ADT v FC Cajamarca — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 8 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

ADT

14:00

FC Cajamarca

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 788h before kick-off

ADT win

46.6%

model 46.2%

Draw

22.4%

model 23.3%

FC Cajamarca win

31.0%

model 30.5%

472231

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 8.4%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.3%	Under 2.5	41.7%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
ADT 1+	81.7%	ADT 2+	50.6%
FC Cajamarca 1+	73.7%	FC Cajamarca 2+	38.5%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

ADT have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for FC Cajamarca and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for ADT and 1.33 for FC Cajamarca.

Why ADT

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Cajamarca can win

FC Cajamarca carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1391.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Cajamarca, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cajamarca: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

ADT are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	462232	1.85–1.50	1-1 10%	65%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win	46.4%	47.4%	50.0%	0.95×	2.11
FC Cajamarca to win	31.6%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.29
Draw	22.1%	24.4%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT & both teams score	27.3%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
ADT & not both score	19.1%	17.9%	26.5%	0.67×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
FC Cajamarca & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	13.1%	1.37×	5.58
FC Cajamarca & not both score	12.4%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	7.8%	0.62×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT & over 1.5	39.7%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.86
ADT & over 2.5	33.6%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
FC Cajamarca & over 1.5	26.1%	26.0%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
ADT & under 3.5	25.5%	26.0%	33.8%	0.77×	3.84
FC Cajamarca & over 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	14.4%	1.51×	4.62
ADT & over 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
FC Cajamarca & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
ADT & under 2.5	12.7%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
FC Cajamarca & over 3.5	12.9%	12.9%	6.2%	2.08×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
FC Cajamarca & under 2.5	9.4%	7.9%	10.9%	0.72×	12.70
ADT & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.70
FC Cajamarca & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (1UP)	64.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
FC Cajamarca (1UP)	52.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2UP)	46.4%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
FC Cajamarca (2UP)	31.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win 2nd half	38.7%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
FC Cajamarca to win 2nd half	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (+2.5)	88.6%	88.5%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
FC Cajamarca (+1.5)	74.6%	73.7%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
ADT (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	74.9%	0.92×	1.46
FC Cajamarca (+0.5)	53.6%	52.4%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
ADT (-0.5)	46.4%	47.6%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
FC Cajamarca (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	25.1%	1.25×	3.20
ADT (-1.5)	25.4%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.80
ADT (-2.5)	11.4%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede	84.3%	81.4%	80.2%	1.01×	1.23
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	15.7%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 1st half	45.1%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
FC Cajamarca to concede in 1st half	54.9%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 6.5 corners	93.9%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
FC Cajamarca under 5.5 corners	88.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Cajamarca under 4.5 corners	78.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 corners	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 corners	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 corners	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 corners	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Cajamarca over 4.5 corners	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
FC Cajamarca over 5.5 corners	11.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
FC Cajamarca over 6.5 corners	6.1%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 goals	81.0%	81.4%	92.0%	0.89×	1.23
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 goals	77.6%	76.2%	65.8%	1.16×	1.31
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 goals	55.9%	59.5%	71.6%	0.83×	1.68
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals	44.1%	40.5%	28.4%	1.43×	2.47
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 goals	22.4%	23.8%	34.2%	0.70×	4.21
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals	19.0%	18.6%	8.0%	2.32×	5.38
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	2.5%	3.00×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (away no bet)	67.8%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.2%	33.6%	33.4%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca even goals	52.5%	52.8%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
FC Cajamarca odd goals	47.5%	47.2%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.4%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.6%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
ADT to score 2+ in a row	44.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
FC Cajamarca to score 2+ in a row	32.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
ADT to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
FC Cajamarca to score 3+ in a row	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT corners (+3.5)	96.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
ADT corners (+2.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
ADT corners (+1.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Cajamarca corners (+3.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
ADT corners (-1.5)	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Cajamarca corners (+2.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
ADT corners (-2.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
FC Cajamarca corners (+1.5)	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
ADT corners (-3.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
FC Cajamarca corners (-1.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Cajamarca corners (-2.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
FC Cajamarca corners (-3.5)	3.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	20.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.1%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	37.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	14.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.47
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.47
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.47
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.47
0-1	5.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.47
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
3-1	5.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.47
Any other score	5.8%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.47
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.50
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.50
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.51
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.52
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.50
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.50
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.50
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.50
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.51
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.52
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.51
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.51
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.51
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.52
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	59.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
FC Cajamarca leading at HT (DNB)	40.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or FC Cajamarca (12)	77.9%	75.6%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
ADT or draw (1X)	68.4%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
FC Cajamarca or draw (X2)	53.6%	52.6%	50.0%	1.05×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw at HT	75.0%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
FC Cajamarca or draw at HT	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADT or FC Cajamarca at HT	62.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw (1UP)	68.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Cajamarca or draw (1UP)	53.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw in 2nd half	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
ADT or FC Cajamarca in 2nd half	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Cajamarca or draw in 2nd half	61.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (DNB)	59.5%	58.3%	66.6%	0.88×	1.72
FC Cajamarca (DNB)	40.5%	41.7%	33.4%	1.25×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score first	53.5%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
FC Cajamarca to score first	43.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.2%	58.2%	53.8%	1.08×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.8%	41.8%	46.2%	0.91×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.7%	47.2%	42.7%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.4%	33.6%	37.6%	0.89×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	11.3%	0.74×	11.94
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.6%	79.9%	85.6%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	24.4%	20.1%	14.4%	1.40×	4.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.3%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	35.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.5%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.6%	35.1%	26.9%	1.30×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.5%	20.2%	27.5%	0.73×	4.96
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	1.8%	4.16×	13.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.9%	37.6%	0.90×	2.95
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	20.5%	1.33×	3.65
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 0	22.4%	22.4%	34.2%	0.66×	4.46
FC Cajamarca to score 3+	19.0%	19.6%	8.0%	2.44×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.5%	32.9%	0.81×	3.77
ADT to score 3+	28.4%	26.5%	22.5%	1.18×	3.77
ADT to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
ADT to score exactly 0	15.7%	18.9%	19.8%	0.95×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
ADT leading at HT	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Cajamarca leading at HT	25.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT -1: 2	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
ADT -1: 1	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
ADT -1: X	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:1)	53.6%	51.2%	50.0%	1.02×	1.95
ADT (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	24.7%	1.09×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:2)	74.6%	75.6%	75.3%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.10
ADT (0:2)	11.4%	11.0%	11.5%	0.96×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:3)	88.6%	90.8%	88.5%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.1%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.18
ADT (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.27
ADT (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (1:0)	68.4%	69.9%	74.9%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.0%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
FC Cajamarca (1:0)	14.5%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2:0)	85.5%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.1%	6.5%	5.6%	1.14×	15.50
FC Cajamarca (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	2.2%	2.95×	15.55

