Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 7 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Indiana Pacers

19:00

Minnesota Timberwolves

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Indiana Pacers win

32.1%

Draw

0.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves win

67.9%

32068

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	32068	113.57–120.13	114-120 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to score 100+	96.1%	94.9%	85.9%	1.10×	1.05
Indiana Pacers to score 100+	88.2%	85.0%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Both sides to score 100+	85.2%	85.0%	77.5%	1.10×	1.18
Minnesota Timberwolves to score 110+	82.0%	79.2%	60.9%	1.30×	1.26
Indiana Pacers to score 110+	63.1%	61.9%	67.0%	0.92×	1.62
Minnesota Timberwolves to score 120+	52.5%	52.3%	29.7%	1.76×	1.91
Indiana Pacers to score 120+	30.5%	31.3%	36.5%	0.86×	3.20
Minnesota Timberwolves to score 130+	21.4%	22.0%	10.0%	2.20×	4.55
Indiana Pacers to score 130+	8.8%	8.8%	12.8%	0.69×	11.35

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win H1	60.1%	62.2%	44.1%	1.41×	1.61
Indiana Pacers to win H1	36.5%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
H1 tied	3.3%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 129.5	82.8%	83.2%	88.1%	0.94×	1.20
H1 over 105.5	81.1%	83.2%	75.8%	1.10×	1.20
H1 under 130.5	83.3%	82.5%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
H1 over 106.5	81.1%	82.5%	73.3%	1.13×	1.21
H1 under 125.5	74.0%	74.0%	80.7%	0.92×	1.35
H1 over 109.5	71.8%	73.9%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
H1 under 126.5	74.5%	73.5%	82.8%	0.89×	1.36
H1 over 110.5	71.7%	73.5%	61.9%	1.19×	1.36
H1 under 122.5	66.0%	68.1%	74.0%	0.92×	1.47
H1 under 123.5	66.5%	67.4%	76.0%	0.89×	1.48
H1 over 112.5	63.6%	63.3%	55.8%	1.13×	1.58
H1 under 120.5	60.3%	63.3%	68.4%	0.92×	1.58
H1 over 113.5	63.4%	62.7%	52.4%	1.20×	1.59
H1 under 121.5	60.8%	62.7%	71.2%	0.88×	1.59
H1 over 115.5	57.5%	58.2%	46.4%	1.26×	1.72
H1 over 114.5	57.7%	58.1%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72
H1 under 119.5	54.8%	52.6%	65.9%	0.80×	1.90
H1 under 118.5	51.7%	52.6%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	51.4%	52.6%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 over 116.5	51.7%	52.5%	43.4%	1.21×	1.90
H1 under 116.5	48.3%	47.5%	56.6%	0.84×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	48.6%	47.4%	59.6%	0.79×	2.11
H1 over 118.5	48.3%	47.4%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	45.2%	47.4%	34.1%	1.39×	2.11
H1 under 114.5	42.3%	41.9%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
H1 under 115.5	42.5%	41.8%	53.6%	0.78×	2.39
H1 over 121.5	39.2%	37.3%	28.8%	1.29×	2.68
H1 under 113.5	36.6%	37.3%	47.6%	0.78×	2.68
H1 over 120.5	39.7%	36.7%	31.6%	1.16×	2.72
H1 under 112.5	36.4%	36.7%	44.2%	0.83×	2.72
H1 over 123.5	33.5%	32.6%	24.0%	1.36×	3.07
H1 over 122.5	34.0%	31.9%	26.0%	1.23×	3.13
H1 under 110.5	28.3%	26.5%	38.1%	0.70×	3.77
H1 over 126.5	25.5%	26.5%	17.2%	1.54×	3.77
H1 under 109.5	28.2%	26.1%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
H1 over 125.5	26.0%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
H1 under 106.5	18.9%	17.5%	26.7%	0.65×	5.72
H1 over 130.5	16.7%	17.5%	10.4%	1.68×	5.73
H1 under 105.5	18.9%	16.8%	24.2%	0.69×	5.96
H1 over 129.5	17.2%	16.8%	11.9%	1.41×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win H2	60.0%	55.0%	44.7%	1.23×	1.82
Indiana Pacers to win H2	36.6%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 103.5	82.9%	81.8%	76.2%	1.07×	1.22
H2 under 127.5	81.9%	81.8%	84.9%	0.96×	1.22
