Kansas State Wildcats v Missouri Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 23 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Kansas State Wildcats

19:30

Missouri Tigers

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Kansas State Wildcats win

80.5%

Draw

0.0%

Missouri Tigers win

19.5%

80020

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	80020	79.38–70.02	79-70 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Missouri Tigers to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.34
Missouri Tigers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Missouri Tigers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Missouri Tigers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.35
Kansas State Wildcats to score 100+	1.8%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.00
Kansas State Wildcats to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.34
Kansas State Wildcats to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Kansas State Wildcats to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win H1	67.9%	68.3%	56.4%	1.21×	1.47
Missouri Tigers to win H1	28.2%	26.5%	39.9%	0.67×	3.77
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 83.5	88.4%	87.7%	96.8%	0.91×	1.14
H1 over 59.5	87.7%	87.7%	57.8%	1.52×	1.14
H1 under 79.5	78.9%	77.4%	93.9%	0.83×	1.29
H1 over 63.5	77.8%	77.4%	42.9%	1.80×	1.29
H1 under 76.5	69.4%	67.4%	90.2%	0.75×	1.48
H1 over 66.5	68.2%	67.4%	32.9%	2.05×	1.48
H1 under 74.5	62.2%	62.7%	87.2%	0.72×	1.59
H1 over 68.5	60.9%	62.7%	26.5%	2.37×	1.59
H1 under 72.5	54.6%	52.6%	83.6%	0.63×	1.90
H1 over 70.5	53.2%	52.6%	21.1%	2.50×	1.90
H1 under 71.5	50.7%	52.6%	81.4%	0.65×	1.90
H1 over 71.5	49.3%	47.4%	18.6%	2.55×	2.11
H1 under 70.5	46.8%	47.4%	78.9%	0.60×	2.11
H1 over 72.5	45.4%	47.4%	16.4%	2.89×	2.11
H1 under 68.5	39.1%	37.3%	73.5%	0.51×	2.68
H1 over 74.5	37.8%	37.3%	12.8%	2.90×	2.68
H1 under 66.5	31.8%	32.6%	67.1%	0.49×	3.07
H1 over 76.5	30.6%	32.6%	9.8%	3.33×	3.07
H1 under 63.5	22.2%	22.6%	57.1%	0.40×	4.43
H1 over 79.5	21.1%	22.6%	6.1%	3.68×	4.43
H1 under 59.5	12.3%	12.3%	42.2%	0.29×	8.14
H1 over 83.5	11.6%	12.3%	3.2%	3.89×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win H2	69.0%	62.8%	56.0%	1.12×	1.59
Missouri Tigers to win H2	27.2%	31.3%	40.6%	0.77×	3.20
H2 tied	3.7%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 90.5	87.7%	85.2%	95.5%	0.89×	1.17
H2 over 66.5	86.1%	85.2%	55.4%	1.54×	1.17
H2 under 86.5	78.4%	75.8%	92.2%	0.82×	1.32
H2 over 70.5	76.2%	75.8%	42.2%	1.80×	1.32
H2 under 83.5	69.3%	66.4%	88.9%	0.75×	1.51
H2 over 73.5	66.7%	66.4%	32.9%	2.02×	1.51
H2 under 81.5	62.4%	61.6%	85.8%	0.72×	1.62
H2 over 75.5	59.6%	57.3%	27.0%	2.13×	1.74
H2 under 79.5	55.2%	57.3%	82.0%	0.70×	1.74
H2 over 77.5	52.3%	52.4%	22.1%	2.37×	1.91
H2 under 78.5	51.5%	52.4%	80.1%	0.65×	1.91
H2 under 77.5	47.7%	47.6%	77.9%	0.61×	2.10
