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Deportivo Cali v Águilas Doradas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 28 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Deportivo Cali win
44.6%
model 44.7%
Draw
27.8%
model 29.8%
Águilas Doradas win
27.7%
model 25.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.0%
  2. 1-0 12.1%
  3. 0-0 10.9%
  4. 2-0 9.0%
  5. 2-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.541.2% Under 2.558.8%
BTTS yes47.3% BTTS no52.7%
Deportivo Cali 1+74.4% Deportivo Cali 2+39.5%
Águilas Doradas 1+62.0% Águilas Doradas 2+25.2%

Expected goals 1.36 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Águilas Doradas corners (+3.5)
Corner handicap
70.7% fair odds 1.41
moderate signal · 12872 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Águilas Doradas not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cali.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Cali have an estimated 44.6% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 27.7% for Águilas Doradas. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Deportivo Cali and 0.97 for Águilas Doradas.

Why Deportivo Cali

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cali.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Águilas Doradas can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Águilas Doradas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Cali: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Águilas Doradas: 65% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 44.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.36–0.97 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.40–0.82 1-0 14% 38% 43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win 49.4% 47.5% 45.9% 1.03× 2.11
Draw 29.8% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.59
Águilas Doradas to win 20.8% 24.4% 24.8% 0.99× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & not both score 32.1% 29.7% 27.1% 1.10× 3.37
Draw & both teams score 17.7% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Deportivo Cali & both teams score 17.4% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Águilas Doradas & not both score 12.7% 13.3% 13.5% 0.98× 7.54
Draw & not both score 12.1% 13.3% 10.8% 1.22× 7.54
Águilas Doradas & both teams score 8.2% 8.4% 11.4% 0.74× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & under 3.5 38.4% 34.9% 35.7% 0.98× 2.86
Deportivo Cali & over 1.5 35.3% 34.9% 33.9% 1.03× 2.87
Draw & under 2.5 25.7% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 25.7% 26.0% 23.8% 1.09× 3.84
Deportivo Cali & over 2.5 24.7% 21.6% 25.6% 0.85× 4.62
Deportivo Cali & under 2.5 24.7% 21.6% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 17.7% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
Águilas Doradas & under 3.5 17.5% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Deportivo Cali & under 1.5 14.1% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Águilas Doradas & over 1.5 13.1% 12.9% 16.4% 0.78× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 12.1% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Águilas Doradas & under 2.5 11.4% 12.9% 12.1% 1.06× 7.77
Deportivo Cali & over 3.5 11.0% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
Águilas Doradas & over 2.5 9.4% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.70
Águilas Doradas & under 1.5 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 0.93× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Águilas Doradas & over 3.5 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 0.95× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1UP) 61.7% 63.0% 1.59
Águilas Doradas (1UP) 35.9% 33.9% 2.95
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2UP) 49.4% 49.9% 2.01
Águilas Doradas (2UP) 20.8% 23.3% 4.29
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.3% 41.1% 2.43
Deportivo Cali to win 2nd half 39.2% 36.3% 2.75
Águilas Doradas to win 2nd half 20.4% 22.9% 4.37
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (+2.5) 90.6% 92.1% 91.8% 1.00× 1.09
Deportivo Cali (+0.5) 79.2% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Águilas Doradas (+1.5) 75.2% 78.4% 79.6% 0.99× 1.28
Águilas Doradas (+0.5) 50.6% 52.4% 54.1% 0.97× 1.91
Deportivo Cali (-0.5) 49.4% 47.6% 45.9% 1.04× 2.10
Deportivo Cali (-1.5) 24.8% 21.6% 20.4% 1.05× 4.64
Águilas Doradas (-0.5) 20.8% 21.5% 24.8% 0.87× 4.64
Deportivo Cali (-2.5) 9.4% 7.9% 8.2% 0.97× 12.62
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede 75.2% 79.0% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
Águilas Doradas clean sheet 24.8% 21.0% 24.2% 0.87× 4.75
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede in 1st half 45.1% 50.4% 1.98
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 1st half 54.9% 49.6% 2.02
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 6.5 corners 87.7% 85.2% 1.17
Águilas Doradas under 5.5 corners 79.5% 75.9% 1.32
Águilas Doradas under 4.5 corners 67.5% 67.5% 1.48
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 corners 66.0% 67.5% 1.48
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 corners 51.9% 53.1% 1.88
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 corners 48.1% 46.9% 2.13
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 corners 34.0% 32.5% 3.08
Águilas Doradas over 4.5 corners 32.5% 32.5% 3.08
Águilas Doradas over 5.5 corners 20.5% 24.1% 4.16
Águilas Doradas over 6.5 corners 12.3% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 goals 99.0% 97.6% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 goals 95.0% 92.4% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 goals 80.2% 81.4% 74.4% 1.09× 1.23
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 goals 55.9% 59.5% 62.2% 0.96× 1.68
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 goals 44.1% 40.5% 37.8% 1.07× 2.47
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 goals 19.8% 18.6% 25.6% 0.73× 5.38
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 goals 5.0% 7.6% 7.1% 1.08× 13.09
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 goals 1.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.25× 40.93
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 1st half 95.7% 95.6% 1.05
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 1st half 72.1% 68.5% 1.46
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 1st half 27.9% 31.5% 3.17
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 1st half 4.3% 4.4% 22.85
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (away no bet) 62.4% 62.1% 60.9% 1.02× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 37.6% 37.9% 39.1% 0.97× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas even goals 59.7% 56.9% 57.4% 0.99× 1.76
Águilas Doradas odd goals 40.3% 43.1% 42.6% 1.01× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.2% 92.2% 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.8% 7.8% 12.81
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 52.4% 50.3% 1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals 47.6% 49.7% 2.01
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 46.3% 45.8% 2.18
Deportivo Cali to score 2+ in a row 35.0% 28.9% 3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.0% 16.4% 6.11
Águilas Doradas to score 2+ in a row 14.5% 12.2% 8.22
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ in a row 12.2% 12.1% 8.27
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ in a row 2.9% 2.6% 38.66
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali corners (+3.5) 92.0% 89.6% 1.12
Deportivo Cali corners (+2.5) 87.1% 84.5% 1.18
Deportivo Cali corners (+1.5) 80.4% 79.7% 1.25
Águilas Doradas corners (+3.5) 70.1% 70.7% 1.41
Águilas Doradas corners (+2.5) 60.4% 61.9% 1.62
Deportivo Cali corners (-1.5) 50.4% 52.5% 1.91
Águilas Doradas corners (+1.5) 49.6% 47.5% 2.10
Deportivo Cali corners (-2.5) 39.6% 38.1% 2.63
Deportivo Cali corners (-3.5) 29.9% 29.3% 3.41
Águilas Doradas corners (-1.5) 19.7% 20.3% 4.93
Águilas Doradas corners (-2.5) 12.9% 15.5% 6.45
Águilas Doradas corners (-3.5) 8.0% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.5% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 27.7% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 24.8% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 81.8% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 75.2% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.1% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 63.2% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 57.8% 57.7% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.5% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.5% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 42.2% 42.3% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.8% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 32.9% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 24.8% 23.5% 4.25
Over 12.5 corners 18.2% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 14.1% 11.5% 12.1% 0.95× 8.73
1-1 13.6% 11.5% 13.1% 0.88× 8.73
0-0 12.1% 11.4% 10.8% 1.06× 8.74
2-0 10.6% 11.4% 8.5% 1.35× 8.74
2-1 8.7% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.47
0-1 7.8% 7.4% 8.5% 0.88× 13.47
1-2 5.1% 7.4% 7.0% 1.07× 13.47
3-0 5.0% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.50
0-2 3.7% 1.7% 3.8% 0.46× 58.50
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.52
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
1-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.52
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
2-2 3.6% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.50
2-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.52
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
3-1 4.1% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.50
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.51
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.52
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.14× 58.52
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.51
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
Any other score 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali leading at HT (DNB) 68.0% 74.3% 1.35
Águilas Doradas leading at HT (DNB) 32.0% 25.7% 3.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1X) 79.2% 75.6% 75.2% 1.00× 1.32
Deportivo Cali or Águilas Doradas (12) 70.2% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Águilas Doradas or draw (X2) 50.6% 52.5% 54.1% 0.97× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw at HT 83.4% 84.4% 1.19
Águilas Doradas or draw at HT 64.7% 62.3% 1.61
Deportivo Cali or Águilas Doradas at HT 51.9% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1UP) 79.2% 84.2% 1.19
Águilas Doradas or draw (1UP) 50.6% 59.1% 1.69
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw in 2nd half 79.6% 77.1% 1.30
Águilas Doradas or draw in 2nd half 60.8% 63.7% 1.57
Deportivo Cali or Águilas Doradas in 2nd half 59.7% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.8% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 32.2% 30.4% 3.29
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (DNB) 70.3% 71.4% 65.0% 1.10× 1.40
Águilas Doradas (DNB) 29.7% 28.6% 35.0% 0.82× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score first 55.4% 61.8% 1.62
Águilas Doradas to score first 32.5% 26.9% 3.72
No goal scored 12.1% 10.0% 9.98
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 56.8% 54.8% 51.2% 1.07× 1.82
Both teams to score 43.2% 45.2% 48.8% 0.93× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 48.3% 44.3% 43.1% 1.03× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 29.6% 33.6% 35.9% 0.94× 2.97
Both score & under 2.5 13.6% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 1.02× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 92.0% 89.1% 88.7% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.0% 10.9% 11.3% 0.97× 9.18
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 78.3% 75.7% 1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half 21.7% 24.3% 4.12
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 68.2% 62.7% 1.60
Both score 2nd half only 19.0% 15.9% 6.31
Both score 1st half only 10.1% 10.5% 9.52
Both score in both halves 2.7% 4.9% 20.57
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 87.2% 85.8% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 12.8% 14.2% 7.06
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 55.7% 57.3% 1.74
A goal in each half 44.3% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.7% 47.4% 48.1% 0.99× 2.11
0-1 goals 34.0% 30.8% 31.2% 0.99× 3.25
4-6 goals 17.6% 20.2% 19.5% 1.04× 4.95
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.18× 55.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 0 44.1% 37.1% 37.8% 0.98× 2.70
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 1 36.1% 36.0% 36.7% 0.98× 2.78
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 2 14.8% 12.8% 18.6% 0.69× 7.80
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 1.19× 11.84
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 1 34.6% 32.7% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 0 24.8% 23.3% 24.2% 0.96× 4.30
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 2 24.1% 23.3% 26.1% 0.89× 4.30
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ 16.6% 18.9% 15.6% 1.21× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 48.1% 52.4% 1.91
Deportivo Cali leading at HT 35.3% 37.7% 2.65
Águilas Doradas leading at HT 16.6% 15.6% 6.42
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali -1: 2 50.6% 52.0% 1.92
Deportivo Cali -1: 1 24.8% 23.6% 4.24
Deportivo Cali -1: X 24.6% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:1) 50.6% 51.1% 54.1% 0.95× 1.96
Deportivo Cali (0:1) 24.8% 24.3% 20.4% 1.19× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 24.6% 24.3% 25.6% 0.95× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:2) 75.2% 79.4% 79.6% 1.00× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 15.3% 15.3% 12.4% 1.23× 6.54
Deportivo Cali (0:2) 9.4% 7.7% 8.2% 0.94× 12.94
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:3) 90.6% 92.6% 91.8% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.5% 5.8% 5.4% 1.07× 17.19
Deportivo Cali (0:3) 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 0.81× 42.08
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas (0:4) 97.1% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.2% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.36
Deportivo Cali (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.08× 83.53
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1:0) 79.2% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 14.0% 12.8% 17.2% 0.74× 7.80
Águilas Doradas (1:0) 6.9% 6.9% 7.7% 0.90× 14.48
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2:0) 93.1% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.3% 6.4% 5.0% 1.28× 15.55
Águilas Doradas (2:0) 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 0.81× 44.41
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.8% 47.7% 2.10
Halves equal 30.1% 28.9% 3.46
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to concede 55.9% 60.9% 62.2% 0.98× 1.64
Deportivo Cali clean sheet 44.1% 39.1% 37.8% 1.03× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 1st half 72.1% 68.1% 1.47
Deportivo Cali to concede in 1st half 27.9% 31.9% 3.14
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 corners 83.3% 80.9% 1.24
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 corners 70.6% 71.9% 1.39
Deportivo Cali under 6.5 corners 68.4% 66.7% 1.50
Deportivo Cali under 5.5 corners 56.7% 57.5% 1.74
Deportivo Cali over 4.5 corners 56.7% 57.5% 1.74
Deportivo Cali under 4.5 corners 43.3% 42.5% 2.35
Deportivo Cali over 5.5 corners 43.3% 42.5% 2.35
Deportivo Cali over 6.5 corners 31.6% 33.3% 3.00
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 corners 29.4% 28.1% 3.56
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 corners 16.7% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 goals 94.7% 92.3% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 goals 83.4% 82.1% 84.4% 0.97× 1.22
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 goals 75.2% 77.7% 75.8% 1.03× 1.29
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 goals 59.3% 58.8% 58.4% 1.01× 1.70
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 goals 40.7% 41.2% 41.6% 0.99× 2.43
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 goals 24.8% 22.3% 24.2% 0.92× 4.49
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 goals 16.6% 17.9% 15.6% 1.15× 5.60
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 goals 5.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.63× 12.94
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 1st half 87.8% 89.9% 1.11
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 1st half 45.1% 50.5% 1.98
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 1st half 54.9% 49.5% 2.02
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 1st half 12.2% 10.1% 9.93
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 58.8% 56.7% 54.4% 1.04× 1.76
Águilas Doradas (home no bet) 41.2% 43.3% 45.6% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali even goals 53.1% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.98
Deportivo Cali odd goals 46.9% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 39.8% 38.7% 2.58
HT 1-0 23.5% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-1 12.7% 11.0% 9.11
HT 1-1 8.0% 7.1% 14.16
HT 2-0 7.1% 7.1% 14.18
Any other HT score 2.8% 2.3% 43.86
HT 2-1 2.3% 2.3% 43.89
HT 0-2 2.1% 2.3% 43.91
HT 1-2 1.3% 2.3% 43.98
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 44.04
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 29.2% 26.8% 3.74
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.6% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 18.3% 16.8% 5.94
Águilas Doradas at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 10.4% 12.6% 7.91
Draw at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 9.3% 6.1% 16.53
Deportivo Cali at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% 28.80
Águilas Doradas at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% 28.82
Águilas Doradas at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.91
Deportivo Cali at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT 1.2% 3.5% 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score last 55.6% 56.5% 1.77
Águilas Doradas to score last 32.3% 33.1% 3.02
No goal scored 12.1% 9.4% 10.63
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 87.9% 90.6% 1.10
Deportivo Cali to lead by 1 at any time 61.7% 61.3% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.5% 34.9% 2.87
Águilas Doradas to lead by 1 at any time 35.9% 34.7% 2.88
Deportivo Cali to lead by 2 at any time 29.5% 25.4% 3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.1% 10.4% 9.60
Deportivo Cali to lead by 3 at any time 10.9% 10.4% 9.64
Águilas Doradas to lead by 2 at any time 10.1% 10.4% 9.66
Águilas Doradas to lead by 3 at any time 2.2% 1.6% 64.34
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali most corners 61.4% 60.4% 1.66
Águilas Doradas most corners 28.4% 31.0% 3.22
Corners level 10.2% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.4% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.5% 83.5% 80.0% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.6% 69.0% 68.4% 1.01× 1.45
2-6 goals 65.3% 69.0% 67.5% 1.02× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.5% 63.4% 65.4% 0.97× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.6% 59.2% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.8% 48.7% 45.3% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.7% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 37.3% 39.2% 42.6% 0.92× 2.55
3-5 goals 35.5% 39.2% 40.5% 0.97× 2.55
3-4 goals 30.7% 35.4% 34.8% 1.02× 2.83
4-6 goals 17.6% 18.6% 19.5% 0.96× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.8% 18.6% 17.4% 1.07× 5.37
5-6 goals 6.6% 8.7% 7.9% 1.10× 11.44
7+ goals 0.8% 2.5% 1.5% 1.66× 39.49
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali never behind 52.0% 62.3% 1.61
Águilas Doradas never behind 26.2% 29.8% 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.1% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.9% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.2% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.8% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.6% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.4% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.4% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.6% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 87.9% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 81.7% 82.4% 79.1% 1.04× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 66.0% 66.2% 68.8% 0.96× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 61.9% 61.7% 56.1% 1.10× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 38.1% 38.3% 44.0% 0.87× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 34.0% 33.8% 31.2% 1.08× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 18.3% 17.6% 20.9% 0.85× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 12.1% 12.4% 10.8% 1.14× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 7.4% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.6% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.25
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.2% 97.3% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.3% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.7% 92.5% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 77.1% 75.9% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 52.9% 51.8% 58.5% 0.89× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 47.1% 48.2% 41.5% 1.16× 2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 22.9% 24.1% 27.1% 0.89× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.3% 7.5% 10.5% 0.72× 13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 0.72× 36.34
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.8% 2.7% 1.6% 1.76× 36.40
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.3% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.0% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 60.2% 63.5% 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 39.8% 36.5% 2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half 24.0% 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.7% 7.2% 13.98
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.0% 85.2% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.0% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.8% 62.2% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.2% 37.8% 2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.0% 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.0% 14.8% 6.76
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to score in both halves 89.2% 86.2% 1.16
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves 75.2% 78.2% 1.28
Deportivo Cali to score in both halves 24.8% 21.8% 4.58
Águilas Doradas to score in both halves 10.8% 13.8% 7.22
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 43.2% 46.6% 48.8% 0.95× 2.15
Only Deportivo Cali scores 32.1% 33.4% 27.1% 1.23× 3.00
Only Águilas Doradas scores 12.7% 10.9% 13.5% 0.81× 9.14
Neither team scores 12.1% 10.9% 10.8% 1.01× 9.14
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.9% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 21.9% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.8% 17.4% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 12.1% 12.1% 10.8% 1.11× 8.29
Exactly 4 goals 10.9% 12.1% 11.7% 1.03× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 4.8% 4.4% 5.8% 0.76× 22.66
6 or more goals 2.6% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.70
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 37.2% 40.1% 2.49
1 goal in 2nd half 34.7% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 28.0% 29.9% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win both halves 96.5% 97.2% 1.03
Deportivo Cali not to win both halves 85.9% 87.9% 1.14
Deportivo Cali to win both halves 14.1% 12.1% 8.30
Águilas Doradas to win both halves 3.5% 2.8% 35.58
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas to win neither half 66.5% 67.8% 1.47
Deportivo Cali to win either half 60.5% 65.1% 1.54
Deportivo Cali to win neither half 39.5% 34.9% 2.87
Águilas Doradas to win either half 33.5% 32.2% 3.11
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Águilas Doradas not to win to nil 87.3% 88.2% 86.5% 1.02× 1.13
Deportivo Cali not to win to nil 68.0% 69.6% 72.9% 0.96× 1.44
Deportivo Cali to win to nil 32.1% 30.4% 27.1% 1.12× 3.29
Águilas Doradas to win to nil 12.7% 11.8% 13.5% 0.87× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 29.8% 27.8% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Deportivo Cali by 1 24.6% 24.2% 25.6% 0.94× 4.14
Deportivo Cali by 2 15.3% 16.9% 12.4% 1.37× 5.90
Águilas Doradas by 1 14.0% 11.8% 17.2% 0.68× 8.47
Deportivo Cali by 3+ 9.4% 7.3% 8.2% 0.88× 13.79
Águilas Doradas by 2 5.3% 7.2% 5.0% 1.45× 13.81
Águilas Doradas by 3+ 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 0.97× 37.09
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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