Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 22 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Washington Mystics

19:30

Connecticut Sun

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Washington Mystics win

80.9%

Draw

0.0%

Connecticut Sun win

19.1%

81019

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	81019	84.23–74.07	84-74 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to score 100+	7.5%	8.8%	12.5%	0.70×	11.37
Washington Mystics to score 110+	0.8%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.19
Washington Mystics to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.35
Washington Mystics to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Connecticut Sun to score 100+	1.0%	0.4%	9.8%	0.04×	283.16
Connecticut Sun to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.34
Connecticut Sun to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
Connecticut Sun to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.3%	0.4%	3.7%	0.09×	283.30

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win H1	69.0%	68.3%	54.2%	1.26×	1.46
Connecticut Sun to win H1	27.4%	26.5%	42.2%	0.63×	3.77
H1 tied	3.6%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 91.5	84.7%	82.5%	76.1%	1.09×	1.21
H1 over 67.5	83.6%	82.5%	91.7%	0.90×	1.21
H1 under 87.5	75.5%	77.4%	63.2%	1.23×	1.29
H1 over 71.5	74.0%	73.5%	85.5%	0.86×	1.36
H1 under 84.5	67.0%	67.4%	52.1%	1.29×	1.48
H1 over 74.5	65.3%	67.4%	78.5%	0.86×	1.48
H1 under 82.5	60.8%	62.7%	45.8%	1.37×	1.59
H1 over 76.5	59.0%	58.2%	73.0%	0.80×	1.72
H1 under 80.5	54.2%	52.6%	38.9%	1.35×	1.90
H1 over 78.5	52.4%	52.6%	66.9%	0.79×	1.90
H1 under 79.5	50.9%	52.6%	35.2%	1.50×	1.90
H1 over 79.5	49.1%	47.4%	64.8%	0.73×	2.11
H1 under 78.5	47.6%	47.4%	33.1%	1.43×	2.11
H1 over 80.5	45.8%	47.4%	61.1%	0.78×	2.11
H1 under 76.5	41.0%	41.8%	27.0%	1.55×	2.39
H1 over 82.5	39.2%	37.3%	54.2%	0.69×	2.68
H1 under 74.5	34.7%	32.6%	21.5%	1.52×	3.07
H1 over 84.5	33.0%	32.6%	47.9%	0.68×	3.07
H1 under 71.5	26.0%	26.5%	14.5%	1.83×	3.77
H1 over 87.5	24.5%	22.6%	36.8%	0.61×	4.43
H1 under 67.5	16.4%	17.5%	8.3%	2.10×	5.73
H1 over 91.5	15.3%	17.5%	23.9%	0.73×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win H2	69.0%	62.8%	51.1%	1.23×	1.59
Connecticut Sun to win H2	27.4%	31.3%	45.3%	0.69×	3.20
H2 tied	3.6%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 91.5	84.9%	81.8%	72.3%	1.13×	1.22
H2 over 67.5	83.3%	81.8%	90.7%	0.90×	1.22
H2 under 87.5	75.8%	75.8%	59.9%	1.26×	1.32
H2 over 71.5	73.7%	72.2%	83.9%	0.86×	1.39
H2 under 84.5	67.4%	66.4%	49.7%	1.34×	1.51
H2 over 74.5	64.9%	61.6%	77.0%	0.80×	1.62
H2 under 82.5	61.2%	61.6%	43.5%	1.42×	1.62
H2 over 76.5	58.6%	57.3%	72.2%	0.79×	1.74
H2 under 80.5	54.7%	52.4%	37.6%	1.39×	1.91
H2 over 78.5	52.0%	52.4%	67.6%	0.77×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	51.3%	52.4%	34.4%	1.52×	1.91
H2 over 79.5	48.7%	47.6%	65.6%	0.73×	2.10
H2 under 78.5	48.0%	47.6%	32.4%	1.47×	2.10
H2 over 80.5	45.3%	47.6%	62.4%	0.76×	2.10
H2 under 76.5	41.4%	42.7%	27.9%	1.53×	2.34
H2 over 82.5	38.8%	38.4%	56.5%	0.68×	2.61
H2 under 74.5	35.1%	38.4%	23.0%	1.67×	2.61
H2 over 84.5	32.6%	33.6%	50.3%	0.67×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	26.3%	27.8%	16.1%	1.73×	3.59
H2 over 87.5	24.2%	24.2%	40.1%	0.60×	4.13
H2 under 67.5	16.7%	18.2%	9.3%	1.96×	5.50
H2 over 91.5	15.1%	18.2%	27.7%	0.66×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics leading at half time	69.0%	68.4%	54.2%	1.26×	1.46
Connecticut Sun leading at half time	27.4%	26.5%	42.2%	0.63×	3.78
Level at half time	3.6%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics +20.5	99.5%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Washington Mystics +10.5	95.7%	97.4%	83.6%	1.17×	1.03
Washington Mystics +12.5	97.0%	97.4%	86.2%	1.13×	1.03
Washington Mystics +14.5	98.0%	97.4%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Washington Mystics +16.5	98.7%	97.4%	91.7%	1.06×	1.03
