Tennessee Volunteers v Michigan State Spartans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Tennessee Volunteers

00:00

Michigan State Spartans

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Tennessee Volunteers win

56.9%

Draw

0.0%

Michigan State Spartans win

43.1%

57043

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	57043	71.56–69.75	72-70 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers to score 100+	0.2%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	283.31
Tennessee Volunteers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.36
Tennessee Volunteers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
Tennessee Volunteers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 100+	0.1%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.34
Michigan State Spartans to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Michigan State Spartans to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.36

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers to win H1	51.8%	51.8%	57.9%	0.90×	1.93
Tennessee Volunteers to win H1	51.8%	51.8%	57.9%	0.90×	1.93
Michigan State Spartans to win H1	43.7%	42.7%	38.2%	1.12×	2.34
Michigan State Spartans to win H1	43.7%	42.7%	38.2%	1.12×	2.34
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.85
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.85

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 79.5	88.3%	87.7%	83.1%	1.06×	1.14
H1 over 55.5	85.7%	87.7%	89.4%	0.98×	1.14
H1 under 75.5	79.2%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	80.0%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	76.2%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	75.5%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 72.5	70.9%	73.5%	63.3%	1.16×	1.36
H1 under 72.5	70.3%	73.5%	63.3%	1.16×	1.36
H1 over 62.5	65.9%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 over 62.5	66.3%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 under 70.5	63.5%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 under 70.5	63.9%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 over 64.5	58.7%	58.2%	65.3%	0.89×	1.72
H1 over 64.5	59.0%	58.2%	65.3%	0.89×	1.72
H1 under 68.5	56.4%	58.2%	49.3%	1.18×	1.72
H1 under 68.5	56.2%	58.2%	49.3%	1.18×	1.72
H1 under 67.5	52.5%	52.6%	45.6%	1.15×	1.90
H1 under 67.5	52.5%	52.6%	45.6%	1.15×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	51.3%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	51.3%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 under 66.5	48.7%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 under 66.5	48.7%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	47.5%	47.4%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	47.5%	47.4%	54.4%	0.87×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	43.8%	41.8%	50.7%	0.82×	2.39
H1 over 68.5	43.6%	41.8%	50.7%	0.82×	2.39
H1 under 64.5	41.3%	41.8%	34.8%	1.20×	2.39
H1 under 64.5	41.0%	41.8%	34.8%	1.20×	2.39
H1 over 70.5	36.5%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 over 70.5	36.1%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 under 62.5	34.1%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	33.7%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 over 72.5	29.7%	26.5%	36.7%	0.72×	3.77
H1 over 72.5	29.1%	26.5%	36.7%	0.72×	3.77
H1 under 59.5	24.5%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 59.5	23.8%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	20.8%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	20.0%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 under 55.5	14.3%	12.3%	10.6%	1.16×	8.13
H1 over 79.5	11.7%	12.3%	16.9%	0.73×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers to win H2	52.2%	51.2%	57.5%	0.89×	1.95
Tennessee Volunteers to win H2	52.2%	51.2%	56.9%	0.90×	1.95
Michigan State Spartans to win H2	43.5%	43.6%	38.5%	1.13×	2.30
Michigan State Spartans to win H2	43.5%	43.6%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.35
H2 tied	4.3%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.35

