Club Brugge v Racing Genk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Club Brugge

12:30

Racing Genk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 345h before kick-off

Club Brugge win

63.3%

model 65.7%

Draw

18.4%

model 18.7%

Racing Genk win

18.3%

model 15.6%

631818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
2-0 8.7%
1-1 8.3%
3-1 7.6%
1-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.7%	Under 2.5	32.3%
BTTS yes	60.9%	BTTS no	39.1%
Club Brugge 1+	90.9%	Club Brugge 2+	69.0%
Racing Genk 1+	66.6%	Racing Genk 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 2.39 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Club Brugge over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 44%

69.3% fair odds 1.44

strong signal · 809 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Club Brugge or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Club Brugge carry the stronger rating, 1757 Elo against 1586.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Club Brugge have an estimated 63.3% win probability, against 18.4% for the draw and 18.3% for Racing Genk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.39 for Club Brugge and 1.10 for Racing Genk.

Why Club Brugge

Club Brugge carry the stronger rating, 1757 Elo against 1586. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.4%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Racing Genk can win

Nothing in the data singles out Racing Genk.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Club Brugge, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Racing Genk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Club Brugge: 67% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Genk: 54% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Club Brugge are the model's most likely outcome at 63.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	661916	2.39–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	661916	2.43–1.14	2-1 9%	69%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to win	65.6%	64.9%	42.9%	1.51×	1.54
Draw	18.5%	19.4%	26.4%	0.73×	5.16
Racing Genk to win	15.9%	19.3%	30.9%	0.63×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge & both teams score	36.6%	33.2%	18.7%	1.78×	3.01
Club Brugge & not both score	28.9%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.59
Racing Genk & both teams score	10.2%	13.3%	16.5%	0.80×	7.55
Racing Genk & not both score	5.7%	8.4%	14.5%	0.58×	11.94
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	7.7%	0.63×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge & over 1.5	59.0%	55.0%	33.6%	1.64×	1.82
Club Brugge & over 2.5	50.7%	48.7%	26.1%	1.87×	2.06
Club Brugge & over 3.5	34.4%	30.9%	13.6%	2.27×	3.24
Club Brugge & under 3.5	31.1%	30.8%	29.5%	1.05×	3.24
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Club Brugge & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	17.0%	0.76×	7.77
Racing Genk & over 1.5	13.0%	12.9%	24.4%	0.53×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	11.2%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	11.2%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Racing Genk & over 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
Racing Genk & under 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	21.9%	0.36×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Club Brugge & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.70
Racing Genk & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	9.1%	0.86×	12.70
Racing Genk & under 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	11.3%	0.42×	20.92
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.93
Racing Genk & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (1UP)	78.4%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Racing Genk (1UP)	36.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (2UP)	65.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Racing Genk (2UP)	15.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to win 2nd half	53.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
2nd half drawn	27.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Racing Genk to win 2nd half	18.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (+0.5)	84.1%	82.4%	69.1%	1.19×	1.21
Racing Genk (+2.5)	75.2%	78.4%	89.5%	0.88×	1.28
Club Brugge (-0.5)	65.6%	68.7%	42.9%	1.60×	1.46
Racing Genk (+1.5)	56.0%	57.0%	77.9%	0.73×	1.75
Club Brugge (-1.5)	44.0%	43.0%	22.1%	1.95×	2.33
Racing Genk (+0.5)	34.4%	31.3%	57.1%	0.55×	3.19
Club Brugge (-2.5)	24.8%	21.6%	10.5%	2.05×	4.64
Racing Genk (-0.5)	15.9%	17.6%	30.9%	0.57×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to concede	91.2%	91.7%	77.9%	1.18×	1.09
Racing Genk clean sheet	8.8%	8.3%	22.1%	0.37×	12.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to concede in 1st half	64.9%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Racing Genk clean sheet in 1st half	35.1%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Racing Genk under 5.5 corners	74.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Racing Genk over 2.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Racing Genk under 4.5 corners	60.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Racing Genk over 3.5 corners	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Racing Genk under 3.5 corners	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Racing Genk over 4.5 corners	39.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Racing Genk under 2.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Racing Genk over 5.5 corners	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Racing Genk over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 3.5 goals	97.1%	97.6%	95.2%	1.02×	1.03
Racing Genk under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.9%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
Racing Genk under 1.5 goals	68.5%	68.0%	64.7%	1.05×	1.47
Racing Genk over 0.5 goals	68.0%	68.0%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
Racing Genk under 0.5 goals	32.0%	32.0%	31.9%	1.00×	3.12
Racing Genk over 1.5 goals	31.5%	32.0%	35.3%	0.91×	3.12
Racing Genk over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	13.1%	0.92×	8.27
Racing Genk over 3.5 goals	2.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.51×	40.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Racing Genk under 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Racing Genk over 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Racing Genk over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.9%	—	—	17.01

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (away no bet)	78.0%	73.7%	61.9%	1.19×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.1%	26.3%	38.1%	0.69×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk even goals	55.1%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Racing Genk odd goals	44.9%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.9%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	78.5%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	21.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.1%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Club Brugge to score 2+ in a row	61.3%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Club Brugge to score 3+ in a row	31.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Racing Genk to score 2+ in a row	20.2%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
Racing Genk to score 3+ in a row	4.5%	2.7%	—	—	37.67

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge corners (+3.5)	91.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Club Brugge corners (+2.5)	87.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Club Brugge corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Racing Genk corners (+3.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Racing Genk corners (+2.5)	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Club Brugge corners (-1.5)	50.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Racing Genk corners (+1.5)	49.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Club Brugge corners (-2.5)	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Club Brugge corners (-3.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Racing Genk corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Racing Genk corners (-2.5)	13.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Racing Genk corners (-3.5)	8.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.7%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	27.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.5%	11.4%	4.3%	2.65×	8.74
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.47
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.47
1-1	8.1%	7.4%	12.3%	0.60×	13.47
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.47
3-0	6.8%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.47
3-1	7.7%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.47
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	5.2%	1.41×	13.47
4-1	4.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.50
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.51
0-1	2.9%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.51
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.51
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.52
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.52
1-2	4.4%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.50
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.51
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.52
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.51
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.52
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.50
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.51
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.52
4-0	4.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.50
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.51
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.52
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge leading at HT (DNB)	75.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Racing Genk leading at HT (DNB)	24.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge or draw (1X)	84.1%	80.7%	69.1%	1.17×	1.24
Club Brugge or Racing Genk (12)	81.5%	80.6%	73.6%	1.10×	1.24
Racing Genk or draw (X2)	34.4%	35.1%	57.1%	0.61×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge or draw at HT	84.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Club Brugge or Racing Genk at HT	65.7%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Racing Genk or draw at HT	50.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge or draw (1UP)	84.1%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Racing Genk or draw (1UP)	36.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge or draw in 2nd half	81.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Club Brugge or Racing Genk in 2nd half	72.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Racing Genk or draw in 2nd half	46.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.7%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (DNB)	80.5%	80.4%	58.2%	1.38×	1.24
Racing Genk (DNB)	19.5%	19.6%	41.8%	0.47×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to score first	66.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Racing Genk to score first	30.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.3%	56.5%	53.7%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.7%	43.5%	46.3%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.2%	47.1%	41.5%	1.13×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	22.7%	27.7%	35.6%	0.78×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	15.0%	21.7%	10.8%	2.01×	4.61
Both score & under 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.0%	80.0%	85.5%	0.94×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.0%	20.0%	14.5%	1.38×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.8%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	28.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Both score in both halves	8.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.2%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.1%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	31.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.8%	42.1%	26.4%	1.59×	2.38
2-3 goals	39.6%	35.1%	47.7%	0.74×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.6%	16.9%	23.5%	0.72×	5.90
7+ goals	7.0%	7.6%	2.8%	2.73×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Racing Genk to score exactly 0	32.0%	33.8%	31.9%	1.06×	2.96
Racing Genk to score exactly 2	20.8%	22.4%	22.4%	1.00×	4.46
Racing Genk to score 3+	10.7%	12.8%	13.1%	0.98×	7.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to score 3+	43.9%	35.0%	19.3%	1.81×	2.86
Club Brugge to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Club Brugge to score exactly 1	21.4%	23.3%	34.6%	0.67×	4.30
Club Brugge to score exactly 0	8.8%	10.3%	22.1%	0.47×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge leading at HT	49.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	34.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Racing Genk leading at HT	15.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge -1: 1	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Club Brugge -1: 2	34.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Club Brugge -1: X	21.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (0:1)	44.0%	42.7%	22.1%	1.94×	2.34
Racing Genk (0:1)	34.4%	30.1%	57.1%	0.53×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	21.6%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:2)	56.0%	62.7%	77.9%	0.80×	1.60
Club Brugge (0:2)	24.8%	20.4%	10.5%	1.95×	4.90
Draw (0:2)	19.2%	15.3%	11.7%	1.31×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:3)	75.2%	80.3%	89.5%	0.90×	1.25
Draw (0:3)	13.0%	10.0%	6.2%	1.62×	9.97
Club Brugge (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	4.5%	2.24×	9.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (0:4)	88.2%	92.0%	95.5%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.0%	4.7%	2.5%	1.88×	21.50
Club Brugge (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	2.2%	0.56×	83.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (1:0)	84.1%	81.5%	69.1%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	9.9%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.43
Racing Genk (1:0)	5.9%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge (2:0)	94.1%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	8.6%	0.26×	44.24
Racing Genk (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	4.9%	0.46×	44.40

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to concede	68.0%	66.6%	68.1%	0.98×	1.50
Club Brugge clean sheet	32.0%	33.4%	31.9%	1.05×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge clean sheet in 1st half	63.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Club Brugge to concede in 1st half	36.6%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Club Brugge over 3.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Club Brugge over 4.5 corners	63.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Club Brugge under 6.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Club Brugge under 5.5 corners	50.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Club Brugge over 5.5 corners	49.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Club Brugge over 6.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Club Brugge under 4.5 corners	36.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Club Brugge under 3.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Club Brugge under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	77.9%	1.18×	1.08
Club Brugge under 3.5 goals	77.2%	77.7%	90.9%	0.86×	1.29
Club Brugge over 1.5 goals	69.9%	67.9%	43.5%	1.56×	1.47
Club Brugge under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.8%	80.7%	0.73×	1.70
Club Brugge over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.2%	19.3%	2.14×	2.43
Club Brugge under 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.1%	56.5%	0.57×	3.11
Club Brugge over 3.5 goals	22.8%	22.3%	9.1%	2.45×	4.49
Club Brugge under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	22.1%	0.35×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge under 1.5 in 1st half	71.9%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Club Brugge over 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Club Brugge under 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Club Brugge over 1.5 in 1st half	28.1%	20.7%	—	—	4.84