Washington Mystics +18.5	99.2%	97.4%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Washington Mystics +9.5	94.9%	91.1%	80.5%	1.13×	1.10
Washington Mystics +7.5	92.8%	91.1%	75.6%	1.21×	1.10
Washington Mystics +8.5	93.9%	91.1%	78.8%	1.16×	1.10
Washington Mystics +5.5	90.2%	91.1%	69.1%	1.32×	1.10
Washington Mystics +6.5	91.6%	91.1%	72.2%	1.26×	1.10
Washington Mystics +4.5	88.7%	85.9%	65.6%	1.31×	1.16
Washington Mystics +3.5	87.0%	85.9%	62.9%	1.37×	1.16
Washington Mystics +2.5	85.1%	85.9%	60.6%	1.42×	1.16
Washington Mystics +1.5	83.1%	81.1%	57.3%	1.41×	1.23
Connecticut Sun +20.5	80.2%	81.1%	90.1%	0.90×	1.23
Washington Mystics −1.5	78.3%	76.5%	52.9%	1.44×	1.31
Washington Mystics −2.5	75.6%	76.5%	50.8%	1.50×	1.31
Connecticut Sun +18.5	75.2%	76.5%	86.6%	0.88×	1.31
Washington Mystics −3.5	72.8%	71.6%	48.0%	1.49×	1.40
Washington Mystics −4.5	69.8%	66.7%	45.8%	1.46×	1.50
Connecticut Sun +16.5	69.5%	66.7%	83.7%	0.80×	1.50
Washington Mystics −5.5	66.7%	66.7%	42.7%	1.56×	1.50
Washington Mystics −6.5	63.5%	61.9%	39.6%	1.56×	1.62
Connecticut Sun +14.5	63.4%	61.9%	80.6%	0.77×	1.62
Washington Mystics −7.5	60.2%	61.9%	37.6%	1.65×	1.62
Washington Mystics −8.5	56.8%	57.1%	34.0%	1.68×	1.75
Connecticut Sun +12.5	56.8%	57.1%	76.4%	0.75×	1.75
Washington Mystics −9.5	53.4%	52.4%	30.3%	1.73×	1.91
Connecticut Sun +10.5	50.0%	52.4%	72.2%	0.73×	1.91
Washington Mystics −10.5	50.0%	47.6%	27.9%	1.71×	2.10
Connecticut Sun +9.5	46.6%	47.6%	69.7%	0.68×	2.10
Connecticut Sun +8.5	43.2%	42.9%	66.0%	0.65×	2.33
Washington Mystics −12.5	43.2%	42.9%	23.6%	1.82×	2.33
Connecticut Sun +7.5	39.8%	38.1%	62.4%	0.61×	2.63
Connecticut Sun +6.5	36.5%	38.1%	60.4%	0.63×	2.63
Washington Mystics −14.5	36.6%	38.1%	19.4%	1.97×	2.63
Connecticut Sun +5.5	33.3%	33.3%	57.3%	0.58×	3.01
Connecticut Sun +4.5	30.2%	33.3%	54.2%	0.61×	3.01
Washington Mystics −16.5	30.5%	33.3%	16.3%	2.04×	3.01
Connecticut Sun +3.5	27.2%	28.4%	52.0%	0.55×	3.53
Connecticut Sun +2.5	24.4%	23.5%	49.2%	0.48×	4.25
Washington Mystics −18.5	24.8%	23.5%	13.4%	1.76×	4.25
Connecticut Sun +1.5	21.7%	23.5%	47.1%	0.50×	4.25
Washington Mystics −20.5	19.8%	18.9%	9.9%	1.90×	5.29
Connecticut Sun −1.5	16.9%	18.9%	42.7%	0.44×	5.29
Connecticut Sun −2.5	14.9%	14.1%	39.4%	0.36×	7.09
Connecticut Sun −3.5	13.0%	14.1%	37.1%	0.38×	7.09
Connecticut Sun −4.5	11.3%	14.1%	34.4%	0.41×	7.09
Connecticut Sun −5.5	9.8%	8.9%	30.9%	0.29×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −6.5	8.4%	8.9%	27.9%	0.32×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −7.5	7.2%	8.9%	24.4%	0.36×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −8.5	6.1%	8.9%	21.2%	0.42×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −9.5	5.1%	8.9%	19.5%	0.45×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −10.5	4.3%	2.6%	16.5%	0.16×	38.72
Connecticut Sun −12.5	3.0%	2.6%	13.8%	0.19×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −14.5	2.0%	2.6%	11.6%	0.22×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −16.5	1.3%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −18.5	0.9%	2.6%	6.7%	0.39×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −20.5	0.5%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.4%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.3%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.7%	22.5%	23.8%	0.94×	4.45
Q2 highest scoring	22.0%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	63.1%	62.3%	41.9%	1.49×	1.61
Connecticut Sun at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	15.1%	15.4%	11.4%	1.35×	6.47
Connecticut Sun at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	12.4%	12.2%	30.9%	0.40×	8.17
Washington Mystics at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	5.9%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.10
Level at HT / Washington Mystics at FT	2.7%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	0.9%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win	80.9%	80.9%	55.0%	1.47×	1.24
Connecticut Sun to win	19.1%	19.1%	45.0%	0.43×	5.23

