Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Fagiano Okayama

06:00

Kyoto Sanga

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 314h before kick-off

Fagiano Okayama win

47.0%

model 48.3%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.2%

Kyoto Sanga win

26.5%

model 26.5%

472627

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.7%
0-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.2%	Under 2.5	51.8%
BTTS yes	51.3%	BTTS no	48.7%
Fagiano Okayama 1+	78.5%	Fagiano Okayama 2+	45.4%
Kyoto Sanga 1+	65.6%	Kyoto Sanga 2+	28.9%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Even number of goals

Odd/Even · usually 47%

50.4% fair odds 1.99

moderate signal · 2377 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Fagiano Okayama carry the stronger rating, 1512 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fagiano Okayama have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Kyoto Sanga and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.53 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.07 for Kyoto Sanga.

Why Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama carry the stronger rating, 1512 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kyoto Sanga can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kyoto Sanga.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fagiano Okayama, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kyoto Sanga, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fagiano Okayama: 48% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 7.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kyoto Sanga: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fagiano Okayama's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Fagiano Okayama are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482526	1.54–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442630	1.39–1.09	1-1 13%	45%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to win	44.0%	43.0%	42.9%	1.00×	2.32
Kyoto Sanga to win	29.6%	27.9%	31.0%	0.90×	3.59
Draw	26.4%	27.9%	26.3%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama & not both score	25.4%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.97
Fagiano Okayama & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & not both score	16.6%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & both teams score	13.0%	13.2%	13.4%	0.99×	7.55
Draw & not both score	8.2%	8.4%	7.1%	1.18×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama & under 3.5	32.4%	30.9%	33.1%	0.93×	3.24
Fagiano Okayama & over 1.5	32.2%	30.9%	30.2%	1.02×	3.24
Fagiano Okayama & over 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.62
Kyoto Sanga & under 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Kyoto Sanga & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	21.2%	1.02×	4.62
Fagiano Okayama & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	17.9%	1.01×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & under 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	13.3%	0.97×	7.77
Fagiano Okayama & under 1.5	11.8%	12.9%	12.8%	1.00×	7.78
Fagiano Okayama & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.78
Kyoto Sanga & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.69
Kyoto Sanga & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (1UP)	58.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Kyoto Sanga (1UP)	45.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (2UP)	44.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Kyoto Sanga (2UP)	29.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.3%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Fagiano Okayama to win 2nd half	35.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Kyoto Sanga to win 2nd half	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Kyoto Sanga (+1.5)	79.2%	78.5%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Fagiano Okayama (+0.5)	70.4%	73.7%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
Kyoto Sanga (+0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	57.1%	1.00×	1.75
Fagiano Okayama (-0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	42.9%	1.00×	2.33
Kyoto Sanga (-0.5)	29.6%	26.3%	31.0%	0.85×	3.80
Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)	20.8%	21.5%	18.0%	1.19×	4.65
Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede	75.2%	79.0%	75.3%	1.05×	1.27
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet	24.8%	21.0%	24.7%	0.85×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 1st half	45.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 6.5 corners	87.7%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Kyoto Sanga under 5.5 corners	78.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 corners	70.5%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Kyoto Sanga under 4.5 corners	65.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 corners	51.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 corners	48.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Kyoto Sanga over 4.5 corners	34.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 corners	29.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Kyoto Sanga over 5.5 corners	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Kyoto Sanga over 6.5 corners	12.3%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.6%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 goals	70.2%	71.9%	68.2%	1.05×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 goals	66.4%	68.0%	68.0%	1.00×	1.47
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 goals	33.6%	32.0%	32.0%	1.00×	3.12
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals	29.8%	28.1%	31.8%	0.88×	3.56
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.05
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.59×	41.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (away no bet)	62.5%	62.1%	62.0%	1.00×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.5%	37.9%	38.0%	1.00×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga even goals	55.6%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Kyoto Sanga odd goals	44.4%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.0%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Fagiano Okayama to score 2+ in a row	33.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Kyoto Sanga to score 2+ in a row	22.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Fagiano Okayama to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.37
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama corners (+3.5)	95.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Fagiano Okayama corners (+2.5)	92.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Fagiano Okayama corners (+1.5)	88.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fagiano Okayama corners (-1.5)	63.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga corners (+3.5)	57.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Fagiano Okayama corners (-2.5)	53.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Kyoto Sanga corners (+2.5)	46.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Fagiano Okayama corners (-3.5)	42.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Kyoto Sanga corners (+1.5)	36.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Kyoto Sanga corners (-1.5)	12.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Kyoto Sanga corners (-2.5)	7.3%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
Kyoto Sanga corners (-3.5)	4.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.8%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	30.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	69.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	61.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	59.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	48.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	40.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	29.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
1-0	11.8%	11.5%	12.8%	0.89×	8.73
0-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.0%	0.75×	13.46
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.46
0-0	8.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.46
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.46
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.46
0-2	5.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.56
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.56
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.59
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.58
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.59
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.58
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.59
3-0	3.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.57
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.57
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.58
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.59
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.59
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.39×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.39×	58.59
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama leading at HT (DNB)	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT (DNB)	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama or Kyoto Sanga (12)	73.6%	72.1%	73.7%	0.98×	1.39
Fagiano Okayama or draw (1X)	70.4%	72.1%	69.0%	1.05×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga or draw (X2)	56.0%	57.0%	57.1%	1.00×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama or draw at HT	78.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga or draw at HT	67.3%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Fagiano Okayama or Kyoto Sanga at HT	54.7%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama or draw (1UP)	70.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1UP)	56.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama or draw in 2nd half	72.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Kyoto Sanga or draw in 2nd half	64.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Fagiano Okayama or Kyoto Sanga in 2nd half	62.7%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.9%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	34.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (DNB)	59.8%	58.2%	58.0%	1.00×	1.72
Kyoto Sanga (DNB)	40.2%	41.8%	42.0%	0.99×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to score first	51.5%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Kyoto Sanga to score first	40.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	8.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.48