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.9%	51.6%	46.1%	1.12×	1.94
Racing Genk (home no bet)	46.1%	48.4%	53.9%	0.90×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge even goals	50.4%	50.6%	52.6%	0.96×	1.98
Club Brugge odd goals	49.6%	49.4%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-0	22.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 2-0	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-1	5.6%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge at HT / Club Brugge at FT	43.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Draw at HT / Club Brugge at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Racing Genk at HT / Racing Genk at FT	8.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Racing Genk at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Club Brugge at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Racing Genk at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Racing Genk at HT / Club Brugge at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Club Brugge at HT / Racing Genk at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to score last	66.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Racing Genk to score last	30.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Club Brugge to lead by 1 at any time	78.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Club Brugge to lead by 2 at any time	52.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Racing Genk to lead by 1 at any time	36.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Club Brugge to lead by 3 at any time	28.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Racing Genk to lead by 2 at any time	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.63
Racing Genk to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge most corners	61.7%	60.4%	—	—	1.65
Racing Genk most corners	28.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.8%	83.5%	86.0%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.5%	73.9%	1.13×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.1%	69.0%	76.9%	0.90×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.2%	63.4%	49.5%	1.28×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.7%	59.2%	61.1%	0.97×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.1%	53.2%	45.8%	1.16×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.1%	48.7%	63.4%	0.77×	2.06
4-6 goals	40.8%	43.6%	26.4%	1.65×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	36.7%	1.19×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.6%	39.2%	47.7%	0.82×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.7%	35.4%	22.7%	1.56×	2.83
1-2 goals	27.7%	30.2%	40.3%	0.75×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.7%	24.5%	13.0%	1.89×	4.09
7+ goals	7.0%	8.7%	2.8%	3.15×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge never behind	60.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Racing Genk never behind	18.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	50.0%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	50.0%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	95.5%	92.3%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.4%	87.6%	76.5%	1.15×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	93.5%	0.88×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	84.4%	0.86×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	69.2%	66.2%	52.2%	1.27×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	52.2%	52.5%	71.0%	0.74×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	47.8%	47.5%	29.0%	1.64×	2.10
Under 2.5 goals	30.8%	33.8%	47.8%	0.71×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	28.8%	27.5%	15.6%	1.76×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	6.5%	2.72×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	12.6%	12.4%	23.5%	0.53×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.5%	7.7%	0.58×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.3%	92.5%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.6%	81.1%	69.0%	1.18×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.5%	81.1%	92.9%	0.87×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	64.4%	62.1%	82.0%	0.76×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.8%	62.1%	37.8%	1.64×	1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.2%	37.9%	62.2%	0.61×	2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	35.6%	37.9%	18.0%	2.10×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	17.5%	18.9%	7.1%	2.65×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.4%	18.9%	31.0%	0.61×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.7%	7.5%	2.9%	2.61×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.7%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk not to score in both halves	81.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Club Brugge not to score in both halves	51.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Club Brugge to score in both halves	48.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Racing Genk to score in both halves	18.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.3%	60.2%	53.7%	1.12×	1.66
Only Club Brugge scores	28.9%	26.2%	24.4%	1.07×	3.82
Only Racing Genk scores	5.7%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.93
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	7.7%	0.59×	21.83

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.1%	17.4%	13.6%	1.28×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.2%	17.4%	24.5%	0.71×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.1%	17.4%	6.5%	2.69×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	13.6%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	9.5%	7.6%	15.9%	0.48×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.4%	7.7%	0.57×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	12.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Club Brugge not to win both halves	73.1%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Club Brugge to win both halves	26.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Racing Genk to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.82

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge to win either half	76.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Racing Genk to win neither half	68.8%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Racing Genk to win either half	31.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Club Brugge to win neither half	23.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk not to win to nil	94.3%	92.1%	85.5%	1.08×	1.09
Club Brugge not to win to nil	71.1%	75.3%	75.6%	1.00×	1.33
Club Brugge to win to nil	28.9%	24.8%	24.4%	1.02×	4.04
Racing Genk to win to nil	5.7%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.59

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Club Brugge by 3+	24.8%	24.2%	10.5%	2.30×	4.14
Club Brugge by 1	21.6%	24.1%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Club Brugge by 2	19.2%	17.0%	11.7%	1.45×	5.90
Draw	18.5%	17.0%	26.4%	0.64×	5.90
Racing Genk by 1	9.9%	7.3%	17.6%	0.41×	13.79
Racing Genk by 2	4.2%	2.7%	8.6%	0.31×	37.00
Racing Genk by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	4.9%	0.55×	37.08