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Caykur Rizespor v Alanyaspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Caykur Rizespor win
49.8%
model 46.7%
Draw
28.2%
model 28.8%
Alanyaspor win
22.0%
model 24.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.7%
  2. 1-0 10.5%
  3. 0-0 9.4%
  4. 2-1 9.2%
  5. 2-0 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.546.5% Under 2.553.5%
BTTS yes51.4% BTTS no48.6%
Caykur Rizespor 1+77.7% Caykur Rizespor 2+44.3%
Alanyaspor 1+64.3% Alanyaspor 2+27.6%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
1-3 goals
Multi goal · usually 61%
69.1% fair odds 1.45
moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
84.4% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Caykur Rizespor carry the stronger rating, 1509 Elo against 1465.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Caykur Rizespor have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 22.0% for Alanyaspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Caykur Rizespor and 1.03 for Alanyaspor.

Why Caykur Rizespor

Caykur Rizespor carry the stronger rating, 1509 Elo against 1465.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Alanyaspor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Alanyaspor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Caykur Rizespor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alanyaspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Caykur Rizespor: 54% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alanyaspor: 43% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Caykur Rizespor are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.50–1.03 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.35–1.10 1-1 14% 44% 51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to win 41.1% 43.0% 45.4% 0.95× 2.33
Draw 30.0% 27.9% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
Alanyaspor to win 28.9% 27.9% 28.7% 0.97× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor & not both score 23.2% 21.9% 22.3% 0.98× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.9% 17.9% 18.2% 0.99× 5.58
Caykur Rizespor & both teams score 17.9% 17.9% 23.2% 0.77× 5.58
Alanyaspor & not both score 15.7% 17.9% 14.3% 1.25× 5.58
Alanyaspor & both teams score 13.2% 13.2% 14.5% 0.91× 7.55
Draw & not both score 10.1% 13.2% 8.0% 1.66× 7.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor & over 1.5 31.0% 30.9% 36.2% 0.85× 3.24
Caykur Rizespor & under 3.5 30.3% 30.9% 29.4% 1.05× 3.24
Draw & under 2.5 24.3% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 24.3% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Caykur Rizespor & over 2.5 23.1% 21.6% 30.3% 0.71× 4.62
Alanyaspor & under 3.5 22.1% 21.6% 19.5% 1.11× 4.62
Alanyaspor & over 1.5 20.9% 21.6% 22.3% 0.97× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.9% 18.0% 18.2% 0.99× 5.56
Caykur Rizespor & under 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 15.2% 1.18× 5.56
Alanyaspor & over 2.5 15.7% 18.0% 18.0% 1.00× 5.56
Alanyaspor & under 2.5 13.1% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.78
Caykur Rizespor & over 3.5 10.9% 12.9% 16.1% 0.80× 7.78
Caykur Rizespor & under 1.5 10.1% 12.9% 9.3% 1.38× 7.78
Draw & under 1.5 10.1% 12.9% 8.0% 1.61× 7.78
Alanyaspor & under 1.5 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.69
Alanyaspor & over 3.5 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (1UP) 56.6% 57.9% 1.73
Alanyaspor (1UP) 45.7% 42.8% 2.34
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (2UP) 41.1% 47.5% 2.11
Alanyaspor (2UP) 28.9% 24.7% 4.05
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.7% 36.1% 2.77
Caykur Rizespor to win 2nd half 34.0% 34.5% 2.90
Alanyaspor to win 2nd half 27.3% 26.3% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor (+2.5) 92.7% 92.1% 90.1% 1.02× 1.09
Alanyaspor (+1.5) 80.1% 82.4% 78.6% 1.05× 1.21
Caykur Rizespor (+0.5) 71.1% 73.7% 71.3% 1.03× 1.36
Alanyaspor (+0.5) 58.9% 57.0% 54.6% 1.04× 1.75
Caykur Rizespor (-0.5) 41.1% 43.0% 45.4% 0.95× 2.33
Alanyaspor (-0.5) 28.9% 26.3% 28.7% 0.92× 3.80
Caykur Rizespor (-1.5) 19.9% 17.6% 21.5% 0.82× 5.68
Caykur Rizespor (-2.5) 7.3% 7.9% 9.9% 0.80× 12.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor to concede 74.2% 76.5% 77.8% 0.98× 1.31
Alanyaspor clean sheet 25.8% 23.5% 22.2% 1.06× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor clean sheet in 1st half 55.8% 57.6% 1.74
Alanyaspor to concede in 1st half 44.2% 42.4% 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor under 6.5 corners 86.9% 84.9% 1.18
Alanyaspor under 5.5 corners 78.3% 75.8% 1.32
Alanyaspor over 2.5 corners 68.0% 68.2% 1.47
Alanyaspor under 4.5 corners 65.8% 68.2% 1.47
Alanyaspor over 3.5 corners 50.1% 52.4% 1.91
Alanyaspor under 3.5 corners 49.9% 47.6% 2.10
Alanyaspor over 4.5 corners 34.2% 31.8% 3.15
Alanyaspor under 2.5 corners 32.0% 31.8% 3.15
Alanyaspor over 5.5 corners 21.7% 24.2% 4.14
Alanyaspor over 6.5 corners 13.1% 15.1% 6.63
