Charlotte FC v Houston Dynamo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Charlotte FC

19:30

Houston Dynamo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1h before kick-off

Charlotte FC win

46.5%

model 45.4%

Draw

26.8%

model 26.4%

Houston Dynamo win

26.8%

model 28.2%

462727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.2%
2-0 8.0%
0-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.2%	Under 2.5	49.8%
BTTS yes	54.1%	BTTS no	45.9%
Charlotte FC 1+	78.3%	Charlotte FC 2+	45.2%
Houston Dynamo 1+	68.4%	Houston Dynamo 2+	32.0%

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 73%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Charlotte FC have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Houston Dynamo and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.53 for Charlotte FC and 1.15 for Houston Dynamo.

Why Charlotte FC

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Houston Dynamo can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Charlotte FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Houston Dynamo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Charlotte FC: 48% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Houston Dynamo: 49% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Charlotte FC are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452628	1.53–1.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452728	1.45–1.08	1-1 13%	46%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win	45.0%	47.4%	45.4%	1.05×	2.11
Houston Dynamo to win	27.6%	27.9%	29.9%	0.93×	3.59
Draw	27.4%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & not both score	25.5%	25.2%	21.1%	1.19×	3.97
Charlotte FC & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	24.4%	0.73×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Houston Dynamo & not both score	15.0%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Houston Dynamo & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.6%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & over 1.5	33.9%	30.9%	37.1%	0.83×	3.24
Charlotte FC & under 3.5	32.5%	30.9%	28.3%	1.09×	3.24
Charlotte FC & over 2.5	25.5%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.6%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.62
Houston Dynamo & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.62
Charlotte FC & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & over 2.5	14.8%	12.9%	20.3%	0.64×	7.77
Charlotte FC & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Houston Dynamo & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
Charlotte FC & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Houston Dynamo & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Houston Dynamo & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (1UP)	59.7%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Houston Dynamo (1UP)	44.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2UP)	45.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Houston Dynamo (2UP)	27.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Charlotte FC to win 2nd half	36.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Houston Dynamo to win 2nd half	26.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (+2.5)	91.4%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Houston Dynamo (+1.5)	77.8%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Charlotte FC (+0.5)	72.4%	73.7%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
Houston Dynamo (+0.5)	55.0%	52.4%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Charlotte FC (-0.5)	45.0%	47.6%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
Houston Dynamo (-0.5)	27.6%	26.3%	29.9%	0.88×	3.80
Charlotte FC (-1.5)	22.2%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
Charlotte FC (-2.5)	8.6%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede	76.4%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Houston Dynamo clean sheet	23.6%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede in 1st half	46.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 corners	78.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Houston Dynamo under 6.5 corners	76.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Houston Dynamo under 5.5 corners	65.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 corners	63.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Houston Dynamo under 4.5 corners	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Houston Dynamo over 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 corners	36.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Houston Dynamo over 5.5 corners	34.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Houston Dynamo over 6.5 corners	23.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 corners	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 goals	70.8%	71.9%	61.3%	1.17×	1.39
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 goals	65.9%	67.9%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 goals	34.1%	32.1%	26.8%	1.20×	3.12
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 goals	29.2%	28.1%	38.7%	0.73×	3.56
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.05
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.09

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (away no bet)	62.2%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.8%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo even goals	55.8%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Houston Dynamo odd goals	44.2%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Charlotte FC to score 2+ in a row	35.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Houston Dynamo to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Charlotte FC to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Houston Dynamo to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC corners (+3.5)	84.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Houston Dynamo corners (+3.5)	79.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Charlotte FC corners (+2.5)	77.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Houston Dynamo corners (+2.5)	71.7%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Charlotte FC corners (+1.5)	68.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Houston Dynamo corners (+1.5)	62.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Charlotte FC corners (-1.5)	37.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Houston Dynamo corners (-1.5)	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Charlotte FC corners (-2.5)	28.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Houston Dynamo corners (-2.5)	22.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Charlotte FC corners (-3.5)	20.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Houston Dynamo corners (-3.5)	15.6%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.5%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
12+ corners	31.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	60.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Under 9.5 corners	49.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	39.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	31.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-0	11.1%	11.4%	8.4%	1.37×	8.74
0-0	8.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.47
2-0	8.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.47
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.47
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.47
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.47
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.50
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.50
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.51
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.51
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.52
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.52
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.50
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.50
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.52
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.52
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.52
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.52
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC leading at HT (DNB)	61.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Houston Dynamo leading at HT (DNB)	38.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or Houston Dynamo (12)	72.6%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
Charlotte FC or draw (1X)	72.4%	72.1%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Houston Dynamo or draw (X2)	55.0%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw at HT	78.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Houston Dynamo or draw at HT	66.2%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Charlotte FC or Houston Dynamo at HT	54.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw (1UP)	72.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Houston Dynamo or draw (1UP)	55.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw in 2nd half	73.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Houston Dynamo or draw in 2nd half	63.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Charlotte FC or Houston Dynamo in 2nd half	62.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	35.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (DNB)	62.0%	62.8%	60.3%	1.04×	1.59
Houston Dynamo (DNB)	38.0%	37.2%	39.7%	0.94×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score first	52.4%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Houston Dynamo to score first	39.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.9%	51.4%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.1%	48.6%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	29.9%	1.39×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	37.9%	38.5%	50.9%	0.76×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.6%	85.7%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.4%	14.3%	20.5%	0.70×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Both score in both halves	4.3%	5.0%	—	—	20.20