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	77.6%	75.9%	65.8%	1.15×	1.32
ADT clean sheet	22.4%	24.1%	34.2%	0.70×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
ADT to concede in 1st half	45.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT over 2.5 corners	85.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
ADT over 3.5 corners	73.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
ADT under 6.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
ADT over 4.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
ADT under 5.5 corners	54.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
ADT over 5.5 corners	46.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
ADT under 4.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
ADT over 6.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
ADT under 3.5 corners	26.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
ADT under 2.5 corners	14.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
ADT over 0.5 goals	84.3%	82.1%	80.2%	1.02×	1.22
ADT under 2.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	77.5%	0.96×	1.35
ADT over 1.5 goals	55.3%	58.8%	47.5%	1.24×	1.70
ADT under 1.5 goals	44.7%	41.2%	52.5%	0.78×	2.43
ADT over 2.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	22.5%	1.14×	3.88
ADT under 0.5 goals	15.7%	17.9%	19.8%	0.90×	5.60
ADT over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.8%	7.6%	1.67×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	81.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	19.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (home no bet)	58.8%	56.7%	50.0%	1.13×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.2%	43.3%	50.0%	0.87×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	51.2%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
ADT odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 1-0	19.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
Any other HT score	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.72
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.74
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.80
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	28.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
FC Cajamarca at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
FC Cajamarca at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
FC Cajamarca at HT / ADT at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
ADT at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score last	53.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
FC Cajamarca to score last	43.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	64.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Cajamarca to lead by 1 at any time	52.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	33.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
FC Cajamarca to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
FC Cajamarca to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT most corners	70.8%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
FC Cajamarca most corners	19.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	9.6%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.5%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.1%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.1%	72.4%	78.0%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	59.6%	59.2%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.6%	53.2%	63.8%	0.83×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.5%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.6%	39.2%	26.9%	1.46×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.7%	35.4%	41.1%	0.86×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.8%	35.4%	23.5%	1.51×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.2%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
7+ goals	5.4%	8.7%	1.8%	4.80×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT never behind	44.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
FC Cajamarca never behind	32.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	92.2%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.5%	82.4%	72.5%	1.14×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.4%	77.4%	85.6%	0.90×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.0%	66.2%	51.3%	1.29×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.9%	58.8%	71.5%	0.82×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	43.1%	41.2%	28.5%	1.44×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.0%	33.8%	48.7%	0.69×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	24.6%	22.6%	14.4%	1.58×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.5%	17.6%	27.5%	0.64×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	5.3%	2.34×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	7.8%	0.58×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.5%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.0%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.8%	81.1%	65.1%	1.24×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.8%	67.4%	83.3%	0.81×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.2%	55.5%	36.9%	1.50×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.8%	44.5%	63.1%	0.71×	2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.2%	32.6%	16.7%	1.95×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.2%	18.9%	34.9%	0.54×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.0%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.5%	1.9%	4.00×	13.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.5%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.4%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.5%	13.6%	—	—	7.37

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves	73.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
ADT not to score in both halves	64.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
ADT to score in both halves	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Cajamarca to score in both halves	26.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.2%	59.5%	53.8%	1.11×	1.68
Only ADT scores	19.1%	16.1%	26.5%	0.61×	6.21
Only FC Cajamarca scores	12.4%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.14
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.5%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.29
6 or more goals	12.3%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	12.2%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	7.8%	0.56×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.1%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
1 goal in 2nd half	27.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	14.1%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win both halves	92.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
ADT not to win both halves	85.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
ADT to win both halves	14.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
FC Cajamarca to win both halves	7.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win either half	61.4%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
FC Cajamarca to win neither half	52.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Cajamarca to win either half	47.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
ADT to win neither half	38.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca not to win to nil	87.6%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
ADT not to win to nil	80.9%	83.0%	73.5%	1.13×	1.21
ADT to win to nil	19.1%	17.0%	26.5%	0.64×	5.89
FC Cajamarca to win to nil	12.4%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.1%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
ADT by 1	21.0%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
FC Cajamarca by 1	17.0%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.90
ADT by 2	13.9%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47
ADT by 3+	11.4%	11.8%	11.5%	1.03×	8.47
FC Cajamarca by 2	9.1%	7.3%	5.6%	1.29×	13.79
FC Cajamarca by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	2.2%	3.32×	13.81