Alianza Lima v ADT — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Alianza Lima

21:00

ADT

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 305h before kick-off

Alianza Lima win

76.2%

model 77.0%

Draw

17.6%

model 15.4%

ADT win

6.3%

model 7.5%

76186

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (50 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 15.1%
1-0 13.2%
3-0 11.6%
2-1 8.5%
1-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.9%	Under 2.5	45.1%
BTTS yes	38.7%	BTTS no	61.3%
Alianza Lima 1+	90.1%	Alianza Lima 2+	67.2%
ADT 1+	43.1%	ADT 2+	11.0%

Expected goals 2.31 – 0.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Alianza Lima (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 897 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1391.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 76.2% win probability, against 17.6% for the draw and 6.3% for ADT. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.31 for Alianza Lima and 0.56 for ADT.

Why Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1391.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why ADT can win

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 76.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 15.1%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	77158	2.31–0.56	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	76168	2.24–0.54	2-0 16%	53%	37%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	76.4%	78.1%	50.0%	1.56×	1.28
Draw	16.0%	19.3%	25.1%	0.77×	5.18
ADT to win	7.6%	8.1%	25.1%	0.32×	12.38

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	52.0%	48.9%	26.5%	1.84×	2.05
Alianza Lima & both teams score	24.3%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	10.0%	8.4%	17.5%	0.48×	11.94
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.95
ADT & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.47
ADT & both teams score	3.0%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	62.4%	54.8%	38.2%	1.43×	1.83
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	49.5%	45.3%	33.8%	1.34×	2.21
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	46.9%	45.2%	30.9%	1.46×	2.21
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	29.5%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	26.9%	26.0%	16.4%	1.59×	3.84
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	10.0%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.69
ADT & under 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	19.1%	0.41×	12.69
ADT & over 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	17.3%	0.28×	20.93
ADT & under 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	10.9%	0.44×	20.93
ADT & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.93
ADT & over 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	14.4%	0.33×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	2.6%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.6%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94
ADT & over 3.5	1.0%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	82.9%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
ADT (1UP)	20.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
ADT (2UP)	7.6%	8.6%	—	—	11.62

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	61.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
2nd half drawn	29.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
ADT to win 2nd half	9.5%	8.2%	—	—	12.18

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	92.4%	92.1%	74.9%	1.23×	1.09
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	76.4%	78.5%	50.0%	1.57×	1.28
ADT (+2.5)	70.8%	73.7%	88.5%	0.83×	1.36
Alianza Lima (-1.5)	52.0%	52.3%	24.7%	2.12×	1.91
ADT (+1.5)	48.0%	47.7%	75.3%	0.63×	2.10
Alianza Lima (-2.5)	29.2%	26.3%	11.5%	2.30×	3.80
ADT (+0.5)	23.6%	21.5%	50.0%	0.43×	4.64
ADT (-0.5)	7.6%	7.9%	25.1%	0.31×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	89.4%	86.5%	80.2%	1.08×	1.16
ADT clean sheet	10.6%	13.5%	19.8%	0.68×	7.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede in 1st half	61.9%	64.7%	—	—	1.54
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	38.1%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 6.5 corners	96.4%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
ADT under 5.5 corners	92.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
ADT under 4.5 corners	85.1%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
ADT under 3.5 corners	72.7%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
ADT under 2.5 corners	54.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
ADT over 2.5 corners	45.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
ADT over 3.5 corners	27.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
ADT over 4.5 corners	14.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.62
ADT over 5.5 corners	7.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
ADT over 6.5 corners	3.6%	8.1%	—	—	12.27

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
ADT under 2.5 goals	98.2%	97.6%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
ADT under 1.5 goals	89.6%	87.9%	71.6%	1.23×	1.14
ADT under 0.5 goals	58.0%	59.6%	34.2%	1.74×	1.68
ADT over 0.5 goals	42.0%	40.4%	65.8%	0.61×	2.48
ADT over 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	28.4%	0.43×	8.27
ADT over 2.5 goals	1.8%	2.4%	8.0%	0.30×	41.10
ADT over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.4%	2.5%	0.95×	41.19

