betaider.com

Deportivo Cali v Alianza FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 3 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Deportivo Cali win
62.7%
model 60.5%
Draw
27.2%
model 26.0%
Alianza FC win
10.2%
model 13.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 15.3%
  2. 2-0 13.5%
  3. 1-1 11.8%
  4. 0-0 10.8%
  5. 2-1 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.540.9% Under 2.559.1%
BTTS yes40.1% BTTS no59.9%
Deportivo Cali 1+80.9% Deportivo Cali 2+49.4%
Alianza FC 1+48.3% Alianza FC 2+14.2%

Expected goals 1.66 – 0.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Deportivo Cali (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 46%
63.4% fair odds 1.58
strong signal · 877 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Alianza FC (0:3)
Handicap 0:3 · usually 92%
83.6% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 235 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Deportivo Cali carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1384.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Cali have an estimated 62.7% win probability, against 27.2% for the draw and 10.2% for Alianza FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for Deportivo Cali and 0.66 for Alianza FC.

Why Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1384.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.2%. A combined 2.32 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Alianza FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Alianza FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Cali: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza FC: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 62.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.66–0.66 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.58–0.59 1-0 17% 37% 36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win 60.7% 58.1% 45.9% 1.27× 1.72
Draw 26.7% 27.9% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Alianza FC to win 12.5% 13.3% 24.8% 0.54× 7.51
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & not both score 43.3% 40.1% 27.1% 1.48× 2.49
Deportivo Cali & both teams score 17.4% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 14.3% 13.3% 18.8% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 12.4% 13.3% 10.8% 1.22× 7.54
Alianza FC & not both score 8.1% 8.4% 13.5% 0.62× 11.92
Alianza FC & both teams score 4.4% 4.9% 11.4% 0.43× 20.53
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali & under 3.5 47.4% 45.2% 35.7% 1.26× 2.21
Deportivo Cali & over 1.5 43.6% 40.3% 33.9% 1.19× 2.48
Deportivo Cali & under 2.5 31.5% 30.8% 20.4% 1.51× 3.24
Deportivo Cali & over 2.5 29.2% 26.0% 25.6% 1.02× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 24.0% 21.6% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 24.0% 21.6% 23.8% 0.91× 4.62
Deportivo Cali & under 1.5 17.1% 18.0% 12.1% 1.49× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 14.3% 12.9% 18.8% 0.69× 7.77
Deportivo Cali & over 3.5 13.3% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 12.4% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Alianza FC & under 3.5 11.2% 12.9% 19.9% 0.65× 7.77
Alianza FC & under 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 12.1% 0.65× 12.70
Alianza FC & over 1.5 6.8% 7.9% 16.4% 0.48× 12.70
Alianza FC & under 1.5 5.7% 7.9% 8.5% 0.93× 12.70
Alianza FC & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 12.8% 0.37× 20.92
Draw & over 2.5 2.7% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 2.7% 4.8% 5.8% 0.82× 20.93
Alianza FC & over 3.5 1.4% 4.8% 5.0% 0.95× 20.94
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1UP) 69.8% 70.1% 1.43
Alianza FC (1UP) 25.5% 26.4% 3.79
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2UP) 60.7% 67.5% 1.48
Alianza FC (2UP) 12.5% 13.4% 7.46
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to win 2nd half 47.4% 45.7% 2.19
2nd half drawn 39.0% 36.3% 2.75
Alianza FC to win 2nd half 13.6% 12.4% 8.05
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (+0.5) 87.5% 88.5% 75.2% 1.18× 1.13
Alianza FC (+2.5) 85.5% 88.5% 91.8% 0.96× 1.13
Alianza FC (+1.5) 66.2% 68.7% 79.6% 0.86× 1.46
Deportivo Cali (-0.5) 60.7% 62.9% 45.9% 1.37× 1.59
Alianza FC (+0.5) 39.3% 37.1% 54.1% 0.69× 2.69
Deportivo Cali (-1.5) 33.8% 31.3% 20.4% 1.53× 3.19
Deportivo Cali (-2.5) 14.5% 11.5% 8.2% 1.40× 8.68
Alianza FC (-0.5) 12.5% 11.5% 24.8% 0.46× 8.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC to concede 79.4% 79.0% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
Alianza FC clean sheet 20.6% 21.0% 24.2% 0.87× 4.77
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC to concede in 1st half 49.3% 50.6% 1.98
Alianza FC clean sheet in 1st half 50.7% 49.4% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC under 6.5 corners 89.7% 85.2% 1.17
Alianza FC under 5.5 corners 82.2% 81.5% 1.23