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor under 3.5 goals 97.4% 97.6% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Alanyaspor under 2.5 goals 90.0% 92.3% 86.2% 1.07× 1.08
Alanyaspor under 1.5 goals 69.9% 68.0% 65.2% 1.04× 1.47
Alanyaspor over 0.5 goals 66.7% 68.0% 69.8% 0.97× 1.47
Alanyaspor under 0.5 goals 33.3% 32.0% 30.2% 1.06× 3.12
Alanyaspor over 1.5 goals 30.1% 32.0% 34.8% 0.92× 3.12
Alanyaspor over 2.5 goals 10.0% 7.7% 13.8% 0.56× 13.04
Alanyaspor over 3.5 goals 2.6% 2.4% 4.6% 0.53× 41.06
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half 92.7% 94.2% 1.06
Alanyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half 64.4% 64.6% 1.55
Alanyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half 35.6% 35.4% 2.82
Alanyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half 7.3% 5.9% 17.09
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (away no bet) 57.8% 57.5% 63.6% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 42.2% 42.5% 36.4% 1.17× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor even goals 55.5% 56.9% 54.4% 1.05× 1.76
Alanyaspor odd goals 44.5% 43.1% 45.6% 0.95× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.6% 88.0% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.4% 12.0% 8.33
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 58.5% 59.9% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 41.5% 40.1% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 50.2% 51.1% 1.96
Caykur Rizespor to score 2+ in a row 32.1% 28.5% 3.51
Alanyaspor to score 2+ in a row 22.9% 19.3% 5.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.2% 16.4% 6.11
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ in a row 10.4% 11.9% 8.38
Alanyaspor to score 3+ in a row 5.9% 5.5% 18.06
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor corners (+3.5) 87.5% 84.2% 1.19
Alanyaspor corners (+3.5) 83.4% 80.0% 1.25
Caykur Rizespor corners (+2.5) 80.4% 80.0% 1.25
Alanyaspor corners (+2.5) 75.1% 75.5% 1.33
Caykur Rizespor corners (+1.5) 71.0% 69.9% 1.43
Alanyaspor corners (+1.5) 64.6% 61.7% 1.62
Caykur Rizespor corners (-1.5) 35.4% 38.3% 2.61
Alanyaspor corners (-1.5) 29.0% 30.1% 3.32
Caykur Rizespor corners (-2.5) 24.9% 24.5% 4.08
Alanyaspor corners (-2.5) 19.6% 20.0% 5.00
Caykur Rizespor corners (-3.5) 16.6% 20.0% 5.00
Alanyaspor corners (-3.5) 12.5% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 59.7% 48.0% 2.08
9-11 corners 25.2% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 15.0% 21.6% 4.63
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 89.9% 82.8% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 85.0% 79.9% 1.25
Under 10.5 corners 78.4% 76.6% 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 69.9% 67.9% 1.47
Under 8.5 corners 59.7% 57.8% 1.73
Over 7.5 corners 51.7% 52.2% 1.91
Under 7.5 corners 48.3% 47.8% 2.09
Over 8.5 corners 40.3% 42.2% 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 30.1% 32.1% 3.12
Over 10.5 corners 21.7% 23.4% 4.28
Over 11.5 corners 15.0% 20.1% 4.97
Over 12.5 corners 10.1% 17.2% 5.83
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.3% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.73
0-0 10.1% 11.4% 8.0% 1.43× 8.74
1-0 10.1% 11.4% 9.3% 1.23× 8.73
2-1 8.7% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.46
0-1 7.9% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.46
1-2 7.0% 7.4% 6.7% 1.12× 13.46
2-0 7.9% 7.4% 6.1% 1.23× 13.46
0-2 5.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.67× 13.46
2-2 4.8% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.56
0-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.58
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.59
1-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.58
1-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.59
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.58
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.59
3-0 3.6% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.57
3-1 3.9% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.57
3-2 2.2% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.58
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.59
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.59
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.59
4-1 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.15× 58.59
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.59
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 11.54× 58.59
Any other score 1.8% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT (DNB) 58.9% 57.8% 1.73
Alanyaspor leading at HT (DNB) 41.1% 42.2% 2.37
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1X) 71.1% 72.1% 71.3% 1.01× 1.39
Caykur Rizespor or Alanyaspor (12) 70.0% 72.1% 74.0% 0.98× 1.39
Alanyaspor or draw (X2) 58.9% 57.0% 54.6% 1.04× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor or draw at HT 77.9% 80.0% 1.25
Alanyaspor or draw at HT 68.4% 66.1% 1.51
