Cusco FC v Alianza Lima — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 8 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Cusco FC

14:00

Alianza Lima

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 788h before kick-off

Cusco FC win

36.7%

model 35.4%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.9%

Alianza Lima win

36.7%

model 38.7%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
0-1 10.3%
1-0 9.8%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.8%	Under 2.5	52.2%
BTTS yes	52.3%	BTTS no	47.7%
Cusco FC 1+	71.5%	Cusco FC 2+	35.8%
Alianza Lima 1+	73.5%	Alianza Lima 2+	38.3%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1547.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Alianza Lima have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Cusco FC and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Cusco FC and 1.33 for Alianza Lima.

Why Cusco FC

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.33. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Alianza Lima can win

Alianza Lima carry the stronger rating, 1676 Elo against 1547.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cusco FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza Lima, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cusco FC: 55% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Lima: 64% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Alianza Lima are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	362737	1.23–1.25	1-1 13%	45%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win	37.2%	36.4%	25.1%	1.45×	2.75
Cusco FC to win	36.3%	36.4%	50.0%	0.73×	2.75
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & not both score	21.1%	21.9%	12.2%	1.80×	4.57
Cusco FC & not both score	20.6%	21.9%	26.5%	0.82×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Alianza Lima & both teams score	16.1%	17.9%	13.1%	1.37×	5.59
Cusco FC & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.59
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima & under 3.5	28.0%	26.0%	19.1%	1.36×	3.84
Cusco FC & under 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	33.8%	0.77×	3.84
Alianza Lima & over 1.5	26.4%	26.0%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
Cusco FC & over 1.5	25.7%	26.0%	38.2%	0.68×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Alianza Lima & over 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Cusco FC & over 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Cusco FC & under 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Alianza Lima & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.56
Cusco FC & under 1.5	10.6%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Alianza Lima & under 1.5	10.7%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.77
Cusco FC & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.70
Alianza Lima & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.2%	1.27×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (1UP)	52.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Cusco FC (1UP)	51.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (2UP)	37.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Cusco FC (2UP)	36.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Alianza Lima to win 2nd half	32.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Cusco FC to win 2nd half	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (+2.5)	94.8%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Alianza Lima (+1.5)	84.6%	82.4%	75.3%	1.09×	1.21
Alianza Lima (+0.5)	63.7%	62.9%	50.0%	1.26×	1.59
Cusco FC (+0.5)	62.8%	62.9%	74.9%	0.84×	1.59
Alianza Lima (-0.5)	37.2%	37.1%	25.1%	1.48×	2.69
Cusco FC (-0.5)	36.3%	37.1%	50.0%	0.74×	2.70
Cusco FC (-1.5)	15.4%	17.6%	24.7%	0.71×	5.69
Cusco FC (-2.5)	5.2%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to concede	70.8%	76.5%	80.2%	0.95×	1.31
Alianza Lima clean sheet	29.2%	23.5%	19.8%	1.19×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima clean sheet in 1st half	58.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Alianza Lima to concede in 1st half	41.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 6.5 corners	84.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Alianza Lima under 5.5 corners	75.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Alianza Lima over 2.5 corners	72.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Alianza Lima under 4.5 corners	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Lima over 3.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Alianza Lima under 3.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Lima over 4.5 corners	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Alianza Lima under 2.5 corners	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Alianza Lima over 5.5 corners	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Alianza Lima over 6.5 corners	15.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.9%	92.0%	0.96×	1.14
Alianza Lima over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.9%	65.8%	1.09×	1.39
Alianza Lima under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.0%	71.6%	0.88×	1.59
Alianza Lima over 1.5 goals	35.5%	37.0%	28.4%	1.31×	2.70
Alianza Lima under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.1%	34.2%	0.82×	3.56
Alianza Lima over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.26
Alianza Lima over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	2.5%	0.96×	40.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Alianza Lima over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Alianza Lima over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.87

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (away no bet)	57.7%	57.5%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.3%	42.5%	33.4%	1.27×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima even goals	54.1%	52.8%	56.9%	0.93×	1.89
Alianza Lima odd goals	45.9%	47.2%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.8%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Alianza Lima to score 2+ in a row	28.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cusco FC to score 2+ in a row	27.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Alianza Lima to score 3+ in a row	8.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.68
Cusco FC to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.71

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima corners (+3.5)	92.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Lima corners (+2.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cusco FC corners (+3.5)	80.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Alianza Lima corners (+1.5)	79.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Cusco FC corners (+2.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cusco FC corners (+1.5)	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Alianza Lima corners (-1.5)	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Alianza Lima corners (-2.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Cusco FC corners (-1.5)	20.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Alianza Lima corners (-3.5)	19.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Cusco FC corners (-2.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Cusco FC corners (-3.5)	7.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	68.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
9-11 corners	21.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	9.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	94.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	90.5%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	85.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 9.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 8.5 corners	68.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 7.5 corners	57.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	42.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	31.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 9.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 10.5 corners	14.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
Over 11.5 corners	9.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Over 12.5 corners	5.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.4%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-1	10.7%	11.4%	8.0%	1.43×	8.74
1-0	10.6%	11.4%	12.0%	0.95×	8.74
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.47
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.47
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.47
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.50
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.51
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.52
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.50
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.51
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.51
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.51
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.52
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.52
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.52
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.52
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC leading at HT (DNB)	51.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Alianza Lima leading at HT (DNB)	48.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or Alianza Lima (12)	73.4%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Alianza Lima or draw (X2)	63.7%	63.6%	50.0%	1.27×	1.57
Cusco FC or draw (1X)	62.8%	63.6%	74.9%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or draw at HT	73.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Alianza Lima or draw at HT	71.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Cusco FC or Alianza Lima at HT	54.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw (1UP)	63.7%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Cusco FC or draw (1UP)	62.8%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima or draw in 2nd half	70.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Cusco FC or draw in 2nd half	67.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Cusco FC or Alianza Lima in 2nd half	62.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.7%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (DNB)	50.6%	50.9%	33.4%	1.52×	1.96
Cusco FC (DNB)	49.4%	49.1%	66.6%	0.74×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score first	46.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Cusco FC to score first	45.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.4%	53.8%	0.96×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.6%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	37.6%	1.11×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	37.6%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.6%	85.7%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.4%	14.3%	14.4%	1.00×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.21