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.8%	26.4%	20.5%	1.29×	3.78
4-6 goals	23.2%	22.8%	33.1%	0.69×	4.38
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 0	34.1%	33.9%	26.8%	1.26×	2.95
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 2	19.7%	19.6%	22.1%	0.88×	5.11
Houston Dynamo to score 3+	9.5%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score exactly 1	34.1%	32.7%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
Charlotte FC to score exactly 2	24.6%	23.3%	26.0%	0.90×	4.30
Charlotte FC to score exactly 0	23.6%	23.3%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30
Charlotte FC to score 3+	17.7%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Charlotte FC leading at HT	33.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Houston Dynamo leading at HT	21.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC -1: 2	55.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Charlotte FC -1: X	22.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Charlotte FC -1: 1	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:1)	55.0%	51.2%	54.6%	0.94×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	22.8%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12
Charlotte FC (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	23.3%	1.04×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:2)	77.8%	79.5%	76.7%	1.04×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
Charlotte FC (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:3)	91.4%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.21
Charlotte FC (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.38
Charlotte FC (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (1:0)	72.4%	72.5%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Houston Dynamo (1:0)	10.8%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2:0)	89.2%	88.4%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.6%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.52
Houston Dynamo (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede	65.9%	66.5%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
Charlotte FC clean sheet	34.1%	33.5%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 1st half	65.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Charlotte FC to concede in 1st half	35.0%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Charlotte FC under 6.5 corners	71.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Charlotte FC over 3.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Charlotte FC under 5.5 corners	60.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Charlotte FC over 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Charlotte FC under 4.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlotte FC over 5.5 corners	39.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Charlotte FC under 3.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Charlotte FC over 6.5 corners	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Charlotte FC under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Charlotte FC under 2.5 goals	82.3%	82.1%	74.8%	1.10×	1.22
Charlotte FC over 0.5 goals	76.4%	77.7%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
Charlotte FC under 1.5 goals	57.6%	58.8%	48.9%	1.20×	1.70
Charlotte FC over 1.5 goals	42.4%	41.2%	51.1%	0.81×	2.43
Charlotte FC under 0.5 goals	23.6%	22.3%	18.0%	1.24×	4.49
Charlotte FC over 2.5 goals	17.7%	17.9%	25.2%	0.71×	5.59
Charlotte FC over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.94

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (home no bet)	50.2%	51.6%	54.6%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.8%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC even goals	52.8%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Charlotte FC odd goals	47.2%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.81
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.83
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.85
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	44.02

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	26.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Houston Dynamo at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	11.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Charlotte FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Houston Dynamo at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Houston Dynamo at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Charlotte FC at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score last	52.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Houston Dynamo to score last	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Charlotte FC to lead by 1 at any time	59.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Houston Dynamo to lead by 1 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Charlotte FC to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Houston Dynamo to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Charlotte FC to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.65
Houston Dynamo to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.16

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC most corners	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Houston Dynamo most corners	41.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.5%	73.1%	1.14×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.9%	69.0%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.7%	69.0%	57.2%	1.21×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.7%	42.5%	1.15×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.3%	48.7%	34.4%	1.42×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.7%	43.6%	55.9%	0.78×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.8%	43.6%	48.9%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.0%	35.4%	38.8%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	23.2%	24.5%	33.1%	0.74×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.3%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.7%	8.8%	17.2%	0.51×	11.42
7+ goals	1.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC never behind	47.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Houston Dynamo never behind	31.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.5%	88.9%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.8%	87.7%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.3%	77.4%	62.9%	1.23×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.2%	72.5%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.8%	52.5%	40.1%	1.31×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	46.2%	47.5%	59.9%	0.79×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	27.8%	27.5%	20.5%	1.34×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	24.7%	22.6%	37.1%	0.61×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	11.2%	12.3%	21.2%	0.58×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.5%	11.1%	0.41×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.3%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.3%	97.2%	87.6%	1.11×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.1%	86.7%	74.8%	1.16×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.6%	67.4%	51.9%	1.30×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.4%	62.1%	74.5%	0.83×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.6%	37.9%	25.5%	1.49×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.4%	32.6%	48.1%	0.68×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.9%	13.3%	25.2%	0.53×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.7%	2.8%	12.4%	0.22×	36.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.7%	4.4%	0.62×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.6%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to score in both halves	83.4%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Charlotte FC not to score in both halves	74.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Charlotte FC to score in both halves	26.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Houston Dynamo to score in both halves	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.9%	53.9%	61.1%	0.88×	1.86
Only Charlotte FC scores	25.5%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.83
Only Houston Dynamo scores	15.0%	11.0%	12.3%	0.89×	9.13
Neither team scores	8.6%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	24.9%	19.7%	1.27×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.2%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.5%	12.1%	16.0%	0.75×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.10
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.4%	11.1%	0.40×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	23.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to win both halves	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Charlotte FC not to win both halves	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Charlotte FC to win both halves	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Houston Dynamo to win both halves	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win neither half	58.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Charlotte FC to win either half	57.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Charlotte FC to win neither half	42.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Houston Dynamo to win either half	41.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to win to nil	85.0%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Charlotte FC not to win to nil	74.5%	75.3%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
Charlotte FC to win to nil	25.5%	24.7%	21.1%	1.17×	4.05
Houston Dynamo to win to nil	15.0%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.4%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.60
Charlotte FC by 1	22.8%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Houston Dynamo by 1	16.8%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
Charlotte FC by 2	13.7%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
Charlotte FC by 3+	8.6%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.79
Houston Dynamo by 2	7.6%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.80
Houston Dynamo by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.04