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Cúcuta Deportivo v Deportivo Pereira — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 4 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cúcuta Deportivo win
51.4%
model 50.4%
Draw
27.4%
model 27.6%
Deportivo Pereira win
21.3%
model 22.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.1%
  2. 1-0 11.4%
  3. 2-0 9.8%
  4. 2-1 9.4%
  5. 0-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.546.3% Under 2.553.7%
BTTS yes49.9% BTTS no50.1%
Cúcuta Deportivo 1+79.1% Cúcuta Deportivo 2+46.4%
Deportivo Pereira 1+61.6% Deportivo Pereira 2+24.9%

Expected goals 1.57 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
2-5 goals
Multi goal · usually 65%
69.1% fair odds 1.45
moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Deportivo Pereira not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Cúcuta Deportivo carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1339.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cúcuta Deportivo have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 27.4% for the draw and 21.3% for Deportivo Pereira. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for Cúcuta Deportivo and 0.96 for Deportivo Pereira.

Why Cúcuta Deportivo

Cúcuta Deportivo carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1339.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Pereira can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Pereira.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cúcuta Deportivo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Pereira, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cúcuta Deportivo: 46% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Pereira: 46% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Cúcuta Deportivo are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.57–0.96 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.49–0.85 1-1 13% 41% 45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 51.3% 51.5% 45.9% 1.12× 1.94
Draw 28.5% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.59
Deportivo Pereira to win 20.2% 24.4% 24.8% 0.99× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo & not both score 32.1% 29.7% 27.1% 1.10× 3.37
Cúcuta Deportivo & both teams score 19.1% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 17.7% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Deportivo Pereira & not both score 11.7% 13.3% 13.5% 0.98× 7.54
Draw & not both score 10.8% 13.3% 10.8% 1.22× 7.55
Deportivo Pereira & both teams score 8.5% 8.4% 11.4% 0.74× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 3.5 38.5% 34.9% 35.7% 0.98× 2.86
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 1.5 38.0% 34.9% 33.9% 1.03× 2.86
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 2.5 27.2% 26.0% 25.6% 1.02× 3.84
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 2.5 24.0% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 24.1% 21.6% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 24.1% 21.6% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 17.7% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
Deportivo Pereira & under 3.5 16.6% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 1.5 13.3% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 3.5 12.8% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
Deportivo Pereira & over 1.5 13.1% 12.9% 16.4% 0.78× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 10.8% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Deportivo Pereira & under 2.5 10.5% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Deportivo Pereira & over 2.5 9.7% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.70
Deportivo Pereira & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 0.93× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.92
Draw & over 3.5 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.92
Deportivo Pereira & over 3.5 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 0.95× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1UP) 63.8% 63.2% 1.58
Deportivo Pereira (1UP) 35.9% 33.9% 2.95
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2UP) 51.3% 55.8% 1.79
Deportivo Pereira (2UP) 20.2% 23.3% 4.30
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 2nd half 40.9% 41.1% 2.43
2nd half drawn 38.9% 36.3% 2.75
Deportivo Pereira to win 2nd half 20.2% 22.9% 4.37
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira (+2.5) 89.3% 88.5% 91.8% 0.96× 1.13
Cúcuta Deportivo (+0.5) 79.8% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Deportivo Pereira (+1.5) 73.2% 73.7% 79.6% 0.93× 1.36
Cúcuta Deportivo (-0.5) 51.3% 52.4% 45.9% 1.14× 1.91
Deportivo Pereira (+0.5) 48.7% 47.6% 54.1% 0.88× 2.10
Cúcuta Deportivo (-1.5) 26.8% 26.3% 20.4% 1.29× 3.80
Deportivo Pereira (-0.5) 20.2% 21.5% 24.8% 0.87× 4.65
Cúcuta Deportivo (-2.5) 10.7% 11.5% 8.2% 1.40× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira to concede 77.5% 79.0% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet 22.5% 21.0% 24.2% 0.87× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira to concede in 1st half 47.3% 50.5% 1.98
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet in 1st half 52.7% 49.5% 2.02
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 6.5 corners 90.6% 90.0% 1.11