H2 over 78.5	48.5%	47.6%	19.9%	2.40×	2.10
H2 over 79.5	44.8%	42.7%	18.0%	2.37×	2.34
H2 under 75.5	40.4%	42.7%	73.0%	0.58×	2.35
H2 over 81.5	37.6%	38.4%	14.2%	2.70×	2.61
H2 under 73.5	33.3%	33.6%	67.1%	0.50×	2.97
H2 over 83.5	30.7%	33.6%	11.1%	3.03×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	23.8%	24.2%	57.8%	0.42×	4.13
H2 over 86.5	21.6%	24.2%	7.8%	3.11×	4.13
H2 under 66.5	13.9%	14.8%	44.6%	0.33×	6.76
H2 over 90.5	12.3%	14.8%	4.5%	3.30×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats leading at half time	67.9%	68.4%	56.4%	1.21×	1.46
Missouri Tigers leading at half time	28.2%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.77
Level at half time	3.9%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats +20.5	99.6%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +10.5	96.0%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +12.5	97.3%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +14.5	98.3%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +16.5	98.9%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +18.5	99.3%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +9.5	95.2%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Kansas State Wildcats +8.5	94.2%	91.1%	76.5%	1.19×	1.10
Kansas State Wildcats +7.5	93.1%	91.1%	74.5%	1.22×	1.10
Kansas State Wildcats +5.5	90.4%	91.1%	70.1%	1.30×	1.10
Kansas State Wildcats +6.5	91.9%	91.1%	72.3%	1.26×	1.10
Kansas State Wildcats +4.5	88.8%	85.9%	67.8%	1.27×	1.16
Kansas State Wildcats +3.5	87.0%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
Kansas State Wildcats +2.5	85.0%	85.9%	63.3%	1.36×	1.16
Missouri Tigers +20.5	83.5%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Kansas State Wildcats +1.5	82.8%	81.1%	61.2%	1.32×	1.23
Missouri Tigers +18.5	78.7%	76.5%	79.3%	0.96×	1.31
Kansas State Wildcats −1.5	77.7%	76.5%	58.7%	1.30×	1.31
Kansas State Wildcats −2.5	74.8%	71.6%	56.7%	1.26×	1.40
Missouri Tigers +16.5	73.1%	71.6%	75.7%	0.95×	1.40
Kansas State Wildcats −3.5	71.7%	71.6%	54.2%	1.32×	1.40
Kansas State Wildcats −4.5	68.4%	66.7%	52.2%	1.28×	1.50
Missouri Tigers +14.5	66.8%	66.7%	72.1%	0.93×	1.50
Kansas State Wildcats −5.5	65.0%	66.7%	49.7%	1.34×	1.50
Kansas State Wildcats −6.5	61.6%	61.9%	47.6%	1.30×	1.62
Missouri Tigers +12.5	60.0%	61.9%	67.9%	0.91×	1.62
Kansas State Wildcats −7.5	58.0%	57.1%	44.8%	1.28×	1.75
Kansas State Wildcats −8.5	54.4%	52.4%	42.0%	1.25×	1.91
Missouri Tigers +10.5	52.9%	52.4%	63.2%	0.83×	1.91
Kansas State Wildcats −9.5	50.8%	52.4%	39.3%	1.33×	1.91
Missouri Tigers +9.5	49.2%	47.6%	60.7%	0.78×	2.10
Kansas State Wildcats −10.5	47.1%	47.6%	36.8%	1.29×	2.10
Missouri Tigers +8.5	45.6%	47.6%	58.0%	0.82×	2.10
Missouri Tigers +7.5	42.0%	42.9%	55.2%	0.78×	2.33
Kansas State Wildcats −12.5	40.0%	38.1%	32.1%	1.19×	2.63
Missouri Tigers +6.5	38.4%	38.1%	52.4%	0.73×	2.63
