AVS v Benfica — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 20 September 2025 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2526
AI prediction
dc-xg-oos No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.AVS win
4.3%
Draw
10.7%
Benfica win
84.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg-oos | 0.56–2.94 | 0-2 13% | 68% | 41% | Away ✓ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run
python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.