Al Khaleej v Al Riyadh — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Al Khaleej

11:30

Al Riyadh

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 32h before kick-off

Al Khaleej win

44.1%

model 41.0%

Draw

27.6%

model 27.8%

Al Riyadh win

28.3%

model 31.2%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
2-1 8.9%
1-0 7.9%
1-2 7.7%
0-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.9%	Under 2.5	47.1%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
Al Khaleej 1+	77.8%	Al Khaleej 2+	44.4%
Al Riyadh 1+	72.4%	Al Riyadh 2+	36.9%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 60%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Al Khaleej.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Khaleej have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.3% for Al Riyadh and 27.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Al Khaleej and 1.29 for Al Riyadh.

Why Al Khaleej

Nothing in the data singles out Al Khaleej.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.50 to 1.29. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Riyadh can win

Al Riyadh carry the stronger rating, 1405 Elo against 1375. They have had 10 days' rest to Al Khaleej's 4.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Khaleej, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Riyadh, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Khaleej: 38% possession, 7.4 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Riyadh: 37% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Khaleej are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412831	1.50–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442630	1.69–1.36	1-1 12%	59%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to win	44.1%	43.0%	43.5%	0.99×	2.32
Al Riyadh to win	29.7%	27.9%	35.2%	0.79×	3.59
Draw	26.2%	27.9%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej & both teams score	24.3%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.2%	21.9%	16.5%	1.32×	4.57
Al Khaleej & not both score	19.8%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Al Riyadh & both teams score	17.2%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.58
Al Riyadh & not both score	12.5%	13.2%	16.8%	0.79×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.4%	5.1%	1.66×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej & over 1.5	37.2%	34.9%	34.5%	1.01×	2.86
Al Khaleej & over 2.5	30.4%	30.9%	27.6%	1.12×	3.24
Al Khaleej & under 3.5	26.6%	26.0%	27.4%	0.95×	3.84
Al Riyadh & over 1.5	24.5%	21.6%	28.5%	0.76×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.62
Al Riyadh & over 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.62
Al Riyadh & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	15.8%	1.14×	5.56
Al Khaleej & over 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Al Khaleej & under 2.5	13.6%	12.9%	16.1%	0.80×	7.77
Al Riyadh & over 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.78
Al Riyadh & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Al Khaleej & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.69
Al Riyadh & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (1UP)	61.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Al Riyadh (1UP)	49.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (2UP)	44.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Al Riyadh (2UP)	29.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to win 2nd half	37.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	33.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Al Riyadh to win 2nd half	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (+2.5)	89.9%	88.5%	90.4%	0.98×	1.13
Al Riyadh (+1.5)	76.2%	78.5%	77.6%	1.01×	1.28
Al Khaleej (+0.5)	70.3%	73.7%	64.8%	1.14×	1.36
Al Riyadh (+0.5)	55.9%	57.0%	56.5%	1.01×	1.75
Al Khaleej (-0.5)	44.1%	43.0%	43.5%	0.99×	2.33
Al Riyadh (-0.5)	29.7%	26.3%	35.2%	0.75×	3.80
Al Khaleej (-1.5)	23.8%	21.5%	22.4%	0.96×	4.64
Al Khaleej (-2.5)	10.1%	11.5%	9.6%	1.19×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to concede	81.5%	81.3%	78.3%	1.04×	1.23
Al Riyadh clean sheet	18.5%	18.7%	21.7%	0.86×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh clean sheet in 1st half	48.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Al Riyadh to concede in 1st half	51.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 6.5 corners	81.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Riyadh over 2.5 corners	74.8%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Al Riyadh under 5.5 corners	71.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Al Riyadh over 3.5 corners	58.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Al Riyadh under 4.5 corners	57.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Al Riyadh over 4.5 corners	42.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Riyadh under 3.5 corners	41.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Riyadh over 5.5 corners	28.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Al Riyadh under 2.5 corners	25.3%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Al Riyadh over 6.5 corners	18.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.6%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Al Riyadh under 2.5 goals	84.4%	81.5%	82.7%	0.99×	1.23
Al Riyadh over 0.5 goals	74.2%	71.9%	73.0%	0.98×	1.39
Al Riyadh under 1.5 goals	60.7%	62.9%	60.9%	1.03×	1.59
Al Riyadh over 1.5 goals	39.3%	37.1%	39.1%	0.95×	2.70
Al Riyadh under 0.5 goals	25.8%	28.1%	27.0%	1.04×	3.56
Al Riyadh over 2.5 goals	15.6%	18.5%	17.3%	1.07×	5.40
Al Riyadh over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.4%	7.0%	0.35×	40.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Al Riyadh under 0.5 in 1st half	58.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Al Riyadh over 0.5 in 1st half	41.9%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Al Riyadh over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.68

