FC Dordrecht v Jong AZ — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627
NED-Eerste Divisie
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.FC Dordrecht win
42.3%
Draw
22.5%
Jong AZ win
35.2%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.66–1.50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.70–1.47 | 1-1 10% | 61% | 62% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win | 43.9% | 43.0% | 44.4% | 0.97× | 2.32 |
| Jong AZ to win | 33.7% | 30.4% | 33.5% | 0.91× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 22.4% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 1.10× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht & both teams score | 24.5% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 1.01× | 4.57 |
| FC Dordrecht & not both score | 19.4% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 0.78× | 5.58 |
| Jong AZ & both teams score | 19.2% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 0.91× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.7% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| Jong AZ & not both score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 0.95× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.03× | 20.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht & over 1.5 | 36.2% | 34.9% | 36.8% | 0.95× | 2.87 |
| FC Dordrecht & over 2.5 | 30.1% | 30.8% | 30.6% | 1.01× | 3.24 |
| Jong AZ & over 1.5 | 27.1% | 26.0% | 27.2% | 0.96× | 3.84 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 3.5 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 25.9% | 1.01× | 3.84 |
| Jong AZ & over 2.5 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 0.92× | 4.62 |
| Jong AZ & under 3.5 | 21.1% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 1.09× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| FC Dordrecht & over 3.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 0.96× | 5.56 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 2.5 | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 0.92× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.91× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.91× | 7.77 |
| Jong AZ & over 3.5 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.93× | 7.77 |
| Jong AZ & under 2.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.29× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.96× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.96× | 12.70 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 1.5 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 1.02× | 12.70 |
| Jong AZ & under 1.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.01× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (1UP) | 61.5% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Jong AZ (1UP) | 53.0% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (2UP) | 43.9% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Jong AZ (2UP) | 33.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half | 36.5% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.0% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Jong AZ to win 2nd half | 31.6% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (+2.5) | 90.4% | 92.1% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| Jong AZ (+1.5) | 77.3% | 78.5% | 75.6% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| FC Dordrecht (+0.5) | 66.3% | 68.7% | 66.5% | 1.03× | 1.46 |
| Jong AZ (+0.5) | 56.1% | 57.0% | 55.6% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
| FC Dordrecht (-0.5) | 43.9% | 43.0% | 44.4% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Jong AZ (-0.5) | 33.7% | 31.3% | 33.5% | 0.94× | 3.19 |
| FC Dordrecht (-1.5) | 22.7% | 21.5% | 24.4% | 0.88× | 4.64 |
| FC Dordrecht (-2.5) | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 0.66× | 12.62 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ to concede | 81.8% | 81.3% | 81.5% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Jong AZ clean sheet | 18.2% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 1.01× | 5.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ clean sheet in 1st half | 48.1% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Jong AZ to concede in 1st half | 51.9% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.02 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ under 6.5 corners | 82.6% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Jong AZ over 2.5 corners | 76.2% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Jong AZ under 5.5 corners | 71.9% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Jong AZ over 3.5 corners | 59.3% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Jong AZ under 4.5 corners | 57.6% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Jong AZ over 4.5 corners | 42.4% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Jong AZ under 3.5 corners | 40.7% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Jong AZ over 5.5 corners | 28.1% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| Jong AZ under 2.5 corners | 23.8% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| Jong AZ over 6.5 corners | 17.4% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ under 3.5 goals | 93.9% | 92.4% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Jong AZ under 2.5 goals | 81.8% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Jong AZ over 0.5 goals | 76.9% | 76.2% | 72.5% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| Jong AZ under 1.5 goals | 57.0% | 59.5% | 58.1% | 1.03× | 1.68 |
| Jong AZ over 1.5 goals | 43.0% | 40.5% | 41.9% | 0.97× | 2.47 |
| Jong AZ under 0.5 goals | 23.1% | 23.8% | 27.5% | 0.86× | 4.21 |
| Jong AZ over 2.5 goals | 18.2% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 1.00× | 5.38 |
| Jong AZ over 3.5 goals | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.10× | 13.08 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.3% | 89.5% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Jong AZ under 0.5 in 1st half | 55.7% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Jong AZ over 0.5 in 1st half | 44.3% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Jong AZ over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.7% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.48 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (away no bet) | 66.2% | 66.4% | 66.6% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 33.8% | 33.6% | 33.4% | 1.01× | 2.98 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ even goals | 52.7% | 52.8% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| Jong AZ odd goals | 47.3% | 47.2% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 79.1% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 20.9% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 71.9% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 28.1% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 63.3% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row | 40.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Jong AZ to score 2+ in a row | 32.3% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 24.5% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row | 15.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.21 |
| Jong AZ to score 3+ in a row | 10.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.31 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5) | 92.8% | 88.7% | — | — | 1.13 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5) | 88.4% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5) | 82.2% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Jong AZ corners (+3.5) | 66.2% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Jong AZ corners (+2.5) | 56.2% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5) | 54.4% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Jong AZ corners (+1.5) | 45.6% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5) | 43.8% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5) | 33.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Jong AZ corners (-1.5) | 17.8% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Jong AZ corners (-2.5) | 11.6% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
| Jong AZ corners (-3.5) | 7.2% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.82 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 38.5% | 35.1% | — | — | 2.85 |
| 0-8 corners | 31.0% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.5% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 78.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 70.3% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 69.0% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 61.5% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 58.8% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 51.6% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 48.4% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 41.2% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 38.5% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 31.0% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 29.7% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 21.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.78× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.92× | 13.47 |
| 0-1 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.47 |
| 1-0 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.47 |
| 2-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.11× | 13.47 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.47 |
| 3-1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.61× | 13.47 |
| 0-0 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.50 |
| 0-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.50 |
| 0-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.65× | 58.51 |
| 0-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.37× | 58.52 |
| 1-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.50 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.76× | 58.52 |
| 2-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.51 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.50 |
| 3-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 0.40× | 58.50 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.51 |
| 3-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.37× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.25× | 58.51 |
| 4-2 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.51 |
| 4-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.43× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.74× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 4.6% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.50 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB) | 57.4% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Jong AZ leading at HT (DNB) | 42.6% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or Jong AZ (12) | 77.6% | 75.6% | 77.7% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| FC Dordrecht or draw (1X) | 66.3% | 69.6% | 66.5% | 1.05× | 1.44 |
| Jong AZ or draw (X2) | 56.1% | 57.0% | 55.6% | 1.02× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw at HT | 74.2% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Jong AZ or draw at HT | 65.2% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| FC Dordrecht or Jong AZ at HT | 60.6% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP) | 66.3% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Jong AZ or draw (1UP) | 56.1% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half | 68.4% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| FC Dordrecht or Jong AZ in 2nd half | 68.0% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Jong AZ or draw in 2nd half | 63.5% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.3% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.7% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (DNB) | 56.5% | 58.2% | 57.0% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| Jong AZ (DNB) | 43.5% | 41.8% | 43.0% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score first | 51.8% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Jong AZ to score first | 44.5% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 3.7% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.24 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62.4% | 56.5% | 58.7% | 0.96× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 37.6% | 43.5% | 41.3% | 1.05× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 52.4% | 47.1% | 49.3% | 0.96× | 2.13 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 28.7% | 33.6% | 28.4% | 1.19× | 2.97 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 0.87× | 11.94 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 0.64× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 78.2% | 80.0% | 79.0% | 1.01× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 21.8% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 0.95× | 5.00 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 63.9% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 36.1% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 49.3% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 27.8% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.6% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.45 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.4% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.73 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 77.1% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 22.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 61.5% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| A half without a goal | 38.5% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.42 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 42.9% | 42.1% | 41.2% | 1.02× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 34.8% | 30.8% | 37.3% | 0.83× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 18.1% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 1.09× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 4.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.56× | 54.81 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ to score exactly 1 | 33.9% | 33.9% | 30.7% | 1.10× | 2.95 |
| Jong AZ to score exactly 2 | 24.8% | 22.4% | 23.5% | 0.95× | 4.46 |
| Jong AZ to score exactly 0 | 23.1% | 22.4% | 27.5% | 0.82× | 4.46 |
| Jong AZ to score 3+ | 18.2% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 1.05× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1 | 31.0% | 32.6% | 30.5% | 1.07× | 3.06 |
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 1.02× | 3.77 |
| FC Dordrecht to score 3+ | 24.3% | 23.3% | 25.4% | 0.92× | 4.30 |
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 1.02× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 39.4% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| FC Dordrecht leading at HT | 34.8% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Jong AZ leading at HT | 25.8% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht -1: 2 | 56.1% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| FC Dordrecht -1: 1 | 22.7% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| FC Dordrecht -1: X | 21.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (0:1) | 56.1% | 55.8% | 55.6% | 1.00× | 1.79 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:1) | 22.7% | 24.3% | 24.4% | 1.00× | 4.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.2% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 1.20× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (0:2) | 77.3% | 79.5% | 75.6% | 1.05× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 0.87× | 9.10 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:2) | 9.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 0.65× | 12.94 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (0:3) | 90.4% | 92.6% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.20 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:3) | 3.4% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 0.37× | 42.06 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (0:4) | 96.6% | 98.1% | 93.7% | 1.05× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.4% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 0.28× | 83.33 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.57× | 83.50 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (1:0) | 66.3% | 69.8% | 66.5% | 1.05× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.94× | 5.87 |
| Jong AZ (1:0) | 15.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 1.10× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (2:0) | 84.6% | 84.6% | 84.6% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 0.73× | 15.50 |
| Jong AZ (2:0) | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 0.96× | 15.54 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.3% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 22.0% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.12 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to concede | 76.9% | 75.9% | 72.5% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| FC Dordrecht clean sheet | 23.1% | 24.1% | 27.5% | 0.88× | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half | 55.7% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half | 44.3% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners | 91.3% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners | 82.1% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners | 70.1% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners | 56.4% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners | 43.6% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners | 29.9% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners | 17.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.36 |
| FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners | 8.7% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.52 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals | 90.7% | 92.2% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals | 81.8% | 82.1% | 81.5% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals | 75.7% | 77.7% | 74.6% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals | 50.7% | 53.2% | 51.1% | 1.04× | 1.88 |
| FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals | 49.3% | 46.8% | 48.9% | 0.96× | 2.14 |
| FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals | 24.3% | 22.3% | 25.4% | 0.88× | 4.49 |
| FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals | 18.2% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.96× | 5.59 |
| FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.90 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.3% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.1% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half | 51.9% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
| FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.7% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ (home no bet) | 60.1% | 60.1% | 60.0% | 1.00× | 1.67 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 39.9% | 39.9% | 40.0% | 1.00× | 2.50 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht even goals | 51.7% | 50.6% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| FC Dordrecht odd goals | 48.3% | 49.4% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 26.7% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.44 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.7% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.8% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.4% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.18 |
| Any other HT score | 5.9% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.19 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.72 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.75 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.82 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.98 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 26.4% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| Jong AZ at HT / Jong AZ at FT | 18.2% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 14.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Jong AZ at FT | 12.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT | 5.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Jong AZ at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| FC Dordrecht at HT / Jong AZ at FT | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
| Jong AZ at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score last | 51.7% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Jong AZ to score last | 44.6% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.48 |
| No goal scored | 3.7% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.24 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.3% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time | 61.5% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Jong AZ to lead by 1 at any time | 53.0% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time | 30.4% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Jong AZ to lead by 2 at any time | 22.5% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 20.3% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time | 12.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
| Jong AZ to lead by 3 at any time | 7.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.21 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht most corners | 64.8% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Jong AZ most corners | 25.7% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| Corners level | 9.5% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.88 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.1% | 87.4% | 86.3% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.7% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.0% | 72.4% | 74.1% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.8% | 72.4% | 72.5% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.6% | 63.4% | 60.3% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 57.3% | 59.2% | 55.0% | 1.08× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 57.1% | 59.2% | 59.1% | 1.00× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 51.2% | 53.2% | 53.2% | 1.00× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 42.9% | 43.6% | 41.2% | 1.06× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.0% | 39.2% | 41.0% | 0.95× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 35.0% | 35.4% | 33.2% | 1.07× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 34.8% | 35.4% | 37.3% | 0.95× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 28.8% | 30.2% | 31.5% | 0.96× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 17.1% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 1.03× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.79× | 39.32 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht never behind | 43.3% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Jong AZ never behind | 34.8% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.78 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.1% | 50.8% | 49.5% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.9% | 49.2% | 50.5% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.4% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.6% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.1% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.3% | 95.5% | 95.3% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 89.8% | 87.7% | 90.9% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.4% | 81.5% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78.7% | 77.4% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% | 61.7% | 62.2% | 0.99× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61.0% | 61.7% | 59.6% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.0% | 38.3% | 40.4% | 0.95× | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.7% | 38.3% | 37.8% | 1.01× | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21.3% | 22.6% | 21.3% | 1.06× | 4.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 0.95× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 1.36× | 8.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.95× | 22.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 95.5% | 97.2% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 88.6% | 86.8% | 89.7% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 77.2% | 75.9% | 77.0% | 0.99× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 74.1% | 72.6% | 73.7% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 50.2% | 51.8% | 51.7% | 1.00× | 1.93 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 49.8% | 48.2% | 48.3% | 1.00× | 2.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 25.9% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 22.8% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 1.05× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 1.28× | 7.55 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.80× | 36.28 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 85.3% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 73.3% | 70.9% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 62.1% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 37.9% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 26.7% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 14.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.07 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 84.4% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 71.8% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.0% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.0% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 28.2% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 15.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ not to score in both halves | 74.1% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves | 67.8% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.42 |
| FC Dordrecht to score in both halves | 32.2% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| Jong AZ to score in both halves | 25.9% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 62.4% | 60.2% | 58.7% | 1.03× | 1.66 |
| Only FC Dordrecht scores | 19.4% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 0.70× | 6.21 |
| Only Jong AZ scores | 14.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 0.79× | 9.13 |
| Neither team scores | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 0.97× | 21.80 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 1.03× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 20.6% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 1.17× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 14.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 0.87× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 0.98× | 8.29 |
| 6 or more goals | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 1.33× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 0.93× | 22.68 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 55.0% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.5% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 15.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ not to win both halves | 91.9% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| FC Dordrecht not to win both halves | 87.4% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| FC Dordrecht to win both halves | 12.6% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.34 |
| Jong AZ to win both halves | 8.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.55 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win either half | 58.7% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Jong AZ to win neither half | 50.7% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Jong AZ to win either half | 49.3% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| FC Dordrecht to win neither half | 41.3% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ not to win to nil | 85.5% | 88.2% | 86.1% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| FC Dordrecht not to win to nil | 80.6% | 83.0% | 77.1% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| FC Dordrecht to win to nil | 19.4% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 0.74× | 5.88 |
| Jong AZ to win to nil | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 0.85× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 22.4% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.14 |
| FC Dordrecht by 1 | 21.2% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 1.20× | 4.14 |
| Jong AZ by 1 | 18.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.93× | 5.90 |
| FC Dordrecht by 2 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 0.94× | 8.47 |
| Jong AZ by 2 | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 0.82× | 13.79 |
| FC Dordrecht by 3+ | 9.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 0.61× | 13.79 |
| Jong AZ by 3+ | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.08× | 13.81 |