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.2%	51.4%	49.5%	1.04×	1.94
Both teams to score	49.8%	48.6%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.5%	40.0%	1.04×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.3%	38.5%	37.2%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.5%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.4%	9.7%	0.87×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.9%	85.7%	86.2%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.1%	14.3%	13.8%	1.04×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	—	—	20.06

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
0-1 goals	29.2%	26.4%	29.6%	0.89×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.6%	22.8%	21.0%	1.08×	4.38
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	2.5%	0.71×	55.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 0	33.6%	33.9%	32.0%	1.06×	2.95
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 2	20.0%	22.4%	19.8%	1.13×	4.47
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+	9.8%	8.5%	12.2%	0.70×	11.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 1	34.6%	32.7%	36.4%	0.90×	3.06
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 0	24.8%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.30
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 2	24.1%	23.3%	24.4%	0.96×	4.30
Fagiano Okayama to score 3+	16.5%	18.9%	14.9%	1.27×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Fagiano Okayama leading at HT	32.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT	21.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama -1: 2	56.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Fagiano Okayama -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Fagiano Okayama -1: 1	20.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:1)	56.0%	55.8%	57.1%	0.98×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	25.0%	0.97×	4.12
Fagiano Okayama (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	18.0%	1.35×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:2)	79.2%	79.5%	82.0%	0.97×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	12.0%	0.92×	9.08
Fagiano Okayama (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	6.2%	1.25×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:3)	92.2%	92.6%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	4.3%	1.36×	17.27
Fagiano Okayama (0:3)	2.4%	2.4%	2.1%	1.16×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:4)	97.6%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.27
Fagiano Okayama (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	0.8%	1.52×	83.41

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (1:0)	70.4%	72.5%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Kyoto Sanga (1:0)	11.5%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (2:0)	88.5%	88.4%	88.1%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.0%	6.5%	6.0%	1.07×	15.48
Kyoto Sanga (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to concede	66.4%	66.5%	68.0%	0.98×	1.50
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet	33.6%	33.5%	32.0%	1.05×	2.98

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet in 1st half	64.6%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Fagiano Okayama to concede in 1st half	35.4%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama over 2.5 corners	93.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Fagiano Okayama over 3.5 corners	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Fagiano Okayama over 4.5 corners	75.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Fagiano Okayama over 5.5 corners	62.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Fagiano Okayama under 6.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Fagiano Okayama over 6.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Fagiano Okayama under 5.5 corners	37.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Fagiano Okayama under 4.5 corners	25.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Fagiano Okayama under 3.5 corners	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Fagiano Okayama under 2.5 corners	6.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.55

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Fagiano Okayama under 2.5 goals	83.5%	82.2%	85.1%	0.97×	1.22
Fagiano Okayama over 0.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Fagiano Okayama under 1.5 goals	59.4%	58.8%	60.9%	0.97×	1.70
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals	40.6%	41.2%	39.1%	1.05×	2.43
Fagiano Okayama under 0.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	24.7%	0.90×	4.48
Fagiano Okayama over 2.5 goals	16.5%	17.8%	14.9%	1.20×	5.60
Fagiano Okayama over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.1%	1.53×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Fagiano Okayama over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Fagiano Okayama under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (home no bet)	52.8%	51.6%	54.1%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.2%	48.4%	45.9%	1.06×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama even goals	53.1%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
Fagiano Okayama odd goals	46.9%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	21.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.68
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.89

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Fagiano Okayama at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	2.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Fagiano Okayama at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	1.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to score last	51.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Kyoto Sanga to score last	40.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.48

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 1 at any time	58.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 1 at any time	45.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 2 at any time	26.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 2 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.22
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama most corners	73.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Kyoto Sanga most corners	18.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.84
Corners level	8.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.5%	69.0%	68.0%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.9%	69.0%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.7%	69.0%	65.0%	1.06×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.5%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.7%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.6%	48.7%	46.4%	1.05×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.9%	43.6%	44.3%	0.98×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.2%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.6%	35.4%	35.6%	0.99×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.6%	24.4%	21.0%	1.16×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.8%	18.6%	18.0%	1.03×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.3%	8.8%	8.9%	0.99×	11.43
7+ goals	1.4%	2.5%	2.5%	1.00×	39.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama never behind	46.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Kyoto Sanga never behind	33.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	53.2%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.5%	94.5%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.3%	87.7%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.1%	77.4%	76.6%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	70.4%	1.03×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.7%	52.4%	53.3%	0.98×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	45.3%	47.6%	46.7%	1.02×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	29.6%	0.93×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.9%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.7%	12.3%	11.2%	1.10×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.6%	97.2%	94.1%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.7%	86.7%	87.2%	0.99×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.6%	67.4%	69.5%	0.97×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.8%	62.1%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.2%	37.9%	38.8%	0.98×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.4%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.3%	13.3%	12.8%	1.04×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.4%	2.8%	5.9%	0.47×	36.31
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	2.6%	1.05×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Fagiano Okayama not to score in both halves	75.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Fagiano Okayama to score in both halves	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Kyoto Sanga to score in both halves	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.8%	50.4%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Only Fagiano Okayama scores	25.4%	26.1%	25.0%	1.05×	3.83
Only Kyoto Sanga scores	16.6%	16.1%	17.7%	0.91×	6.21
Neither team scores	8.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	25.0%	23.9%	1.04×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.2%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win both halves	94.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Fagiano Okayama not to win both halves	88.4%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Fagiano Okayama to win both halves	11.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Kyoto Sanga to win both halves	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to win neither half	56.8%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Fagiano Okayama to win either half	56.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Fagiano Okayama to win neither half	43.4%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Kyoto Sanga to win either half	43.2%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win to nil	83.4%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
Fagiano Okayama not to win to nil	74.6%	75.3%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
Fagiano Okayama to win to nil	25.4%	24.7%	25.0%	0.99×	4.05
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil	16.6%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.4%	27.8%	26.3%	1.06×	3.59
Fagiano Okayama by 1	23.1%	24.1%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Kyoto Sanga by 1	18.2%	16.9%	19.3%	0.88×	5.90
Fagiano Okayama by 2	13.1%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.46
Kyoto Sanga by 2	8.0%	7.2%	6.0%	1.21×	13.80
Fagiano Okayama by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	6.2%	1.17×	13.80
Kyoto Sanga by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.96