Missouri Tigers +5.5	35.0%	33.3%	50.3%	0.66×	3.01
Kansas State Wildcats −14.5	33.2%	33.3%	27.9%	1.19×	3.01
Missouri Tigers +4.5	31.6%	33.3%	47.8%	0.70×	3.01
Missouri Tigers +3.5	28.3%	28.4%	45.8%	0.62×	3.53
Kansas State Wildcats −16.5	26.9%	28.4%	24.3%	1.17×	3.53
Missouri Tigers +2.5	25.2%	28.4%	43.3%	0.66×	3.53
Missouri Tigers +1.5	22.3%	23.5%	41.3%	0.57×	4.25
Kansas State Wildcats −18.5	21.3%	23.5%	20.7%	1.14×	4.25
Missouri Tigers −1.5	17.2%	18.9%	38.8%	0.49×	5.29
Kansas State Wildcats −20.5	16.5%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30
Missouri Tigers −2.5	15.0%	14.1%	36.7%	0.39×	7.09
Missouri Tigers −3.5	13.0%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
Missouri Tigers −4.5	11.2%	14.1%	32.2%	0.44×	7.09
Missouri Tigers −5.5	9.6%	8.9%	29.9%	0.30×	11.25
Missouri Tigers −6.5	8.1%	8.9%	27.7%	0.32×	11.25
Missouri Tigers −7.5	6.9%	8.9%	25.5%	0.35×	11.25
Missouri Tigers −8.5	5.8%	8.9%	23.5%	0.38×	11.25
Missouri Tigers −9.5	4.8%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.72
Missouri Tigers −10.5	4.0%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.72
Missouri Tigers −12.5	2.7%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.73
Missouri Tigers −14.5	1.7%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
Missouri Tigers −16.5	1.1%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Missouri Tigers −18.5	0.7%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Missouri Tigers −20.5	0.4%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	74.6%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 highest scoring	33.7%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q4 highest scoring	35.4%	28.6%	31.2%	0.92×	3.50
Q2 highest scoring	14.7%	18.3%	17.9%	1.03×	5.45
Q1 highest scoring	16.3%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT	61.8%	62.3%	48.3%	1.29×	1.61
Missouri Tigers at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT	15.7%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
Missouri Tigers at HT / Missouri Tigers at FT	12.5%	12.2%	30.1%	0.41×	8.17
Kansas State Wildcats at HT / Missouri Tigers at FT	6.1%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.09
Level at HT / Kansas State Wildcats at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Missouri Tigers at FT	1.0%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win	80.5%	80.9%	59.9%	1.35×	1.24
Missouri Tigers to win	19.5%	19.1%	40.1%	0.48×	5.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Missouri Tigers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Kansas State Wildcats even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Missouri Tigers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02
Kansas State Wildcats odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.1%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.9%	3.0%	4.4%	0.68×	33.33

