54× 2.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 1st half 69.8% 69.9% 58.8% 1.19× 1.43
Juventus to concede in 1st half 30.2% 30.1% 41.2% 0.73× 3.32
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 2nd half 64.8% 60.0% 50.0% 1.20× 1.67
Juventus to concede in 2nd half 35.2% 40.0% 50.0% 0.80× 2.50
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus over 2.5 corners 91.7% 89.2% — — 1.12
Juventus over 3.5 corners 83.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Juventus over 4.5 corners 73.9% 71.9% — — 1.39
Juventus over 5.5 corners 62.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Juventus over 6.5 corners 51.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Juventus under 6.5 corners 48.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Juventus under 5.5 corners 37.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Juventus under 4.5 corners 26.1% 28.1% — — 3.55
Juventus under 3.5 corners 16.1% 19.0% — — 5.25
Juventus under 2.5 corners 8.3% 10.8% — — 9.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus over 0.5 goals 89.2% 87.3% 71.6% 1.22× 1.15
Juventus under 3.5 goals 81.4% 82.2% 95.3% 0.86× 1.22
Juventus over 1.5 goals 65.2% 67.9% 39.7% 1.71× 1.47
Juventus under 2.5 goals 61.5% 63.6% 85.0% 0.75× 1.57
Juventus over 2.5 goals 38.5% 36.4% 15.0% 2.42× 2.75
Juventus under 1.5 goals 34.8% 32.1% 60.3% 0.53× 3.12
Juventus over 3.5 goals 18.6% 17.8% 4.7% 3.80× 5.62
Juventus under 0.5 goals 10.8% 12.7% 28.4% 0.45× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 1st half 81.3% 83.6% 89.3% 0.94× 1.20
Juventus over 0.5 in 1st half 54.5% 50.4% 42.1% 1.20× 1.98
Juventus under 0.5 in 1st half 45.5% 49.6% 57.9% 0.86× 2.02
Juventus over 1.5 in 1st half 18.7% 16.4% 10.7% 1.53× 6.11
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus scores more in 2nd half 52.6% 57.9% 36.2% 1.60× 1.73
Juventus scores equally in both 26.9% 27.8% 41.7% 0.67× 3.60
Juventus scores more in 1st half 20.5% 21.1% 22.2% 0.95× 4.73
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 60.4% 59.9% 44.0% 1.36× 1.67
Udinese (home no bet) 39.6% 40.1% 56.0% 0.72× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus even goals 50.6% 50.7% 56.3% 0.90× 1.97
Juventus odd goals 49.4% 49.3% 43.8% 1.13× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.7% 33.3% 33.8% 0.99× 3.00
HT 1-0 25.0% 27.9% 18.4% 1.52× 3.59
HT 0-1 11.4% 11.0% 18.1% 0.61× 9.08
HT 2-0 9.8% 6.9% 5.8% 1.20× 14.45
HT 1-1 9.0% 6.9% 10.3% 0.67× 14.46
Any other HT score 5.1% 6.9% 3.4% 2.05× 14.52
HT 2-1 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 0.99× 42.05
HT 0-2 2.1% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.14
HT 1-2 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 0.90× 42.17
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% 0.7% 3.28× 42.24
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus at HT / Juventus at FT 39.6% 42.0% 22.0% 1.91× 2.38
Draw at HT / Juventus at FT 25.9% 27.1% 15.9% 1.71× 3.69
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.0% 12.6% 16.1% 0.78× 7.92
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT 6.7% 6.0% 19.1% 0.31× 16.64
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT 4.6% 3.5% 12.9% 0.27× 28.60
Udinese at HT / Juventus at FT 4.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.45× 28.60
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% 5.9% 0.59× 28.61
Juventus at HT / Draw at FT 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 0.74× 28.66
Juventus at HT / Udinese at FT 0.6% 3.5% 1.9% 1.81× 28.74
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to score last 70.1% 72.4% 48.2% 1.50× 1.38
Udinese to score last 25.0% 26.1% 44.0% 0.59× 3.83
No goal scored 4.9% 4.3% 7.9% 0.54× 23.16
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.1% 95.6% 92.1% 1.04× 1.05
Juventus to lead by 1 at any time 79.6% 78.7% 55.3% 1.42× 1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 58.6% 54.9% 43.6% 1.26× 1.82
Juventus to lead by 2 at any time 52.2% 50.9% 23.9% 2.13× 1.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 29.5% 25.6% 15.1% 1.69× 3.91
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time 28.4% 25.5% 50.5% 0.51× 3.92
Juventus to lead by 3 at any time 28.2% 25.5% 8.8% 2.91× 3.92
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time 6.6% 6.7% 20.2% 0.33× 14.94
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time 1.3% 1.6% 6.5% 0.24× 63.44
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus most corners 77.6% 74.3% — — 1.35
Udinese most corners 15.3% 19.2% — — 5.22
Corners level 7.1% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.6% 87.4% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.0% 78.7% 72.1% 1.09× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.3% 78.7% 80.8% 0.97× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.9% 72.4% 70.1% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.6% 63.3% 61.7% 1.03× 1.58
1-3 goals 59.4% 59.1% 67.5% 0.87× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.8% 53.2% 47.2% 1.13× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.6% 48.5% 45.2% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.7% 43.6% 48.4% 0.90× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.4% 39.2% 36.8% 1.07× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.0% 39.2% 44.1% 0.89× 2.55
4-6 goals 32.4% 35.2% 23.8% 1.48× 2.84
4-5 goals 27.2% 30.2% 21.8% 1.39× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.4% 18.8% 10.6% 1.78× 5.31
7+ goals 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 2.66× 39.07
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus never behind 66.8% 69.2% 49.5% 1.40× 1.45
Udinese never behind 15.5% 18.1% 44.7% 0.41× 5.51