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 62.5	85.7%	85.2%	89.8%	0.95×	1.17
H2 under 86.5	85.6%	85.2%	75.7%	1.13×	1.17
H2 under 82.5	76.7%	75.8%	68.9%	1.10×	1.32
H2 over 66.5	76.8%	75.8%	80.8%	0.94×	1.32
H2 over 66.5	76.1%	75.8%	82.3%	0.92×	1.32
H2 under 82.5	76.1%	75.8%	65.3%	1.16×	1.32
H2 over 69.5	67.2%	66.4%	74.8%	0.89×	1.51
H2 under 79.5	67.1%	66.4%	56.2%	1.18×	1.51
H2 over 69.5	67.6%	66.4%	72.8%	0.91×	1.51
H2 under 79.5	67.6%	66.4%	59.8%	1.11×	1.51
H2 over 71.5	60.5%	61.6%	68.8%	0.90×	1.62
H2 under 77.5	60.5%	61.6%	49.8%	1.24×	1.62
H2 over 71.5	60.8%	61.6%	66.4%	0.93×	1.62
H2 under 77.5	60.8%	61.6%	53.0%	1.16×	1.62
H2 over 73.5	53.5%	52.4%	63.1%	0.83×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	53.5%	52.4%	43.6%	1.20×	1.91
H2 over 73.5	53.6%	52.4%	60.4%	0.87×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	53.6%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	50.0%	52.4%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	50.0%	52.4%	57.0%	0.92×	1.91
H2 under 74.5	50.0%	47.6%	40.0%	1.19×	2.10
H2 under 74.5	50.0%	47.6%	43.0%	1.11×	2.10
H2 under 73.5	46.5%	47.6%	36.9%	1.29×	2.10
H2 over 75.5	46.5%	47.6%	56.4%	0.84×	2.10
H2 under 73.5	46.4%	47.6%	39.6%	1.20×	2.10
H2 over 75.5	46.4%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 under 71.5	39.5%	38.4%	31.2%	1.23×	2.61
H2 over 77.5	39.5%	38.4%	50.2%	0.76×	2.61
H2 under 71.5	39.2%	38.4%	33.6%	1.14×	2.61
H2 over 77.5	39.2%	38.4%	47.0%	0.82×	2.61
H2 under 69.5	32.8%	33.6%	25.2%	1.34×	2.97
H2 over 79.5	32.9%	33.6%	43.8%	0.77×	2.97
H2 under 69.5	32.4%	33.6%	27.2%	1.24×	2.97
H2 over 79.5	32.4%	33.6%	40.3%	0.84×	2.97
H2 under 66.5	23.9%	24.2%	17.7%	1.37×	4.13
H2 over 82.5	23.9%	24.2%	34.7%	0.70×	4.13
H2 under 66.5	23.2%	24.2%	19.2%	1.26×	4.13
H2 over 82.5	23.3%	24.2%	31.1%	0.78×	4.13
H2 under 62.5	14.3%	14.8%	10.2%	1.44×	6.76
H2 over 86.5	14.4%	14.8%	24.3%	0.61×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers leading at half time	51.8%	51.9%	57.9%	0.90×	1.93
Michigan State Spartans leading at half time	43.7%	42.9%	38.2%	1.12×	2.33
Level at half time	4.5%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers +18.5	97.0%	97.4%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Michigan State Spartans +20.5	95.8%	97.4%	86.5%	1.13×	1.03
Tennessee Volunteers +20.5	98.1%	97.4%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Tennessee Volunteers +16.5	95.5%	97.4%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Tennessee Volunteers +14.5	93.4%	91.1%	92.2%	0.99×	1.10
Michigan State Spartans +18.5	93.8%	91.1%	83.9%	1.09×	1.10
Tennessee Volunteers +12.5	90.6%	91.1%	89.9%	1.01×	1.10
Michigan State Spartans +16.5	91.2%	91.1%	80.7%	1.13×	1.10
Tennessee Volunteers +10.5	87.0%	85.9%	87.2%	0.99×	1.16
Michigan State Spartans +14.5	87.7%	85.9%	77.2%	1.11×	1.16
Tennessee Volunteers +9.5	84.9%	81.1%	85.3%	0.95×	1.23