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win Q1	60.9%	64.9%	54.7%	1.18×	1.54
Missouri Tigers to win Q1	33.3%	30.4%	40.4%	0.75×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.8%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 44.5	89.9%	87.4%	96.2%	0.91×	1.14
Q1 over 28.5	86.0%	87.4%	62.7%	1.40×	1.14
Q1 under 41.5	79.7%	76.9%	91.9%	0.84×	1.30
Q1 over 31.5	73.9%	72.7%	46.0%	1.58×	1.38
Q1 under 39.5	70.5%	72.7%	87.5%	0.83×	1.38
Q1 over 33.5	63.5%	61.7%	36.0%	1.71×	1.62
Q1 under 37.5	59.6%	58.6%	81.6%	0.72×	1.71
Q1 under 36.5	53.8%	52.7%	77.4%	0.68×	1.90
Q1 over 35.5	52.0%	52.7%	26.8%	1.96×	1.90
Q1 under 35.5	48.0%	47.3%	73.2%	0.65×	2.11
Q1 over 36.5	46.2%	47.3%	22.6%	2.10×	2.11
Q1 over 37.5	40.4%	41.4%	18.4%	2.25×	2.42
Q1 under 33.5	36.5%	38.3%	64.0%	0.60×	2.61
Q1 over 39.5	29.6%	27.3%	12.5%	2.18×	3.66
Q1 under 31.5	26.1%	27.3%	54.0%	0.51×	3.66
Q1 over 41.5	20.3%	23.1%	8.1%	2.86×	4.33
Q1 under 28.5	14.0%	12.6%	37.3%	0.34×	7.95
Q1 over 44.5	10.1%	12.6%	3.8%	3.33×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win Q2	60.6%	61.9%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
Missouri Tigers to win Q2	33.8%	31.8%	41.5%	0.77×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.7%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 27.5	88.0%	87.3%	66.7%	1.31×	1.15
Q2 under 43.5	88.1%	87.3%	95.7%	0.91×	1.15
Q2 under 40.5	77.0%	76.8%	90.8%	0.85×	1.30
Q2 over 30.5	76.8%	76.8%	49.9%	1.54×	1.30
Q2 under 38.5	67.2%	67.4%	85.6%	0.79×	1.49
Q2 over 32.5	66.9%	67.4%	39.2%	1.72×	1.49
Q2 under 36.5	56.0%	58.2%	78.7%	0.74×	1.72
Q2 over 34.5	55.7%	58.2%	29.9%	1.95×	1.72
Q2 under 35.5	50.1%	52.7%	74.6%	0.71×	1.90
Q2 over 35.5	49.9%	47.3%	25.4%	1.86×	2.11
Q2 under 34.5	44.3%	41.8%	70.1%	0.60×	2.39
Q2 over 36.5	44.0%	41.8%	21.3%	1.97×	2.39
Q2 under 32.5	33.1%	32.6%	60.8%	0.54×	3.06
Q2 over 38.5	32.8%	32.6%	14.4%	2.26×	3.06
Q2 under 30.5	23.2%	23.2%	50.1%	0.46×	4.31
Q2 over 40.5	23.0%	23.2%	9.2%	2.53×	4.31
Q2 under 27.5	12.0%	12.7%	33.3%	0.38×	7.89
Q2 over 43.5	11.9%	12.7%	4.3%	2.94×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win Q3	61.8%	60.8%	53.3%	1.14×	1.64
Missouri Tigers to win Q3	32.7%	33.8%	41.8%	0.81×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.5%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 47.5	88.8%	87.2%	96.3%	0.91×	1.15
Q3 over 31.5	85.9%	87.2%	61.6%	1.42×	1.15
Q3 under 44.5	78.4%	77.3%	92.1%	0.84×	1.29
Q3 over 34.5	74.1%	71.8%	45.4%	1.58×	1.39
Q3 under 42.5	69.1%	67.8%	87.8%	0.77×	1.48
Q3 over 36.5	64.1%	62.0%	35.4%	1.75×	1.61
Q3 under 40.5	58.4%	58.4%	81.9%	0.71×	1.71
Q3 over 38.5	52.9%	52.3%	26.1%	2.00×	1.91
Q3 under 39.5	52.8%	52.3%	77.9%	0.67×	1.91
Q3 under 38.5	47.1%	47.7%	73.9%	0.65×	2.10
Q3 over 39.5	47.2%	47.7%	22.1%	2.16×	2.10
Q3 over 40.5	41.6%	41.6%	18.1%	2.29×	2.40
Q3 under 36.5	35.9%	38.0%	64.6%	0.59×	2.63
Q3 over 42.5	30.9%	32.2%	12.2%	2.65×	3.11
Q3 under 34.5	25.9%	28.2%	54.6%	0.52×	3.55
Q3 over 44.5	21.6%	22.7%	7.9%	2.89×	4.40
Q3 under 31.5	14.1%	12.8%	38.4%	0.33×	7.83
Q3 over 47.5	11.2%	12.8%	3.7%	3.48×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win Q4	61.6%	57.8%	52.8%	1.09×	1.73
Missouri Tigers to win Q4	33.0%	37.4%	41.5%	0.90×	2.68
