Cardiff City v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Cardiff City

07:30

Charlton Athletic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 316h before kick-off

Cardiff City win

44.1%

model 41.5%

Draw

28.3%

model 30.2%

Charlton Athletic win

27.6%

model 28.3%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.4%
1-0 10.5%
0-0 10.4%
2-1 8.7%
2-0 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.6%	Under 2.5	56.4%
BTTS yes	50.2%	BTTS no	49.8%
Cardiff City 1+	74.0%	Cardiff City 2+	39.0%
Charlton Athletic 1+	65.8%	Charlton Athletic 2+	29.1%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

42/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 7.5 corners

Corners O/U

76.5% fair odds 1.31

moderate signal · 12399 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Cardiff City.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cardiff City have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.3% for the draw and 27.6% for Charlton Athletic. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Cardiff City and 1.07 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Cardiff City

Nothing in the data singles out Cardiff City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Charlton Athletic carry the stronger rating, 1438 Elo against 1367. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cardiff City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cardiff City: 52% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Cardiff City are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 42/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	413028	1.35–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	363133	1.20–1.13	1-1 15%	41%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to win	36.1%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
Charlton Athletic to win	32.7%	30.4%	29.0%	1.05×	3.29
Draw	31.3%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City & not both score	21.0%	21.9%	23.4%	0.94×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Charlton Athletic & not both score	18.9%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.58
Cardiff City & both teams score	15.0%	17.9%	20.2%	0.89×	5.58
Charlton Athletic & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	13.8%	0.96×	7.55
Draw & not both score	11.3%	13.2%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City & under 3.5	27.9%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Cardiff City & over 1.5	25.9%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.1%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.1%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5	25.5%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5	23.2%	21.6%	21.4%	1.01×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Cardiff City & over 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Cardiff City & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	13.0%	1.39×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.78
Cardiff City & under 1.5	10.2%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.78
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Cardiff City & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.69
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (1UP)	51.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Charlton Athletic (1UP)	48.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (2UP)	36.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Charlton Athletic (2UP)	32.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.1%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Cardiff City to win 2nd half	30.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half	29.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Charlton Athletic (+1.5)	84.0%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Cardiff City (+0.5)	67.3%	68.7%	71.0%	0.97×	1.46
Charlton Athletic (+0.5)	63.9%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
Cardiff City (-0.5)	36.1%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.69
Charlton Athletic (-0.5)	32.7%	31.3%	29.0%	1.08×	3.20
Cardiff City (-1.5)	16.0%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.69
Cardiff City (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede	69.8%	72.6%	77.5%	0.94×	1.38
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	30.2%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners	90.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners	83.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners	72.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners	27.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners	16.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners	10.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.6%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals	89.5%	87.9%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals	68.9%	68.0%	69.9%	0.97×	1.47
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals	67.6%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals	32.4%	32.0%	30.6%	1.05×	3.12
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals	31.1%	32.0%	30.1%	1.07×	3.12
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals	10.5%	12.1%	9.5%	1.28×	8.26
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	41.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	63.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	36.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.9%	—	—	17.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (away no bet)	53.6%	51.3%	61.2%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.4%	48.7%	38.8%	1.26×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals	55.2%	56.9%	52.6%	1.08×	1.76
Charlton Athletic odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	47.4%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	8.1%	—	—	12.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Cardiff City to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row	24.5%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Cardiff City to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.90
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	—	—	18.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City corners (+3.5)	96.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Cardiff City corners (+2.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City corners (+1.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City corners (-1.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cardiff City corners (-2.5)	65.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Cardiff City corners (-3.5)	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5)	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5)	34.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5)	3.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	45.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
0-8 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	24.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	62.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	61.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	55.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	53.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	45.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	38.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	37.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	30.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.8%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
0-0	11.3%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
1-0	10.2%	11.4%	11.1%	1.03×	8.73
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.46
2-0	7.0%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.46
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.46
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.46
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.58
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.59
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.57
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.58
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.58
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.57
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.58
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.93×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	19.87×	58.59
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.58
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.58
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	3.97×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City leading at HT (DNB)	54.2%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	45.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City or Charlton Athletic (12)	68.7%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Cardiff City or draw (1X)	67.3%	69.6%	71.0%	0.98×	1.44
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2)	63.9%	63.6%	56.5%	1.12×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City or draw at HT	76.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT	71.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Cardiff City or Charlton Athletic at HT	52.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City or draw (1UP)	67.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP)	63.9%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City or draw in 2nd half	70.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Cardiff City or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half	59.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.2%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	32.8%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (DNB)	52.5%	50.9%	60.0%	0.85×	1.96
Charlton Athletic (DNB)	47.5%	49.1%	40.0%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score first	45.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Charlton Athletic to score first	43.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.2%	51.5%	45.8%	1.12×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.8%	48.6%	54.2%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.2%	41.6%	37.3%	1.11×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	34.0%	34.4%	39.9%	0.86×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	14.8%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.5%	85.7%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.5%	14.3%	11.0%	1.30×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.21