Michigan State Spartans +12.5	83.5%	81.1%	72.4%	1.12×	1.23
Tennessee Volunteers +8.5	82.6%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Tennessee Volunteers +7.5	80.0%	81.1%	81.0%	1.00×	1.23
Tennessee Volunteers +6.5	77.3%	76.5%	78.8%	0.97×	1.31
Michigan State Spartans +10.5	78.3%	76.5%	67.4%	1.14×	1.31
Michigan State Spartans +9.5	75.5%	76.5%	64.5%	1.18×	1.31
Tennessee Volunteers +5.5	74.3%	71.6%	76.4%	0.94×	1.40
Michigan State Spartans +8.5	72.4%	71.6%	61.5%	1.16×	1.40
Tennessee Volunteers +4.5	71.1%	71.6%	73.7%	0.97×	1.40
Michigan State Spartans +7.5	69.1%	66.7%	58.7%	1.14×	1.50
Tennessee Volunteers +3.5	67.8%	66.7%	70.8%	0.94×	1.50
Michigan State Spartans +6.5	65.7%	66.7%	55.7%	1.20×	1.50
Tennessee Volunteers +2.5	64.3%	61.9%	68.0%	0.91×	1.62
Michigan State Spartans +5.5	62.1%	61.9%	53.0%	1.17×	1.62
Tennessee Volunteers +1.5	60.7%	61.9%	65.4%	0.95×	1.62
Michigan State Spartans +4.5	58.4%	57.1%	49.3%	1.16×	1.75
Michigan State Spartans +3.5	54.6%	52.4%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Tennessee Volunteers −1.5	53.1%	52.4%	60.8%	0.86×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans +2.5	50.8%	52.4%	42.3%	1.24×	1.91
Tennessee Volunteers −2.5	49.2%	47.6%	57.7%	0.83×	2.10
Michigan State Spartans +1.5	46.9%	47.6%	39.2%	1.21×	2.10
Tennessee Volunteers −3.5	45.4%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Tennessee Volunteers −4.5	41.6%	42.9%	50.7%	0.85×	2.33
Michigan State Spartans −1.5	39.3%	38.1%	34.6%	1.10×	2.63
Tennessee Volunteers −5.5	37.9%	38.1%	47.0%	0.81×	2.63
Michigan State Spartans −2.5	35.7%	38.1%	32.0%	1.19×	2.63
Tennessee Volunteers −6.5	34.3%	33.3%	44.3%	0.75×	3.01
Michigan State Spartans −3.5	32.2%	33.3%	29.3%	1.14×	3.01
Tennessee Volunteers −7.5	30.9%	33.3%	41.3%	0.80×	3.01
Michigan State Spartans −4.5	28.9%	28.4%	26.3%	1.08×	3.53
Tennessee Volunteers −8.5	27.6%	28.4%	38.5%	0.74×	3.53
Michigan State Spartans −5.5	25.7%	28.4%	23.6%	1.20×	3.53
Tennessee Volunteers −9.5	24.5%	23.5%	35.5%	0.66×	4.25
Michigan State Spartans −6.5	22.7%	23.5%	21.2%	1.11×	4.25
Tennessee Volunteers −10.5	21.7%	23.5%	32.6%	0.72×	4.25
Michigan State Spartans −7.5	20.0%	18.9%	19.0%	0.99×	5.29
Michigan State Spartans −8.5	17.4%	18.9%	16.7%	1.13×	5.29
Tennessee Volunteers −12.5	16.5%	18.9%	27.6%	0.68×	5.30
Michigan State Spartans −9.5	15.1%	18.9%	14.7%	1.29×	5.30
Michigan State Spartans −10.5	13.0%	14.1%	12.8%	1.10×	7.09
Tennessee Volunteers −14.5	12.3%	14.1%	22.8%	0.62×	7.09
Michigan State Spartans −12.5	9.4%	8.9%	10.1%	0.88×	11.25
Tennessee Volunteers −16.5	8.8%	8.9%	19.3%	0.46×	11.25
Michigan State Spartans −14.5	6.6%	8.9%	7.8%	1.14×	11.25
Tennessee Volunteers −18.5	6.2%	8.9%	16.1%	0.55×	11.25
Michigan State Spartans −16.5	4.5%	2.6%	6.0%	0.43×	38.72
Michigan State Spartans −18.5	3.0%	2.6%	4.6%	0.57×	38.73
Tennessee Volunteers −20.5	4.2%	2.6%	13.5%	0.19×	38.72
Michigan State Spartans −20.5	1.9%	2.6%	3.5%	0.75×	38.73