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (away no bet)	62.7%	62.1%	67.0%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.3%	37.9%	33.0%	1.15×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh even goals	53.3%	52.7%	52.4%	1.01×	1.90
Al Riyadh odd goals	46.7%	47.3%	47.6%	0.99×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Al Khaleej to score 2+ in a row	40.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Al Riyadh to score 2+ in a row	29.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Al Khaleej to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Al Riyadh to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.84

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej corners (+3.5)	90.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Al Khaleej corners (+2.5)	85.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Al Khaleej corners (+1.5)	78.0%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Al Riyadh corners (+3.5)	70.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Al Riyadh corners (+2.5)	61.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Al Riyadh corners (+1.5)	50.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Al Khaleej corners (-1.5)	49.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Al Khaleej corners (-2.5)	38.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Al Khaleej corners (-3.5)	29.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Al Riyadh corners (-1.5)	22.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Al Riyadh corners (-2.5)	15.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Al Riyadh corners (-3.5)	9.7%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	34.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	46.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	34.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.73
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.46
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.46
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.46
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.46
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.46
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.08×	13.46
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.46
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.47×	13.46
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.57
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.58
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.59
1-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.57
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.59
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.58
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.59
3-0	3.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.57
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.57
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.58
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.58
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.58
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.58
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.57×	58.59
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej leading at HT (DNB)	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Al Riyadh leading at HT (DNB)	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej or Al Riyadh (12)	73.8%	72.1%	78.6%	0.92×	1.39
Al Khaleej or draw (1X)	70.3%	72.1%	64.8%	1.11×	1.39
Al Riyadh or draw (X2)	55.9%	57.0%	56.5%	1.01×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej or draw at HT	76.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Al Riyadh or draw at HT	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Khaleej or Al Riyadh at HT	59.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej or draw (1UP)	70.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Riyadh or draw (1UP)	55.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej or draw in 2nd half	71.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Al Khaleej or Al Riyadh in 2nd half	66.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Al Riyadh or draw in 2nd half	62.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.5%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (DNB)	59.7%	58.2%	55.3%	1.05×	1.72
Al Riyadh (DNB)	40.3%	41.8%	44.7%	0.93×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to score first	52.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Al Riyadh to score first	41.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.5%	56.4%	1.00×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.5%	43.6%	1.00×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.5%	44.3%	45.6%	0.97×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	29.3%	33.6%	32.9%	1.02×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	10.9%	1.13×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.4%	10.9%	0.77×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	83.1%	83.6%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	16.9%	16.4%	1.03×	5.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.8%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	27.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	39.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	47.4%	43.8%	1.08×	2.11
4-6 goals	32.6%	30.7%	32.8%	0.94×	3.26
0-1 goals	18.1%	20.2%	20.8%	0.97×	4.94
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.9%	34.2%	0.99×	2.95
Al Riyadh to score exactly 0	25.8%	27.4%	27.0%	1.02×	3.65
Al Riyadh to score exactly 2	23.7%	22.4%	21.9%	1.02×	4.47
Al Riyadh to score 3+	15.6%	19.5%	17.3%	1.13×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to score exactly 1	31.3%	32.6%	32.6%	1.00×	3.06
Al Khaleej to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Al Khaleej to score 3+	23.9%	23.3%	21.0%	1.11×	4.30
Al Khaleej to score exactly 0	18.5%	18.9%	21.7%	0.87×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Khaleej leading at HT	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Riyadh leading at HT	23.9%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej -1: 2	55.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Al Khaleej -1: 1	23.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Al Khaleej -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (0:1)	55.9%	55.8%	56.5%	0.99×	1.79
Al Khaleej (0:1)	23.8%	24.3%	22.4%	1.09×	4.11
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.3%	21.3%	1.14×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (0:2)	76.2%	79.4%	77.6%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	12.9%	0.86×	9.08
Al Khaleej (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	9.6%	1.14×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (0:3)	89.9%	90.8%	90.4%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25
Al Khaleej (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	41.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.18
Al Khaleej (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.35

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (1:0)	70.3%	72.5%	64.8%	1.12×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.1%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Al Riyadh (1:0)	13.7%	12.8%	17.5%	0.73×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej (2:0)	86.4%	88.3%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.5%	10.4%	0.62×	15.47
Al Riyadh (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	7.2%	0.32×	44.10