Alianza FC under 4.5 corners 70.9% 71.5% 1.40
Alianza FC over 2.5 corners 62.8% 61.8% 1.62
Alianza FC under 3.5 corners 55.5% 57.1% 1.75
Alianza FC over 3.5 corners 44.5% 42.9% 2.33
Alianza FC under 2.5 corners 37.2% 38.2% 2.62
Alianza FC over 4.5 corners 29.1% 28.5% 3.51
Alianza FC over 5.5 corners 17.8% 18.5% 5.39
Alianza FC over 6.5 corners 10.3% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC under 3.5 goals 99.7% 97.6% 98.1% 1.00× 1.03
Alianza FC under 2.5 goals 97.8% 97.6% 92.9% 1.05× 1.03
Alianza FC under 1.5 goals 88.3% 87.9% 74.4% 1.18× 1.14
Alianza FC under 0.5 goals 55.7% 59.5% 37.8% 1.57× 1.68
Alianza FC over 0.5 goals 44.3% 40.5% 62.2% 0.65× 2.47
Alianza FC over 1.5 goals 11.7% 12.1% 25.6% 0.47× 8.27
Alianza FC over 2.5 goals 2.2% 2.4% 7.1% 0.35× 40.87
Alianza FC over 3.5 goals 0.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.25× 40.97
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC under 1.5 in 1st half 97.7% 95.9% 1.04
Alianza FC under 0.5 in 1st half 79.1% 76.4% 1.31
Alianza FC over 0.5 in 1st half 20.9% 23.6% 4.25
Alianza FC over 1.5 in 1st half 2.3% 4.1% 24.50
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (away no bet) 69.4% 66.5% 60.9% 1.09× 1.50
Draw (away no bet) 30.6% 33.5% 39.1% 0.86× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC even goals 65.5% 64.7% 57.4% 1.13× 1.55
Alianza FC odd goals 34.5% 35.3% 42.6% 0.83× 2.83
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.7% 92.3% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.3% 7.7% 13.00
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 48.9% 50.0% 2.00
Not both halves under 1.5 51.1% 50.0% 2.00
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 48.3% 46.0% 2.18
Deportivo Cali to score 2+ in a row 42.3% 38.3% 2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row 18.2% 16.4% 6.09
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ in a row 17.2% 16.4% 6.10
Alianza FC to score 2+ in a row 8.0% 5.6% 17.71
Alianza FC to score 3+ in a row 1.1% 2.5% 39.76
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali corners (+3.5) 93.3% 89.6% 1.12
Deportivo Cali corners (+2.5) 88.9% 84.5% 1.18
Deportivo Cali corners (+1.5) 82.6% 79.7% 1.25
Alianza FC corners (+3.5) 67.8% 65.8% 1.52
Alianza FC corners (+2.5) 57.7% 57.1% 1.75
Deportivo Cali corners (-1.5) 53.3% 52.5% 1.91
Alianza FC corners (+1.5) 46.7% 47.5% 2.11
Deportivo Cali corners (-2.5) 42.3% 42.9% 2.33
Deportivo Cali corners (-3.5) 32.2% 34.2% 2.92
Alianza FC corners (-1.5) 17.4% 20.3% 4.93
Alianza FC corners (-2.5) 11.1% 15.5% 6.46
Alianza FC corners (-3.5) 6.7% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 48.9% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 27.4% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 23.7% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 82.8% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.3% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.5% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 61.9% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 59.2% 57.7% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 51.1% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 48.9% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 40.8% 42.3% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 38.1% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 31.5% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 23.7% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 17.2% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 17.1% 13.8% 12.1% 1.14× 7.27
2-0 14.3% 11.5% 8.5% 1.35× 8.73
0-0 12.4% 11.4% 10.8% 1.06× 8.74
1-1 11.6% 11.4% 13.1% 0.88× 8.74
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 11.0% 0.68× 13.47
3-0 7.6% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
0-1 5.7% 7.4% 8.5% 0.88× 13.47
0-2 2.0% 1.7% 3.8% 0.46× 58.51
0-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.52
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
1-2 3.1% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 58.51
1-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 1.23× 58.52
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
2-2 2.5% 1.7% 5.1% 0.33× 58.51
2-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.52
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
3-1 4.4% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.50
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.52
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.52
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 6.14× 58.52
4-0 3.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.51
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.51
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.46× 58.52
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 58.52
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 12.29× 58.52
Any other score 2.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali leading at HT (DNB) 78.8% 78.3% 1.28
Alianza FC leading at HT (DNB) 21.2% 21.7% 4.61
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1X) 87.5% 86.7% 75.2% 1.15× 1.15
Deportivo Cali or Alianza FC (12) 73.3% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Alianza FC or draw (X2) 39.3% 41.9% 54.1% 0.78× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw at HT 88.8% 88.4% 1.13
Alianza FC or draw at HT 58.3% 56.6% 1.77
Deportivo Cali or Alianza FC at HT 52.9% 47.7% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw (1UP) 87.5% 91.7% 1.09
Alianza FC or draw (1UP) 39.3% 42.4% 2.36
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali or draw in 2nd half 86.4% 87.6% 1.14
Deportivo Cali or Alianza FC in 2nd half 61.0% 63.7% 1.57
Alianza FC or draw in 2nd half 52.6% 54.3% 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.7% 69.5% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.3% 30.5% 3.28
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (DNB) 82.9% 80.5% 65.0% 1.24× 1.24
Alianza FC (DNB) 17.1% 19.5% 35.0% 0.56× 5.14
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score first 63.9% 64.7% 1.55
Alianza FC to score first 23.6% 23.1% 4.33
No goal scored 12.4% 10.1% 9.88
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 63.8% 56.5% 51.2% 1.10× 1.77
Both teams to score 36.2% 43.5% 48.8% 0.89× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 51.6% 47.0% 43.1% 1.09× 2.13
Both score & over 2.5 24.6% 27.8% 35.9% 0.77× 3.60
Not both score & over 2.5 12.2% 12.3% 8.2% 1.50× 8.12
Both score & under 2.5 11.6% 12.3% 13.1% 0.94× 8.12
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 94.5% 89.1% 88.7% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 5.5% 10.9% 11.3% 0.96× 9.20
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 82.1% 73.2% 1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half 17.9% 26.8% 3.73
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 73.4% 68.6% 1.46
Both score 2nd half only 16.1% 15.7% 6.37
Both score 1st half only 8.7% 6.8% 14.72
Both score in both halves 1.8% 4.8% 20.77
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 89.5% 86.2% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 10.5% 13.8% 7.24
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 56.7% 57.4% 1.74
A goal in each half 43.3% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.3% 47.4% 48.1% 0.99× 2.11
0-1 goals 35.3% 35.0% 31.2% 1.12× 2.86
4-6 goals 16.7% 20.2% 19.5% 1.04× 4.95
7+ goals 0.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.18× 55.19
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC to score exactly 0 55.7% 51.8% 37.8% 1.37× 1.93
Alianza FC to score exactly 1 32.6% 33.8% 36.7% 0.92× 2.96
Alianza FC to score exactly 2 9.5% 8.5% 18.6% 0.46× 11.79
Alianza FC to score 3+ 2.2% 4.5% 7.1% 0.64× 22.16
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 1 32.5% 32.7% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 2 25.7% 26.5% 26.1% 1.01× 3.77
Deportivo Cali to score 3+ 21.2% 23.3% 15.6% 1.49× 4.30
Deportivo Cali to score exactly 0 20.6% 23.3% 24.2% 0.96× 4.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.1% 52.3% 1.91
Deportivo Cali leading at HT 41.7% 43.4% 2.31
Alianza FC leading at HT 11.2% 11.6% 8.60
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali -1: 2 39.3% 37.4% 2.68
Deportivo Cali -1: 1 33.8% 30.1% 3.32
Deportivo Cali -1: X 26.9% 26.6% 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC (0:1) 39.3% 37.3% 54.1% 0.69× 2.68
Deportivo Cali (0:1) 33.8% 30.1% 20.4% 1.47× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 26.9% 27.0% 25.6% 1.06× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC (0:2) 66.2% 72.1% 79.6% 0.91× 1.39
Draw (0:2) 19.3% 15.3% 12.4% 1.24× 6.53
Deportivo Cali (0:2) 14.5% 11.0% 8.2% 1.34× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC (0:3) 85.5% 90.7% 91.8% 0.99× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 9.5% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.14
Deportivo Cali (0:3) 5.0% 5.8% 2.9% 1.99× 17.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC (0:4) 95.0% 94.7% 97.1% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.6% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.19
Deportivo Cali (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.08× 83.44
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (1:0) 87.5% 86.4% 75.2% 1.15× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 9.3% 6.9% 17.2% 0.40× 14.44
Alianza FC (1:0) 3.2% 3.2% 7.7% 0.41× 31.59
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali (2:0) 96.8% 96.9% 92.4% 1.05× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 2.6% 2.3% 5.0% 0.45× 44.34
Alianza FC (2:0) 0.6% 2.2% 2.8% 0.81× 44.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.3% 47.6% 2.10
Halves equal 30.3% 29.0% 3.45
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet 55.7% 60.9% 37.8% 1.61× 1.64
Deportivo Cali to concede 44.3% 39.1% 62.2% 0.63× 2.56
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali clean sheet in 1st half 79.1% 78.6% 1.27
Deportivo Cali to concede in 1st half 20.9% 21.4% 4.67
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 corners 83.8% 81.0% 1.24
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 corners 71.3% 71.9% 1.39
Deportivo Cali under 6.5 corners 67.5% 66.7% 1.50
Deportivo Cali over 4.5 corners 57.5% 57.5% 1.74
Deportivo Cali under 5.5 corners 55.8% 57.5% 1.74
Deportivo Cali over 5.5 corners 44.2% 42.5% 2.35
Deportivo Cali under 4.5 corners 42.5% 42.5% 2.35
Deportivo Cali over 6.5 corners 32.5% 33.3% 3.00
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 corners 28.7% 28.1% 3.56
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 corners 16.2% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 3.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 goals 79.4% 77.7% 75.8% 1.03× 1.29
Deportivo Cali under 2.5 goals 78.8% 77.7% 84.4% 0.92× 1.29
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 goals 53.1% 53.3% 58.4% 0.91× 1.88
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 goals 46.9% 46.7% 41.6% 1.12× 2.14
Deportivo Cali over 2.5 goals 21.2% 22.3% 15.6% 1.43× 4.49
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 goals 20.6% 22.3% 24.2% 0.92× 4.49
Deportivo Cali over 3.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 4.7% 1.64× 12.92
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali under 1.5 in 1st half 85.1% 89.8% 1.11
Deportivo Cali over 0.5 in 1st half 49.3% 50.7% 1.97
Deportivo Cali under 0.5 in 1st half 50.7% 49.3% 2.03
Deportivo Cali over 1.5 in 1st half 14.9% 10.2% 9.79
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 68.1% 64.0% 54.4% 1.18× 1.56
Alianza FC (home no bet) 31.9% 36.0% 45.6% 0.79× 2.78
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali even goals 52.1% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.98
Deportivo Cali odd goals 47.9% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.3% 40.8% 2.45
HT 1-0 27.1% 29.1% 3.44
HT 0-1 9.2% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-0 9.3% 7.1% 14.14
HT 1-1 6.5% 7.1% 14.18
Any other HT score 3.3% 2.3% 43.82
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.3% 43.91
HT 0-2 1.1% 2.3% 43.99
HT 1-2 0.7% 2.3% 44.01
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.3% 44.05
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 37.1% 40.9% 2.45
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 21.7% 21.7% 4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.4% 16.9% 5.94
Draw at HT / Alianza FC at FT 5.9% 6.0% 16.63
Alianza FC at HT / Alianza FC at FT 6.0% 6.0% 16.62
Deportivo Cali at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.5% 28.84
Alianza FC at HT / Draw at FT 3.4% 3.5% 28.85
Alianza FC at HT / Deportivo Cali at FT 1.8% 3.5% 28.92
Deportivo Cali at HT / Alianza FC at FT 0.7% 3.5% 28.96
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali to score last 64.1% 62.3% 1.61
Alianza FC to score last 23.4% 26.5% 3.77
No goal scored 12.4% 9.5% 10.52
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 87.6% 90.6% 1.10
Deportivo Cali to lead by 1 at any time 69.8% 69.6% 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 43.0% 39.2% 2.55
Deportivo Cali to lead by 2 at any time 37.8% 34.8% 2.87
Alianza FC to lead by 1 at any time 25.5% 25.2% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.8% 15.0% 6.69
Deportivo Cali to lead by 3 at any time 16.0% 14.9% 6.69
Alianza FC to lead by 2 at any time 5.2% 6.5% 15.34
Alianza FC to lead by 3 at any time 0.8% 1.5% 65.87
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali most corners 64.3% 60.5% 1.65
Alianza FC most corners 25.7% 31.0% 3.23
Corners level 10.0% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.2% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.7% 83.5% 80.0% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 70.2% 72.4% 68.4% 1.06× 1.38
2-6 goals 64.0% 63.4% 67.5% 0.94× 1.58
2-5 goals 62.4% 63.4% 65.4% 0.97× 1.58
2-4 goals 57.8% 59.2% 59.7% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 50.7% 53.2% 45.3% 1.17× 1.88
2-3 goals 47.3% 48.7% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-6 goals 36.1% 39.2% 42.6% 0.92× 2.55
3-5 goals 34.5% 35.4% 40.5% 0.87× 2.83
3-4 goals 29.9% 30.2% 34.8% 0.87× 3.31
4-6 goals 16.7% 18.6% 19.5% 0.96× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.1% 18.6% 17.4% 1.07× 5.37
5-6 goals 6.2% 8.7% 7.9% 1.10× 11.44
7+ goals 0.7% 2.5% 1.5% 1.66× 39.49
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali never behind 62.0% 67.7% 1.48