H2 over 107.5	73.9%	72.2%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
H2 under 123.5	72.6%	72.2%	76.9%	0.94×	1.39
H2 over 110.5	65.8%	66.4%	58.1%	1.14×	1.51
H2 under 120.5	64.4%	61.6%	69.3%	0.89×	1.62
H2 over 112.5	60.0%	57.3%	52.6%	1.09×	1.74
H2 under 118.5	58.5%	57.3%	63.6%	0.90×	1.74
H2 over 114.5	53.9%	52.4%	47.5%	1.10×	1.91
H2 under 116.5	52.3%	52.4%	58.1%	0.90×	1.91
H2 over 115.5	50.8%	52.4%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
H2 under 115.5	49.2%	47.6%	55.4%	0.86×	2.10
H2 over 116.5	47.7%	47.6%	41.9%	1.14×	2.10
H2 under 114.5	46.1%	47.6%	52.5%	0.91×	2.10
H2 over 118.5	41.5%	42.7%	36.4%	1.17×	2.34
H2 under 112.5	40.0%	42.7%	47.4%	0.90×	2.35
H2 over 120.5	35.6%	38.4%	30.7%	1.25×	2.61
H2 under 110.5	34.2%	33.6%	41.9%	0.80×	2.97
H2 over 123.5	27.4%	27.8%	23.1%	1.20×	3.59
H2 under 107.5	26.1%	27.8%	33.8%	0.82×	3.59
H2 over 127.5	18.1%	18.2%	15.1%	1.20×	5.50
H2 under 103.5	17.1%	18.2%	23.8%	0.76×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves leading at half time	60.1%	62.5%	44.1%	1.42×	1.60
Indiana Pacers leading at half time	36.5%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
Level at half time	3.3%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves +18.5	95.7%	97.4%	86.4%	1.13×	1.03
Minnesota Timberwolves +20.5	96.8%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Minnesota Timberwolves +16.5	94.3%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5	92.5%	91.1%	80.1%	1.14×	1.10
Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5	90.3%	91.1%	76.0%	1.20×	1.10
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5	87.7%	85.9%	71.0%	1.21×	1.16
Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5	86.3%	85.9%	68.7%	1.25×	1.16
Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5	84.7%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5	83.0%	81.1%	63.0%	1.29×	1.23
Indiana Pacers +20.5	82.7%	81.1%	93.1%	0.87×	1.23
Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5	81.2%	81.1%	60.0%	1.35×	1.23
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5	79.2%	76.5%	57.1%	1.34×	1.31
Indiana Pacers +18.5	79.0%	76.5%	91.5%	0.84×	1.31
Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5	77.2%	76.5%	54.1%	1.41×	1.31
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5	75.0%	71.6%	51.6%	1.39×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +16.5	74.7%	71.6%	89.7%	0.80×	1.40
Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5	72.7%	71.6%	49.1%	1.46×	1.40
Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5	70.4%	71.6%	46.3%	1.55×	1.40
Indiana Pacers +14.5	70.0%	71.6%	87.0%	0.82×	1.40
Minnesota Timberwolves −1.5	65.3%	66.7%	42.1%	1.58×	1.50
Indiana Pacers +12.5	65.0%	66.7%	83.9%	0.80×	1.50
Minnesota Timberwolves −2.5	62.6%	61.9%	39.5%	1.57×	1.62
Minnesota Timberwolves −3.5	59.9%	57.1%	36.9%	1.55×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +10.5	59.7%	57.1%	80.3%	0.71×	1.75
Minnesota Timberwolves −4.5	57.1%	57.1%	34.3%	1.67×	1.75
Indiana Pacers +9.5	57.0%	57.1%	78.1%	0.73×	1.75
Minnesota Timberwolves −5.5	54.3%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +8.5	54.2%	52.4%	75.7%	0.69×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves −6.5	51.5%	52.4%	29.4%	1.78×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +7.5	51.4%	52.4%	73.0%	0.72×	1.91
Indiana Pacers +6.5	48.5%	47.6%	70.6%	0.67×	2.10
Minnesota Timberwolves −7.5	48.6%	47.6%	27.0%	1.76×	2.10
Minnesota Timberwolves −8.5	45.8%	47.6%	24.3%	1.96×	2.10
Indiana Pacers +5.5	45.7%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
Indiana Pacers +4.5	42.9%	42.9%	65.7%	0.65×	2.33
