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Alta v One Knoxville — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:jznihqxle06xych9ygwiwnsa · 2627

FIFA:jznihqxle06xych9ygwiwnsa results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Alta win
43.1%
Draw
26.1%
One Knoxville win
30.8%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 10.6%
  3. 2-1 8.9%
  4. 0-1 8.7%
  5. 2-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.548.3% Under 2.551.7%
BTTS yes52.5% BTTS no47.5%
Alta 1+76.2% Alta 2+42.0%
One Knoxville 1+69.0% One Knoxville 2+32.7%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
0/100
Data quality
0/100
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Alta have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while One Knoxville have allowed 1.35.
  • At home Alta average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Alta have only 0 matches on record.
  • One Knoxville have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Alta have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for One Knoxville and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Alta and 1.17 for One Knoxville.

Why Alta

Alta have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while One Knoxville have allowed 1.35. At home Alta average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.1%.

Why One Knoxville can win

One Knoxville have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Alta have allowed 1.35. Away from home One Knoxville average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Alta, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for One Knoxville, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Alta: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. One Knoxville: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Alta are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.43–1.17 0% 0% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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