Alianza FC never behind 17.7% 18.7% 5.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.4% 50.8% 50.3% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.6% 49.2% 49.7% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.4% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.6% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.8% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.2% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.7% 95.5% 96.4% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.1% 92.3% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 87.6% 87.6% 89.2% 0.98× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 82.6% 82.4% 79.1% 1.04× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 64.7% 61.7% 68.8% 0.90× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 63.2% 61.7% 56.1% 1.10× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 36.8% 38.3% 44.0% 0.87× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 35.3% 38.3% 31.2% 1.23× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 17.4% 17.6% 20.9% 0.84× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 12.4% 12.4% 10.8% 1.14× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 6.9% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.3% 4.5% 3.6% 1.24× 22.25
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.3% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.6% 97.2% 96.2% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.3% 92.5% 89.5% 1.03× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 78.4% 75.9% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 51.0% 51.8% 58.5% 0.88× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 49.0% 48.2% 41.5% 1.16× 2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 21.6% 24.1% 27.1% 0.89× 4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 7.7% 7.5% 10.5% 0.72× 13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 0.72× 36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.76× 36.40
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.5% 92.9% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.6% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.7% 63.8% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.3% 36.2% 2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.4% 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.5% 7.1% 14.01
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.8% 85.2% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.1% 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 64.1% 62.3% 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 35.9% 37.7% 2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.9% 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.2% 14.8% 6.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC not to score in both halves 93.8% 90.6% 1.10
Deportivo Cali not to score in both halves 70.7% 74.0% 1.35
Deportivo Cali to score in both halves 29.3% 26.1% 3.84
Alianza FC to score in both halves 6.2% 9.4% 10.67
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Deportivo Cali scores 43.3% 46.6% 27.1% 1.72× 2.15
Both teams score 36.2% 39.8% 48.8% 0.82× 2.51
Neither team scores 12.4% 10.9% 10.8% 1.01× 9.14
Only Alianza FC scores 8.1% 7.2% 13.5% 0.53× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.9% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 22.9% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.4% 17.4% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 12.4% 12.1% 10.8% 1.11× 8.29
Exactly 4 goals 10.5% 12.1% 11.7% 1.03× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 4.6% 4.4% 5.8% 0.76× 22.67
6 or more goals 2.3% 4.4% 3.6% 1.22× 22.70
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 35.9% 39.9% 2.51
1 goal in 2nd half 35.1% 39.8% 2.51
No goals in 2nd half 28.9% 29.9% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC not to win both halves 98.4% 97.3% 1.03
Deportivo Cali not to win both halves 80.0% 84.0% 1.19
Deportivo Cali to win both halves 20.0% 16.0% 6.24
Alianza FC to win both halves 1.6% 2.7% 36.41
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC to win neither half 76.8% 79.6% 1.26
Deportivo Cali to win either half 69.1% 68.0% 1.47
Deportivo Cali to win neither half 30.9% 32.0% 3.12
Alianza FC to win either half 23.2% 20.4% 4.90
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza FC not to win to nil 91.9% 92.0% 86.5% 1.06× 1.09
Deportivo Cali not to win to nil 56.7% 58.8% 72.9% 0.81× 1.70
Deportivo Cali to win to nil 43.3% 41.2% 27.1% 1.52× 2.43
Alianza FC to win to nil 8.1% 8.0% 13.5% 0.59× 12.54
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportivo Cali by 1 26.9% 27.8% 25.6% 1.09× 3.60
Draw 26.7% 27.8% 29.5% 0.94× 3.60
Deportivo Cali by 2 19.3% 17.0% 12.4% 1.37× 5.90
Deportivo Cali by 3+ 14.5% 11.8% 8.2% 1.44× 8.46
Alianza FC by 1 9.3% 7.3% 17.2% 0.42× 13.79
Alianza FC by 2 2.6% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 37.05
Alianza FC by 3+ 0.6% 2.7% 2.8% 0.97× 37.12
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide