Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo v Stade Malien — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · CAF-Champions League · 2627
CAF Champions League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 13.5%
- 1-1 13.0%
- 0-0 10.4%
- 0-1 10.0%
- 2-0 8.8%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 39.5% | Under 2.5 | 60.5% |
| BTTS yes | 45.1% | BTTS no | 54.9% |
| Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo 1+ | 72.9% | Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo 2+ | 37.5% |
| Stade Malien 1+ | 61.8% | Stade Malien 2+ | 25.1% |
Expected goals 1.31 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- At home Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo have only 0 matches on record.
- Stade Malien have only 8 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo have an estimated 44.4% win probability, against 28.1% for the draw and 27.5% for Stade Malien. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo and 0.96 for Stade Malien.
Why Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo
At home Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.1%. A combined 2.27 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 33% in this competition.
Why Stade Malien can win
Stade Malien carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1500. They have had 30 days' rest to Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo's 14.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Stade Malien, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Stade Malien: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Colombe Sportiv Du Dja Et Lobo are the model's most likely outcome at 44.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.5%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.31–0.96 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.