Caykur Rizespor or Alanyaspor at HT 53.7% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1UP) 71.1% 79.9% 1.25
Alanyaspor or draw (1UP) 58.9% 62.8% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor or draw in 2nd half 72.7% 73.7% 1.36
Alanyaspor or draw in 2nd half 66.0% 65.5% 1.53
Caykur Rizespor or Alanyaspor in 2nd half 61.3% 63.9% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 65.5% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 34.5% 30.4% 3.30
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (DNB) 58.8% 58.2% 61.3% 0.95× 1.72
Alanyaspor (DNB) 41.2% 41.8% 38.7% 1.08× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to score first 49.7% 45.7% 2.19
Alanyaspor to score first 40.3% 41.5% 2.41
No goal scored 10.1% 9.5% 10.48
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 51.0% 51.4% 55.6% 0.93× 1.94
Not both teams to score 49.0% 48.6% 44.4% 1.09× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 41.2% 41.5% 33.7% 1.23× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 36.7% 38.5% 43.2% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 14.3% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 7.8% 8.4% 10.8% 0.77× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.2% 85.7% 83.4% 1.03× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.8% 14.3% 16.6% 0.86× 6.98
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.5% 74.6% 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.5% 25.4% 3.93
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.6% 66.6% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 22.4% 21.1% 4.73
Both score 1st half only 11.9% 10.5% 9.55
Both score in both halves 4.1% 5.0% 20.09
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.0% 82.9% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 16.0% 17.1% 5.85
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 50.5% 53.2% 1.88
A goal in each half 49.5% 46.8% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.5% 47.4% 45.7% 1.04× 2.11
0-1 goals 28.2% 26.4% 23.5% 1.12× 3.78
4-6 goals 22.0% 22.8% 28.4% 0.80× 4.38
7+ goals 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 0.68× 55.30
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor to score exactly 1 36.6% 36.0% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
Alanyaspor to score exactly 0 33.3% 33.9% 30.2% 1.12× 2.95
Alanyaspor to score exactly 2 20.1% 22.4% 21.2% 1.06× 4.47
Alanyaspor to score 3+ 10.0% 8.5% 13.8% 0.62× 11.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 1 34.9% 32.7% 32.1% 1.02× 3.06
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 0 25.8% 26.5% 22.2% 1.19× 3.77
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 2 23.7% 23.3% 23.8% 0.98× 4.30
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ 15.6% 18.9% 22.2% 0.85× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.3% 52.4% 1.91
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT 31.6% 33.9% 2.95
Alanyaspor leading at HT 22.1% 20.0% 5.01
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor -1: 2 58.9% 56.7% 1.76
Caykur Rizespor -1: X 21.3% 23.6% 4.24
Caykur Rizespor -1: 1 19.9% 17.5% 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor (0:1) 58.9% 55.8% 54.6% 1.02× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 21.3% 24.3% 24.1% 1.01× 4.12
Caykur Rizespor (0:1) 19.9% 17.8% 21.5% 0.83× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor (0:2) 80.1% 82.7% 78.6% 1.05× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.6% 11.0% 11.7% 0.94× 9.08
Caykur Rizespor (0:2) 7.3% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.98
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor (0:3) 92.7% 92.6% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 0.89× 17.27
Caykur Rizespor (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 0.67× 42.05
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor (0:4) 97.9% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.28
Caykur Rizespor (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.41
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (1:0) 71.1% 72.5% 71.3% 1.02× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 17.0% 17.0% 15.8% 1.08× 5.87
Alanyaspor (1:0) 11.9% 12.8% 13.0% 0.98× 7.81
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (2:0) 88.1% 88.4% 87.0% 1.02× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.3% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.48
Alanyaspor (2:0) 3.6% 2.3% 5.5% 0.41× 44.18
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.2% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 28.8% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.0% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to concede 66.7% 66.5% 69.8% 0.95× 1.50
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet 33.3% 33.5% 30.2% 1.11× 2.98
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet in 1st half 64.4% 64.6% 1.55
Caykur Rizespor to concede in 1st half 35.6% 35.4% 2.82
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 6.5 corners 83.6% 81.3% 1.23
