Washington Mystics v Chicago Sky — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 24 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Washington Mystics

19:30

Chicago Sky

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Washington Mystics win

67.6%

Draw

0.0%

Chicago Sky win

32.4%

68032

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	68032	86.48–81.19	86-81 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to score 100+	11.0%	13.8%	12.5%	1.10×	7.25
Chicago Sky to score 100+	4.7%	0.4%	9.8%	0.04×	282.44
Washington Mystics to score 110+	1.5%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.07
Washington Mystics to score 120+	0.1%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.34
Washington Mystics to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Chicago Sky to score 110+	0.5%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.26
Chicago Sky to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.35
Chicago Sky to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	1.4%	0.4%	3.7%	0.09×	283.08

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win H1	59.3%	57.3%	54.2%	1.06×	1.75
Chicago Sky to win H1	36.7%	37.8%	42.2%	0.90×	2.64
H1 tied	4.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 96.5	85.3%	87.7%	84.2%	1.04×	1.14
H1 over 72.5	82.8%	82.5%	83.2%	0.99×	1.21
H1 under 92.5	76.3%	77.4%	78.0%	0.99×	1.29
H1 over 76.5	73.1%	73.5%	73.0%	1.01×	1.36
H1 under 89.5	67.9%	67.4%	70.0%	0.96×	1.48
H1 over 79.5	64.3%	62.7%	64.8%	0.97×	1.59
H1 under 87.5	61.8%	62.7%	63.2%	0.99×	1.59
H1 over 81.5	57.9%	58.2%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72
H1 under 85.5	55.3%	58.2%	56.4%	1.03×	1.72
H1 under 84.5	52.0%	52.6%	52.1%	1.01×	1.90
H1 over 83.5	51.3%	52.6%	51.3%	1.03×	1.90
H1 under 83.5	48.7%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
H1 over 84.5	48.0%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
H1 over 85.5	44.7%	41.8%	43.6%	0.96×	2.39
H1 under 81.5	42.1%	41.8%	41.9%	1.00×	2.39
H1 over 87.5	38.2%	37.3%	36.8%	1.01×	2.68
H1 under 79.5	35.7%	37.3%	35.2%	1.06×	2.68
H1 over 89.5	32.1%	32.6%	30.0%	1.09×	3.07
H1 under 76.5	26.9%	26.5%	27.0%	0.98×	3.77
H1 over 92.5	23.7%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.43
H1 under 72.5	17.2%	17.5%	16.8%	1.04×	5.73
H1 over 96.5	14.7%	12.3%	15.8%	0.78×	8.13