Minnesota Timberwolves −9.5	43.0%	42.9%	21.9%	1.96×	2.33
Indiana Pacers +3.5	40.1%	42.9%	63.1%	0.68×	2.33
Minnesota Timberwolves −10.5	40.3%	42.9%	19.7%	2.18×	2.33
Indiana Pacers +2.5	37.4%	38.1%	60.5%	0.63×	2.63
Indiana Pacers +1.5	34.7%	33.3%	57.9%	0.58×	3.01
Minnesota Timberwolves −12.5	35.0%	33.3%	16.1%	2.06×	3.01
Indiana Pacers −1.5	29.6%	28.4%	53.7%	0.53×	3.53
Minnesota Timberwolves −14.5	30.0%	28.4%	13.0%	2.18×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −2.5	27.3%	28.4%	50.9%	0.56×	3.53
Minnesota Timberwolves −16.5	25.3%	28.4%	10.3%	2.74×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −3.5	25.0%	28.4%	48.4%	0.59×	3.53
Indiana Pacers −4.5	22.8%	23.5%	46.0%	0.51×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −5.5	20.8%	23.5%	42.9%	0.55×	4.25
Minnesota Timberwolves −18.5	21.0%	23.5%	8.5%	2.76×	4.25
Indiana Pacers −6.5	18.8%	18.9%	40.0%	0.47×	5.29
Indiana Pacers −7.5	17.0%	18.9%	37.0%	0.51×	5.29
Minnesota Timberwolves −20.5	17.3%	18.9%	6.9%	2.74×	5.29
Indiana Pacers −8.5	15.3%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.30
Indiana Pacers −9.5	13.7%	14.1%	31.3%	0.45×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −10.5	12.3%	14.1%	29.0%	0.49×	7.09
Indiana Pacers −12.5	9.7%	8.9%	24.0%	0.37×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −14.5	7.5%	8.9%	19.9%	0.45×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −16.5	5.7%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Indiana Pacers −18.5	4.3%	2.6%	13.6%	0.19×	38.72
Indiana Pacers −20.5	3.2%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.8%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.2%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.1%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves at HT / Minnesota Timberwolves at FT	51.1%	51.1%	30.9%	1.65×	1.96
Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	21.8%	24.4%	40.8%	0.60×	4.10
Indiana Pacers at HT / Minnesota Timberwolves at FT	14.7%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Minnesota Timberwolves at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	9.1%	8.3%	13.3%	0.62×	12.08
Level at HT / Minnesota Timberwolves at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win	67.9%	64.5%	44.3%	1.46×	1.55
Indiana Pacers to win	32.1%	35.5%	55.7%	0.64×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Indiana Pacers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Minnesota Timberwolves odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02
Indiana Pacers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.6%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.4%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win Q1	55.8%	57.3%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Indiana Pacers to win Q1	39.5%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 50.5	83.1%	83.2%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Q1 under 66.5	82.0%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 67.5	83.8%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 over 51.5	81.5%	82.8%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	72.8%	73.1%	68.2%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 63.5	71.3%	73.1%	76.8%	0.95×	1.37
Q1 under 64.5	73.7%	72.7%	80.1%	0.91×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	70.7%	72.7%	63.3%	1.15×	1.38
Q1 under 62.5	65.4%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 over 55.5	64.5%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Q1 under 61.5	62.9%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	62.1%	61.7%	54.6%	1.13×	1.62
