Coritiba v Athletico-PR — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Coritiba

20:00

Athletico-PR

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 136h before kick-off

Coritiba win

28.3%

model 31.5%

Draw

27.6%

model 28.4%

Athletico-PR win

44.0%

model 40.1%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.5%
1-2 8.8%
0-1 8.7%
0-0 8.2%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.9%	Under 2.5	50.1%
BTTS yes	55.3%	BTTS no	44.7%
Coritiba 1+	71.1%	Coritiba 2+	35.2%
Athletico-PR 1+	76.0%	Athletico-PR 2+	41.7%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Athletico-PR (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 33%

63.2% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 271 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Athletico-PR carry the stronger rating, 1613 Elo against 1550.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Athletico-PR have an estimated 44.0% win probability, against 28.3% for Coritiba and 27.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Coritiba and 1.43 for Athletico-PR.

Why Coritiba

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.24 to 1.43. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Athletico-PR can win

Athletico-PR carry the stronger rating, 1613 Elo against 1550. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Coritiba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Athletico-PR, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Coritiba: 39% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Athletico-PR: 46% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Athletico-PR are the model's most likely outcome at 44.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322840	1.24–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332938	1.22–1.33	1-1 14%	47%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR to win	37.8%	36.4%	24.0%	1.52×	2.74
Coritiba to win	32.9%	30.4%	48.9%	0.62×	3.29
Draw	29.2%	27.9%	27.2%	1.02×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR & not both score	20.3%	21.9%	13.9%	1.58×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.9%	20.7%	1.06×	4.57
Coritiba & not both score	17.4%	17.9%	28.0%	0.64×	5.58
Athletico-PR & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	10.4%	1.73×	5.58
Coritiba & both teams score	15.5%	17.9%	21.0%	0.85×	5.58
Draw & not both score	9.1%	8.4%	6.7%	1.25×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR & over 1.5	28.8%	26.0%	17.2%	1.51×	3.84
Athletico-PR & under 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	18.6%	1.40×	3.84
Coritiba & over 1.5	24.7%	21.6%	36.8%	0.59×	4.62
Coritiba & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	36.8%	0.59×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.62
Athletico-PR & over 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	13.2%	1.64×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	20.7%	1.04×	4.62
Coritiba & over 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Athletico-PR & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	11.0%	1.64×	5.56
Coritiba & under 2.5	14.1%	12.9%	21.5%	0.60×	7.77
Athletico-PR & over 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	5.6%	2.31×	7.78
Coritiba & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.7%	1.18×	12.69
Athletico-PR & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	7.0%	1.12×	12.69
Coritiba & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	7.2%	1.10×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (1UP)	54.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Coritiba (1UP)	49.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (2UP)	37.8%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Coritiba (2UP)	32.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Athletico-PR to win 2nd half	34.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Coritiba to win 2nd half	28.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (+2.5)	95.2%	96.3%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Athletico-PR (+1.5)	85.5%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Athletico-PR (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	51.1%	1.34×	1.46
Coritiba (+0.5)	62.2%	62.9%	76.0%	0.83×	1.59
Athletico-PR (-0.5)	37.8%	37.1%	24.0%	1.54×	2.69
Coritiba (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	48.9%	0.64×	3.20
Coritiba (-1.5)	14.5%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.68
Coritiba (-2.5)	4.8%	3.7%	9.2%	0.41×	26.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR to concede	70.6%	76.5%	79.6%	0.96×	1.31
Athletico-PR clean sheet	29.4%	23.5%	20.4%	1.15×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR clean sheet in 1st half	59.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Athletico-PR to concede in 1st half	40.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR over 2.5 corners	83.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Athletico-PR over 3.5 corners	70.5%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Athletico-PR under 6.5 corners	67.8%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Athletico-PR over 4.5 corners	56.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Athletico-PR under 5.5 corners	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Athletico-PR over 5.5 corners	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Athletico-PR under 4.5 corners	43.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Athletico-PR over 6.5 corners	32.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Athletico-PR under 3.5 corners	29.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Athletico-PR under 2.5 corners	17.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.6%	97.9%	1.00×	1.03
Athletico-PR under 2.5 goals	85.1%	87.9%	90.9%	0.97×	1.14
Athletico-PR over 0.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	65.4%	1.10×	1.39
Athletico-PR under 1.5 goals	61.7%	62.9%	72.0%	0.87×	1.59
Athletico-PR over 1.5 goals	38.3%	37.1%	28.0%	1.32×	2.70
Athletico-PR under 0.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	34.6%	0.81×	3.56
Athletico-PR over 2.5 goals	14.9%	12.1%	9.1%	1.34×	8.24
Athletico-PR over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.4%	2.1%	1.18×	40.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Athletico-PR under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Athletico-PR over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Athletico-PR over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.79

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (away no bet)	53.0%	51.3%	64.2%	0.80×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.0%	48.7%	35.8%	1.36×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR even goals	53.5%	52.8%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Athletico-PR odd goals	46.5%	47.3%	45.1%	1.05×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.0%	51.2%	—	—	1.96
Athletico-PR to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Coritiba to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Athletico-PR to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.76
Coritiba to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR corners (+3.5)	84.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Athletico-PR corners (+2.5)	78.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Coritiba corners (+3.5)	76.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Athletico-PR corners (+1.5)	70.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Coritiba corners (+2.5)	68.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Coritiba corners (+1.5)	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Athletico-PR corners (-1.5)	41.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Athletico-PR corners (-2.5)	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Coritiba corners (-1.5)	29.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Athletico-PR corners (-3.5)	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Coritiba corners (-2.5)	21.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Coritiba corners (-3.5)	15.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	34.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	62.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	47.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	34.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	13.7%	0.84×	8.73
0-0	9.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.46
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.46
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.46
0-2	6.9%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.46
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	12.3%	0.61×	13.46
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.46
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.46
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.46
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.57
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.57
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.36×	58.59
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.58
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.36×	58.59
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.58
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.57
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.58
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.59
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	10.72×	58.59
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.59
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.36×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.72×	58.59
Any other score	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR leading at HT (DNB)	50.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Coritiba leading at HT (DNB)	49.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba or Athletico-PR (12)	70.8%	72.1%	72.8%	0.99×	1.39
Athletico-PR or draw (X2)	67.1%	69.6%	51.1%	1.36×	1.44
Coritiba or draw (1X)	62.2%	63.6%	76.0%	0.84×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR or draw at HT	73.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Coritiba or draw at HT	72.6%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Coritiba or Athletico-PR at HT	54.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR or draw (1UP)	67.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Coritiba or draw (1UP)	62.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR or draw in 2nd half	71.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Coritiba or draw in 2nd half	65.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Coritiba or Athletico-PR in 2nd half	62.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (DNB)	53.5%	51.0%	33.0%	1.55×	1.96
Coritiba (DNB)	46.5%	49.0%	67.0%	0.73×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR to score first	47.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Coritiba to score first	43.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.1%	51.5%	51.8%	0.99×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.9%	48.5%	48.2%	1.01×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.2%	38.5%	38.2%	1.01×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.5%	38.9%	0.99×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.3%	13.7%	0.90×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.8%	85.7%	87.3%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.2%	14.3%	12.7%	1.13×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.73
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	19.97

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	48.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.4%	49.8%	0.95×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.4%	26.4%	25.6%	1.03×	3.79
4-6 goals	23.8%	22.8%	24.2%	0.94×	4.38
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	0.6%	2.84×	55.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Athletico-PR to score exactly 0	26.5%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Athletico-PR to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.4%	19.1%	1.17×	4.47
Athletico-PR to score 3+	14.9%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to score exactly 1	36.0%	35.6%	34.2%	1.04×	2.81
Coritiba to score exactly 0	29.4%	26.5%	20.4%	1.30×	3.77
Coritiba to score exactly 2	22.0%	23.3%	27.2%	0.85×	4.30
Coritiba to score 3+	12.6%	14.3%	18.5%	0.78×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Athletico-PR leading at HT	27.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Coritiba leading at HT	27.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR -1: 1	62.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Athletico-PR -1: X	20.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Athletico-PR -1: 2	17.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (0:1)	67.1%	65.5%	51.1%	1.28×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	25.8%	0.69×	5.62
Coritiba (0:1)	14.5%	13.9%	23.2%	0.60×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (0:2)	85.5%	86.9%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	14.2%	0.54×	12.96
Coritiba (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	9.2%	0.41×	26.41

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (0:3)	95.2%	96.6%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	41.98
Coritiba (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.8%	0.68×	83.36
Coritiba (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (1:0)	62.2%	65.2%	76.0%	0.86×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	14.7%	1.48×	4.61
Athletico-PR (1:0)	17.8%	17.0%	9.6%	1.78×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (2:0)	82.2%	84.5%	90.4%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.4%	10.4%	6.2%	1.67×	9.63
Athletico-PR (2:0)	6.3%	6.5%	3.5%	1.84×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede	73.5%	73.1%	65.4%	1.12×	1.37
Coritiba clean sheet	26.5%	26.9%	34.6%	0.78×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Coritiba to concede in 1st half	41.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba over 2.5 corners	77.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Coritiba under 6.5 corners	75.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Coritiba under 5.5 corners	64.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Coritiba over 3.5 corners	63.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Coritiba under 4.5 corners	51.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Coritiba over 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Coritiba under 3.5 corners	36.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Coritiba over 5.5 corners	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Coritiba over 6.5 corners	24.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Coritiba under 2.5 corners	22.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 3.5 goals	96.4%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Coritiba under 2.5 goals	87.4%	87.2%	81.5%	1.07×	1.15
Coritiba over 0.5 goals	70.6%	74.2%	79.6%	0.93×	1.35
Coritiba under 1.5 goals	65.4%	67.9%	54.5%	1.25×	1.47
Coritiba over 1.5 goals	34.6%	32.1%	45.5%	0.70×	3.12
Coritiba under 0.5 goals	29.4%	25.8%	20.4%	1.27×	3.88
Coritiba over 2.5 goals	12.6%	12.8%	18.5%	0.69×	7.83
Coritiba over 3.5 goals	3.6%	3.7%	5.7%	0.64×	27.40

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Coritiba under 0.5 in 1st half	59.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Coritiba over 0.5 in 1st half	40.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Coritiba over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	4.7%	—	—	21.37

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR (home no bet)	56.4%	56.7%	46.9%	1.21×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.6%	43.3%	53.1%	0.82×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba even goals	54.3%	50.7%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Coritiba odd goals	45.7%	49.3%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.0%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-0	18.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.55
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.68
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.74
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.74
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.89

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR at HT / Athletico-PR at FT	20.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Coritiba at HT / Coritiba at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Athletico-PR at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Coritiba at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Coritiba at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Athletico-PR at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.08
Coritiba at HT / Athletico-PR at FT	2.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
Athletico-PR at HT / Coritiba at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR to score last	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Coritiba to score last	43.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	9.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Athletico-PR to lead by 1 at any time	54.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Coritiba to lead by 1 at any time	49.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.1%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Athletico-PR to lead by 2 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Coritiba to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Athletico-PR to lead by 3 at any time	8.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.30
Coritiba to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR most corners	51.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Coritiba most corners	39.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.87

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	88.9%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.3%	78.6%	81.8%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.4%	73.9%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.0%	69.0%	69.9%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	69.0%	68.8%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.5%	62.9%	1.01×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.3%	48.7%	47.1%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.0%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.4%	43.6%	43.2%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.3%	39.2%	36.1%	1.08×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.8%	24.5%	24.2%	1.01×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.8%	24.4%	20.2%	1.21×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.0%	8.8%	11.1%	0.79×	11.42
7+ goals	1.6%	2.5%	0.6%	3.97×	39.51

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Athletico-PR never behind	41.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Coritiba never behind	36.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.8%	49.2%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.2%	50.8%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.5%	95.4%	1.00×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.4%	87.7%	88.4%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.7%	72.6%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	74.4%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.4%	52.4%	1.00×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.6%	47.6%	1.00×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	25.6%	1.07×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.3%	27.5%	24.7%	1.11×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.6%	12.3%	11.6%	1.06×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	4.6%	0.98×	22.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.3%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.1%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.6%	86.7%	86.6%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.7%	67.3%	68.0%	0.99×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.0%	62.1%	65.0%	0.96×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.0%	37.9%	35.0%	1.08×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.3%	32.7%	32.0%	1.02×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.4%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.9%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.7%	0.7%	4.14×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.77

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to score in both halves	79.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Athletico-PR not to score in both halves	77.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Athletico-PR to score in both halves	22.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Coritiba to score in both halves	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.1%	54.0%	51.8%	1.04×	1.85
Only Athletico-PR scores	20.3%	22.3%	13.9%	1.61×	4.48
Only Coritiba scores	17.4%	16.1%	28.0%	0.58×	6.20
Neither team scores	9.1%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	25.0%	26.9%	0.93×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	17.5%	19.1%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.8%	12.1%	13.2%	0.91×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.1%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	7.2%	1.06×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.4%	4.6%	0.96×	22.60

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to win both halves	92.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Athletico-PR not to win both halves	90.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Athletico-PR to win both halves	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Coritiba to win both halves	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to win neither half	52.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Athletico-PR to win either half	51.9%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Athletico-PR to win neither half	48.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Coritiba to win either half	47.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to win to nil	82.6%	83.0%	72.0%	1.15×	1.21
Athletico-PR not to win to nil	79.7%	78.0%	86.1%	0.91×	1.28
Athletico-PR to win to nil	20.3%	22.0%	13.9%	1.59×	4.55
Coritiba to win to nil	17.4%	17.0%	28.0%	0.61×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.2%	27.8%	27.2%	1.02×	3.59
Athletico-PR by 1	20.1%	24.1%	14.7%	1.65×	4.14
Coritiba by 1	18.4%	16.9%	25.8%	0.66×	5.90
Athletico-PR by 2	11.4%	11.8%	6.2%	1.90×	8.47
Coritiba by 2	9.7%	7.3%	14.2%	0.51×	13.79
Athletico-PR by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	3.5%	2.07×	13.81
Coritiba by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	9.2%	0.29×	36.91