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.6% 0.99× 1.96
Even number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.4% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.0% 57.6% 56.6% 1.02× 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 45.0% 42.4% 43.4% 0.98× 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.2% 51.9% 50.6% 1.03× 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.8% 48.1% 49.4% 0.97× 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.1% 95.4% 92.1% 1.04× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 97.0% 0.95× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.2% 82.3% 88.6% 0.93× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 80.4% 82.3% 73.0% 1.13× 1.22
Under 3.5 goals 64.2% 61.7% 75.4% 0.82× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 58.2% 58.6% 48.1% 1.22× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 41.8% 41.4% 51.9% 0.80× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 35.8% 38.3% 24.6% 1.55× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 19.6% 17.7% 27.0% 0.66× 5.65
Over 4.5 goals 18.8% 17.7% 11.4% 1.55× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 3.0% 2.57× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 4.9% 4.6% 7.9% 0.58× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.4% 97.2% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.5% 92.4% 96.7% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.3% 75.9% 86.8% 0.87× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 74.8% 72.4% 64.0% 1.13× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 53.9% 51.9% 67.8% 0.77× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 46.1% 48.1% 32.2% 1.49× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 25.2% 27.6% 36.0% 0.77× 3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.7% 24.1% 13.2% 1.83× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.5% 7.6% 3.3% 2.32× 13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.6% 2.8% 1.0% 2.87× 35.55
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.1% 89.2% 91.2% 0.98× 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.3% 68.5% 66.2% 1.03× 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.2% 68.5% 70.1% 0.98× 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 31.8% 31.5% 29.9% 1.05× 3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.7% 31.5% 33.8% 0.93× 3.17
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.9% 10.8% 8.8% 1.23× 9.29
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.7% 83.2% 78.6% 1.06× 1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.1% 77.3% 82.5% 0.94× 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.9% 54.8% 43.0% 1.27× 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.1% 45.2% 57.0% 0.79× 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.9% 22.7% 17.5% 1.29× 4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.3% 16.8% 21.4% 0.78× 5.97
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese not to score in both halves 89.4% 85.5% 78.4% 1.09× 1.17
Juventus not to score in both halves 58.4% 58.2% 75.8% 0.77× 1.72
Juventus to score in both halves 41.6% 41.8% 24.2% 1.73× 2.39
Udinese to score in both halves 10.6% 14.5% 21.6% 0.67× 6.90
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.9% 50.7% 49.2% 1.03× 1.97
Only Juventus scores 40.4% 46.5% 22.6% 2.06× 2.15
Only Udinese scores 5.9% 7.1% 20.6% 0.35× 14.05
Neither team scores 4.9% 4.6% 7.9% 0.58× 21.64
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.6% 0.96× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 22.2% 22.6% 25.0% 0.90× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 16.9% 17.5% 13.3% 1.31× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.7% 12.1% 19.2% 0.63× 8.24
Exactly 5 goals 10.2% 12.1% 8.5% 1.42× 8.25
6 or more goals 8.6% 7.6% 3.0% 2.53× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 4.9% 4.5% 7.9% 0.56× 22.37
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.4% 37.4% 36.4% 1.03× 2.67
No goals in 1st half 31.7% 35.8% 33.8% 1.06× 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 20.9% 21.5% 21.3% 1.01× 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 10.9% 10.7% 8.8% 1.22× 9.37
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.9% 54.0% 43.0% 1.26× 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 28.8% 29.3% 35.7% 0.82× 3.41
No goals in 2nd half 15.3% 16.4% 21.4% 0.77× 6.11
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese not to win both halves 98.3% 97.2% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Juventus not to win both halves 73.2% 72.8% 89.9% 0.81× 1.37
Juventus to win both halves 26.8% 27.2% 10.1% 2.69× 3.68
Udinese to win both halves 1.7% 2.8% 8.9% 0.31× 36.06
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus to win either half 78.6% 80.0% 53.2% 1.50× 1.25
Udinese to win neither half 75.1% 79.6% 51.6% 1.54× 1.26
Udinese to win either half 24.9% 20.4% 48.4% 0.42× 4.90
Juventus to win neither half 21.4% 20.0% 46.8% 0.43× 4.99
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Udinese not to win to nil 94.1% 92.1% 79.4% 1.16× 1.09
Juventus not to win to nil 59.6% 59.3% 77.4% 0.77× 1.69
Juventus to win to nil 40.4% 40.7% 22.6% 1.80× 2.46
Udinese to win to nil 5.9% 7.9% 20.6% 0.38× 12.69
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Juventus by 3+ 25.2% 27.9% 7.7% 3.62× 3.59
Juventus by 1 23.7% 24.1% 22.6% 1.07× 4.15
Juventus by 2 21.0% 24.1% 10.0% 2.42× 4.15
Draw 18.1% 17.1% 26.4% 0.64× 5.87
Udinese by 1 8.5% 7.2% 19.4% 0.37× 13.90
Udinese by 2 2.7% 2.7% 8.7% 0.31× 36.82
Udinese by 3+ 0.8% 2.7% 5.9% 0.46× 36.88
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide