Cincinnati v Charlotte FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Cincinnati

19:30

Charlotte FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 160h before kick-off

Cincinnati win

49.5%

model 46.5%

Draw

21.8%

model 22.1%

Charlotte FC win

28.8%

model 31.4%

492229

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 8.9%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.1%
1-2 7.0%
3-1 5.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	70.7%	Under 2.5	29.3%
BTTS yes	70.2%	BTTS no	29.8%
Cincinnati 1+	86.7%	Cincinnati 2+	59.9%
Charlotte FC 1+	80.6%	Charlotte FC 2+	48.8%

Expected goals 2.02 – 1.64. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 48%

62.9% fair odds 1.59

moderate signal · 684 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cincinnati to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 73%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Cincinnati.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cincinnati have an estimated 49.5% win probability, against 28.8% for Charlotte FC and 21.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.02 for Cincinnati and 1.64 for Charlotte FC.

Why Cincinnati

Nothing in the data singles out Cincinnati.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Charlotte FC can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cincinnati, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlotte FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cincinnati: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlotte FC: 48% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cincinnati's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Cincinnati are the model's most likely outcome at 49.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 8.9%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472231	2.02–1.64	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422236	2.00–1.85	1-1 8%	74%	73%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win	42.0%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Charlotte FC to win	36.2%	36.4%	29.9%	1.22×	2.75
Draw	21.8%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati & both teams score	28.8%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Charlotte FC & both teams score	25.1%	25.2%	17.8%	1.42×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Cincinnati & not both score	13.2%	13.2%	21.1%	0.63×	7.55
Charlotte FC & not both score	11.1%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	2.5%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati & over 1.5	38.1%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.86
Cincinnati & over 2.5	33.9%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Charlotte FC & over 1.5	32.6%	30.9%	23.5%	1.31×	3.24
Charlotte FC & over 2.5	29.0%	26.0%	20.3%	1.28×	3.84
Cincinnati & over 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Charlotte FC & over 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	11.2%	1.60×	5.56
Cincinnati & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	28.3%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Charlotte FC & under 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	8.9%	1.44×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Draw & over 3.5	11.1%	12.9%	8.9%	1.44×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Cincinnati & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	14.5%	0.54×	12.69
Charlotte FC & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.69
Cincinnati & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.93
Charlotte FC & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	2.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (1UP)	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Charlotte FC (1UP)	58.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (2UP)	42.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Charlotte FC (2UP)	36.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win 2nd half	36.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Charlotte FC to win 2nd half	34.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
2nd half drawn	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (+2.5)	89.1%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Charlotte FC (+1.5)	76.4%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Cincinnati (+0.5)	63.8%	62.9%	70.1%	0.90×	1.59
Charlotte FC (+0.5)	58.0%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75
Cincinnati (-0.5)	42.0%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Charlotte FC (-0.5)	36.2%	37.1%	29.9%	1.24×	2.69
Cincinnati (-1.5)	23.6%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
Cincinnati (-2.5)	10.9%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede	86.5%	86.5%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Charlotte FC clean sheet	13.5%	13.6%	18.0%	0.75×	7.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede in 1st half	57.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 1st half	42.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 6.5 corners	78.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC over 2.5 corners	77.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC under 5.5 corners	67.6%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Charlotte FC over 3.5 corners	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Charlotte FC under 4.5 corners	53.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Charlotte FC over 4.5 corners	46.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Charlotte FC under 3.5 corners	38.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Charlotte FC over 5.5 corners	32.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Charlotte FC under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Charlotte FC over 6.5 corners	21.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.9%	93.9%	0.94×	1.14
Charlotte FC over 0.5 goals	84.3%	81.5%	73.2%	1.11×	1.23
Charlotte FC under 2.5 goals	71.7%	71.9%	83.3%	0.86×	1.39
Charlotte FC over 1.5 goals	55.2%	59.6%	38.7%	1.54×	1.68
Charlotte FC under 1.5 goals	44.8%	40.4%	61.3%	0.66×	2.48
Charlotte FC over 2.5 goals	28.3%	28.1%	16.7%	1.68×	3.56
Charlotte FC under 0.5 goals	15.7%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.40
Charlotte FC over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	6.1%	1.99×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (away no bet)	65.9%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.1%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC even goals	51.2%	52.7%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Charlotte FC odd goals	48.8%	47.3%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.8%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.2%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cincinnati to score 2+ in a row	46.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Charlotte FC to score 2+ in a row	41.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Cincinnati to score 3+ in a row	18.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
Charlotte FC to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati corners (+3.5)	89.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Cincinnati corners (+2.5)	84.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Cincinnati corners (+1.5)	77.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Charlotte FC corners (+3.5)	69.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Charlotte FC corners (+2.5)	60.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Charlotte FC corners (+1.5)	50.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Cincinnati corners (-1.5)	49.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Cincinnati corners (-2.5)	39.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Cincinnati corners (-3.5)	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Charlotte FC corners (-1.5)	22.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Charlotte FC corners (-2.5)	16.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
Charlotte FC corners (-3.5)	10.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
0-8 corners	32.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	28.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	67.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	48.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	32.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	30.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	9.0%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.46
1-1	8.2%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.46
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
2-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.46
3-2	4.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.56
0-0	2.5%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.58
0-1	3.6%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.57
0-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.57
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-0	3.9%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.57
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.57
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.58
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.57
2-3	4.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.57
2-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.58
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58
3-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
3-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.58
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.58
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
4-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.58
4-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati leading at HT (DNB)	55.3%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Charlotte FC leading at HT (DNB)	44.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or Charlotte FC (12)	78.2%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Cincinnati or draw (1X)	63.8%	63.6%	70.1%	0.91×	1.57
Charlotte FC or draw (X2)	58.0%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or draw at HT	71.1%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Cincinnati or Charlotte FC at HT	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Charlotte FC or draw at HT	64.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or draw (1UP)	63.8%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Charlotte FC or draw (1UP)	58.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or Charlotte FC in 2nd half	71.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Cincinnati or draw in 2nd half	65.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Charlotte FC or draw in 2nd half	63.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (DNB)	53.7%	51.0%	60.3%	0.85×	1.96
Charlotte FC (DNB)	46.3%	49.0%	39.7%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score first	50.7%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Charlotte FC to score first	46.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	2.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	73.2%	62.4%	61.1%	1.02×	1.60
Not both teams to score	26.8%	37.6%	38.9%	0.96×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	65.0%	57.1%	50.9%	1.12×	1.75
Not both score & under 2.5	17.9%	21.8%	29.9%	0.73×	4.59
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96
Both score & under 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	67.2%	70.6%	79.5%	0.89×	1.42
Both teams to score 2+	32.8%	29.4%	20.5%	1.43×	3.40

