Anderlecht v Racing Genk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Anderlecht

12:30

Racing Genk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 9h before kick-off

Anderlecht win

28.4%

model 32.8%

Draw

27.5%

model 26.4%

Racing Genk win

44.1%

model 40.7%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
0-1 9.0%
1-2 8.8%
1-0 7.9%
2-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.3%	Under 2.5	48.7%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
Anderlecht 1+	72.1%	Anderlecht 2+	36.5%
Racing Genk 1+	76.6%	Racing Genk 2+	42.6%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 77%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Genk carry the stronger rating, 1586 Elo against 1501.
They have had 9 days' rest to Anderlecht's 3.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Genk have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.4% for Anderlecht and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.28 for Anderlecht and 1.45 for Racing Genk.

Why Anderlecht

Nothing in the data singles out Anderlecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.28 to 1.45. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Racing Genk can win

Racing Genk carry the stronger rating, 1586 Elo against 1501. They have had 9 days' rest to Anderlecht's 3.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Anderlecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Racing Genk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Anderlecht: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Genk: 54% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Racing Genk are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332641	1.28–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292545	1.26–1.61	1-1 12%	55%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win	45.3%	47.4%	30.9%	1.54×	2.11
Anderlecht to win	29.4%	27.9%	42.9%	0.65×	3.59
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk & both teams score	22.9%	21.9%	16.5%	1.33×	4.57
Racing Genk & not both score	22.3%	21.9%	14.5%	1.51×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Anderlecht & both teams score	15.6%	17.9%	18.7%	0.96×	5.58
Anderlecht & not both score	13.8%	13.3%	24.4%	0.54×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	7.7%	1.08×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk & over 1.5	36.6%	34.9%	24.4%	1.43×	2.86
Racing Genk & under 3.5	29.3%	26.0%	21.9%	1.19×	3.84
Racing Genk & over 2.5	29.2%	26.0%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
Anderlecht & over 1.5	22.7%	21.6%	33.6%	0.64×	4.62
Anderlecht & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	29.5%	0.73×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Anderlecht & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	26.1%	0.69×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Racing Genk & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	11.3%	1.60×	5.56
Racing Genk & over 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	9.1%	1.98×	5.56
Anderlecht & under 2.5	11.2%	12.9%	17.0%	0.76×	7.78
Anderlecht & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	13.6%	0.58×	12.69
Racing Genk & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.69
Anderlecht & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (1UP)	61.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Anderlecht (1UP)	48.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (2UP)	45.3%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Anderlecht (2UP)	29.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win 2nd half	40.0%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	34.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Anderlecht to win 2nd half	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Racing Genk (+1.5)	87.4%	88.5%	77.9%	1.14×	1.13
Racing Genk (+0.5)	70.6%	73.7%	57.1%	1.29×	1.36
Anderlecht (+0.5)	54.7%	52.4%	69.1%	0.76×	1.91
Racing Genk (-0.5)	45.3%	47.6%	30.9%	1.54×	2.10
Anderlecht (-0.5)	29.4%	26.3%	42.9%	0.61×	3.80
Anderlecht (-1.5)	12.6%	11.5%	22.1%	0.52×	8.69
Anderlecht (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to concede	71.6%	76.5%	77.9%	0.98×	1.31
Racing Genk clean sheet	28.4%	23.5%	22.1%	1.06×	4.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Racing Genk to concede in 1st half	41.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 6.5 corners	82.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Racing Genk over 2.5 corners	75.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Racing Genk under 5.5 corners	72.2%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Racing Genk over 3.5 corners	58.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Racing Genk under 4.5 corners	58.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Racing Genk under 3.5 corners	41.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Racing Genk over 4.5 corners	41.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Racing Genk over 5.5 corners	27.8%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Racing Genk under 2.5 corners	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Racing Genk over 6.5 corners	17.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Racing Genk over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.5%	68.1%	1.20×	1.23
Racing Genk under 2.5 goals	78.0%	76.2%	86.9%	0.88×	1.31
Racing Genk under 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	64.7%	0.83×	1.86
Racing Genk over 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	35.3%	1.31×	2.16
Racing Genk over 2.5 goals	22.0%	23.8%	13.1%	1.81×	4.21
Racing Genk under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.5%	31.9%	0.58×	5.39
Racing Genk over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	4.8%	1.60×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Racing Genk under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Racing Genk over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Racing Genk over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (away no bet)	53.7%	51.3%	61.9%	0.83×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.3%	48.7%	38.1%	1.28×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk even goals	52.0%	52.7%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Racing Genk odd goals	48.0%	47.3%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.3%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.4%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Racing Genk to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Anderlecht to score 2+ in a row	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Racing Genk to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Anderlecht to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht corners (+3.5)	90.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Anderlecht corners (+2.5)	85.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Anderlecht corners (+1.5)	78.0%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Racing Genk corners (+3.5)	72.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Racing Genk corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Racing Genk corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Anderlecht corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Anderlecht corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Anderlecht corners (-3.5)	27.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Racing Genk corners (-1.5)	22.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Racing Genk corners (-2.5)	14.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Racing Genk corners (-3.5)	9.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	31.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	62.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	59.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	48.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	41.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	31.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.46
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.46
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	4.8%	1.55×	13.46
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.46
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.46
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.46
1-3	5.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.56
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.57
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.58
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.58
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.57
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.57
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.59
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.58
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.58
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.58
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.84×	58.59
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.59
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.59
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.59
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk leading at HT (DNB)	55.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Anderlecht leading at HT (DNB)	44.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht or Racing Genk (12)	74.7%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Racing Genk or draw (X2)	70.6%	72.1%	57.1%	1.26×	1.39
Anderlecht or draw (1X)	54.7%	52.6%	69.1%	0.76×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw at HT	74.5%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Anderlecht or draw at HT	67.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Anderlecht or Racing Genk at HT	57.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw (1UP)	70.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Anderlecht or draw (1UP)	54.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw in 2nd half	74.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Anderlecht or Racing Genk in 2nd half	65.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Anderlecht or draw in 2nd half	60.0%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.5%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (DNB)	60.6%	62.8%	41.8%	1.50×	1.59
Anderlecht (DNB)	39.4%	37.2%	58.2%	0.64×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score first	52.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Anderlecht to score first	41.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	6.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.7%	54.8%	53.7%	1.02×	1.83
Not both teams to score	42.3%	45.2%	46.3%	0.98×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.8%	44.2%	41.5%	1.06×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.3%	34.4%	35.6%	0.96×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.8%	83.2%	85.5%	0.97×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.2%	16.8%	14.5%	1.16×	5.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.98

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	47.7%	0.99×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.7%	26.4%	26.4%	1.00×	3.78
0-1 goals	21.5%	22.8%	23.5%	0.97×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score exactly 1	32.1%	33.9%	32.9%	1.03×	2.95
Racing Genk to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	22.4%	1.22×	3.65
Racing Genk to score 3+	22.0%	22.4%	13.1%	1.71×	4.47
Racing Genk to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.6%	31.9%	0.61×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.6%	34.6%	1.03×	2.81
Anderlecht to score exactly 0	28.4%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
Anderlecht to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.3%	24.4%	0.95×	4.30
Anderlecht to score 3+	13.3%	14.4%	19.3%	0.74×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Racing Genk leading at HT	32.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Anderlecht leading at HT	25.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk -1: 1	54.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Racing Genk -1: 2	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Racing Genk -1: X	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:1)	70.6%	70.9%	57.1%	1.24×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	21.0%	0.85×	5.62
Anderlecht (0:1)	12.6%	13.8%	22.1%	0.63×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:2)	87.4%	87.0%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.97
Anderlecht (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	10.5%	0.36×	26.45

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	6.2%	0.39×	42.00
Anderlecht (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	83.37
Anderlecht (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.2%	0.55×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (1:0)	54.7%	54.2%	69.1%	0.78×	1.85
Racing Genk (1:0)	23.6%	21.7%	13.4%	1.62×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	21.7%	21.7%	17.6%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht (2:0)	76.4%	80.3%	86.6%	0.93×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.4%	8.6%	1.21×	9.60
Racing Genk (2:0)	9.8%	6.5%	4.9%	1.31×	15.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht to concede	80.1%	80.7%	68.1%	1.19×	1.24
Anderlecht clean sheet	19.9%	19.3%	31.9%	0.60×	5.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Anderlecht to concede in 1st half	47.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht over 2.5 corners	87.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Anderlecht over 3.5 corners	75.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Anderlecht under 6.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Anderlecht over 4.5 corners	61.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Anderlecht under 5.5 corners	52.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Anderlecht over 5.5 corners	47.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Anderlecht under 4.5 corners	38.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Anderlecht over 6.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Anderlecht under 3.5 corners	24.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Anderlecht under 2.5 corners	12.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht under 3.5 goals	96.1%	96.3%	90.9%	1.06×	1.04
Anderlecht under 2.5 goals	86.7%	87.2%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Anderlecht over 0.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	77.9%	0.95×	1.35
Anderlecht under 1.5 goals	64.2%	63.4%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
Anderlecht over 1.5 goals	35.8%	36.6%	43.5%	0.84×	2.73
Anderlecht under 0.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	22.1%	1.17×	3.88
Anderlecht over 2.5 goals	13.3%	12.8%	19.3%	0.66×	7.83
Anderlecht over 3.5 goals	3.9%	3.7%	9.1%	0.40×	27.39

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Anderlecht under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Anderlecht over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Anderlecht over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (home no bet)	64.1%	60.2%	53.9%	1.12×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.9%	39.8%	46.1%	0.86×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht even goals	54.0%	50.7%	52.6%	0.96×	1.97
Anderlecht odd goals	46.0%	49.3%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 0-1	19.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	16.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 0-2	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.59
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk at HT / Racing Genk at FT	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Anderlecht at HT / Anderlecht at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Racing Genk at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Anderlecht at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Anderlecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Racing Genk at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Anderlecht at HT / Racing Genk at FT	3.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
Racing Genk at HT / Anderlecht at FT	1.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score last	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Anderlecht to score last	41.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Racing Genk to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Anderlecht to lead by 1 at any time	48.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Racing Genk to lead by 2 at any time	30.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Anderlecht to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Racing Genk to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Anderlecht to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.5%	—	—	15.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht most corners	58.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Racing Genk most corners	31.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	10.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.6%	78.6%	76.9%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.8%	78.6%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.5%	61.1%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.5%	63.5%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.0%	53.1%	49.5%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.6%	48.7%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.2%	39.2%	40.3%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.7%	30.2%	26.4%	1.14×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.3%	30.2%	22.7%	1.33×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.6%	14.9%	13.0%	1.15×	6.73
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	2.8%	0.91×	39.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk never behind	45.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Anderlecht never behind	32.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	50.0%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.0%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.6%	82.4%	84.4%	0.98×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	77.4%	76.5%	1.01×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.6%	66.3%	71.0%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.7%	52.4%	52.2%	1.01×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.3%	47.6%	47.8%	0.99×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	32.4%	33.7%	29.0%	1.16×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.4%	17.6%	15.6%	1.13×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	6.5%	1.19×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.3%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.1%	92.5%	92.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.5%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.8%	72.6%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.3%	55.5%	62.2%	0.89×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.7%	44.5%	37.8%	1.18×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.2%	27.4%	31.0%	0.88×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.5%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.9%	7.5%	7.1%	1.06×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	2.9%	0.95×	36.36

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Racing Genk not to score in both halves	70.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Racing Genk to score in both halves	29.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Anderlecht to score in both halves	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.7%	58.2%	53.7%	1.08×	1.72
Only Racing Genk scores	22.3%	22.4%	14.5%	1.54×	4.47
Only Anderlecht scores	13.8%	11.0%	24.4%	0.45×	9.13
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.7%	24.5%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.0%	17.4%	13.6%	1.28×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.4%	17.4%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.1%	7.6%	6.5%	1.17×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to win both halves	93.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Racing Genk not to win both halves	87.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Racing Genk to win both halves	12.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.37
Anderlecht to win both halves	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win either half	59.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Anderlecht to win neither half	55.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Anderlecht to win either half	44.8%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
Racing Genk to win neither half	40.8%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Anderlecht not to win to nil	86.2%	88.2%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
Racing Genk not to win to nil	77.7%	78.0%	85.5%	0.91×	1.28
Racing Genk to win to nil	22.3%	22.0%	14.5%	1.52×	4.55
Anderlecht to win to nil	13.8%	11.8%	24.4%	0.48×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.8%	26.4%	1.05×	3.59
Racing Genk by 1	21.7%	24.1%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Anderlecht by 1	16.8%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.90
Racing Genk by 2	13.8%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.46
Racing Genk by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	4.9%	1.47×	13.79
Anderlecht by 2	8.4%	7.2%	11.7%	0.62×	13.80
Anderlecht by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.93