Deportivo Pereira under 5.5 corners 83.5% 81.5% 1.23
Deportivo Pereira under 4.5 corners 72.5% 71.6% 1.40
Deportivo Pereira over 2.5 corners 61.2% 61.8% 1.62
Deportivo Pereira under 3.5 corners 57.3% 57.1% 1.75
Deportivo Pereira over 3.5 corners 42.7% 42.9% 2.33
Deportivo Pereira under 2.5 corners 38.8% 38.2% 2.62
Deportivo Pereira over 4.5 corners 27.5% 28.5% 3.52
Deportivo Pereira over 5.5 corners 16.5% 18.5% 5.39
Deportivo Pereira over 6.5 corners 9.4% 10.0% 10.05
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 3.5 goals 98.9% 97.6% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Deportivo Pereira under 2.5 goals 94.6% 92.4% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Deportivo Pereira under 1.5 goals 79.3% 76.3% 74.4% 1.02× 1.31
Deportivo Pereira over 0.5 goals 57.0% 59.6% 62.2% 0.96× 1.68
Deportivo Pereira under 0.5 goals 43.0% 40.5% 37.8% 1.07× 2.47
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 goals 20.7% 23.7% 25.6% 0.93× 4.21
Deportivo Pereira over 2.5 goals 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 1.08× 13.09
Deportivo Pereira over 3.5 goals 1.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.25× 40.92
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira under 1.5 in 1st half 95.4% 95.6% 1.05
Deportivo Pereira under 0.5 in 1st half 71.3% 68.4% 1.46
Deportivo Pereira over 0.5 in 1st half 28.7% 31.6% 3.16
Deportivo Pereira over 1.5 in 1st half 4.6% 4.4% 22.66
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (away no bet) 64.2% 62.1% 60.9% 1.02× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 35.8% 37.9% 39.1% 0.97× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira even goals 59.2% 56.9% 57.4% 0.99× 1.76
Deportivo Pereira odd goals 40.8% 43.1% 42.6% 1.01× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.9% 88.1% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.1% 11.9% 8.38
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.4% 59.6% 1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.6% 40.4% 2.47
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 49.1% 46.0% 2.17
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 2+ in a row 37.8% 36.5% 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.8% 16.4% 6.10
Deportivo Pereira to score 2+ in a row 15.0% 12.2% 8.21
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.1% 8.23
Deportivo Pereira to score 3+ in a row 3.0% 2.6% 38.58
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+3.5) 93.7% 89.6% 1.12
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+2.5) 89.4% 84.5% 1.18
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+1.5) 83.2% 79.7% 1.25
Deportivo Pereira corners (+3.5) 67.6% 65.8% 1.52
Deportivo Pereira corners (+2.5) 57.4% 57.1% 1.75
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-1.5) 53.7% 52.5% 1.91
Deportivo Pereira corners (+1.5) 46.3% 47.5% 2.11
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-2.5) 42.6% 42.9% 2.33
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-3.5) 32.4% 34.2% 2.92
Deportivo Pereira corners (-1.5) 16.8% 20.3% 4.93
Deportivo Pereira corners (-2.5) 10.6% 15.5% 6.46
Deportivo Pereira corners (-3.5) 6.3% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 50.6% 45.2% 2.21
9-11 corners 27.1% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 22.3% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.9% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 77.7% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 70.0% 72.7% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 60.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.2% 63.4% 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 50.6% 53.3% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 49.4% 46.7% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 39.8% 36.6% 2.73
Over 9.5 corners 39.1% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 30.0% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 22.3% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 16.1% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 13.3% 11.5% 12.1% 0.95× 8.73
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 13.1% 0.88× 8.73
0-0 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 1.06× 8.74
2-0 10.7% 11.4% 8.5% 1.35× 8.74
2-1 9.1% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.47
0-1 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 0.88× 13.47
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 7.0% 1.07× 13.47
3-0 5.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
0-2 3.5% 1.7% 3.8% 0.46× 58.50
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.52
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
1-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.52
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
2-2 3.8% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.50
2-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.52
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
3-1 4.5% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.50
3-2 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.51
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.52
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.14× 58.52
4-0 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.51
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.51
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
Any other score 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT (DNB) 69.1% 74.5% 1.34
Deportivo Pereira leading at HT (DNB) 30.9% 25.5% 3.92
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1X) 79.8% 75.6% 75.2% 1.00× 1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo or Deportivo Pereira (12) 71.5% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Deportivo Pereira or draw (X2) 48.7% 48.5% 54.1% 0.90× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw at HT 83.5% 84.4% 1.19
Deportivo Pereira or draw at HT 63.1% 62.3% 1.61
Cúcuta Deportivo or Deportivo Pereira at HT 53.4% 47.7% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1UP) 79.8% 84.2% 1.19
Deportivo Pereira or draw (1UP) 48.7% 52.6% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw in 2nd half 79.8% 77.1% 1.30
Cúcuta Deportivo or Deportivo Pereira in 2nd half 61.1% 63.7% 1.57
Deportivo Pereira or draw in 2nd half 59.1% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.1% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.9% 30.6% 3.27
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (DNB) 71.7% 71.4% 65.0% 1.10× 1.40
Deportivo Pereira (DNB) 28.3% 28.6% 35.0% 0.82× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score first 56.9% 61.9% 1.62
Deportivo Pereira to score first 32.3% 26.9% 3.72
No goal scored 10.8% 9.7% 10.33
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.7% 51.5% 51.2% 1.01× 1.94
Both teams to score 45.3% 48.5% 48.8% 0.99× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 45.4% 44.2% 43.1% 1.03× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 32.0% 34.3% 35.9% 0.96× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 1.02× 11.94
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.9% 89.1% 88.7% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 9.1% 10.9% 11.3% 0.97× 9.17
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.9% 75.6% 1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half 23.1% 24.4% 4.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 66.2% 62.3% 1.61
Both score 2nd half only 20.1% 20.8% 4.80
Both score 1st half only 10.7% 10.5% 9.51
Both score in both halves 3.1% 4.9% 20.48
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.2% 85.7% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 13.8% 14.3% 6.99
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 53.1% 53.4% 1.87
A goal in each half 46.9% 46.6% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.1% 47.4% 48.1% 0.99× 2.11
0-1 goals 31.2% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.25
4-6 goals 19.8% 20.2% 19.5% 1.04× 4.95
7+ goals 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.19× 55.15
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 0 43.0% 37.0% 37.8% 0.98× 2.70
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
Deportivo Pereira to score exactly 2 15.3% 19.5% 18.6% 1.05× 5.12
Deportivo Pereira to score 3+ 5.4% 8.4% 7.1% 1.19× 11.84
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 1 33.6% 32.7% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 2 25.0% 26.5% 26.1% 1.01× 3.77
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 0 22.5% 23.3% 24.2% 0.96× 4.30
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ 18.9% 18.9% 15.6% 1.21× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.6% 52.3% 1.91
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT 36.9% 37.7% 2.65
Deportivo Pereira leading at HT 16.5% 15.6% 6.42
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: 2 48.7% 46.9% 2.13
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: 1 26.8% 26.6% 3.77
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: X 24.5% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira (0:1) 48.7% 45.9% 54.1% 0.85× 2.18
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:1) 26.8% 27.0% 20.4% 1.32× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 24.5% 24.3% 25.6% 0.95× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira (0:2) 73.2% 75.6% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 16.0% 15.3% 12.4% 1.24× 6.54
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:2) 10.7% 11.0% 8.2% 1.34× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira (0:3) 89.3% 90.8% 91.8% 0.99× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.2% 5.8% 5.4% 1.07× 17.18
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:3) 3.5% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.06
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira (0:4) 96.5% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.5% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.31
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.08× 83.50
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1:0) 79.8% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 13.4% 12.8% 17.2% 0.74× 7.80
Deportivo Pereira (1:0) 6.8% 6.9% 7.7% 0.90× 14.48
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2:0) 93.2% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.2% 6.4% 5.0% 1.28× 15.55
Deportivo Pereira (2:0) 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 0.81× 44.41
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.5% 47.9% 2.09
Halves equal 29.2% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede 57.0% 60.9% 62.2% 0.98× 1.64
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet 43.0% 39.1% 37.8% 1.03× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 1st half 71.3% 68.0% 1.47
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 1st half 28.7% 32.0% 3.13
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 corners 83.3% 80.9% 1.24
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 corners 70.7% 71.9% 1.39
Cúcuta Deportivo under 6.5 corners 68.3% 66.7% 1.50
Cúcuta Deportivo over 4.5 corners 56.8% 57.5% 1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo under 5.5 corners 56.6% 57.5% 1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo over 5.5 corners 43.4% 42.5% 2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo under 4.5 corners 43.2% 42.5% 2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo over 6.5 corners 31.7% 33.3% 3.00
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 corners 29.3% 28.1% 3.56
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 corners 16.7% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 goals 93.6% 92.3% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 goals 81.1% 82.1% 84.4% 0.97× 1.22
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 goals 77.5% 77.7% 75.8% 1.03× 1.29
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 goals 56.1% 58.8% 58.4% 1.01× 1.70
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 goals 43.9% 41.2% 41.6% 0.99× 2.43
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 goals 22.5% 22.3% 24.2% 0.92× 4.49
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 goals 18.9% 17.9% 15.6% 1.15× 5.59
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 goals 6.4% 7.7% 4.7% 1.64× 12.93
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 1st half 86.5% 89.9% 1.11
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 1st half 47.3% 50.6% 1.98
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 1st half 52.7% 49.4% 2.03
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 1st half 13.5% 10.1% 9.86
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 58.6% 56.7% 54.4% 1.04× 1.76
Deportivo Pereira (home no bet) 41.4% 43.3% 45.6% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo even goals 52.5% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.98
Cúcuta Deportivo odd goals 47.5% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.8% 38.4% 2.60
HT 1-0 23.9% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 12.5% 11.0% 9.11
HT 1-1 8.3% 7.1% 14.16
HT 2-0 7.7% 7.1% 14.17
Any other HT score 3.2% 2.3% 43.83
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.87
HT 0-2 2.1% 2.3% 43.91
HT 1-2 1.4% 2.3% 43.97
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 44.04
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 30.7% 32.3% 3.10
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.3% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 18.4% 16.8% 5.94
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT 10.1% 12.6% 7.91
Draw at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT 8.8% 6.0% 16.54
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% 28.79
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% 28.82
Deportivo Pereira at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 2.1% 3.5% 28.91
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Deportivo Pereira at FT 1.3% 3.5% 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score last 57.1% 56.6% 1.77
Deportivo Pereira to score last 32.1% 33.1% 3.02
No goal scored 10.8% 9.1% 11.03
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.2% 90.9% 1.10
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 1 at any time 63.8% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 42.0% 39.2% 2.55
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 1 at any time 35.9% 34.7% 2.88
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 2 at any time 31.8% 29.3% 3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.7% 10.5% 9.57
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 3 at any time 12.4% 10.4% 9.61
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 2 at any time 10.2% 10.4% 9.66
Deportivo Pereira to lead by 3 at any time 2.3% 1.6% 64.26
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo most corners 64.8% 60.5% 1.65
Deportivo Pereira most corners 25.1% 31.0% 3.23
Corners level 10.1% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.0% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.4% 83.5% 80.0% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.4% 69.0% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.8% 69.0% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.7% 69.0% 65.4% 1.06× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.1% 63.4% 59.7% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.1% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.9% 48.7% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
3-6 goals 40.3% 43.6% 42.6% 1.02× 2.30
3-5 goals 38.1% 39.2% 40.5% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.5% 35.4% 34.8% 1.02× 2.83
4-6 goals 19.8% 18.6% 19.5% 0.96× 5.37
4-5 goals 17.6% 18.6% 17.4% 1.07× 5.37
5-6 goals 7.8% 8.7% 7.9% 1.10× 11.43
7+ goals 1.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.66× 39.47
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo never behind 53.3% 62.4% 1.60
Deportivo Pereira never behind 25.4% 29.8% 3.36
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.3% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.7% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.5% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.6% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.1% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.9% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.8% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.2% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.2% 87.7% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 79.2% 77.4% 79.1% 0.98× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 68.8% 66.2% 68.8% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 58.7% 58.8% 56.1% 1.05× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 41.3% 41.2% 44.0% 0.94× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 31.2% 33.8% 31.2% 1.08× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 20.8% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Under 0.5 goals 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 8.8% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 3.2% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.24
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.0% 97.3% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.6% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 90.0% 92.5% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.9% 72.6% 72.9% 1.00× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 57.0% 55.5% 58.5% 0.95× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 43.0% 44.5% 41.5% 1.07× 2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.1% 27.4% 27.1% 1.01× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.0% 7.5% 10.5% 0.72× 13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.4% 2.8% 3.8% 0.72× 36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.0% 2.7% 1.6% 1.76× 36.39
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.4% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.2% 71.0% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.8% 29.0% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.6% 7.2% 13.85
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.4% 83.0% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 77.8% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.3% 62.0% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.7% 38.0% 2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 22.2% 4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.6% 17.0% 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to score in both halves 88.6% 86.1% 1.16
Cúcuta Deportivo not to score in both halves 72.9% 74.1% 1.35
Cúcuta Deportivo to score in both halves 27.1% 25.9% 3.85
Deportivo Pereira to score in both halves 11.4% 13.9% 7.20
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 45.3% 50.4% 48.8% 1.03× 1.99
Only Cúcuta Deportivo scores 32.1% 33.4% 27.1% 1.23× 3.00
Only Deportivo Pereira scores 11.7% 10.9% 13.5% 0.81× 9.14
Neither team scores 10.8% 10.9% 10.8% 1.01× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.5% 24.9% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 20.3% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 20.5% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 12.0% 12.1% 11.7% 1.03× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 10.8% 12.1% 10.8% 1.11× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 5.6% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.10
6 or more goals 3.2% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.69
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.7% 40.4% 2.47
1 goal in 2nd half 34.2% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 26.1% 29.8% 3.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to win both halves 96.6% 97.2% 1.03
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win both halves 84.7% 84.3% 1.19
Cúcuta Deportivo to win both halves 15.3% 15.7% 6.35
Deportivo Pereira to win both halves 3.4% 2.8% 35.60
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira to win neither half 66.7% 67.8% 1.47
Cúcuta Deportivo to win either half 62.5% 65.2% 1.53
Cúcuta Deportivo to win neither half 37.5% 34.8% 2.88
Deportivo Pereira to win either half 33.3% 32.2% 3.11
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Pereira not to win to nil 88.3% 88.2% 86.5% 1.02× 1.13
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win to nil 67.9% 69.6% 72.9% 0.96× 1.44
Cúcuta Deportivo to win to nil 32.1% 30.4% 27.1% 1.12× 3.29
Deportivo Pereira to win to nil 11.7% 11.8% 13.5% 0.87× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.5% 27.8% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Cúcuta Deportivo by 1 24.5% 24.2% 25.6% 0.94× 4.14
Cúcuta Deportivo by 2 16.0% 16.9% 12.4% 1.37× 5.90
Deportivo Pereira by 1 13.4% 11.8% 17.2% 0.68× 8.47
Cúcuta Deportivo by 3+ 10.7% 11.8% 8.2% 1.44× 8.47
Deportivo Pereira by 2 5.2% 7.2% 5.0% 1.45× 13.81
Deportivo Pereira by 3+ 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 0.97× 37.09
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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