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	54.3%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Both teams to score in 2nd half	45.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	37.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Both score 2nd half only	32.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	16.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Both score in both halves	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	69.8%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Both teams to score by HT	30.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	71.6%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	28.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.1%	42.1%	33.1%	1.27×	2.37
2-3 goals	36.4%	35.0%	42.5%	0.82×	2.86
0-1 goals	10.0%	7.7%	20.5%	0.37×	13.07
7+ goals	9.5%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score exactly 1	29.1%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Charlotte FC to score 3+	28.3%	27.4%	16.7%	1.64×	3.65
Charlotte FC to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
Charlotte FC to score exactly 0	15.7%	19.5%	26.8%	0.73×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score 3+	32.3%	32.6%	25.2%	1.30×	3.06
Cincinnati to score exactly 1	27.1%	26.5%	31.0%	0.85×	3.77
Cincinnati to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Cincinnati to score exactly 0	13.5%	14.4%	18.0%	0.80×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati leading at HT	35.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Draw at HT	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Charlotte FC leading at HT	28.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati -1: 2	58.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Cincinnati -1: 1	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Cincinnati -1: X	18.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:1)	58.0%	55.8%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Cincinnati (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	23.3%	1.05×	4.11
Draw (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:2)	76.4%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.6%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.08
Cincinnati (0:2)	10.9%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:3)	89.1%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.24
Cincinnati (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	41.95

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.14
Cincinnati (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.31

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (1:0)	63.8%	65.2%	70.1%	0.93×	1.53
Charlotte FC (1:0)	19.1%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.87
Draw (1:0)	17.1%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (2:0)	80.9%	84.5%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.8%	10.4%	8.7%	1.19×	9.63
Charlotte FC (2:0)	8.3%	6.5%	4.6%	1.41×	15.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede	84.3%	80.8%	73.2%	1.10×	1.24
Cincinnati clean sheet	15.7%	19.2%	26.8%	0.71×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 1st half	52.3%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Cincinnati clean sheet in 1st half	47.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati over 2.5 corners	88.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cincinnati over 3.5 corners	78.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Cincinnati over 4.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Cincinnati under 6.5 corners	59.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Cincinnati over 5.5 corners	52.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Cincinnati under 5.5 corners	47.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Cincinnati over 6.5 corners	40.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Cincinnati under 4.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Cincinnati under 3.5 corners	22.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Cincinnati under 2.5 corners	11.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati over 0.5 goals	86.5%	87.2%	82.0%	1.06×	1.15
Cincinnati under 3.5 goals	85.7%	87.2%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Cincinnati under 2.5 goals	67.7%	67.9%	74.8%	0.91×	1.47
Cincinnati over 1.5 goals	59.4%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Cincinnati under 1.5 goals	40.6%	41.2%	48.9%	0.84×	2.43
Cincinnati over 2.5 goals	32.3%	32.1%	25.2%	1.27×	3.12
Cincinnati over 3.5 goals	14.3%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.83
Cincinnati under 0.5 goals	13.5%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 1st half	78.7%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 1st half	21.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (home no bet)	62.4%	60.2%	54.6%	1.10×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.6%	39.8%	45.4%	0.88×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati even goals	50.9%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Cincinnati odd goals	49.1%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.02
HT 1-1	12.9%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
Any other HT score	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 0-2	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-1	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 1-2	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati at HT / Cincinnati at FT	26.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Charlotte FC at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	20.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Cincinnati at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Cincinnati at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Charlotte FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Cincinnati at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	3.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
Charlotte FC at HT / Cincinnati at FT	3.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.15

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score last	50.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Charlotte FC to score last	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
No goal scored	2.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Cincinnati to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Charlotte FC to lead by 1 at any time	58.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Cincinnati to lead by 2 at any time	33.3%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Charlotte FC to lead by 2 at any time	28.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cincinnati to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Charlotte FC to lead by 3 at any time	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati most corners	59.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Charlotte FC most corners	31.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.5%	1.11×	1.20
1-5 goals	78.4%	78.6%	83.2%	0.95×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.4%	63.5%	55.9%	1.14×	1.58
1-4 goals	63.4%	63.5%	73.1%	0.87×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.8%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	57.2%	0.76×	2.29
4-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	33.1%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.4%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.5%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
5-6 goals	24.6%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
1-2 goals	23.6%	24.5%	34.4%	0.71×	4.09
7+ goals	9.5%	8.8%	4.1%	2.12×	11.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati never behind	39.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Charlotte FC never behind	34.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.0%	92.3%	79.5%	1.16×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	80.8%	82.4%	88.9%	0.93×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	73.9%	72.5%	59.9%	1.21×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	65.8%	66.3%	78.8%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	53.7%	52.4%	37.1%	1.41×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	46.3%	47.6%	62.9%	0.76×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	34.2%	33.7%	21.2%	1.59×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	26.1%	27.5%	40.1%	0.68×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	19.2%	17.6%	11.1%	1.59×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	10.0%	7.7%	20.5%	0.38×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.4%	86.7%	95.6%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.1%	86.7%	74.5%	1.16×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.4%	75.9%	87.6%	0.87×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.3%	67.3%	48.1%	1.40×	1.49
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.5%	55.5%	74.8%	0.74×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.5%	44.5%	25.2%	1.76×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.7%	32.7%	51.9%	0.63×	3.06
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.6%	24.1%	12.4%	1.95×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.9%	13.3%	25.5%	0.52×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.6%	13.3%	4.4%	2.99×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.8%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to score in both halves	64.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Cincinnati not to score in both halves	60.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Cincinnati to score in both halves	39.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Charlotte FC to score in both halves	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	73.2%	66.5%	61.1%	1.09×	1.50
Only Cincinnati scores	13.2%	10.9%	21.1%	0.52×	9.14
Only Charlotte FC scores	11.1%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	2.5%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.78

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
6 or more goals	19.2%	17.5%	11.1%	1.57×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.1%	17.4%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.0%	17.4%	10.2%	1.71×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	7.5%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.5%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
1 goal in 2nd half	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
No goals in 2nd half	10.7%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to win both halves	89.9%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Cincinnati not to win both halves	87.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Cincinnati to win both halves	13.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Charlotte FC to win both halves	10.1%	11.8%	—	—	8.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win either half	59.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Charlotte FC to win either half	53.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Charlotte FC to win neither half	46.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Cincinnati to win neither half	41.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC not to win to nil	88.9%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Cincinnati not to win to nil	86.8%	88.2%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
Cincinnati to win to nil	13.2%	11.8%	21.1%	0.56×	8.47
Charlotte FC to win to nil	11.1%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	21.8%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Cincinnati by 1	18.5%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.90
Charlotte FC by 1	17.1%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
Cincinnati by 2	12.6%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.46
Cincinnati by 3+	10.9%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Charlotte FC by 2	10.8%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.47
Charlotte FC by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	4.6%	1.58×	13.80