Q4 tied	5.4%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 47.5	87.2%	85.6%	95.3%	0.90×	1.17
Q4 over 31.5	84.8%	82.0%	61.1%	1.34×	1.22
Q4 under 44.5	76.8%	76.9%	90.6%	0.85×	1.30
Q4 over 34.5	73.3%	71.5%	45.6%	1.57×	1.40
Q4 under 42.5	67.8%	67.4%	86.2%	0.78×	1.48
Q4 over 36.5	63.7%	61.4%	35.7%	1.72×	1.63
Q4 under 40.5	57.6%	58.4%	80.6%	0.72×	1.71
Q4 over 38.5	53.2%	52.5%	26.9%	1.95×	1.91
Q4 under 39.5	52.2%	52.5%	77.0%	0.68×	1.91
Q4 over 39.5	47.8%	47.5%	23.0%	2.06×	2.11
Q4 under 38.5	46.8%	47.5%	73.1%	0.65×	2.11
Q4 over 40.5	42.4%	41.6%	19.4%	2.14×	2.40
Q4 under 36.5	36.3%	38.6%	64.3%	0.60×	2.59
Q4 over 42.5	32.2%	32.6%	13.8%	2.36×	3.07
Q4 under 34.5	26.7%	28.5%	54.4%	0.52×	3.51
Q4 over 44.5	23.2%	23.1%	9.4%	2.45×	4.33
Q4 under 31.5	15.2%	18.0%	38.9%	0.46×	5.56
Q4 over 47.5	12.8%	14.4%	4.7%	3.05×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Missouri Tigers under 80.5	87.2%	83.9%	91.0%	0.92×	1.19
Kansas State Wildcats over 69.5	85.3%	83.9%	42.6%	1.97×	1.19
Kansas State Wildcats under 89.5	85.2%	83.9%	93.9%	0.89×	1.19
Missouri Tigers over 60.5	84.5%	80.7%	55.6%	1.45×	1.24
Missouri Tigers under 77.5	79.3%	75.1%	87.2%	0.86×	1.33
Kansas State Wildcats over 72.5	76.9%	75.1%	34.3%	2.19×	1.33
Kansas State Wildcats under 86.5	76.8%	75.1%	91.2%	0.82×	1.33
Missouri Tigers over 63.5	75.5%	75.1%	46.1%	1.63×	1.33
Missouri Tigers under 75.5	72.7%	70.7%	84.1%	0.84×	1.41
Kansas State Wildcats over 74.5	70.1%	70.7%	29.3%	2.42×	1.41
Kansas State Wildcats under 84.5	69.9%	66.4%	88.9%	0.75×	1.51
Missouri Tigers over 65.5	68.2%	66.4%	40.2%	1.65×	1.51
Missouri Tigers under 73.5	65.1%	66.4%	80.2%	0.83×	1.51
Kansas State Wildcats over 76.5	62.5%	61.2%	24.6%	2.49×	1.63
Kansas State Wildcats under 82.5	62.2%	61.2%	86.2%	0.71×	1.63
Missouri Tigers over 67.5	60.2%	61.2%	34.4%	1.78×	1.63
Missouri Tigers under 71.5	56.9%	57.1%	76.1%	0.75×	1.75
Kansas State Wildcats over 78.5	54.3%	52.3%	20.6%	2.53×	1.91
Kansas State Wildcats under 80.5	54.0%	52.3%	82.9%	0.63×	1.91
Missouri Tigers over 69.5	51.7%	52.3%	28.8%	1.82×	1.91
Missouri Tigers under 70.5	52.6%	52.3%	73.7%	0.71×	1.91
Kansas State Wildcats over 79.5	50.2%	52.3%	18.7%	2.79×	1.91
Kansas State Wildcats under 79.5	49.8%	47.7%	81.3%	0.59×	2.09
Missouri Tigers under 69.5	48.3%	47.7%	71.2%	0.67×	2.09
Missouri Tigers over 70.5	47.4%	47.7%	26.3%	1.81×	2.09
Kansas State Wildcats under 78.5	45.7%	47.7%	79.4%	0.60×	2.09
Kansas State Wildcats over 80.5	46.0%	47.7%	17.1%	2.80×	2.09
Missouri Tigers over 71.5	43.1%	42.9%	23.9%	1.79×	2.33
Missouri Tigers under 67.5	39.8%	38.8%	65.6%	0.59×	2.58
Kansas State Wildcats under 76.5	37.5%	38.8%	75.4%	0.51×	2.58
Kansas State Wildcats over 82.5	37.8%	38.8%	13.8%	2.82×	2.58
Missouri Tigers over 73.5	34.9%	33.6%	19.8%	1.70×	2.98
Missouri Tigers under 65.5	31.8%	33.6%	59.8%	0.56×	2.98
Kansas State Wildcats over 84.5	30.1%	33.6%	11.1%	3.03×	2.98
Kansas State Wildcats under 74.5	29.9%	29.3%	70.7%	0.41×	3.42
Missouri Tigers over 75.5	27.3%	29.3%	15.9%	1.84×	3.42
Missouri Tigers under 63.5	24.5%	24.9%	53.9%	0.46×	4.02
Kansas State Wildcats under 72.5	23.1%	24.9%	65.7%	0.38×	4.02
Kansas State Wildcats over 86.5	23.2%	24.9%	8.8%	2.83×	4.02