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Connecticut Sun even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Total points odd	51.2%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Washington Mystics odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Connecticut Sun odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	48.8%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.7%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.3%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.43

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q1	61.7%	64.9%	52.4%	1.24×	1.54
Connecticut Sun to win Q1	33.1%	30.4%	43.0%	0.71×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.2%	5.5%	4.7%	1.16×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 48.5	85.7%	87.4%	77.9%	1.12×	1.14
Q1 over 32.5	83.4%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 under 45.5	75.3%	76.9%	64.3%	1.20×	1.30
Q1 over 35.5	72.2%	72.7%	80.6%	0.90×	1.38
Q1 under 43.5	66.6%	67.6%	53.7%	1.26×	1.48
Q1 over 37.5	63.0%	61.7%	72.8%	0.85×	1.62
Q1 under 41.5	57.0%	58.6%	46.3%	1.27×	1.71
Q1 over 39.5	53.1%	52.7%	63.8%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 under 40.5	51.9%	52.7%	40.9%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 over 40.5	48.1%	47.3%	59.1%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 under 39.5	46.9%	47.3%	36.2%	1.31×	2.11
Q1 over 41.5	43.0%	41.4%	53.7%	0.77×	2.42
Q1 under 37.5	37.0%	38.3%	27.2%	1.41×	2.61
Q1 over 43.5	33.4%	32.4%	46.3%	0.70×	3.08
Q1 under 35.5	27.8%	27.3%	19.4%	1.41×	3.66
Q1 over 45.5	24.7%	23.1%	35.7%	0.65×	4.33
Q1 under 32.5	16.6%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 over 48.5	14.3%	12.6%	22.2%	0.57×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q2	61.0%	61.9%	51.8%	1.19×	1.62
Connecticut Sun to win Q2	33.9%	31.8%	45.0%	0.71×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.1%	6.1%	3.4%	1.77×	16.51