Q1 over 57.5	55.5%	59.2%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
Q1 under 60.5	56.4%	58.6%	64.5%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 over 58.5	52.9%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	51.8%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 over 59.5	48.2%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 under 58.5	47.1%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	43.6%	41.4%	35.5%	1.17×	2.42
Q1 under 57.5	44.5%	40.8%	50.4%	0.81×	2.45
Q1 under 56.5	37.9%	38.3%	45.4%	0.84×	2.61
Q1 over 61.5	37.1%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.65
Q1 under 55.5	35.5%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	34.6%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 under 54.5	29.3%	27.3%	36.7%	0.74×	3.66
Q1 over 64.5	26.3%	27.3%	19.9%	1.37×	3.66
Q1 over 63.5	28.7%	26.9%	23.2%	1.16×	3.72
Q1 under 53.5	27.2%	26.9%	31.8%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 under 51.5	18.5%	17.2%	24.0%	0.71×	5.83
Q1 over 67.5	16.2%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 over 66.5	18.0%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.95
Q1 under 50.5	16.9%	16.8%	20.6%	0.82×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win Q2	55.7%	59.4%	46.2%	1.28×	1.69
Indiana Pacers to win Q2	39.7%	35.8%	49.3%	0.73×	2.79
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 66.5	82.7%	83.1%	86.5%	0.96×	1.20
Q2 over 50.5	82.0%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Q2 under 67.5	84.5%	83.0%	88.7%	0.94×	1.21
Q2 over 51.5	80.4%	83.0%	74.2%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 under 63.5	72.4%	73.0%	77.5%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 over 53.5	71.5%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 64.5	74.7%	72.0%	80.9%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 over 54.5	69.3%	67.4%	61.1%	1.10×	1.48
Q2 under 62.5	66.7%	67.4%	74.4%	0.91×	1.49
Q2 under 61.5	64.2%	62.0%	70.4%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 over 55.5	63.1%	62.0%	56.3%	1.10×	1.61
Q2 over 56.5	60.7%	60.7%	51.7%	1.17×	1.65
Q2 under 60.5	57.8%	58.2%	65.7%	0.88×	1.72
Q2 under 59.5	53.2%	52.7%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	51.5%	52.7%	42.7%	1.23×	1.90
Q2 over 57.5	54.1%	52.2%	47.3%	1.10×	1.92
Q2 under 57.5	45.9%	47.8%	52.7%	0.91×	2.09
Q2 under 58.5	48.5%	47.3%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q2 over 59.5	46.8%	47.3%	38.1%	1.24×	2.11
Q2 over 60.5	42.2%	41.8%	34.3%	1.22×	2.39
Q2 under 56.5	39.3%	39.3%	48.3%	0.81×	2.55
Q2 under 55.5	36.9%	38.0%	43.7%	0.87×	2.63
Q2 over 61.5	35.8%	38.0%	29.6%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 over 62.5	33.3%	32.6%	25.6%	1.27×	3.06
Q2 under 54.5	30.7%	32.6%	38.9%	0.84×	3.06
Q2 over 64.5	25.3%	28.0%	19.1%	1.46×	3.57
Q2 under 53.5	28.5%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 over 63.5	27.6%	27.0%	22.5%	1.20×	3.71
Q2 under 51.5	19.6%	17.0%	25.8%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 67.5	15.5%	17.0%	11.3%	1.50×	5.89
Q2 under 50.5	18.0%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.93
Q2 over 66.5	17.3%	16.9%	13.5%	1.25×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win Q3	55.7%	56.8%	44.3%	1.28×	1.76
Indiana Pacers to win Q3	39.7%	38.8%	50.9%	0.76×	2.58
Q3 tied	4.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 67.5	83.6%	82.3%	87.0%	0.95×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	82.3%	82.3%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	73.2%	71.8%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q3 over 54.5	71.5%	71.8%	63.9%	1.12×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	64.9%	62.0%	71.9%	0.86×	1.61