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	97.9%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	80.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	2.1%	4.1%	—	—	24.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (away no bet)	82.7%	82.8%	66.6%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	17.3%	17.2%	33.4%	0.52×	5.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	66.8%	64.8%	56.9%	1.14×	1.54
ADT odd goals	33.2%	35.2%	43.1%	0.82×	2.84

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	61.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.5%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	32.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
ADT to score 2+ in a row	6.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.04
ADT to score 3+ in a row	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.69

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	97.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	94.2%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	89.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
ADT corners (+3.5)	62.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	61.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
ADT corners (+2.5)	50.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	49.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
ADT corners (+1.5)	38.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
ADT corners (-1.5)	10.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
ADT corners (-2.5)	5.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.83
ADT corners (-3.5)	3.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.4%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
9-11 corners	23.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
12+ corners	14.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	85.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 7.5 corners	50.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Over 7.5 corners	49.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 9.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 11.5 corners	14.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.80
Over 12.5 corners	10.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	15.5%	13.7%	7.5%	1.84×	7.28
1-0	14.0%	11.5%	12.0%	0.95×	8.73
3-0	11.6%	11.5%	5.1%	2.25×	8.73
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.46
1-1	7.4%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.46
Any other score	7.7%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.46
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.46
3-1	6.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.46
4-0	6.5%	7.4%	1.6%	4.54×	13.46
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.57
0-2	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.59
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.59
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.59
1-2	2.0%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.58
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
2-2	2.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.58
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.58
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.59
4-1	3.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.57
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.69×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.39×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	86.8%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	13.2%	13.5%	—	—	7.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1X)	92.4%	91.9%	74.9%	1.23×	1.09
Alianza Lima or ADT (12)	84.0%	80.7%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
ADT or draw (X2)	23.6%	21.9%	50.0%	0.44×	4.56

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	91.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Alianza Lima or ADT at HT	62.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
ADT or draw at HT	45.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	92.4%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
ADT or draw (1UP)	23.6%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	90.5%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Alianza Lima or ADT in 2nd half	70.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
ADT or draw in 2nd half	38.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	44.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	90.9%	93.0%	66.6%	1.40×	1.08
ADT (DNB)	9.1%	7.0%	33.4%	0.21×	14.27

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	75.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
ADT to score first	18.4%	18.4%	—	—	5.44
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	62.7%	56.5%	46.2%	1.22×	1.77
Both teams to score	37.3%	43.5%	53.8%	0.81×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	37.6%	1.02×	2.59
Both score & over 2.5	30.0%	33.7%	42.7%	0.79×	2.97
Not both score & over 2.5	22.7%	27.7%	8.7%	3.18×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	7.4%	8.4%	11.3%	0.74×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.2%	89.1%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.8%	10.9%	14.4%	0.76×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.0%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.0%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.80
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.46

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.9%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.1%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.1%	26.4%	26.9%	0.98×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.5%	22.8%	27.5%	0.83×	4.38
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	55.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 0	58.0%	52.0%	34.2%	1.52×	1.92
ADT to score exactly 1	31.6%	33.9%	37.6%	0.90×	2.95
ADT to score exactly 2	8.6%	8.5%	20.5%	0.41×	11.78
ADT to score 3+	1.8%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.36

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score 3+	38.8%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	23.8%	23.3%	32.9%	0.71×	4.30
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	10.6%	14.3%	19.8%	0.72×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima leading at HT	54.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Draw at HT	37.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
ADT leading at HT	8.3%	10.0%	—	—	9.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Alianza Lima -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Alianza Lima -1: 2	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	52.0%	51.2%	24.7%	2.07×	1.96
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	25.5%	0.96×	4.11
ADT (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	50.0%	0.49×	4.11

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:2)	48.0%	51.3%	75.3%	0.68×	1.95
Alianza Lima (0:2)	29.2%	24.0%	11.5%	2.10×	4.16
Draw (0:2)	22.9%	20.3%	13.5%	1.51×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:3)	70.8%	77.6%	88.5%	0.88×	1.29
Draw (0:3)	15.6%	16.0%	7.6%	2.10×	6.24
Alianza Lima (0:3)	13.6%	10.0%	4.0%	2.51×	9.95

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:4)	86.4%	91.8%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	8.3%	4.6%	2.5%	1.82×	21.53
Alianza Lima (0:4)	5.4%	4.6%	1.6%	2.80×	21.79

