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Degerfors IF v Halmstads BK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Degerfors IF win
52.0%
Draw
26.8%
Halmstads BK win
21.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.56–0.91 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.47–0.69 1-0 16% 37% 39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF to win 55.4% 54.0% 40.7% 1.33× 1.85
Draw 27.8% 27.9% 22.9% 1.22× 3.59
Halmstads BK to win 16.8% 19.3% 36.6% 0.53× 5.17
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF & not both score 38.1% 33.2% 23.7% 1.40× 3.01
Degerfors IF & both teams score 17.3% 17.9% 17.3% 1.04× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 15.6% 17.9% 17.8% 1.01× 5.59
Draw & not both score 12.2% 13.3% 5.3% 2.48× 7.54
Halmstads BK & not both score 10.8% 13.3% 18.8% 0.70× 7.55
Halmstads BK & both teams score 6.0% 8.4% 18.1% 0.46× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF & under 3.5 43.6% 40.3% 26.2% 1.54× 2.48
Degerfors IF & over 1.5 39.1% 34.9% 34.6% 1.01× 2.86
Degerfors IF & under 2.5 28.8% 26.0% 15.5% 1.68× 3.84
Degerfors IF & over 2.5 26.6% 26.0% 25.4% 1.02× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 24.5% 21.6% 18.1% 1.20× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 24.5% 21.6% 18.1% 1.20× 4.62
Degerfors IF & under 1.5 16.3% 18.0% 6.4% 2.83× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.6% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Halmstads BK & under 3.5 14.6% 12.9% 25.4% 0.51× 7.77
Degerfors IF & over 3.5 11.9% 12.9% 14.8% 0.87× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 12.2% 12.9% 5.3% 2.41× 7.77
Halmstads BK & under 2.5 10.0% 12.9% 14.0% 0.92× 7.77
Halmstads BK & over 1.5 9.5% 7.9% 27.7% 0.28× 12.70
Halmstads BK & under 1.5 7.3% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.70
Halmstads BK & over 2.5 6.8% 7.9% 22.9% 0.34× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 0.94× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 0.94× 20.93
Halmstads BK & over 3.5 2.1% 4.8% 11.5% 0.42× 20.94
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (1UP) 65.9% 69.8% 1.43
Halmstads BK (1UP) 30.6% 32.5% 3.08
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (2UP) 55.4% 54.9% 1.82
Halmstads BK (2UP) 16.8% 17.4% 5.73
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF to win 2nd half 43.3% 41.3% 2.42
2nd half drawn 39.8% 36.4% 2.75
Halmstads BK to win 2nd half 16.9% 19.1% 5.24
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK (+2.5) 88.4% 88.5% 88.6% 1.00× 1.13
Degerfors IF (+0.5) 83.2% 82.4% 63.4% 1.30× 1.21
Halmstads BK (+1.5) 71.1% 73.7% 76.3% 0.96× 1.36
Degerfors IF (-0.5) 55.4% 57.0% 40.7% 1.40× 1.76
Halmstads BK (+0.5) 44.6% 43.0% 59.3% 0.73× 2.33
Degerfors IF (-1.5) 28.9% 26.3% 23.7% 1.11× 3.80
Halmstads BK (-0.5) 16.8% 17.6% 36.6% 0.48× 5.68
Degerfors IF (-2.5) 11.6% 11.5% 11.5% 1.00× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK to concede 77.1% 79.0% 76.1% 1.04× 1.27
Halmstads BK clean sheet 22.9% 21.0% 23.9% 0.88× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK to concede in 1st half 46.9% 50.5% 1.98
Halmstads BK clean sheet in 1st half 53.1% 49.5% 2.02
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK under 6.5 corners 82.1% 80.9% 1.24
Halmstads BK over 2.5 corners 76.1% 75.8% 1.32
Halmstads BK under 5.5 corners 71.4% 72.3% 1.38
Halmstads BK over 3.5 corners 59.4% 56.9% 1.76
Halmstads BK under 4.5 corners 57.3% 56.9% 1.76
Halmstads BK over 4.5 corners 42.7% 43.1% 2.32
Halmstads BK under 3.5 corners 40.6% 43.1% 2.32
Halmstads BK over 5.5 corners 28.6% 27.7% 3.61
Halmstads BK under 2.5 corners 23.9% 24.2% 4.13
Halmstads BK over 6.5 corners 17.9% 19.1% 5.25
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.6% 95.2% 1.03× 1.03
Halmstads BK under 2.5 goals 96.7% 97.5% 81.7% 1.19× 1.03
Halmstads BK under 1.5 goals 84.8% 81.5% 60.8% 1.34× 1.23
Halmstads BK under 0.5 goals 50.3% 53.6% 28.8% 1.87× 1.86
Halmstads BK over 0.5 goals 49.7% 46.4% 71.2% 0.65× 2.16
Halmstads BK over 1.5 goals 15.2% 18.5% 39.2% 0.47× 5.39
Halmstads BK over 2.5 goals 3.3% 2.5% 18.3% 0.13× 40.81
Halmstads BK over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.4% 4.8% 0.51× 40.95
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK under 1.5 in 1st half 96.8% 95.8% 1.04
Halmstads BK under 0.5 in 1st half 75.9% 75.8% 1.32
Halmstads BK over 0.5 in 1st half 24.1% 24.2% 4.13
Halmstads BK over 1.5 in 1st half 3.2% 4.2% 23.79
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (away no bet) 66.6% 66.4% 64.0% 1.04× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 33.4% 33.6% 36.0% 0.93× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK even goals 62.6% 59.1% 53.2% 1.11× 1.69
Halmstads BK odd goals 37.4% 40.9% 46.8% 0.87× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.8% 92.3% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 13.02
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 49.2% 50.1% 2.00
Not both halves under 1.5 50.8% 49.9% 2.00
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 46.5% 45.8% 2.18
Degerfors IF to score 2+ in a row 38.2% 36.5% 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 16.4% 6.11
Degerfors IF to score 3+ in a row 14.3% 12.2% 8.23
Halmstads BK to score 2+ in a row 10.8% 12.1% 8.30
Halmstads BK to score 3+ in a row 1.8% 2.5% 39.33
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF corners (+3.5) 91.4% 88.6% 1.13
Degerfors IF corners (+2.5) 86.4% 84.2% 1.19
Degerfors IF corners (+1.5) 79.5% 75.5% 1.33
Halmstads BK corners (+3.5) 70.0% 69.9% 1.43
Halmstads BK corners (+2.5) 60.4% 61.7% 1.62
Degerfors IF corners (-1.5) 50.2% 52.3% 1.91
Halmstads BK corners (+1.5) 49.8% 47.7% 2.10
Degerfors IF corners (-2.5) 39.6% 38.3% 2.61
Degerfors IF corners (-3.5) 30.0% 30.1% 3.32
Halmstads BK corners (-1.5) 20.5% 24.5% 4.08
Halmstads BK corners (-2.5) 13.6% 15.8% 6.31
Halmstads BK corners (-3.5) 8.6% 11.4% 8.81
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 35.0% 35.1% 2.85
0-8 corners 34.5% 32.0% 3.12
9-11 corners 30.5% 32.0% 3.13
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.4% 76.6% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 73.4% 72.5% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 65.5% 67.9% 1.47
Under 11.5 corners 65.0% 62.7% 1.60
Under 10.5 corners 55.3% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 55.0% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 45.0% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 44.7% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 35.0% 37.3% 2.68
Under 8.5 corners 34.5% 32.1% 3.12
Over 12.5 corners 26.6% 27.5% 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 24.6% 23.4% 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 16.3% 13.8% 6.4% 2.16× 7.27
2-0 12.5% 11.4% 9.4% 1.22× 8.74
0-0 12.2% 11.4% 5.3% 2.14× 8.74
1-1 12.3% 11.4% 13.0% 0.88× 8.74
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 5.9% 1.27× 13.47
0-1 7.3% 7.4% 9.2% 0.81× 13.47
3-0 6.1% 7.4% 5.3% 1.39× 13.47
0-2 2.7% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.51
0-3 0.6% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.52
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
1-2 4.0% 1.7% 8.1% 0.21× 58.50
1-3 0.9% 1.7% 4.8% 0.35× 58.52
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
2-2 3.0% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.51
2-3 0.7% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.52
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.50
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.52
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.52
4-0 2.3% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.51
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.52
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.52
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.52
Any other score 1.8% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF leading at HT (DNB) 73.6% 71.8% 1.39
Halmstads BK leading at HT (DNB) 26.4% 28.2% 3.55
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF or draw (1X) 83.2% 80.7% 63.4% 1.27× 1.24
Degerfors IF or Halmstads BK (12) 72.2% 72.1% 77.1% 0.94× 1.39
Halmstads BK or draw (X2) 44.6% 46.0% 59.3% 0.78× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF or draw at HT 86.3% 88.1% 1.14
Halmstads BK or draw at HT 61.6% 62.2% 1.61
Degerfors IF or Halmstads BK at HT 52.1% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF or draw (1UP) 83.2% 88.5% 1.13
Halmstads BK or draw (1UP) 44.6% 52.9% 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF or draw in 2nd half 83.1% 80.9% 1.24
Degerfors IF or Halmstads BK in 2nd half 60.2% 63.6% 1.57
Halmstads BK or draw in 2nd half 56.7% 58.7% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.9% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 32.1% 30.4% 3.29
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (DNB) 76.8% 74.6% 52.6% 1.42× 1.34
Halmstads BK (DNB) 23.2% 25.4% 47.4% 0.54× 3.93
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF to score first 59.9% 62.1% 1.61
Halmstads BK to score first 28.0% 28.3% 3.54
No goal scored 12.2% 10.0% 9.95
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 61.0% 56.5% 47.3% 1.19× 1.77
Both teams to score 39.0% 43.5% 52.7% 0.83× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 51.0% 47.0% 34.4% 1.37× 2.13
Both score & over 2.5 26.7% 33.6% 39.9% 0.84× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 12.3% 12.3% 13.0% 0.95× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 10.0% 12.3% 13.2% 0.93× 8.12
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.4% 89.1% 84.2% 1.06× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 6.6% 10.9% 15.8% 0.69× 9.19
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 80.6% 72.2% 1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half 19.4% 27.8% 3.60
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 71.3% 67.4% 1.48
Both score 2nd half only 17.3% 15.8% 6.34
Both score 1st half only 9.2% 6.8% 14.68
Both score in both halves 2.2% 4.8% 20.69
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.6% 86.0% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 11.4% 14.0% 7.17
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 57.1% 57.4% 1.74
A goal in each half 42.9% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.9% 47.4% 49.1% 0.97× 2.11
0-1 goals 35.8% 35.0% 20.4% 1.72× 2.86
4-6 goals 16.6% 20.2% 26.2% 0.77× 4.95
7+ goals 0.7% 1.8% 4.8% 0.37× 55.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK to score exactly 0 50.3% 47.2% 28.8% 1.64× 2.12
Halmstads BK to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.9% 32.3% 1.05× 2.95
Halmstads BK to score exactly 2 11.9% 12.8% 21.1% 0.61× 7.81
Halmstads BK to score 3+ 3.3% 4.5% 18.3% 0.25× 22.08
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF to score exactly 1 33.8% 32.7% 32.8% 1.00× 3.06
Degerfors IF to score exactly 2 24.9% 23.3% 22.1% 1.05× 4.30
Degerfors IF to score exactly 0 22.9% 23.3% 23.9% 0.97× 4.30
Degerfors IF to score 3+ 18.4% 18.9% 21.6% 0.87× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.9% 52.4% 1.91
Degerfors IF leading at HT 38.4% 37.8% 2.65
Halmstads BK leading at HT 13.8% 11.9% 8.40
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF -1: 2 44.6% 42.8% 2.34
Degerfors IF -1: 1 28.9% 26.6% 3.76
Degerfors IF -1: X 26.5% 26.6% 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK (0:1) 44.6% 42.7% 59.3% 0.72× 2.34
Degerfors IF (0:1) 28.9% 27.0% 23.7% 1.14× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 26.5% 27.0% 17.3% 1.56× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK (0:2) 71.1% 75.6% 76.3% 0.99× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 17.3% 15.3% 12.5% 1.23× 6.54
Degerfors IF (0:2) 11.6% 11.0% 11.5% 0.96× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK (0:3) 88.4% 90.8% 88.6% 1.03× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.9% 5.8% 6.9% 0.85× 17.17
Degerfors IF (0:3) 3.8% 2.4% 4.8% 0.49× 42.04
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK (0:4) 96.2% 98.1% 95.2% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.8% 1.2% 3.8% 0.31× 83.29
Degerfors IF (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 0.94× 83.49
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (1:0) 83.2% 81.4% 63.4% 1.29× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 12.0% 12.8% 20.4% 0.63× 7.81
Halmstads BK (1:0) 4.7% 3.2% 16.5% 0.19× 31.34
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF (2:0) 95.3% 96.9% 83.5% 1.16× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 3.8% 2.3% 10.4% 0.22× 44.27
Halmstads BK (2:0) 1.0% 2.3% 6.4% 0.35× 44.45
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.7% 47.7% 2.10
Halves equal 29.8% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF clean sheet 50.3% 53.1% 28.8% 1.85× 1.89
Degerfors IF to concede 49.7% 46.9% 71.2% 0.66× 2.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF clean sheet in 1st half 75.9% 77.0% 1.30
Degerfors IF to concede in 1st half 24.1% 23.0% 4.35
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF over 2.5 corners 89.1% 85.2% 1.17
Degerfors IF over 3.5 corners 78.5% 76.1% 1.31
Degerfors IF over 4.5 corners 65.4% 67.7% 1.48
Degerfors IF under 6.5 corners 61.5% 62.0% 1.61
Degerfors IF over 5.5 corners 51.6% 53.0% 1.89
Degerfors IF under 5.5 corners 48.5% 47.0% 2.13
Degerfors IF over 6.5 corners 38.5% 38.0% 2.63
Degerfors IF under 4.5 corners 34.6% 32.3% 3.10
Degerfors IF under 3.5 corners 21.5% 23.9% 4.19
Degerfors IF under 2.5 corners 10.9% 14.8% 6.77
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF under 3.5 goals 93.8% 92.3% 90.6% 1.02× 1.08
Degerfors IF under 2.5 goals 81.6% 82.1% 78.4% 1.05× 1.22
Degerfors IF over 0.5 goals 77.1% 77.7% 76.1% 1.02× 1.29
Degerfors IF under 1.5 goals 56.7% 58.8% 56.5% 1.04× 1.70
Degerfors IF over 1.5 goals 43.3% 41.2% 43.5% 0.95× 2.43
Degerfors IF under 0.5 goals 22.9% 22.3% 23.9% 0.93× 4.49
Degerfors IF over 2.5 goals 18.4% 17.9% 21.6% 0.83× 5.59
Degerfors IF over 3.5 goals 6.2% 7.7% 9.4% 0.82× 12.93
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF under 1.5 in 1st half 86.7% 89.9% 1.11
Degerfors IF over 0.5 in 1st half 46.9% 50.6% 1.98
Degerfors IF under 0.5 in 1st half 53.1% 49.4% 2.03
Degerfors IF over 1.5 in 1st half 13.3% 10.1% 9.87
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 62.4% 60.1% 38.5% 1.56× 1.66
Halmstads BK (home no bet) 37.6% 39.9% 61.5% 0.65× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF even goals 52.6% 50.6% 53.9% 0.94× 1.98
Degerfors IF odd goals 47.4% 49.4% 46.1% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.4% 40.9% 2.45
HT 1-0 25.4% 29.0% 3.45
HT 0-1 11.0% 11.0% 9.12
HT 2-0 8.1% 7.1% 14.16
HT 1-1 7.1% 7.1% 14.18
Any other HT score 2.9% 2.3% 43.85
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.3% 43.90
HT 0-2 1.5% 2.3% 43.96
HT 1-2 1.0% 2.3% 44.00
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.3% 44.05
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF at HT / Degerfors IF at FT 33.2% 32.5% 3.08
Draw at HT / Degerfors IF at FT 20.4% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.8% 16.9% 5.93
Halmstads BK at HT / Halmstads BK at FT 8.1% 6.0% 16.56
Draw at HT / Halmstads BK at FT 7.8% 6.0% 16.57
Degerfors IF at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% 28.82
Halmstads BK at HT / Draw at FT 3.8% 3.5% 28.84
Halmstads BK at HT / Degerfors IF at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.91
Degerfors IF at HT / Halmstads BK at FT 0.9% 3.5% 28.95
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF to score last 60.0% 56.8% 1.76
Halmstads BK to score last 27.8% 27.0% 3.70
No goal scored 12.2% 9.4% 10.60
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 87.8% 90.6% 1.10
Degerfors IF to lead by 1 at any time 65.9% 69.4% 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 40.5% 39.1% 2.56
Degerfors IF to lead by 2 at any time 33.3% 29.3% 3.41
Halmstads BK to lead by 1 at any time 30.6% 29.2% 3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.5% 10.4% 9.57
Degerfors IF to lead by 3 at any time 13.1% 10.4% 9.60
Halmstads BK to lead by 2 at any time 7.3% 6.6% 15.24
Halmstads BK to lead by 3 at any time 1.3% 1.5% 65.28
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF most corners 60.9% 58.7% 1.70
Halmstads BK most corners 29.1% 32.1% 3.12
Corners level 10.0% 10.6% 9.40
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.5% 87.4% 86.8% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.0% 83.5% 78.4% 1.07× 1.20
1-3 goals 70.5% 72.4% 64.1% 1.13× 1.38
2-6 goals 63.6% 63.4% 75.1% 0.84× 1.58
2-5 goals 61.9% 63.4% 71.8% 0.88× 1.58
2-4 goals 57.4% 59.2% 63.4% 0.93× 1.69
1-2 goals 51.1% 53.2% 42.0% 1.27× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.9% 48.7% 49.1% 0.99× 2.06
3-6 goals 36.0% 39.2% 48.3% 0.81× 2.55
3-5 goals 34.4% 35.4% 45.0% 0.79× 2.83
3-4 goals 29.8% 30.2% 36.6% 0.83× 3.31
4-6 goals 16.6% 18.6% 26.2% 0.71× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.0% 14.9% 22.9% 0.65× 6.72
5-6 goals 6.2% 8.7% 12.0% 0.73× 11.44
7+ goals 0.7% 2.5% 4.8% 0.52× 39.49
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Degerfors IF never behind 57.2% 62.5% 1.60
Halmstads BK never behind 22.0% 24.2% 4.13