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	78.2%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	76.6%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	23.4%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	21.8%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT	39.6%	37.8%	48.6%	0.78×	2.65
Michigan State Spartans at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	28.9%	29.6%	25.8%	1.15×	3.38
Michigan State Spartans at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT	14.8%	12.2%	12.4%	0.99×	8.17
Tennessee Volunteers at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	12.2%	12.2%	9.3%	1.31×	8.18
Level at HT / Tennessee Volunteers at FT	2.5%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.75
Level at HT / Michigan State Spartans at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers to win	56.9%	55.2%	63.2%	0.87×	1.81
Michigan State Spartans to win	43.1%	44.8%	36.8%	1.22×	2.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.9%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Tennessee Volunteers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Michigan State Spartans even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Tennessee Volunteers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Michigan State Spartans odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.1%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	92.1%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	7.9%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.64

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Michigan State Spartans over 59.5	85.7%	83.9%	84.5%	0.99×	1.19
Tennessee Volunteers over 61.5	84.9%	80.7%	89.0%	0.91×	1.24
Tennessee Volunteers under 81.5	84.4%	80.7%	67.9%	1.19×	1.24
Michigan State Spartans under 79.5	84.6%	80.7%	76.3%	1.06×	1.24
Tennessee Volunteers over 64.5	76.6%	75.1%	83.3%	0.90×	1.33
Michigan State Spartans over 62.5	77.5%	75.1%	76.6%	0.98×	1.33
Michigan State Spartans under 76.5	76.0%	75.1%	67.9%	1.11×	1.33
Tennessee Volunteers under 78.5	75.9%	75.1%	58.4%	1.29×	1.33
Michigan State Spartans over 64.5	70.7%	70.7%	70.7%	1.00×	1.41
Tennessee Volunteers over 66.5	69.9%	66.4%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Tennessee Volunteers under 76.5	69.1%	66.4%	52.3%	1.27×	1.51
Michigan State Spartans under 74.5	69.1%	66.4%	61.7%	1.08×	1.51
Tennessee Volunteers over 68.5	62.5%	61.2%	72.7%	0.84×	1.63
Michigan State Spartans over 66.5	63.2%	61.2%	64.7%	0.95×	1.63
Tennessee Volunteers under 74.5	61.6%	61.2%	45.9%	1.33×	1.63
Michigan State Spartans under 72.5	61.4%	61.2%	55.3%	1.11×	1.63
Michigan State Spartans over 68.5	55.1%	57.1%	58.4%	0.98×	1.75
Tennessee Volunteers over 70.5	54.5%	52.3%	66.7%	0.78×	1.91
Tennessee Volunteers under 72.5	53.6%	52.3%	39.2%	1.33×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans under 70.5	53.2%	52.3%	48.7%	1.07×	1.91
Tennessee Volunteers over 71.5	50.5%	52.3%	63.7%	0.82×	1.91
Michigan State Spartans over 69.5	50.9%	52.3%	54.8%	0.95×	1.91
Tennessee Volunteers under 71.5	49.5%	47.7%	36.3%	1.32×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans under 69.5	49.1%	47.7%	45.2%	1.06×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans over 70.5	46.8%	47.7%	51.4%	0.93×	2.09
Tennessee Volunteers under 70.5	45.5%	47.7%	33.3%	1.43×	2.09
Tennessee Volunteers over 72.5	46.4%	47.7%	60.8%	0.79×	2.09
Michigan State Spartans under 68.5	44.9%	42.9%	41.6%	1.03×	2.33
Tennessee Volunteers over 74.5	38.4%	38.8%	54.1%	0.72×	2.58
Michigan State Spartans over 72.5	38.6%	38.8%	44.7%	0.87×	2.58
Tennessee Volunteers under 68.5	37.5%	38.8%	27.3%	1.42×	2.58
Michigan State Spartans under 66.5	36.8%	38.8%	35.3%	1.10×	2.58
Tennessee Volunteers over 76.5	30.9%	33.6%	47.7%	0.70×	2.98
Michigan State Spartans over 74.5	30.9%	33.6%	38.3%	0.88×	2.98
Tennessee Volunteers under 66.5	30.1%	33.6%	21.3%	1.58×	2.98
Michigan State Spartans under 64.5	29.3%	29.3%	29.3%	1.00×	3.42
Tennessee Volunteers over 78.5	24.1%	24.9%	41.6%	0.60×	4.02
Tennessee Volunteers under 64.5	23.4%	24.9%	16.7%	1.49×	4.02
Michigan State Spartans under 62.5	22.5%	24.9%	23.4%	1.06×	4.02
Michigan State Spartans over 76.5	24.0%	24.9%	32.1%	0.78×	4.02
Tennessee Volunteers over 81.5	15.6%	19.3%	32.1%	0.60×	5.18
Michigan State Spartans over 79.5	15.4%	19.3%	23.7%	0.81×	5.18
Tennessee Volunteers under 61.5	15.1%	19.3%	11.0%	1.76×	5.18
Michigan State Spartans under 59.5	14.3%	16.1%	15.5%	1.04×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 121.5 points	89.3%	85.0%	92.1%	0.92×	1.18
Under 161.5 points	89.6%	85.0%	77.9%	1.09×	1.18
Over 126.5 points	82.4%	80.6%	87.0%	0.93×	1.24
Under 156.5 points	82.8%	80.6%	69.8%	1.15×	1.24
Under 151.5 points	73.8%	70.8%	60.6%	1.17×	1.41
Over 131.5 points	73.0%	70.8%	79.9%	0.89×	1.41
Over 134.5 points	66.6%	65.9%	74.7%	0.88×	1.52
Under 148.5 points	67.2%	65.9%	54.3%	1.21×	1.52
Under 146.5 points	62.6%	61.5%	50.2%	1.23×	1.63
Over 136.5 points	61.9%	61.5%	71.1%	0.86×	1.63
Over 138.5 points	57.1%	56.5%	67.0%	0.84×	1.77
Under 144.5 points	57.8%	56.5%	45.9%	1.23×	1.77
Over 140.5 points	52.1%	52.3%	62.8%	0.83×	1.91
Under 142.5 points	52.9%	52.3%	41.7%	1.26×	1.91
Under 141.5 points	50.5%	52.3%	39.6%	1.32×	1.91
Over 141.5 points	49.5%	47.7%	60.4%	0.79×	2.10
Under 140.5 points	47.9%	47.7%	37.2%	1.28×	2.10
Over 142.5 points	47.1%	47.7%	58.3%	0.82×	2.10
Under 138.5 points	42.9%	43.5%	33.0%	1.32×	2.30
Over 144.5 points	42.2%	43.5%	54.1%	0.80×	2.30
Under 136.5 points	38.1%	38.5%	28.9%	1.34×	2.60
Over 146.5 points	37.4%	38.5%	49.8%	0.77×	2.60
Under 134.5 points	33.4%	34.1%	25.3%	1.35×	2.93
Over 148.5 points	32.8%	34.1%	45.7%	0.75×	2.93
Under 131.5 points	27.0%	29.2%	20.1%	1.45×	3.43
Over 151.5 points	26.2%	29.2%	39.4%	0.74×	3.43
Under 126.5 points	17.6%	19.4%	13.0%	1.49×	5.15
Over 156.5 points	17.2%	19.4%	30.2%	0.64×	5.15
Under 121.5 points	10.7%	15.0%	7.9%	1.90×	6.69
Over 161.5 points	10.4%	15.0%	22.1%	0.68×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers to win both halves	23.3%	23.1%	33.2%	0.70×	4.34
Michigan State Spartans to win both halves	15.4%	18.9%	14.5%	1.30×	5.31

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tennessee Volunteers by 1-5	19.0%	16.8%	16.2%	1.03×	5.97
Michigan State Spartans by 1-5	17.3%	16.8%	13.2%	1.27×	5.97
Tennessee Volunteers by 6-10	16.3%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.97
Michigan State Spartans by 6-10	12.7%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Tennessee Volunteers by 11-15	11.2%	12.3%	11.6%	1.07×	8.11
Michigan State Spartans by 11-15	7.5%	7.5%	6.1%	1.23×	13.40
Tennessee Volunteers by 16-20	6.2%	7.5%	7.6%	0.98×	13.40
Michigan State Spartans by 16-20	3.6%	2.0%	3.3%	0.61×	49.30
Tennessee Volunteers by 21-25	2.8%	2.0%	5.6%	0.36×	49.30
Michigan State Spartans by 21-25	1.4%	2.0%	1.9%	1.06×	49.32
Tennessee Volunteers by 26+	1.4%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.32
Michigan State Spartans by 26+	0.6%	2.0%	1.6%	1.30×	49.32

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