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.0%	30.7%	25.9%	1.18×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.6%	20.3%	22.4%	0.90×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.31×	55.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0	32.4%	33.9%	30.6%	1.11×	2.95
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.4%	20.7%	1.08×	4.47
Charlton Athletic to score 3+	10.5%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	36.9%	0.96×	2.81
Cardiff City to score exactly 0	30.2%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Cardiff City to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.30
Cardiff City to score 3+	12.0%	14.3%	16.2%	0.89×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Cardiff City leading at HT	28.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Charlton Athletic leading at HT	23.9%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City -1: 2	63.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Cardiff City -1: X	20.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Cardiff City -1: 1	16.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:1)	63.9%	61.4%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.0%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12
Cardiff City (0:1)	16.0%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2)	84.0%	82.8%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.7%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.09
Cardiff City (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	41.97
Cardiff City (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.35
Cardiff City (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (1:0)	67.3%	69.8%	71.0%	0.98×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.8%	17.0%	17.3%	0.99×	5.87
Charlton Athletic (1:0)	13.9%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City (2:0)	86.1%	88.3%	88.1%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.5%	8.7%	0.75×	15.46
Charlton Athletic (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.13

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Halves equal	29.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to concede	67.6%	66.5%	69.4%	0.96×	1.50
Cardiff City clean sheet	32.4%	33.5%	30.6%	1.10×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City clean sheet in 1st half	63.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Cardiff City to concede in 1st half	36.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City over 2.5 corners	92.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Cardiff City over 3.5 corners	85.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Cardiff City over 4.5 corners	77.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Cardiff City over 5.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cardiff City over 6.5 corners	58.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cardiff City under 6.5 corners	41.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cardiff City under 5.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Cardiff City under 4.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Cardiff City under 3.5 corners	14.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Cardiff City under 2.5 corners	7.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Cardiff City under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.2%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Cardiff City over 0.5 goals	69.8%	68.0%	77.5%	0.88×	1.47
Cardiff City under 1.5 goals	66.4%	67.9%	59.4%	1.14×	1.47
Cardiff City over 1.5 goals	33.6%	32.1%	40.6%	0.79×	3.12
Cardiff City under 0.5 goals	30.2%	32.0%	22.5%	1.42×	3.12
Cardiff City over 2.5 goals	12.0%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.84
Cardiff City over 3.5 goals	3.4%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.41

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Cardiff City under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Cardiff City over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Cardiff City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	4.7%	—	—	21.50

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (home no bet)	51.1%	51.5%	51.3%	1.01×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.9%	48.5%	48.7%	0.99×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City even goals	54.6%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Cardiff City odd goals	45.4%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	19.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	16.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.63
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.76
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.8%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Cardiff City at HT / Cardiff City at FT	20.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Cardiff City at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Cardiff City at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Cardiff City at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.21
Charlton Athletic at HT / Cardiff City at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City to score last	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Charlton Athletic to score last	43.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	11.3%	9.3%	—	—	10.79

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Cardiff City to lead by 1 at any time	51.6%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	48.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Cardiff City to lead by 2 at any time	20.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Cardiff City to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.37
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.5%	—	—	15.42

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City most corners	80.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Charlton Athletic most corners	13.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Corners level	6.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
1-3 goals	68.1%	69.0%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	68.1%	69.0%	72.8%	0.95×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.9%	69.0%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.5%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.6%	48.7%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.1%	43.6%	47.1%	0.93×	2.29
3-5 goals	37.9%	39.2%	44.5%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.4%	35.4%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.6%	18.6%	22.4%	0.83×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.4%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.7%	8.7%	8.1%	1.08×	11.44
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.4%	1.84×	39.54

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cardiff City never behind	40.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Charlton Athletic never behind	37.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.7%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.4%	77.4%	76.3%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	74.1%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.9%	58.8%	51.6%	1.14×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.1%	41.2%	48.4%	0.85×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	25.9%	1.30×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.6%	22.6%	23.7%	0.95×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.3%	7.3%	1.69×	8.12
Over 4.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	9.4%	0.83×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.2%	92.4%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.1%	72.6%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.0%	55.5%	65.1%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.0%	44.5%	34.9%	1.27×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.9%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.8%	7.6%	10.9%	0.69×	13.24
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	1.4%	1.95×	36.42

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Cardiff City not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Cardiff City to score in both halves	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.8%	50.4%	54.2%	0.93×	1.99
Only Cardiff City scores	21.0%	22.4%	23.4%	0.96×	4.47
Only Charlton Athletic scores	18.9%	16.1%	15.3%	1.05×	6.20
Neither team scores	11.3%	10.9%	7.3%	1.50×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	24.7%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.6%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.9%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	11.3%	12.1%	7.3%	1.65×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	26.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves	92.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Cardiff City not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Cardiff City to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Charlton Athletic to win both halves	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to win neither half	53.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Cardiff City to win neither half	50.4%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Cardiff City to win either half	49.6%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Charlton Athletic to win either half	46.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil	81.1%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.21
Cardiff City not to win to nil	79.0%	78.0%	76.6%	1.02×	1.28
Cardiff City to win to nil	21.0%	22.0%	23.4%	0.94×	4.55
Charlton Athletic to win to nil	18.9%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.3%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Cardiff City by 1	20.0%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
Charlton Athletic by 1	18.8%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.90
Cardiff City by 2	10.7%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.47
Charlton Athletic by 2	9.5%	7.2%	8.7%	0.84×	13.79
Cardiff City by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	8.1%	0.90×	13.81
Charlton Athletic by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	36.93