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.0% 50.8% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.0% 49.2% 50.6% 0.97× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.3% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.7% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.5% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.5% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.7% 95.5% 91.9% 1.04× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.2% 92.3% 83.5% 1.11× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 87.8% 87.6% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 82.7% 82.4% 69.2% 1.19× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 64.2% 61.7% 79.6% 0.78× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 63.3% 61.7% 47.1% 1.31× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 36.7% 38.3% 52.9% 0.72× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 35.8% 38.3% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 17.3% 17.6% 30.8% 0.57× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 12.2% 12.4% 5.3% 2.31× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 6.8% 7.7% 16.5% 0.47× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.3% 4.5% 8.1% 0.55× 22.25
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.3% 95.0% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.6% 97.2% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.4% 92.5% 80.7% 1.15× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 78.5% 75.9% 60.5% 1.26× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 50.6% 51.8% 72.2% 0.72× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 49.4% 48.2% 27.8% 1.74× 2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 21.5% 24.1% 39.5% 0.61× 4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 7.6% 7.5% 19.3% 0.39× 13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.4% 2.8% 8.9% 0.31× 36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.7% 5.0% 0.55× 36.40
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.6% 92.9% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.8% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.6% 63.8% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.4% 36.2% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.2% 21.2% 4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.4% 7.1% 14.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.8% 85.2% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.2% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 64.2% 62.3% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 35.8% 37.7% 2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.8% 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.2% 14.8% 6.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK not to score in both halves 91.9% 90.1% 1.11
Degerfors IF not to score in both halves 73.3% 74.1% 1.35
Degerfors IF to score in both halves 26.7% 25.9% 3.86
Halmstads BK to score in both halves 8.1% 9.9% 10.15
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 39.0% 39.9% 52.7% 0.76× 2.51
Only Degerfors IF scores 38.1% 39.9% 23.7% 1.68× 2.51
Neither team scores 12.2% 10.9% 5.3% 2.05× 9.14
Only Halmstads BK scores 10.8% 10.9% 18.8% 0.58× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.6% 25.0% 27.0% 0.93× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 23.6% 22.6% 15.3% 1.48× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.4% 17.4% 22.4% 0.78× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 12.2% 12.1% 5.3% 2.26× 8.29
Exactly 4 goals 10.5% 12.1% 14.5% 0.83× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 4.5% 4.4% 8.7% 0.51× 22.67
6 or more goals 2.3% 4.4% 8.1% 0.54× 22.70
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 35.8% 39.9% 2.51
1 goal in 2nd half 35.4% 39.8% 2.51
No goals in 2nd half 28.8% 29.9% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK not to win both halves 97.6% 97.2% 1.03
Degerfors IF not to win both halves 83.2% 84.2% 1.19
Degerfors IF to win both halves 16.8% 15.8% 6.32
Halmstads BK to win both halves 2.4% 2.8% 36.06
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK to win neither half 71.7% 73.0% 1.37
Degerfors IF to win either half 64.9% 65.3% 1.53
Degerfors IF to win neither half 35.1% 34.7% 2.88
Halmstads BK to win either half 28.3% 27.0% 3.70
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Halmstads BK not to win to nil 89.2% 88.2% 81.2% 1.09× 1.13
Degerfors IF not to win to nil 61.9% 66.7% 76.3% 0.87× 1.50
Degerfors IF to win to nil 38.1% 33.3% 23.7% 1.41× 3.01
Halmstads BK to win to nil 10.8% 11.8% 18.8% 0.63× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.8% 27.8% 22.9% 1.21× 3.60
Degerfors IF by 1 26.5% 27.8% 17.3% 1.61× 3.60
Degerfors IF by 2 17.3% 17.0% 12.5% 1.36× 5.90
Halmstads BK by 1 12.0% 11.8% 20.4% 0.58× 8.47
Degerfors IF by 3+ 11.6% 11.8% 11.5% 1.03× 8.47
Halmstads BK by 2 3.8% 2.7% 10.4% 0.26× 37.02
Halmstads BK by 3+ 1.0% 2.7% 6.4% 0.42× 37.11
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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