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to concede	74.2%	73.1%	73.0%	1.00×	1.37
Al Khaleej clean sheet	25.8%	26.9%	27.0%	1.00×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej clean sheet in 1st half	58.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Al Khaleej to concede in 1st half	41.9%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej over 2.5 corners	87.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Khaleej over 3.5 corners	76.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Al Khaleej over 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Al Khaleej under 6.5 corners	62.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Al Khaleej under 5.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Al Khaleej over 5.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Khaleej over 6.5 corners	37.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Al Khaleej under 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Al Khaleej under 3.5 corners	23.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Al Khaleej under 2.5 corners	12.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej under 3.5 goals	90.9%	92.2%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Al Khaleej over 0.5 goals	81.5%	82.1%	78.3%	1.05×	1.22
Al Khaleej under 2.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Al Khaleej over 1.5 goals	50.2%	53.3%	45.8%	1.16×	1.88
Al Khaleej under 1.5 goals	49.8%	46.7%	54.2%	0.86×	2.14
Al Khaleej over 2.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	21.0%	1.06×	4.48
Al Khaleej under 0.5 goals	18.5%	17.9%	21.7%	0.82×	5.60
Al Khaleej over 3.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	8.1%	0.96×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej under 1.5 in 1st half	83.6%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Al Khaleej under 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Al Khaleej over 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Al Khaleej over 1.5 in 1st half	16.4%	15.3%	—	—	6.55

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (home no bet)	53.1%	51.6%	62.2%	0.83×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.9%	48.4%	37.8%	1.28×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej even goals	51.7%	50.6%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Al Khaleej odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	47.2%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
HT 1-0	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 2-0	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.61
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.62
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.70
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.85

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej at HT / Al Khaleej at FT	26.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Al Khaleej at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Al Khaleej at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Al Riyadh at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Khaleej at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
Al Khaleej at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	2.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.18

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to score last	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Al Riyadh to score last	41.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Al Khaleej to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Al Riyadh to lead by 1 at any time	49.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Al Khaleej to lead by 2 at any time	31.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Al Riyadh to lead by 2 at any time	20.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Al Khaleej to lead by 3 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Al Riyadh to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej most corners	59.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Al Riyadh most corners	30.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	87.4%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.4%	78.6%	76.4%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.8%	72.4%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.1%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.5%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.8%	59.2%	59.6%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.0%	59.2%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.8%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.7%	48.7%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.4%	39.2%	38.7%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.6%	35.4%	32.8%	1.08×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.4%	30.2%	28.0%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.6%	18.6%	16.5%	1.12×	5.38
7+ goals	3.6%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej never behind	44.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Al Riyadh never behind	32.4%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.9%	82.4%	79.2%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	80.8%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	63.8%	61.8%	64.5%	0.96×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.6%	58.8%	56.4%	1.04×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.4%	41.2%	43.6%	0.94×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	36.2%	38.2%	35.5%	1.08×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	19.2%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	18.1%	17.6%	20.8%	0.85×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	96.9%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.2%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.9%	75.9%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.4%	75.9%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.4%	51.8%	55.1%	0.94×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.6%	48.2%	44.9%	1.07×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.6%	24.1%	27.0%	0.89×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.1%	24.1%	23.0%	1.04×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.8%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.24
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	3.1%	0.90×	36.33

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.6%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to score in both halves	76.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Al Khaleej not to score in both halves	68.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Al Khaleej to score in both halves	31.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Al Riyadh to score in both halves	23.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.2%	56.4%	1.07×	1.66
Only Al Khaleej scores	19.8%	16.1%	22.1%	0.73×	6.20
Only Al Riyadh scores	12.5%	10.9%	16.8%	0.65×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.2%	5.1%	1.42×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.0%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.5%	16.4%	1.07×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.1%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	11.8%	1.02×	8.29
6 or more goals	8.8%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	29.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	17.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win both halves	92.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Khaleej not to win both halves	86.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Al Khaleej to win both halves	13.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Al Riyadh to win both halves	7.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Khaleej to win either half	59.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Al Riyadh to win neither half	54.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Al Riyadh to win either half	45.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Al Khaleej to win neither half	41.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win to nil	87.5%	88.2%	83.2%	1.06×	1.13
Al Khaleej not to win to nil	80.2%	83.0%	77.9%	1.06×	1.21
Al Khaleej to win to nil	19.8%	17.0%	22.1%	0.77×	5.87
Al Riyadh to win to nil	12.5%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.2%	27.8%	21.4%	1.30×	3.59
Al Khaleej by 1	20.3%	24.1%	21.3%	1.13×	4.14
Al Riyadh by 1	16.1%	16.9%	17.9%	0.95×	5.90
Al Khaleej by 2	13.7%	11.8%	12.9%	0.92×	8.46
Al Khaleej by 3+	10.1%	11.8%	9.6%	1.22×	8.47
Al Riyadh by 2	8.9%	7.2%	10.4%	0.70×	13.80
Al Riyadh by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	36.92