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win H2	59.3%	55.0%	51.1%	1.08×	1.82
Chicago Sky to win H2	36.7%	41.2%	45.3%	0.91×	2.43
H2 tied	4.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 96.5	85.6%	85.2%	82.7%	1.03×	1.17
H2 over 72.5	82.6%	81.8%	82.6%	0.99×	1.22
H2 under 92.5	76.7%	75.8%	73.8%	1.03×	1.32
H2 over 76.5	72.7%	72.2%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
H2 under 89.5	68.4%	66.4%	66.3%	1.00×	1.51
H2 over 79.5	63.9%	61.6%	65.6%	0.94×	1.62
H2 under 87.5	62.2%	61.6%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
H2 over 81.5	57.5%	57.3%	58.1%	0.99×	1.74
H2 under 85.5	55.8%	57.3%	52.3%	1.10×	1.74
H2 under 84.5	52.5%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
H2 over 83.5	50.9%	52.4%	52.3%	1.00×	1.91
H2 under 83.5	49.1%	47.6%	47.7%	1.00×	2.10
H2 over 84.5	47.5%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
H2 over 85.5	44.2%	42.7%	47.7%	0.89×	2.34
H2 under 81.5	42.5%	42.7%	41.9%	1.02×	2.34
H2 over 87.5	37.8%	38.4%	40.1%	0.96×	2.61
H2 under 79.5	36.1%	38.4%	34.4%	1.12×	2.61
H2 over 89.5	31.6%	33.6%	33.7%	1.00×	2.97
H2 under 76.5	27.3%	27.8%	27.9%	1.00×	3.59
H2 over 92.5	23.3%	24.2%	26.2%	0.92×	4.13
H2 under 72.5	17.4%	18.2%	17.4%	1.04×	5.50
H2 over 96.5	14.4%	14.8%	17.3%	0.86×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics leading at half time	59.3%	57.0%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
Chicago Sky leading at half time	36.7%	37.8%	42.2%	0.90×	2.64
Level at half time	4.0%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics +16.5	96.5%	97.4%	91.7%	1.06×	1.03
Washington Mystics +18.5	97.6%	97.4%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Washington Mystics +20.5	98.4%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Washington Mystics +14.5	94.9%	91.1%	88.4%	1.03×	1.10
Washington Mystics +12.5	92.9%	91.1%	86.2%	1.06×	1.10
Washington Mystics +10.5	90.4%	91.1%	83.6%	1.09×	1.10
Washington Mystics +9.5	88.8%	85.9%	80.5%	1.07×	1.16
Chicago Sky +20.5	89.5%	85.9%	90.1%	0.95×	1.16
Washington Mystics +8.5	87.2%	85.9%	78.8%	1.09×	1.16
Washington Mystics +7.5	85.3%	85.9%	75.6%	1.14×	1.16
Chicago Sky +18.5	86.1%	85.9%	86.6%	0.99×	1.16
Washington Mystics +6.5	83.3%	81.1%	72.2%	1.12×	1.23
Chicago Sky +16.5	82.0%	81.1%	83.7%	0.97×	1.23
Washington Mystics +5.5	81.1%	81.1%	69.1%	1.17×	1.23
Washington Mystics +4.5	78.7%	76.5%	65.6%	1.17×	1.31
Chicago Sky +14.5	77.3%	76.5%	80.6%	0.95×	1.31
Washington Mystics +3.5	76.1%	76.5%	62.9%	1.22×	1.31
Washington Mystics +2.5	73.4%	71.6%	60.6%	1.18×	1.40
Chicago Sky +12.5	71.8%	71.6%	76.4%	0.94×	1.40
Washington Mystics +1.5	70.6%	71.6%	57.3%	1.25×	1.40
Chicago Sky +10.5	65.8%	66.7%	72.2%	0.93×	1.50
Washington Mystics −1.5	64.4%	61.9%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
Chicago Sky +9.5	62.6%	61.9%	69.7%	0.89×	1.62
Washington Mystics −2.5	61.1%	61.9%	50.8%	1.22×	1.62
Chicago Sky +8.5	59.4%	57.1%	66.0%	0.87×	1.75
Washington Mystics −3.5	57.7%	57.1%	48.0%	1.19×	1.75
Chicago Sky +7.5	56.0%	57.1%	62.4%	0.91×	1.75
Washington Mystics −4.5	54.3%	52.4%	45.8%	1.14×	1.91
Chicago Sky +6.5	52.6%	52.4%	60.4%	0.87×	1.91
Washington Mystics −5.5	50.8%	52.4%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Chicago Sky +5.5	49.2%	47.6%	57.3%	0.83×	2.10
Washington Mystics −6.5	47.4%	47.6%	39.6%	1.20×	2.10
Chicago Sky +4.5	45.7%	47.6%	54.2%	0.88×	2.10
Washington Mystics −7.5	44.0%	42.9%	37.6%	1.14×	2.33
Chicago Sky +3.5	42.3%	42.9%	52.0%	0.83×	2.33
Washington Mystics −8.5	40.6%	42.9%	34.0%	1.26×	2.33
Chicago Sky +2.5	38.9%	38.1%	49.2%	0.77×	2.63
Washington Mystics −9.5	37.4%	38.1%	30.3%	1.26×	2.63
Chicago Sky +1.5	35.6%	38.1%	47.1%	0.81×	2.63
Washington Mystics −10.5	34.2%	33.3%	27.9%	1.19×	3.01
Chicago Sky −1.5	29.4%	28.4%	42.7%	0.66×	3.53
Washington Mystics −12.5	28.2%	28.4%	23.6%	1.20×	3.53
Chicago Sky −2.5	26.6%	28.4%	39.4%	0.72×	3.53
Chicago Sky −3.5	23.9%	23.5%	37.1%	0.63×	4.25
Washington Mystics −14.5	22.7%	23.5%	19.4%	1.21×	4.25
Chicago Sky −4.5	21.3%	23.5%	34.4%	0.68×	4.25
Chicago Sky −5.5	18.9%	18.9%	30.9%	0.61×	5.29
Chicago Sky −6.5	16.7%	18.9%	27.9%	0.68×	5.29
Washington Mystics −16.5	18.0%	18.9%	16.3%	1.16×	5.29
Chicago Sky −7.5	14.7%	14.1%	24.4%	0.58×	7.09
Washington Mystics −18.5	13.9%	14.1%	13.4%	1.06×	7.09
Chicago Sky −8.5	12.8%	14.1%	21.2%	0.67×	7.09
Chicago Sky −9.5	11.2%	14.1%	19.5%	0.72×	7.09
Washington Mystics −20.5	10.5%	14.1%	9.9%	1.42×	7.09
Chicago Sky −10.5	9.6%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Chicago Sky −12.5	7.1%	8.9%	13.8%	0.64×	11.25
Chicago Sky −14.5	5.1%	8.9%	11.6%	0.77×	11.25
Chicago Sky −16.5	3.5%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.73
Chicago Sky −18.5	2.4%	2.6%	6.7%	0.39×	38.73
Chicago Sky −20.5	1.6%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.5%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.5%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.5%	22.4%	23.8%	0.94×	4.46
Q2 highest scoring	21.9%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	50.1%	51.1%	41.9%	1.22×	1.96
Chicago Sky at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	21.8%	24.4%	30.9%	0.79×	4.10
Chicago Sky at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	15.0%	12.2%	11.4%	1.07×	8.17
Washington Mystics at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	9.2%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.08
Level at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	2.6%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Chicago Sky at FT	1.4%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win	67.6%	64.5%	55.0%	1.17×	1.55
Chicago Sky to win	32.4%	35.5%	45.0%	0.79×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.6%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Washington Mystics even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Chicago Sky even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Washington Mystics odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Chicago Sky odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	48.4%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.9%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.1%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.38

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q1	54.9%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Chicago Sky to win Q1	39.7%	38.3%	43.0%	0.89×	2.61
Q1 tied	5.4%	5.5%	4.7%	1.16×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 34.5	84.5%	82.8%	83.6%	0.99×	1.21
Q1 under 50.5	84.6%	82.8%	84.9%	0.98×	1.21
Q1 under 47.5	73.8%	72.7%	73.3%	0.99×	1.38
Q1 over 37.5	73.7%	72.7%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Q1 under 45.5	64.9%	61.7%	64.3%	0.96×	1.62
Q1 over 39.5	64.8%	61.7%	63.8%	0.97×	1.62
Q1 under 43.5	55.1%	58.6%	53.7%	1.09×	1.71
Q1 over 41.5	55.0%	52.7%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Q1 under 42.5	50.1%	52.7%	50.8%	1.04×	1.90
Q1 over 42.5	49.9%	47.3%	49.2%	0.96×	2.11
Q1 under 41.5	45.0%	47.3%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
Q1 over 43.5	44.9%	41.4%	46.3%	0.89×	2.42
Q1 under 39.5	35.2%	38.3%	36.2%	1.06×	2.61
Q1 over 45.5	35.1%	38.3%	35.7%	1.07×	2.61
Q1 under 37.5	26.3%	27.3%	27.2%	1.00×	3.66
Q1 over 47.5	26.2%	27.3%	26.7%	1.02×	3.66
Q1 under 34.5	15.5%	17.2%	16.5%	1.04×	5.83
Q1 over 50.5	15.4%	17.2%	15.1%	1.13×	5.83

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q2	54.6%	51.4%	51.8%	0.99×	1.95
Chicago Sky to win Q2	40.1%	43.8%	45.0%	0.98×	2.28
Q2 tied	5.3%	6.1%	3.4%	1.77×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 49.5	85.4%	87.3%	85.5%	1.02×	1.15
Q2 over 33.5	84.8%	83.0%	83.2%	1.00×	1.21
Q2 under 46.5	74.6%	72.0%	75.4%	0.95×	1.39
Q2 over 36.5	73.8%	72.0%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
Q2 under 44.5	65.6%	67.4%	66.9%	1.01×	1.49
Q2 over 38.5	64.7%	60.7%	65.1%	0.93×	1.65
Q2 under 42.5	55.6%	58.2%	54.7%	1.06×	1.72
Q2 over 40.5	54.7%	52.7%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Q2 under 41.5	50.5%	52.7%	49.8%	1.06×	1.90
Q2 over 41.5	49.5%	47.3%	50.2%	0.94×	2.11
Q2 under 40.5	45.3%	47.3%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11
Q2 over 42.5	44.4%	41.8%	45.3%	0.92×	2.39
Q2 under 38.5	35.3%	39.3%	34.9%	1.13×	2.55
Q2 over 44.5	34.4%	32.6%	33.1%	0.99×	3.06
Q2 under 36.5	26.2%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 over 46.5	25.4%	28.0%	24.6%	1.14×	3.57
Q2 under 33.5	15.2%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
Q2 over 49.5	14.6%	12.7%	14.5%	0.87×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q3	55.0%	56.8%	48.2%	1.18×	1.76
Chicago Sky to win Q3	39.4%	38.8%	46.4%	0.84×	2.58
Q3 tied	5.6%	5.3%	5.5%	0.95×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 34.5	84.8%	82.3%	84.4%	0.98×	1.22
Q3 under 50.5	84.6%	82.3%	86.2%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 over 37.5	74.1%	71.8%	73.1%	0.98×	1.39
Q3 under 47.5	73.8%	71.8%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Q3 over 39.5	65.1%	67.8%	64.8%	1.05×	1.48
Q3 under 45.5	64.8%	62.0%	64.2%	0.97×	1.61
Q3 over 41.5	55.3%	58.4%	54.9%	1.06×	1.71
Q3 under 43.5	54.9%	52.3%	54.2%	0.96×	1.91
Q3 over 42.5	50.2%	52.3%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
Q3 under 42.5	49.8%	47.7%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Q3 over 43.5	45.1%	47.7%	45.8%	1.04×	2.10
Q3 under 41.5	44.7%	41.6%	45.1%	0.92×	2.40
Q3 over 45.5	35.2%	38.0%	35.8%	1.06×	2.63
Q3 under 39.5	34.9%	32.2%	35.2%	0.92×	3.10
Q3 over 47.5	26.2%	28.2%	26.4%	1.07×	3.55
Q3 under 37.5	25.9%	28.2%	26.9%	1.05×	3.55
Q3 over 50.5	15.4%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.66
Q3 under 34.5	15.2%	17.7%	15.6%	1.13×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q4	54.6%	51.4%	52.6%	0.98×	1.94
Chicago Sky to win Q4	40.1%	43.0%	42.5%	1.01×	2.32
Q4 tied	5.3%	5.8%	5.0%	1.15×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 49.5	84.3%	82.0%	82.6%	0.99×	1.22
Q4 over 33.5	82.7%	82.0%	80.6%	1.02×	1.22
Q4 under 46.5	74.0%	71.5%	70.8%	1.01×	1.40
Q4 over 36.5	71.8%	71.5%	70.2%	1.02×	1.40
Q4 under 44.5	65.5%	67.4%	63.5%	1.06×	1.48
Q4 over 38.5	63.0%	61.4%	62.4%	0.98×	1.63
Q4 under 42.5	56.2%	58.4%	55.2%	1.06×	1.71
Q4 over 40.5	53.5%	52.5%	52.8%	0.99×	1.91
Q4 under 41.5	51.3%	52.5%	52.6%	1.00×	1.91
Q4 over 41.5	48.7%	47.5%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
Q4 under 40.5	46.5%	47.5%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
Q4 over 42.5	43.8%	41.6%	44.8%	0.93×	2.40
Q4 under 38.5	37.0%	38.6%	37.6%	1.03×	2.59
Q4 over 44.5	34.5%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Q4 under 36.5	28.2%	28.5%	29.8%	0.96×	3.51
Q4 over 46.5	26.0%	28.5%	29.2%	0.98×	3.51
Q4 under 33.5	17.3%	18.0%	19.4%	0.93×	5.56
Q4 over 49.5	15.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics over 76.5	82.9%	80.7%	77.0%	1.05×	1.24
Washington Mystics under 96.5	82.7%	80.7%	81.3%	0.99×	1.24
Chicago Sky under 91.5	82.9%	80.7%	78.3%	1.03×	1.24
Chicago Sky over 71.5	81.0%	80.7%	83.2%	0.97×	1.24
Chicago Sky under 88.5	75.0%	75.1%	68.1%	1.10×	1.33
Washington Mystics over 79.5	74.8%	70.7%	69.1%	1.02×	1.41
Washington Mystics under 93.5	74.4%	70.7%	73.9%	0.96×	1.41
Chicago Sky over 74.5	72.6%	70.7%	77.9%	0.91×	1.41
Washington Mystics over 81.5	68.4%	66.4%	63.2%	1.05×	1.51
Chicago Sky under 86.5	68.9%	66.4%	60.6%	1.10×	1.51
Washington Mystics under 91.5	68.0%	66.4%	68.6%	0.97×	1.51
Chicago Sky over 76.5	66.2%	66.4%	72.5%	0.92×	1.51
Chicago Sky under 84.5	62.2%	61.2%	53.1%	1.15×	1.63
Washington Mystics over 83.5	61.4%	61.2%	55.0%	1.11×	1.63
Washington Mystics under 89.5	60.9%	61.2%	63.2%	0.97×	1.63
Chicago Sky over 78.5	59.3%	57.1%	65.0%	0.88×	1.75
Chicago Sky under 82.5	55.1%	57.1%	47.7%	1.20×	1.75
Washington Mystics over 85.5	54.0%	52.3%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
Washington Mystics under 87.5	53.5%	52.3%	58.3%	0.90×	1.91
Chicago Sky over 80.5	52.1%	52.3%	58.8%	0.89×	1.91
Chicago Sky under 81.5	51.5%	52.3%	45.0%	1.16×	1.91
Washington Mystics over 86.5	50.3%	52.3%	44.6%	1.17×	1.91
Washington Mystics under 86.5	49.7%	47.7%	55.4%	0.86×	2.09
Washington Mystics over 87.5	46.5%	47.7%	41.7%	1.15×	2.09
Chicago Sky under 80.5	47.9%	47.7%	41.2%	1.16×	2.09
Chicago Sky over 81.5	48.5%	47.7%	55.0%	0.87×	2.09
Washington Mystics under 85.5	46.0%	47.7%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Chicago Sky over 82.5	44.9%	42.9%	52.3%	0.82×	2.33
Chicago Sky under 78.5	40.7%	42.9%	35.0%	1.22×	2.33
Washington Mystics under 83.5	38.6%	38.8%	45.0%	0.86×	2.58
Washington Mystics over 89.5	39.1%	38.8%	36.8%	1.05×	2.58
Chicago Sky over 84.5	37.8%	38.8%	46.9%	0.83×	2.58
Chicago Sky under 76.5	33.8%	33.6%	27.5%	1.22×	2.98
Washington Mystics over 91.5	32.0%	33.6%	31.4%	1.07×	2.98
Washington Mystics under 81.5	31.6%	33.6%	36.8%	0.91×	2.98
Chicago Sky over 86.5	31.1%	33.6%	39.4%	0.85×	2.98
Chicago Sky under 74.5	27.4%	29.3%	22.2%	1.32×	3.42
Washington Mystics over 93.5	25.6%	29.3%	26.1%	1.12×	3.42
Washington Mystics under 79.5	25.2%	29.3%	30.9%	0.95×	3.42
Chicago Sky over 88.5	25.0%	24.9%	31.9%	0.78×	4.02
Chicago Sky under 71.5	19.0%	19.3%	16.8%	1.15×	5.18
Washington Mystics under 76.5	17.1%	19.3%	23.0%	0.84×	5.18
Washington Mystics over 96.5	17.3%	19.3%	18.7%	1.03×	5.18
Chicago Sky over 91.5	17.1%	19.3%	21.7%	0.89×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 147.5 points	87.1%	85.0%	86.3%	0.99×	1.18
Under 187.5 points	86.8%	85.0%	84.4%	1.01×	1.18
Over 152.5 points	80.3%	80.6%	78.2%	1.03×	1.24
Under 182.5 points	79.8%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
Over 157.5 points	71.6%	70.8%	72.0%	0.98×	1.41
Under 177.5 points	71.0%	70.8%	67.8%	1.05×	1.41
Over 160.5 points	65.7%	65.9%	66.1%	1.00×	1.52
Under 174.5 points	64.9%	61.5%	63.2%	0.97×	1.63
Over 162.5 points	61.4%	61.5%	61.4%	1.00×	1.63
Under 172.5 points	60.7%	61.5%	60.3%	1.02×	1.63
Over 164.5 points	57.1%	56.5%	58.3%	0.97×	1.77
Under 170.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	55.4%	1.02×	1.77
Over 166.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	53.1%	0.99×	1.91
Under 168.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
Over 167.5 points	50.3%	52.3%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Under 167.5 points	49.7%	47.7%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Under 166.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	46.9%	1.02×	2.10
Over 168.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Under 164.5 points	42.9%	43.5%	41.7%	1.04×	2.30
Over 170.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	44.6%	0.97×	2.30
Over 172.5 points	39.3%	38.5%	39.7%	0.97×	2.60
Under 162.5 points	38.6%	38.5%	38.6%	1.00×	2.60
Over 174.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	36.8%	1.05×	2.60
Under 160.5 points	34.3%	34.1%	33.9%	1.01×	2.93
Over 177.5 points	29.0%	29.2%	32.2%	0.90×	3.43
Under 157.5 points	28.4%	29.2%	28.0%	1.04×	3.43
Over 182.5 points	20.2%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10
Under 152.5 points	19.7%	19.4%	21.8%	0.89×	5.15
Over 187.5 points	13.2%	15.0%	15.6%	0.96×	6.69
Under 147.5 points	12.9%	15.0%	13.7%	1.09×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win both halves	32.5%	31.2%	25.7%	1.21×	3.20
Chicago Sky to win both halves	11.1%	14.0%	17.9%	0.78×	7.13

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics by 1-5	16.8%	16.8%	12.5%	1.34×	5.97
Washington Mystics by 6-10	16.6%	16.8%	15.0%	1.12×	5.97
Chicago Sky by 1-5	13.5%	12.3%	14.2%	0.87×	8.11
Washington Mystics by 11-15	13.9%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Washington Mystics by 16-20	9.8%	7.5%	8.0%	0.94×	13.40
Chicago Sky by 6-10	9.3%	7.5%	14.7%	0.51×	13.40
Washington Mystics by 21-25	5.8%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Chicago Sky by 11-15	5.4%	7.5%	6.5%	1.15×	13.40
Washington Mystics by 26+	4.7%	2.0%	5.2%	0.39×	49.29
Chicago Sky by 16-20	2.6%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.30
Chicago Sky by 21-25	1.1%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.32
Chicago Sky by 26+	0.5%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.32

Washington Mystics v Chicago Sky — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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