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1:0)	92.4%	92.8%	74.9%	1.24×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.0%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.51
ADT (1:0)	1.6%	3.1%	7.6%	0.41×	31.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2:0)	98.4%	96.9%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	5.6%	0.40×	44.33
ADT (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	2.2%	1.03×	44.40

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet	58.0%	61.0%	34.2%	1.78×	1.64
Alianza Lima to concede	42.0%	39.0%	65.8%	0.59×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	80.4%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	19.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	58.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	41.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	17.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	89.4%	87.2%	80.2%	1.09×	1.15
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.1%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	65.5%	67.9%	47.5%	1.43×	1.47
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	61.2%	63.4%	77.5%	0.82×	1.58
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	38.8%	36.6%	22.5%	1.62×	2.73
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	34.5%	32.1%	52.5%	0.61×	3.12
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.9%	7.6%	2.34×	5.60
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	10.6%	12.8%	19.8%	0.64×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	74.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	25.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	67.7%	63.8%	50.0%	1.28×	1.57
ADT (home no bet)	32.3%	36.2%	50.0%	0.72×	2.76

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	50.6%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Alianza Lima odd goals	49.4%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	29.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
HT 2-0	14.3%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
Any other HT score	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 0-1	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 1-1	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
HT 0-2	0.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.88
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.89
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	51.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	23.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	3.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
ADT at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	2.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
Alianza Lima at HT / ADT at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.27

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	75.6%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
ADT to score last	18.4%	13.1%	—	—	7.62
No goal scored	6.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	82.9%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	56.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	31.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	20.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.52
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	0.5%	1.5%	—	—	65.62

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima most corners	72.7%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
ADT most corners	17.7%	20.6%	—	—	4.85
Corners level	9.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.0%	78.6%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.1%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.1%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.5%	63.5%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.4%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.3%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.7%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.1%	30.2%	26.9%	1.12×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.1%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.6%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.73
7+ goals	2.3%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.47

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	73.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
ADT never behind	11.1%	12.5%	—	—	7.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.0%	87.7%	85.6%	1.02×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.5%	77.4%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.5%	66.3%	71.5%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.7%	52.4%	51.3%	1.02×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	47.3%	47.6%	48.7%	0.98×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	30.5%	33.7%	28.5%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.5%	22.6%	27.5%	0.82×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.0%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.11
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.3%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.1%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.3%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.1%	67.4%	65.1%	1.03×	1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.8%	62.1%	63.1%	0.99×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.2%	37.9%	36.9%	1.03×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.9%	32.6%	34.9%	0.94×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.7%	18.9%	16.7%	1.13×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.9%	7.5%	5.8%	1.30×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.7%	1.9%	1.46×	36.37

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to score in both halves	94.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	55.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	44.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
ADT to score in both halves	5.4%	9.2%	—	—	10.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Alianza Lima scores	52.0%	54.0%	26.5%	2.03×	1.85
Both teams score	37.3%	39.8%	53.8%	0.74×	2.51
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.95
Only ADT scores	4.6%	4.6%	12.2%	0.38×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.7%	21.5%	1.06×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.5%	17.5%	19.8%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	7.8%	0.97×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	23.3%	—	—	4.28

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win both halves	99.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	66.8%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Alianza Lima to win both halves	33.2%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
ADT to win both halves	0.8%	2.7%	—	—	36.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win neither half	83.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Alianza Lima to win either half	82.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Alianza Lima to win neither half	17.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
ADT to win either half	16.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win to nil	95.4%	96.1%	87.8%	1.09×	1.04
Alianza Lima to win to nil	52.0%	54.3%	26.5%	2.05×	1.84
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	48.0%	45.7%	73.5%	0.62×	2.19
ADT to win to nil	4.6%	3.9%	12.2%	0.32×	25.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima by 3+	29.2%	27.8%	11.5%	2.43×	3.59
Alianza Lima by 1	24.3%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Alianza Lima by 2	22.9%	24.1%	13.5%	1.79×	4.14
Draw	16.0%	16.9%	25.1%	0.68×	5.90
ADT by 1	6.0%	7.2%	17.6%	0.41×	13.81
ADT by 2	1.3%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	37.03
ADT by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.06