Q3 over 56.5	63.0%	61.9%	55.0%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	55.7%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Q3 over 58.5	53.7%	52.3%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	51.0%	52.3%	59.0%	0.89×	1.91
Q3 over 59.5	49.0%	47.7%	41.0%	1.16×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	46.3%	47.7%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 over 60.5	44.3%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.40
Q3 under 56.5	37.0%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Q3 over 62.5	35.1%	38.0%	28.1%	1.35×	2.63
Q3 under 54.5	28.5%	28.2%	36.1%	0.78×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	26.8%	28.2%	20.8%	1.35×	3.55
Q3 under 51.5	17.7%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Q3 over 67.5	16.4%	17.7%	13.0%	1.36×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win Q4	55.5%	52.0%	46.4%	1.12×	1.92
Indiana Pacers to win Q4	39.7%	42.4%	48.3%	0.88×	2.36
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 64.5	82.3%	82.0%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	82.1%	82.0%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	71.9%	71.5%	77.5%	0.92×	1.40
Q4 over 51.5	71.6%	71.5%	64.7%	1.11×	1.40
Q4 under 59.5	63.7%	61.4%	70.2%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 over 53.5	63.4%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
Q4 under 57.5	54.8%	52.5%	61.9%	0.85×	1.91
Q4 over 55.5	54.4%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	50.2%	52.5%	57.2%	0.92×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	49.8%	47.5%	42.8%	1.11×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	45.6%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 57.5	45.2%	47.5%	38.1%	1.25×	2.11
Q4 under 53.5	36.6%	38.6%	44.3%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	36.3%	38.6%	29.8%	1.30×	2.59
Q4 under 51.5	28.4%	28.5%	35.3%	0.81×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	28.1%	28.5%	22.5%	1.27×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	17.9%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.56
Q4 over 64.5	17.7%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves under 130.5	81.0%	80.7%	91.5%	0.88×	1.24
Indiana Pacers over 103.5	80.1%	80.7%	82.1%	0.98×	1.24
Indiana Pacers under 123.5	80.2%	80.7%	74.4%	1.08×	1.24
Indiana Pacers over 104.5	79.8%	78.3%	79.8%	0.98×	1.28
Indiana Pacers under 124.5	79.3%	78.3%	76.8%	1.02×	1.28
Minnesota Timberwolves over 107.5	79.3%	78.3%	66.6%	1.18×	1.28
Minnesota Timberwolves over 110.5	79.7%	75.1%	57.9%	1.30×	1.33
Minnesota Timberwolves under 124.5	72.3%	71.8%	81.4%	0.88×	1.39
Indiana Pacers over 107.5	72.1%	71.8%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Indiana Pacers under 121.5	71.6%	71.8%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Minnesota Timberwolves under 127.5	73.3%	70.7%	86.9%	0.81×	1.41
Indiana Pacers over 106.5	72.2%	70.7%	75.1%	0.94×	1.41
Indiana Pacers under 120.5	72.4%	70.7%	66.3%	1.07×	1.41
Minnesota Timberwolves over 113.5	71.7%	70.7%	48.0%	1.47×	1.41
Minnesota Timberwolves under 122.5	66.5%	66.6%	77.4%	0.86×	1.50
Indiana Pacers over 109.5	66.3%	66.6%	67.0%	0.99×	1.50
Indiana Pacers under 119.5	65.7%	66.6%	63.5%	1.05×	1.50
Minnesota Timberwolves over 112.5	65.6%	66.6%	51.5%	1.29×	1.50
Minnesota Timberwolves under 125.5	67.4%	66.4%	83.4%	0.80×	1.51
Indiana Pacers over 108.5	66.3%	66.4%	69.9%	0.95×	1.51
Indiana Pacers under 118.5	66.5%	66.4%	60.3%	1.10×	1.51
Minnesota Timberwolves over 115.5	65.7%	66.4%	41.4%	1.60×	1.51
Minnesota Timberwolves under 123.5	61.0%	61.2%	79.5%	0.77×	1.63
Indiana Pacers under 116.5	60.1%	61.2%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Indiana Pacers over 111.5	60.1%	61.2%	61.1%	1.00×	1.64
Minnesota Timberwolves over 114.5	59.4%	57.9%	44.5%	1.30×	1.73
Indiana Pacers under 117.5	59.5%	57.9%	57.8%	1.00×	1.73
Indiana Pacers over 110.5	59.9%	57.1%	64.1%	0.89×	1.75
Minnesota Timberwolves over 117.5	59.2%	57.1%	35.6%	1.60×	1.75
Minnesota Timberwolves under 121.5	54.3%	52.3%	74.7%	0.70×	1.91
Indiana Pacers over 112.5	53.2%	52.3%	57.7%	0.91×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves over 119.5	52.5%	52.3%	29.7%	1.76×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 114.5	53.5%	52.3%	48.6%	1.07×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves under 120.5	50.9%	52.3%	72.7%	0.72×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 113.5	50.1%	52.3%	45.7%	1.14×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves under 118.5	53.8%	52.2%	67.4%	0.78×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves over 116.5	52.8%	52.2%	38.5%	1.36×	1.91
Indiana Pacers under 115.5	53.0%	52.2%	51.6%	1.01×	1.91
Minnesota Timberwolves under 116.5	47.2%	47.8%	61.5%	0.78×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 115.5	47.0%	47.8%	48.4%	0.99×	2.09
Minnesota Timberwolves over 118.5	46.2%	47.8%	32.6%	1.46×	2.09
Minnesota Timberwolves over 120.5	49.1%	47.7%	27.3%	1.75×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 113.5	49.9%	47.7%	54.3%	0.88×	2.09
Indiana Pacers under 112.5	46.8%	47.7%	42.3%	1.13×	2.09
Minnesota Timberwolves under 119.5	47.5%	47.7%	70.3%	0.68×	2.09
Indiana Pacers over 114.5	46.5%	47.7%	51.4%	0.93×	2.09
Minnesota Timberwolves over 121.5	45.7%	47.7%	25.3%	1.89×	2.09
Minnesota Timberwolves under 117.5	40.8%	42.9%	64.4%	0.67×	2.33
Indiana Pacers under 110.5	40.1%	42.9%	35.9%	1.19×	2.33
Minnesota Timberwolves under 114.5	40.6%	42.1%	55.5%	0.76×	2.38
Indiana Pacers over 117.5	40.5%	42.1%	42.2%	1.00×	2.38
Indiana Pacers under 111.5	39.9%	38.8%	38.9%	1.00×	2.58
Indiana Pacers over 116.5	39.9%	38.8%	45.3%	0.86×	2.58
Minnesota Timberwolves over 123.5	39.0%	38.8%	20.5%	1.89×	2.58
Minnesota Timberwolves under 115.5	34.3%	33.6%	58.6%	0.57×	2.98
Indiana Pacers under 108.5	33.7%	33.6%	30.1%	1.11×	2.98
Indiana Pacers over 118.5	33.5%	33.6%	39.7%	0.85×	2.98
Minnesota Timberwolves over 125.5	32.6%	33.6%	16.6%	2.02×	2.98
Minnesota Timberwolves under 112.5	34.4%	33.4%	48.5%	0.69×	2.99
Indiana Pacers over 119.5	34.3%	33.4%	36.5%	0.91×	2.99
Indiana Pacers under 109.5	33.7%	33.4%	33.0%	1.01×	2.99
Minnesota Timberwolves over 122.5	33.5%	33.4%	22.6%	1.48×	2.99
Indiana Pacers under 106.5	27.8%	29.3%	24.9%	1.18×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 120.5	27.6%	29.3%	33.7%	0.87×	3.42
Minnesota Timberwolves under 113.5	28.3%	29.3%	52.0%	0.56×	3.42
Minnesota Timberwolves over 127.5	26.7%	29.3%	13.1%	2.23×	3.42
Indiana Pacers over 121.5	28.4%	28.2%	30.4%	0.93×	3.55
Minnesota Timberwolves over 124.5	27.7%	28.2%	18.6%	1.52×	3.55
Indiana Pacers under 107.5	27.9%	28.2%	27.3%	1.03×	3.55
Minnesota Timberwolves under 110.5	20.3%	24.9%	42.1%	0.59×	4.02
Minnesota Timberwolves under 107.5	20.7%	21.7%	33.4%	0.65×	4.60
Indiana Pacers over 124.5	20.7%	21.7%	23.2%	0.94×	4.60
Indiana Pacers under 104.5	20.2%	21.7%	20.2%	1.07×	4.61
Indiana Pacers under 103.5	19.9%	19.3%	17.9%	1.08×	5.18
Indiana Pacers over 123.5	19.8%	19.3%	25.6%	0.75×	5.18
Minnesota Timberwolves over 130.5	19.0%	19.3%	8.5%	2.27×	5.18

Total points 56

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 252.5 points	86.3%	85.5%	88.1%	0.97×	1.17
Over 213.5 points	86.4%	85.0%	76.4%	1.11×	1.18
Under 253.5 points	85.9%	85.0%	89.1%	0.95×	1.18
Over 212.5 points	85.0%	81.9%	77.8%	1.05×	1.22
Under 247.5 points	79.6%	78.1%	83.3%	0.94×	1.28
Over 217.5 points	77.9%	78.1%	69.6%	1.12×	1.28
Over 218.5 points	79.6%	75.6%	67.8%	1.12×	1.32
Under 248.5 points	78.9%	75.6%	84.4%	0.90×	1.32
Under 242.5 points	71.3%	71.0%	76.8%	0.92×	1.41
Over 223.5 points	71.0%	70.8%	58.3%	1.22×	1.41
Under 243.5 points	70.3%	70.8%	78.2%	0.91×	1.41
Over 222.5 points	69.3%	66.6%	60.4%	1.10×	1.50
Under 239.5 points	65.6%	66.6%	72.5%	0.92×	1.50
Over 226.5 points	65.2%	65.9%	52.7%	1.25×	1.52
Over 225.5 points	63.4%	61.8%	54.7%	1.13×	1.62
Under 237.5 points	61.7%	61.7%	69.3%	0.89×	1.62
Under 240.5 points	64.4%	61.5%	74.0%	0.83×	1.63
Over 228.5 points	61.1%	61.5%	48.7%	1.26×	1.63
Under 238.5 points	60.3%	61.5%	70.9%	0.87×	1.63
Over 230.5 points	56.9%	56.5%	44.6%	1.27×	1.77
Under 236.5 points	56.0%	56.5%	67.3%	0.84×	1.77
Over 227.5 points	59.3%	56.0%	50.6%	1.11×	1.79
Under 235.5 points	57.5%	56.0%	65.3%	0.86×	1.79
Over 229.5 points	55.2%	56.0%	46.7%	1.20×	1.79
Under 234.5 points	51.7%	52.3%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91
Over 232.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	40.6%	1.29×	1.91
Over 233.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	38.6%	1.35×	1.91
Over 231.5 points	50.9%	52.2%	42.6%	1.22×	1.92
Under 231.5 points	49.1%	47.8%	57.4%	0.83×	2.09
Under 233.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	61.4%	0.78×	2.10
Over 234.5 points	48.3%	47.7%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Under 232.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	59.4%	0.80×	2.10
Under 229.5 points	44.8%	44.0%	53.3%	0.83×	2.27
Over 235.5 points	42.5%	44.0%	34.7%	1.27×	2.27
Under 227.5 points	40.7%	44.0%	49.4%	0.89×	2.27
Under 230.5 points	43.1%	43.5%	55.4%	0.79×	2.30
Over 236.5 points	44.0%	43.5%	32.7%	1.33×	2.30
Over 238.5 points	39.7%	38.5%	29.1%	1.32×	2.60
Under 228.5 points	38.9%	38.5%	51.3%	0.75×	2.60
Over 240.5 points	35.6%	38.5%	26.0%	1.48×	2.60
Over 237.5 points	38.3%	38.3%	30.7%	1.24×	2.61
Under 225.5 points	36.6%	38.3%	45.3%	0.84×	2.61
Under 226.5 points	34.8%	34.1%	47.3%	0.72×	2.93
Over 239.5 points	34.4%	33.4%	27.5%	1.21×	2.99
Under 222.5 points	30.7%	33.4%	39.6%	0.84×	3.00
Over 243.5 points	29.7%	29.2%	21.8%	1.34×	3.43
Under 223.5 points	29.0%	29.2%	41.7%	0.70×	3.43
Over 242.5 points	28.7%	29.0%	23.2%	1.25×	3.45
Over 248.5 points	21.1%	24.4%	15.6%	1.57×	4.10
Under 218.5 points	20.4%	24.4%	32.2%	0.76×	4.10
Under 217.5 points	22.1%	21.9%	30.4%	0.72×	4.57
Over 247.5 points	20.4%	21.9%	16.7%	1.31×	4.57
Under 212.5 points	15.0%	18.1%	22.2%	0.82×	5.53
Over 253.5 points	14.1%	15.0%	10.9%	1.38×	6.68
Under 213.5 points	13.6%	15.0%	23.6%	0.63×	6.68
Over 252.5 points	13.7%	14.5%	11.9%	1.22×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves to win both halves	34.0%	31.3%	17.8%	1.75×	3.20
Indiana Pacers to win both halves	11.4%	14.0%	25.2%	0.56×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Minnesota Timberwolves by 1-5	13.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Minnesota Timberwolves by 6-10	14.0%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Minnesota Timberwolves by 11-15	12.7%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Indiana Pacers by 1-5	11.3%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Minnesota Timberwolves by 16-20	10.3%	12.3%	4.9%	2.54×	8.11
Minnesota Timberwolves by 26+	9.8%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 6-10	8.5%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
Minnesota Timberwolves by 21-25	7.4%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 11-15	5.7%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Indiana Pacers by 16-20	3.4%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.30
Indiana Pacers by 21-25	1.8%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.31
Indiana Pacers by 26+	1.4%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.32

Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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