Caykur Rizespor under 5.5 corners 74.0% 71.5% 1.40
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 corners 72.1% 71.5% 1.40
Caykur Rizespor under 4.5 corners 60.9% 62.0% 1.61
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 corners 55.1% 57.4% 1.74
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 corners 44.9% 42.6% 2.35
Caykur Rizespor over 4.5 corners 39.1% 38.0% 2.63
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 corners 27.9% 28.5% 3.51
Caykur Rizespor over 5.5 corners 26.0% 28.5% 3.51
Caykur Rizespor over 6.5 corners 16.4% 18.7% 5.36
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 goals 95.1% 96.3% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 goals 84.4% 82.2% 77.8% 1.06× 1.22
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 goals 74.2% 74.2% 77.8% 0.95× 1.35
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 goals 60.7% 63.4% 54.1% 1.17× 1.58
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 goals 39.3% 36.6% 45.9% 0.80× 2.73
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 goals 25.8% 25.8% 22.2% 1.16× 3.88
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 goals 15.6% 17.8% 22.2% 0.80× 5.61
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 goals 4.9% 3.7% 7.4% 0.49× 27.34
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 in 1st half 88.4% 90.0% 1.11
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 in 1st half 55.8% 57.2% 1.75
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 in 1st half 44.2% 42.8% 2.34
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 in 1st half 11.6% 10.0% 9.99
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 50.9% 51.5% 47.6% 1.08× 1.94
Alanyaspor (home no bet) 49.1% 48.5% 52.4% 0.92× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor even goals 53.3% 50.7% 50.9% 1.00× 1.97
Caykur Rizespor odd goals 46.7% 49.4% 49.1% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.2% 38.3% 2.61
HT 1-0 20.7% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 15.6% 18.8% 5.31
HT 1-1 9.5% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-0 6.1% 7.1% 14.12
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.2% 44.66
Any other HT score 3.2% 2.2% 44.69
HT 2-1 2.7% 2.2% 44.73
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.2% 44.78
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.2% 44.89
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 24.1% 22.2% 4.51
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.5% 16.8% 5.94
Alanyaspor at HT / Alanyaspor at FT 15.1% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 15.0% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Alanyaspor at FT 11.8% 12.7% 7.90
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% 16.63
Alanyaspor at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.4% 29.09
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Alanyaspor at FT 1.9% 3.4% 29.21
Alanyaspor at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 2.1% 3.4% 29.20
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to score last 49.7% 47.0% 2.13
Alanyaspor to score last 40.2% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 10.1% 8.9% 11.21
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.9% 91.0% 1.10
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 1 at any time 56.6% 55.0% 1.82
Alanyaspor to lead by 1 at any time 45.7% 44.0% 2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.9% 39.0% 2.56
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 2 at any time 25.4% 25.1% 3.98
Alanyaspor to lead by 2 at any time 16.7% 14.9% 6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.7% 10.5% 9.54
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 3 at any time 8.9% 6.6% 15.25
Alanyaspor to lead by 3 at any time 4.8% 1.6% 61.08
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor most corners 47.3% 46.8% 2.14
Alanyaspor most corners 40.3% 43.1% 2.32
Corners level 12.3% 10.7% 9.39
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.0% 87.4% 85.5% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.6% 78.6% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-6 goals 70.5% 72.4% 74.0% 0.98× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.9% 69.0% 70.0% 0.99× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.6% 69.0% 61.2% 1.13× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.5% 63.5% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.5% 48.7% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 45.5% 48.7% 38.3% 1.27× 2.06
3-6 goals 43.2% 43.6% 51.3% 0.85× 2.29
3-5 goals 40.6% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 34.2% 35.4% 37.3% 0.95× 2.83
4-6 goals 22.0% 24.4% 28.4% 0.86× 4.09
4-5 goals 19.4% 18.6% 24.4% 0.76× 5.37
5-6 goals 9.0% 8.7% 14.2% 0.62× 11.43
7+ goals 1.3% 2.5% 2.7% 0.95× 39.52
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor never behind 44.2% 48.3% 2.07
Alanyaspor never behind 33.4% 35.5% 2.82