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	29.4%	26.5%	27.5%	0.96×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.5%	22.8%	26.9%	0.85×	4.38
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	55.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score exactly 1	35.8%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Alianza Lima to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.4%	34.2%	0.80×	3.65
Alianza Lima to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.4%	20.5%	1.09×	4.46
Alianza Lima to score 3+	13.2%	12.8%	8.0%	1.60×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Cusco FC to score exactly 0	29.2%	26.5%	19.8%	1.34×	3.77
Cusco FC to score exactly 2	22.1%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Cusco FC to score 3+	12.7%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Cusco FC leading at HT	28.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Alianza Lima leading at HT	26.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima -1: 1	62.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Alianza Lima -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Alianza Lima -1: 2	16.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:1)	63.7%	61.4%	50.0%	1.23×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12
Cusco FC (0:1)	15.4%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:2)	84.6%	82.8%	75.3%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.3%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.12
Cusco FC (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.98

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:3)	94.8%	92.7%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.04
Cusco FC (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.49
Cusco FC (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (1:0)	62.8%	65.1%	74.9%	0.87×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	17.6%	1.23×	4.60
Alianza Lima (1:0)	16.0%	17.0%	7.6%	2.23×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (2:0)	84.0%	84.6%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	5.6%	1.84×	9.64
Alianza Lima (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	2.2%	2.95×	15.55

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to concede	71.3%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Cusco FC clean sheet	28.7%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Cusco FC to concede in 1st half	39.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.81

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 6.5 corners	93.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Cusco FC under 5.5 corners	87.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Cusco FC under 4.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Cusco FC under 3.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cusco FC over 2.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cusco FC under 2.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cusco FC over 3.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cusco FC over 4.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Cusco FC over 5.5 corners	12.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Cusco FC over 6.5 corners	6.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Cusco FC under 2.5 goals	87.3%	87.2%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Cusco FC over 0.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	80.2%	0.93×	1.35
Cusco FC under 1.5 goals	65.1%	67.8%	52.5%	1.29×	1.47
Cusco FC over 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.2%	47.5%	0.68×	3.11
Cusco FC under 0.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	19.8%	1.30×	3.88
Cusco FC over 2.5 goals	12.7%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84
Cusco FC over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	95.1%	—	—	1.05
Cusco FC under 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cusco FC over 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Cusco FC over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima (home no bet)	58.3%	56.7%	50.0%	1.13×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.7%	43.3%	50.0%	0.87×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC even goals	54.3%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Cusco FC odd goals	45.7%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	19.0%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	5.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.73
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.84
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	44.02

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC at HT / Cusco FC at FT	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Alianza Lima at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	19.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Cusco FC at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Cusco FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Alianza Lima at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Cusco FC at HT / Alianza Lima at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Alianza Lima at HT / Cusco FC at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to score last	46.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Cusco FC to score last	45.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Alianza Lima to lead by 1 at any time	52.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Cusco FC to lead by 1 at any time	51.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Alianza Lima to lead by 2 at any time	21.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
Cusco FC to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Alianza Lima to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Cusco FC to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima most corners	55.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Cusco FC most corners	31.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	12.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.3%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.2%	69.0%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.1%	69.0%	63.8%	1.08×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.0%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	46.8%	48.7%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.8%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.1%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.5%	35.4%	37.1%	0.95×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.5%	24.5%	26.9%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.8%	18.6%	23.5%	0.79×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.3%	8.8%	12.7%	0.69×	11.42
7+ goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima never behind	40.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Cusco FC never behind	39.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	85.6%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.2%	77.4%	71.5%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.6%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.9%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	45.1%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	29.4%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.8%	22.6%	28.5%	0.79×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.6%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.8%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.7%	67.4%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.6%	62.1%	65.1%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.4%	37.9%	34.9%	1.09×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.3%	32.6%	36.9%	0.88×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.2%	13.3%	16.7%	0.79×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.4%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	1.9%	1.46×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.5%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.7%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Alianza Lima not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Alianza Lima to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Cusco FC to score in both halves	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.9%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Alianza Lima scores	21.1%	22.3%	12.2%	1.83×	4.48
Only Cusco FC scores	20.6%	22.3%	26.5%	0.84×	4.48
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.3%	22.6%	19.8%	1.14×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.10
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	23.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC not to win both halves	91.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima not to win both halves	91.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Alianza Lima to win both halves	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Cusco FC to win both halves	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Lima to win either half	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cusco FC to win neither half	50.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cusco FC to win either half	49.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Alianza Lima to win neither half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC not to win to nil	79.4%	78.0%	73.5%	1.06×	1.28
Alianza Lima not to win to nil	78.9%	78.0%	87.8%	0.89×	1.28
Alianza Lima to win to nil	21.1%	22.0%	12.2%	1.80×	4.56
Cusco FC to win to nil	20.6%	22.0%	26.5%	0.83×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.60
Alianza Lima by 1	21.1%	24.1%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Cusco FC by 1	20.8%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Alianza Lima by 2	10.6%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.47
Cusco FC by 2	10.3%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47
Alianza Lima by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	2.2%	3.32×	13.81
Cusco FC by 3+	5.2%	7.2%	11.5%	0.63×	13.81