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 47.5	86.3%	87.3%	79.2%	1.10×	1.15
Q2 over 31.5	83.9%	83.0%	90.4%	0.92×	1.21
Q2 under 44.5	75.9%	76.8%	66.9%	1.15×	1.30
Q2 over 34.5	72.6%	72.0%	80.9%	0.89×	1.39
Q2 under 42.5	67.1%	67.4%	54.7%	1.23×	1.49
Q2 over 36.5	63.3%	60.7%	74.6%	0.81×	1.65
Q2 under 40.5	57.2%	58.2%	45.1%	1.29×	1.72
Q2 over 38.5	53.1%	52.7%	65.1%	0.81×	1.90
Q2 under 39.5	52.0%	52.7%	39.4%	1.34×	1.90
Q2 over 39.5	48.0%	47.3%	60.6%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 under 38.5	46.9%	47.3%	34.9%	1.36×	2.11
Q2 over 40.5	42.8%	41.8%	54.9%	0.76×	2.39
Q2 under 36.5	36.7%	39.3%	25.4%	1.55×	2.55
Q2 over 42.5	32.9%	32.6%	45.3%	0.72×	3.06
Q2 under 34.5	27.4%	28.0%	19.1%	1.47×	3.57
Q2 over 44.5	24.1%	23.2%	33.1%	0.70×	4.31
Q2 under 31.5	16.1%	17.0%	9.6%	1.77×	5.89
Q2 over 47.5	13.7%	12.7%	20.8%	0.61×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q3	62.0%	60.9%	48.2%	1.26×	1.64
Connecticut Sun to win Q3	32.7%	33.8%	46.4%	0.73×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.3%	5.3%	5.5%	0.95×	18.98

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 48.5	85.7%	87.2%	78.0%	1.12×	1.15
Q3 over 32.5	83.7%	82.3%	89.7%	0.92×	1.22
Q3 under 45.5	75.3%	77.3%	64.2%	1.20×	1.29
Q3 over 35.5	72.5%	71.8%	82.1%	0.87×	1.39
Q3 under 43.5	66.5%	67.8%	54.2%	1.25×	1.48
Q3 over 37.5	63.4%	62.0%	73.1%	0.85×	1.61
Q3 under 41.5	56.8%	58.4%	45.1%	1.29×	1.71
Q3 over 39.5	53.4%	52.3%	64.8%	0.81×	1.91
Q3 under 40.5	51.7%	52.3%	38.8%	1.35×	1.91
Q3 over 40.5	48.3%	47.7%	61.2%	0.78×	2.10
Q3 under 39.5	46.6%	47.7%	35.2%	1.36×	2.10
Q3 over 41.5	43.2%	41.6%	54.9%	0.76×	2.40
Q3 under 37.5	36.6%	38.0%	26.9%	1.42×	2.63
Q3 over 43.5	33.5%	32.2%	45.8%	0.70×	3.10
Q3 under 35.5	27.5%	28.2%	17.9%	1.57×	3.55
Q3 over 45.5	24.7%	22.7%	35.8%	0.63×	4.40
Q3 under 32.5	16.3%	17.7%	10.3%	1.72×	5.66
Q3 over 48.5	14.3%	12.8%	22.0%	0.58×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win Q4	61.1%	57.8%	52.6%	1.10×	1.73
Connecticut Sun to win Q4	33.8%	37.4%	42.5%	0.88×	2.67
Q4 tied	5.1%	5.8%	5.0%	1.15×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 47.5	85.2%	85.6%	75.7%	1.13×	1.17
Q4 over 31.5	81.7%	82.0%	88.1%	0.93×	1.22
Q4 under 44.5	75.1%	76.9%	63.5%	1.21×	1.30
Q4 over 34.5	70.5%	71.5%	76.2%	0.94×	1.40
Q4 under 42.5	66.8%	67.4%	55.2%	1.22×	1.48
Q4 over 36.5	61.6%	61.4%	70.2%	0.88×	1.63
Q4 under 40.5	57.6%	58.4%	47.2%	1.24×	1.71
Q4 under 39.5	52.8%	52.5%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Q4 over 38.5	52.1%	52.5%	62.4%	0.84×	1.91
Q4 under 38.5	47.9%	47.5%	37.6%	1.26×	2.11
Q4 over 39.5	47.2%	47.5%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q4 over 40.5	42.4%	41.6%	52.8%	0.79×	2.40
Q4 under 36.5	38.4%	38.6%	29.8%	1.29×	2.59
Q4 over 42.5	33.2%	32.6%	44.8%	0.73×	3.07
Q4 under 34.5	29.5%	28.5%	23.8%	1.20×	3.51
Q4 over 44.5	24.9%	23.1%	36.5%	0.63×	4.33
Q4 under 31.5	18.3%	18.0%	11.9%	1.51×	5.56
Q4 over 47.5	14.8%	14.4%	24.3%	0.59×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics under 94.5	83.2%	80.7%	75.6%	1.07×	1.24
Connecticut Sun under 84.5	83.3%	80.7%	53.1%	1.52×	1.24
Washington Mystics over 74.5	82.5%	80.7%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
Connecticut Sun over 64.5	80.7%	80.7%	92.2%	0.88×	1.24
Washington Mystics under 91.5	75.1%	75.1%	68.6%	1.10×	1.33
Connecticut Sun under 81.5	75.6%	75.1%	45.0%	1.67×	1.33
Washington Mystics over 77.5	74.3%	70.7%	74.8%	0.95×	1.41
Connecticut Sun over 67.5	72.3%	70.7%	89.7%	0.79×	1.41
Washington Mystics under 89.5	68.7%	66.4%	63.2%	1.05×	1.51
Connecticut Sun under 79.5	69.5%	66.4%	38.6%	1.72×	1.51
Washington Mystics over 79.5	67.8%	66.4%	69.1%	0.96×	1.51
Connecticut Sun over 69.5	65.8%	66.4%	86.8%	0.76×	1.51
Connecticut Sun under 77.5	62.8%	61.2%	30.9%	1.98×	1.63
Washington Mystics over 81.5	60.7%	61.2%	63.2%	0.97×	1.63
Washington Mystics under 87.5	61.7%	61.2%	58.3%	1.05×	1.63
Connecticut Sun over 71.5	58.9%	57.1%	83.2%	0.69×	1.75
Connecticut Sun under 75.5	55.7%	57.1%	24.8%	2.31×	1.75
Washington Mystics under 85.5	54.3%	52.3%	51.5%	1.02×	1.91
Washington Mystics over 83.5	53.3%	52.3%	55.0%	0.95×	1.91
Connecticut Sun over 73.5	51.6%	52.3%	79.2%	0.66×	1.91
Connecticut Sun under 74.5	52.1%	52.3%	22.2%	2.36×	1.91
Washington Mystics under 84.5	50.5%	52.3%	48.0%	1.09×	1.91
Washington Mystics over 84.5	49.5%	47.7%	52.0%	0.92×	2.09
Washington Mystics under 83.5	46.7%	47.7%	45.0%	1.06×	2.09
Connecticut Sun under 73.5	48.4%	47.7%	20.8%	2.29×	2.09
Connecticut Sun over 74.5	47.9%	47.7%	77.9%	0.61×	2.09
Washington Mystics over 85.5	45.7%	47.7%	48.5%	0.98×	2.09
Connecticut Sun over 75.5	44.3%	42.9%	75.2%	0.57×	2.33
Connecticut Sun under 71.5	41.1%	42.9%	16.8%	2.56×	2.33
Washington Mystics under 81.5	39.3%	38.8%	36.8%	1.05×	2.58
Washington Mystics over 87.5	38.3%	38.8%	41.7%	0.93×	2.58
Connecticut Sun over 77.5	37.2%	38.8%	69.1%	0.56×	2.58
Connecticut Sun under 69.5	34.2%	33.6%	13.2%	2.55×	2.98
Washington Mystics under 79.5	32.2%	33.6%	30.9%	1.09×	2.98
Washington Mystics over 89.5	31.3%	33.6%	36.8%	0.91×	2.98
Connecticut Sun over 79.5	30.5%	33.6%	61.4%	0.55×	2.98
Connecticut Sun under 67.5	27.7%	29.3%	10.3%	2.85×	3.42
Washington Mystics under 77.5	25.7%	29.3%	25.2%	1.16×	3.42
Washington Mystics over 91.5	24.9%	24.9%	31.4%	0.79×	4.02
Connecticut Sun over 81.5	24.4%	24.9%	55.0%	0.45×	4.02
Connecticut Sun under 64.5	19.3%	19.3%	7.8%	2.47×	5.18
Washington Mystics under 74.5	17.5%	19.3%	16.6%	1.16×	5.18
Washington Mystics over 94.5	16.8%	19.3%	24.4%	0.79×	5.18
Connecticut Sun over 84.5	16.7%	19.3%	46.9%	0.41×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 178.5 points	87.2%	85.0%	70.5%	1.21×	1.18
Over 138.5 points	86.8%	85.0%	94.5%	0.90×	1.18
Under 173.5 points	80.4%	80.6%	62.2%	1.29×	1.24
Over 143.5 points	79.8%	75.6%	90.6%	0.84×	1.32
Under 168.5 points	71.6%	70.8%	50.8%	1.39×	1.41
Over 148.5 points	71.0%	70.8%	84.9%	0.83×	1.41
Under 165.5 points	65.7%	65.9%	44.8%	1.47×	1.52
Over 151.5 points	64.9%	61.5%	79.6%	0.77×	1.63
Under 163.5 points	61.5%	61.5%	40.6%	1.52×	1.63
Over 153.5 points	60.6%	61.5%	76.5%	0.80×	1.63
Under 161.5 points	57.1%	56.5%	35.7%	1.58×	1.77
Over 155.5 points	56.3%	56.5%	73.9%	0.76×	1.77
Over 157.5 points	51.8%	52.3%	72.0%	0.73×	1.91
Under 159.5 points	52.7%	52.3%	31.4%	1.66×	1.91
Under 158.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	29.5%	1.78×	1.91
Over 158.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	70.5%	0.68×	2.10
Under 157.5 points	48.2%	47.7%	28.0%	1.70×	2.10
Over 159.5 points	47.3%	47.7%	68.6%	0.70×	2.10
Under 155.5 points	43.7%	43.5%	26.1%	1.67×	2.30
Over 161.5 points	42.9%	43.5%	64.3%	0.68×	2.30
Under 153.5 points	39.4%	38.5%	23.5%	1.64×	2.60
Over 163.5 points	38.5%	38.5%	59.4%	0.65×	2.60
Under 151.5 points	35.1%	38.5%	20.4%	1.89×	2.60
Over 165.5 points	34.3%	34.1%	55.2%	0.62×	2.93
Under 148.5 points	29.0%	29.2%	15.1%	1.93×	3.43
Over 168.5 points	28.4%	29.2%	49.2%	0.59×	3.43
Under 143.5 points	20.2%	24.4%	9.4%	2.58×	4.10
Over 173.5 points	19.6%	19.4%	37.8%	0.51×	5.15
Under 138.5 points	13.2%	15.0%	5.5%	2.70×	6.69
Over 178.5 points	12.8%	15.0%	29.5%	0.51×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics to win both halves	45.3%	45.8%	25.7%	1.78×	2.19
Connecticut Sun to win both halves	5.6%	8.8%	17.9%	0.49×	11.33

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Washington Mystics by 6-10	16.7%	16.8%	15.0%	1.12×	5.97
Washington Mystics by 11-15	16.5%	16.8%	10.3%	1.63×	5.97
Washington Mystics by 1-5	14.2%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.11
Washington Mystics by 16-20	13.7%	12.3%	8.0%	1.55×	8.11
Washington Mystics by 26+	10.2%	12.3%	5.2%	2.37×	8.11
Connecticut Sun by 1-5	9.3%	7.5%	14.2%	0.53×	13.40
Washington Mystics by 21-25	9.6%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Connecticut Sun by 6-10	5.5%	7.5%	14.7%	0.51×	13.40
Connecticut Sun by 11-15	2.7%	2.0%	6.5%	0.31×	49.30
Connecticut Sun by 16-20	1.1%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.32
Connecticut Sun by 21-25	0.4%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.32
Connecticut Sun by 26+	0.1%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.33

Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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