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.7% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.3% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.0% 57.9% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 43.0% 42.1% 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.9% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.1% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.1% 95.5% 93.3% 1.02× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 89.9% 87.7% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 89.7% 87.7% 83.3% 1.05× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 76.7% 77.4% 69.1% 1.12× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 71.8% 72.5% 76.5% 0.95× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 55.5% 58.8% 46.2% 1.27× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 44.5% 41.2% 53.8% 0.77× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 28.2% 27.5% 23.5% 1.17× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 23.3% 22.6% 30.9% 0.73× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 10.3% 12.3% 16.7% 0.74× 8.12
Under 0.5 goals 10.1% 12.3% 8.0% 1.54× 8.12
Over 5.5 goals 3.9% 4.5% 6.7% 0.68× 22.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.7% 97.3% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.8% 97.2% 92.6% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.2% 86.7% 80.5% 1.08× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 70.4% 72.6% 59.9% 1.21× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 61.2% 62.1% 69.6% 0.89× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 38.8% 37.9% 30.4% 1.25× 2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 29.6% 27.4% 40.1% 0.68× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.8% 13.3% 19.5% 0.68× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.2% 2.8% 7.4% 0.37× 36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 0.99× 36.41
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.5% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 72.5% 71.1% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.8% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.2% 36.3% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 27.5% 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.5% 7.2% 13.86
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.6% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.5% 54.9% 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.5% 45.1% 2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.4% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor not to score in both halves 82.8% 84.3% 1.19
Caykur Rizespor not to score in both halves 76.2% 78.3% 1.28
Caykur Rizespor to score in both halves 23.8% 21.7% 4.62
Alanyaspor to score in both halves 17.2% 15.7% 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 51.0% 53.9% 55.6% 0.97× 1.85
Only Caykur Rizespor scores 23.2% 22.4% 22.3% 1.00× 4.47
Only Alanyaspor scores 15.7% 16.1% 14.3% 1.12× 6.21
Neither team scores 10.1% 10.9% 8.0% 1.37× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.4% 25.0% 22.8% 1.10× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.2% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 18.1% 17.5% 15.7% 1.11× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 13.0% 12.1% 14.3% 0.84× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 10.1% 12.1% 8.0% 1.51× 8.30
Exactly 5 goals 6.4% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.9% 4.4% 6.7% 0.66× 22.61
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.5% 44.3% 2.26
1 goal in 2nd half 33.2% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 24.4% 23.6% 4.24
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor not to win both halves 93.8% 94.0% 1.06
Caykur Rizespor not to win both halves 89.0% 88.1% 1.14
Caykur Rizespor to win both halves 11.0% 11.9% 8.42
Alanyaspor to win both halves 6.2% 6.0% 16.66
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor to win neither half 56.8% 59.4% 1.68
Caykur Rizespor to win either half 54.6% 54.8% 1.82
Caykur Rizespor to win neither half 45.4% 45.2% 2.21
Alanyaspor to win either half 43.2% 40.6% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alanyaspor not to win to nil 84.3% 83.0% 85.7% 0.97× 1.21
Caykur Rizespor not to win to nil 76.8% 78.0% 77.7% 1.00× 1.28
Caykur Rizespor to win to nil 23.2% 22.0% 22.3% 0.98× 4.55
Alanyaspor to win to nil 15.7% 17.0% 14.3% 1.19× 5.88
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.0% 27.8% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
Caykur Rizespor by 1 21.3% 24.1% 24.1% 1.00× 4.14
Alanyaspor by 1 17.0% 16.9% 15.8% 1.07× 5.90
Caykur Rizespor by 2 12.6% 11.8% 11.7% 1.01× 8.46
Alanyaspor by 2 8.3% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.80
Caykur Rizespor by 3+ 7.3% 7.2% 9.9% 0.73× 13.80
Alanyaspor by 3+ 3.6% 2.7% 5.5% 0.49× 36.95
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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