Cádiz v Las Palmas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Cádiz

10:15

Las Palmas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 150h before kick-off

Cádiz win

26.5%

model 26.7%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.6%

Las Palmas win

47.0%

model 47.6%

272747

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 9.1%
0-2 8.9%
1-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.3%	Under 2.5	54.7%
BTTS yes	48.9%	BTTS no	51.1%
Cádiz 1+	64.0%	Cádiz 2+	27.3%
Las Palmas 1+	76.9%	Las Palmas 2+	43.0%

Expected goals 1.02 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Las Palmas (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 38%

62.9% fair odds 1.59

strong signal · 255 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1573 Elo against 1348.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Las Palmas have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Cádiz and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.02 for Cádiz and 1.46 for Las Palmas.

Why Cádiz

Nothing in the data singles out Cádiz.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Las Palmas can win

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1573 Elo against 1348. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Las Palmas's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Fabio Silva (0.42), Oliver McBurnie (0.26), Alberto Moleiro (0.21).

Availability

No lineup on record for Cádiz, so availability is unknown. 3 of Las Palmas's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cádiz: 50% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Las Palmas: 56% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Las Palmas are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Las Palmas have scored 8 from 9.8 expected and conceded 14 from 15.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLWWLLLLLL last 10 scored 8 from 9.8 xG conceded 14 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	272648	1.02–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262647	0.95–1.40	0-1 14%	42%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win	47.5%	47.5%	28.1%	1.69×	2.11
Draw	26.5%	27.9%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59
Cádiz to win	26.1%	27.9%	45.4%	0.61×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & not both score	29.3%	25.2%	13.5%	1.87×	3.97
Las Palmas & both teams score	18.1%	17.9%	14.7%	1.22×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	17.6%	1.02×	5.58
Cádiz & not both score	15.6%	17.9%	23.7%	0.76×	5.58
Cádiz & both teams score	10.5%	13.2%	21.9%	0.61×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.2%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & under 3.5	36.1%	34.9%	19.7%	1.78×	2.86
Las Palmas & over 1.5	33.8%	30.9%	19.5%	1.59×	3.24
Las Palmas & over 2.5	24.5%	21.6%	16.6%	1.30×	4.62
Las Palmas & under 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	11.6%	1.87×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.6%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Cádiz & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	32.3%	0.67×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Cádiz & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Las Palmas & under 1.5	13.7%	12.9%	8.7%	1.47×	7.77
Cádiz & under 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	19.3%	0.66×	7.77
Cádiz & over 2.5	12.3%	12.9%	26.2%	0.49×	7.78
Las Palmas & over 3.5	11.3%	12.9%	8.5%	1.51×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	9.1%	0.86×	12.69
Cádiz & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.0%	0.60×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.92
Cádiz & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1UP)	60.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Cádiz (1UP)	41.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2UP)	47.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Cádiz (2UP)	26.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win 2nd half	40.0%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	37.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Cádiz to win 2nd half	22.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Las Palmas (+1.5)	91.0%	92.1%	80.4%	1.14×	1.09
Las Palmas (+0.5)	73.9%	73.7%	54.6%	1.35×	1.36
Cádiz (+0.5)	52.5%	52.3%	71.9%	0.73×	1.91
Las Palmas (-0.5)	47.5%	47.7%	28.1%	1.70×	2.10
Cádiz (-0.5)	26.1%	26.3%	45.4%	0.58×	3.80
Cádiz (-1.5)	9.0%	7.9%	19.6%	0.40×	12.65
Cádiz (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	7.7%	0.49×	26.85

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to concede	61.5%	67.1%	77.5%	0.87×	1.49
Las Palmas clean sheet	38.5%	32.9%	22.5%	1.46×	3.04

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 1st half	66.4%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Las Palmas to concede in 1st half	33.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 6.5 corners	83.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Las Palmas under 5.5 corners	73.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Las Palmas over 2.5 corners	73.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Las Palmas under 4.5 corners	59.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Las Palmas over 3.5 corners	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Las Palmas under 3.5 corners	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Las Palmas over 4.5 corners	40.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Las Palmas under 2.5 corners	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Las Palmas over 5.5 corners	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Las Palmas over 6.5 corners	16.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Las Palmas under 2.5 goals	83.5%	81.5%	89.2%	0.91×	1.23
Las Palmas over 0.5 goals	75.2%	76.2%	67.3%	1.13×	1.31
Las Palmas under 1.5 goals	59.4%	59.6%	69.5%	0.86×	1.68
Las Palmas over 1.5 goals	40.6%	40.4%	30.5%	1.32×	2.48
Las Palmas under 0.5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	32.7%	0.73×	4.20
Las Palmas over 2.5 goals	16.5%	18.5%	10.8%	1.71×	5.40
Las Palmas over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	3.0%	2.51×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.66

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.4%	51.2%	36.9%	1.39×	1.95
Cádiz (away no bet)	49.6%	48.8%	63.1%	0.77×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas even goals	53.1%	52.7%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90
Las Palmas odd goals	46.9%	47.3%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Las Palmas to score 2+ in a row	34.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Cádiz to score 2+ in a row	18.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Las Palmas to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Cádiz to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.7%	—	—	37.56

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz corners (+3.5)	85.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Las Palmas corners (+3.5)	84.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Cádiz corners (+2.5)	78.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Las Palmas corners (+2.5)	76.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Cádiz corners (+1.5)	68.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Las Palmas corners (+1.5)	66.1%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cádiz corners (-1.5)	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Las Palmas corners (-1.5)	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Cádiz corners (-2.5)	23.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Las Palmas corners (-2.5)	21.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Cádiz corners (-3.5)	16.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
Las Palmas corners (-3.5)	14.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.5%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	19.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	73.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 7.5 corners	58.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	46.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	42.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	26.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	13.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.7%	11.5%	8.7%	1.31×	8.73
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-0	9.2%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.46
0-2	9.3%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.46
1-0	9.4%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.46
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.46
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.46
0-3	4.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.57
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.58
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.57
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.58
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.57
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.57
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.58
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.59
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.58
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.58
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.58
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.12×	58.59
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.59
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.59
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.41×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.12×	58.59
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas leading at HT (DNB)	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Cádiz leading at HT (DNB)	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (X2)	73.9%	72.1%	54.6%	1.32×	1.39
Cádiz or Las Palmas (12)	73.5%	72.1%	73.4%	0.98×	1.39
Cádiz or draw (1X)	52.5%	52.5%	71.9%	0.73×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw at HT	78.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Cádiz or draw at HT	68.5%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Cádiz or Las Palmas at HT	52.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1UP)	73.9%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Cádiz or draw (1UP)	52.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw in 2nd half	77.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Cádiz or Las Palmas in 2nd half	62.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Cádiz or draw in 2nd half	60.0%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	32.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (DNB)	64.6%	62.9%	38.2%	1.65×	1.59
Cádiz (DNB)	35.4%	37.1%	61.8%	0.60×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score first	53.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Cádiz to score first	36.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	9.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.1%	51.5%	46.1%	1.12×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.9%	48.5%	53.9%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.9%	44.2%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.5%	34.4%	42.8%	0.80×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	11.3%	1.10×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	6.3%	1.33×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.9%	85.7%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.1%	14.3%	14.3%	1.00×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	20.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.24

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.3%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
0-1 goals	32.3%	30.7%	30.7%	1.00×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.0%	22.8%	26.5%	0.86×	4.39
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.15×	55.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.9%	36.9%	0.92×	2.95
Las Palmas to score exactly 0	24.8%	22.4%	32.7%	0.68×	4.47
Las Palmas to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.4%	19.8%	1.13×	4.47
Las Palmas to score 3+	16.5%	19.5%	10.8%	1.80×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to score exactly 0	38.5%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Cádiz to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Cádiz to score exactly 2	17.5%	18.9%	25.0%	0.75×	5.30
Cádiz to score 3+	7.2%	10.3%	17.0%	0.61×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Las Palmas leading at HT	31.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Cádiz leading at HT	21.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas -1: 1	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Las Palmas -1: X	24.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Las Palmas -1: 2	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:1)	73.9%	71.1%	54.6%	1.30×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.0%	17.8%	26.0%	0.68×	5.62
Cádiz (0:1)	9.0%	9.3%	19.6%	0.47×	10.79

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:2)	91.0%	90.8%	80.4%	1.13×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	12.98
Cádiz (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.06
Cádiz (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.43
Cádiz (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.4%	2.85×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (1:0)	52.5%	54.1%	71.9%	0.75×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	18.0%	1.21×	4.60
Las Palmas (1:0)	22.7%	21.7%	10.2%	2.13×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz (2:0)	77.3%	80.3%	89.8%	0.89×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	14.2%	10.4%	7.0%	1.48×	9.60
Las Palmas (2:0)	8.6%	6.5%	3.3%	1.98×	15.47

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to concede	75.2%	75.8%	67.3%	1.13×	1.32
Cádiz clean sheet	24.8%	24.2%	32.7%	0.74×	4.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Cádiz to concede in 1st half	42.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 6.5 corners	81.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Cádiz over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Cádiz under 5.5 corners	71.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Cádiz over 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Cádiz under 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Cádiz over 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Cádiz under 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Cádiz over 5.5 corners	28.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Cádiz under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Cádiz over 6.5 corners	18.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Cádiz under 2.5 goals	92.8%	92.2%	83.0%	1.11×	1.08
Cádiz under 1.5 goals	75.3%	77.7%	58.0%	1.34×	1.29
Cádiz over 0.5 goals	61.5%	63.4%	77.5%	0.82×	1.58
Cádiz under 0.5 goals	38.5%	36.6%	22.5%	1.63×	2.73
Cádiz over 1.5 goals	24.7%	22.3%	42.0%	0.53×	4.48
Cádiz over 2.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	17.0%	0.46×	12.89
Cádiz over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Cádiz under 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Cádiz over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Cádiz over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (home no bet)	64.2%	60.2%	51.3%	1.17×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.8%	39.8%	48.7%	0.82×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz even goals	57.4%	55.5%	51.8%	1.07×	1.80
Cádiz odd goals	42.6%	44.5%	48.2%	0.92×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 0-1	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	5.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.75
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.80
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas at HT / Las Palmas at FT	26.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Draw at HT / Las Palmas at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Cádiz at HT / Cádiz at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Cádiz at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Cádiz at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Las Palmas at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Cádiz at HT / Las Palmas at FT	2.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
Las Palmas at HT / Cádiz at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score last	53.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Cádiz to score last	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	9.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Las Palmas to lead by 1 at any time	60.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Cádiz to lead by 1 at any time	41.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Las Palmas to lead by 2 at any time	27.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Cádiz to lead by 2 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Las Palmas to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Cádiz to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.58

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz most corners	45.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Las Palmas most corners	42.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.5%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.7%	69.0%	63.0%	1.10×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.7%	69.0%	67.8%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.4%	63.5%	64.2%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.7%	59.2%	56.6%	1.05×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.1%	48.7%	42.0%	1.16×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	41.4%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.7%	43.6%	47.5%	0.92×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.4%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.7%	35.4%	36.3%	0.97×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.0%	24.4%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09
4-5 goals	17.8%	18.6%	22.9%	0.81×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.9%	8.7%	11.4%	0.77×	11.44
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.6%	1.60×	39.54

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas never behind	49.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cádiz never behind	30.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	94.8%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	87.2%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.9%	77.4%	72.0%	1.07×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	67.7%	66.3%	69.3%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.3%	58.8%	51.0%	1.15×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.7%	41.2%	49.0%	0.84×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	32.3%	33.7%	30.7%	1.10×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	21.1%	22.6%	28.0%	0.81×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	9.1%	0.84×	12.94
Over 4.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	5.2%	0.87×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.5%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.8%	86.7%	84.9%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.5%	72.6%	64.6%	1.12×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.5%	61.5%	0.90×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.5%	38.5%	1.15×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.5%	27.4%	35.4%	0.77×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.2%	13.3%	15.1%	0.88×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.5%	2.8%	5.6%	0.49×	36.34
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.7%	1.6%	1.68×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.1%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.9%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to score in both halves	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Las Palmas not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Las Palmas to score in both halves	24.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Cádiz to score in both halves	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.9%	50.3%	53.9%	0.93×	1.99
Only Las Palmas scores	29.3%	26.2%	13.5%	1.95×	3.82
Only Cádiz scores	15.6%	16.1%	23.7%	0.68×	6.21
Neither team scores	9.2%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	25.0%	20.4%	1.22×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.1%	22.6%	21.7%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.1%	12.1%	15.2%	0.79×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.2%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.3%	4.4%	5.2%	0.86×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	25.0%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to win both halves	95.3%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Las Palmas not to win both halves	87.5%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Las Palmas to win both halves	12.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Cádiz to win both halves	4.8%	2.9%	—	—	34.75

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz to win neither half	61.0%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Las Palmas to win either half	58.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Las Palmas to win neither half	41.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Cádiz to win either half	39.0%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cádiz not to win to nil	84.4%	83.0%	76.3%	1.09×	1.21
Las Palmas not to win to nil	70.7%	75.2%	86.5%	0.87×	1.33
Las Palmas to win to nil	29.3%	24.8%	13.5%	1.84×	4.04
Cádiz to win to nil	15.6%	17.0%	23.7%	0.72×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.5%	27.8%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59
Las Palmas by 1	24.7%	24.1%	18.0%	1.34×	4.14
Cádiz by 1	17.0%	16.9%	26.0%	0.65×	5.90
Las Palmas by 2	14.2%	11.8%	7.0%	1.68×	8.46
Las Palmas by 3+	8.6%	7.2%	3.3%	2.22×	13.80
Cádiz by 2	6.6%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.81
Cádiz by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.99