Missouri Tigers over 77.5	20.7%	24.9%	12.8%	1.94×	4.02
Missouri Tigers under 60.5	15.5%	19.3%	44.4%	0.44×	5.18
Kansas State Wildcats under 69.5	14.7%	16.1%	57.4%	0.28×	6.21
Kansas State Wildcats over 89.5	14.8%	16.1%	6.1%	2.62×	6.21
Missouri Tigers over 80.5	12.8%	16.1%	9.0%	1.79×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 129.5 points	90.7%	88.8%	50.5%	1.76×	1.13
Under 169.5 points	90.8%	88.8%	97.4%	0.91×	1.13
Over 134.5 points	83.9%	80.6%	39.8%	2.02×	1.24
Under 164.5 points	84.1%	80.6%	95.9%	0.84×	1.24
Over 139.5 points	74.4%	70.8%	30.1%	2.35×	1.41
Under 159.5 points	74.8%	70.8%	93.3%	0.76×	1.41
Over 142.5 points	67.7%	65.9%	24.9%	2.65×	1.52
Under 156.5 points	68.0%	65.9%	91.3%	0.72×	1.52
Over 144.5 points	62.8%	61.5%	21.9%	2.81×	1.63
Under 154.5 points	63.1%	61.5%	89.8%	0.68×	1.63
Over 146.5 points	57.7%	56.5%	19.1%	2.96×	1.77
Under 152.5 points	58.0%	56.5%	88.1%	0.64×	1.77
Over 148.5 points	52.5%	52.3%	16.3%	3.20×	1.91
Under 150.5 points	52.8%	52.3%	86.1%	0.61×	1.91
Under 149.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	84.9%	0.62×	1.91
Over 149.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	15.1%	3.17×	2.10
Under 148.5 points	47.5%	47.7%	83.7%	0.57×	2.10
Over 150.5 points	47.2%	47.7%	13.9%	3.42×	2.10
Under 146.5 points	42.3%	43.5%	80.9%	0.54×	2.30
Over 152.5 points	42.0%	43.5%	11.9%	3.65×	2.30
Under 144.5 points	37.2%	38.5%	78.1%	0.49×	2.60
Over 154.5 points	36.9%	38.5%	10.2%	3.79×	2.60
Under 142.5 points	32.3%	34.1%	75.1%	0.45×	2.93
Over 156.5 points	32.0%	34.1%	8.7%	3.93×	2.93
Under 139.5 points	25.6%	29.2%	69.9%	0.42×	3.43
Over 159.5 points	25.2%	29.2%	6.7%	4.35×	3.43
Under 134.5 points	16.1%	19.4%	60.2%	0.32×	5.15
Over 164.5 points	15.9%	19.4%	4.1%	4.70×	5.15
Under 129.5 points	9.3%	11.2%	49.5%	0.23×	8.96
Over 169.5 points	9.2%	11.2%	2.6%	4.32×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats to win both halves	44.6%	40.7%	36.0%	1.13×	2.46
Missouri Tigers to win both halves	5.7%	8.8%	20.4%	0.43×	11.33

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kansas State Wildcats by 6-10	17.9%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Kansas State Wildcats by 11-15	17.1%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Kansas State Wildcats by 1-5	15.4%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Kansas State Wildcats by 16-20	13.5%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
Missouri Tigers by 1-5	10.0%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Kansas State Wildcats by 21-25	8.8%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
Kansas State Wildcats by 26+	7.7%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.40
Missouri Tigers by 6-10	5.6%	7.5%	10.3%	0.72×	13.40
Missouri Tigers by 11-15	2.6%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.31
Missouri Tigers by 16-20	1.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
Missouri Tigers by 21-25	0.3%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Missouri Tigers by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

Kansas State Wildcats v Missouri Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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