FC Groningen v PEC Zwolle — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Groningen

14:00

PEC Zwolle

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 298h before kick-off

FC Groningen win

51.5%

model 53.5%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.2%

PEC Zwolle win

21.2%

model 21.3%

522721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 8.9%
1-0 8.5%
0-0 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.4%	Under 2.5	43.6%
BTTS yes	57.4%	BTTS no	42.6%
FC Groningen 1+	84.1%	FC Groningen 2+	55.0%
PEC Zwolle 1+	66.7%	PEC Zwolle 2+	30.1%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

FC Groningen or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 70%

78.5% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 1358 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Groningen carry the stronger rating, 1546 Elo against 1435.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Groningen have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for PEC Zwolle. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for FC Groningen and 1.10 for PEC Zwolle.

Why FC Groningen

FC Groningen carry the stronger rating, 1546 Elo against 1435.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why PEC Zwolle can win

Nothing in the data singles out PEC Zwolle.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Groningen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for PEC Zwolle, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Groningen: 50% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PEC Zwolle: 40% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 20.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Groningen are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532521	1.84–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502624	1.72–1.13	1-1 13%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win	49.9%	47.5%	44.6%	1.07×	2.10
Draw	26.4%	27.9%	25.3%	1.10×	3.59
PEC Zwolle to win	23.7%	24.4%	30.3%	0.81×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen & not both score	25.2%	25.2%	23.4%	1.07×	3.97
FC Groningen & both teams score	24.7%	21.9%	21.3%	1.03×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	21.9%	0.82×	5.58
PEC Zwolle & both teams score	12.9%	13.2%	17.3%	0.77×	7.55
PEC Zwolle & not both score	10.8%	13.2%	13.2%	1.01×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	3.5%	2.38×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen & over 1.5	41.3%	40.3%	36.4%	1.11×	2.48
FC Groningen & over 2.5	32.7%	30.9%	29.1%	1.06×	3.24
FC Groningen & under 3.5	31.8%	30.9%	27.6%	1.12×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.6%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	21.9%	0.82×	5.56
FC Groningen & over 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
PEC Zwolle & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
FC Groningen & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
PEC Zwolle & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	20.1%	0.90×	5.56
PEC Zwolle & over 2.5	14.8%	12.9%	20.5%	0.63×	7.77
FC Groningen & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.69
PEC Zwolle & under 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	3.5%	2.24×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.69
PEC Zwolle & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.69
PEC Zwolle & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	4.1%	1.91×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (1UP)	65.3%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
PEC Zwolle (1UP)	42.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2UP)	49.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
PEC Zwolle (2UP)	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
PEC Zwolle to win 2nd half	24.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (+2.5)	87.7%	88.5%	86.7%	1.02×	1.13
FC Groningen (+0.5)	76.3%	78.5%	69.7%	1.13×	1.28
PEC Zwolle (+1.5)	72.1%	73.7%	74.6%	0.99×	1.36
PEC Zwolle (+0.5)	50.1%	52.3%	55.4%	0.94×	1.91
FC Groningen (-0.5)	49.9%	47.7%	44.6%	1.07×	2.10
FC Groningen (-1.5)	27.9%	26.3%	25.4%	1.04×	3.80
PEC Zwolle (-0.5)	23.7%	21.5%	30.3%	0.71×	4.64
FC Groningen (-2.5)	12.3%	11.5%	13.3%	0.86×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to concede	82.1%	81.3%	83.5%	0.97×	1.23
PEC Zwolle clean sheet	17.9%	18.7%	16.5%	1.13×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle clean sheet in 1st half	47.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
PEC Zwolle to concede in 1st half	52.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 6.5 corners	88.0%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
PEC Zwolle under 5.5 corners	79.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
PEC Zwolle over 2.5 corners	68.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
PEC Zwolle under 4.5 corners	66.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
PEC Zwolle under 3.5 corners	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
PEC Zwolle over 3.5 corners	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
PEC Zwolle over 4.5 corners	33.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
PEC Zwolle under 2.5 corners	31.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
PEC Zwolle over 5.5 corners	20.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
PEC Zwolle over 6.5 corners	12.0%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.6%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
PEC Zwolle under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.9%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.0%	58.2%	1.17×	1.47
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
PEC Zwolle under 0.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	26.8%	1.20×	3.12
PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.0%	41.8%	0.77×	3.12
PEC Zwolle over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	15.0%	0.81×	8.26
PEC Zwolle over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.4%	5.7%	0.43×	41.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
PEC Zwolle under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
PEC Zwolle over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.9%	—	—	17.05

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (away no bet)	65.4%	66.4%	63.8%	1.04×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.6%	33.6%	36.2%	0.93×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle even goals	55.2%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
PEC Zwolle odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
FC Groningen to score 2+ in a row	43.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
PEC Zwolle to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
FC Groningen to score 3+ in a row	17.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
PEC Zwolle to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.09

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen corners (+3.5)	96.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
FC Groningen corners (+2.5)	93.2%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
FC Groningen corners (+1.5)	89.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Groningen corners (-1.5)	66.8%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
FC Groningen corners (-2.5)	57.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
PEC Zwolle corners (+3.5)	53.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
FC Groningen corners (-3.5)	47.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
PEC Zwolle corners (+2.5)	43.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
PEC Zwolle corners (+1.5)	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
PEC Zwolle corners (-1.5)	11.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
PEC Zwolle corners (-2.5)	6.8%	11.3%	—	—	8.82
PEC Zwolle corners (-3.5)	4.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
0-8 corners	29.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	67.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	60.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 11.5 corners	58.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 10.5 corners	49.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 11.5 corners	41.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	39.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 12.5 corners	32.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 8.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.5%	11.5%	11.6%	0.98×	8.73
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	8.3%	0.90×	13.46
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.46
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.46
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.46
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.46
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.46
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	8.6%	0.87×	13.46
3-1	5.6%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.46
3-0	4.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.56
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.57
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.58
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.59
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.58
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.59
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.58
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.59
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.57
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.59
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.58
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.58
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.15×	58.59
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen leading at HT (DNB)	65.7%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
PEC Zwolle leading at HT (DNB)	34.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw (1X)	76.3%	75.6%	69.7%	1.08×	1.32
FC Groningen or PEC Zwolle (12)	73.6%	72.1%	74.7%	0.97×	1.39
PEC Zwolle or draw (X2)	50.1%	52.5%	55.4%	0.95×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw at HT	80.0%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
PEC Zwolle or draw at HT	61.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Groningen or PEC Zwolle at HT	58.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw (1UP)	76.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
PEC Zwolle or draw (1UP)	50.1%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw in 2nd half	75.9%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
FC Groningen or PEC Zwolle in 2nd half	65.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
PEC Zwolle or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (DNB)	67.8%	67.2%	59.5%	1.13×	1.49
PEC Zwolle (DNB)	32.2%	32.8%	40.5%	0.81×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score first	56.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
PEC Zwolle to score first	36.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.9%	54.8%	60.2%	0.91×	1.83
Not both teams to score	43.1%	45.2%	39.8%	1.14×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	48.7%	0.85×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	33.2%	34.4%	28.8%	1.19×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.5%	12.3%	11.6%	1.06×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	11.2%	0.75×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.0%	83.2%	80.6%	1.03×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.0%	16.8%	19.4%	0.86×	5.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.3%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.4%	46.9%	1.01×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.3%	26.4%	33.7%	0.78×	3.78
0-1 goals	20.9%	22.8%	15.6%	1.46×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 0	32.3%	33.9%	26.8%	1.26×	2.95
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.4%	27.0%	0.83×	4.47
PEC Zwolle to score 3+	10.6%	12.8%	15.0%	0.85×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score exactly 1	30.8%	32.6%	33.1%	0.99×	3.06
FC Groningen to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	27.0%	0.98×	3.77
FC Groningen to score 3+	24.9%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.30
FC Groningen to score exactly 0	17.9%	18.9%	16.5%	1.14×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
FC Groningen leading at HT	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
PEC Zwolle leading at HT	20.0%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen -1: 2	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
FC Groningen -1: 1	27.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
FC Groningen -1: X	22.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:1)	50.1%	51.1%	55.4%	0.92×	1.96
FC Groningen (0:1)	27.9%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.0%	24.3%	19.3%	1.26×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:2)	72.1%	75.5%	74.6%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	12.3%	1.25×	6.54
FC Groningen (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:3)	87.7%	90.8%	86.7%	1.05×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.8%	5.8%	7.8%	0.74×	17.22
FC Groningen (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	41.94

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:4)	95.6%	98.1%	94.3%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	2.6%	0.46×	83.11
FC Groningen (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	3.2%	0.37×	83.32

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (1:0)	76.3%	78.5%	69.7%	1.13×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.0%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.80
PEC Zwolle (1:0)	9.7%	6.9%	15.6%	0.44×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2:0)	90.3%	93.9%	84.4%	1.11×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	8.9%	0.73×	15.50
PEC Zwolle (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	6.9%	0.33×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to concede	67.7%	66.5%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
FC Groningen clean sheet	32.3%	33.5%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
FC Groningen to concede in 1st half	36.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen over 2.5 corners	93.5%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
FC Groningen over 3.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Groningen over 4.5 corners	76.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
FC Groningen over 5.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
FC Groningen over 6.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Groningen under 6.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Groningen under 5.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
FC Groningen under 4.5 corners	23.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
FC Groningen under 3.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
FC Groningen under 2.5 corners	6.5%	11.7%	—	—	8.55

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 3.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	89.1%	1.03×	1.08
FC Groningen over 0.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	83.5%	0.98×	1.22
FC Groningen under 2.5 goals	75.1%	77.7%	76.3%	1.02×	1.29
FC Groningen over 1.5 goals	51.4%	53.3%	50.5%	1.05×	1.88
FC Groningen under 1.5 goals	48.6%	46.7%	49.5%	0.94×	2.14
FC Groningen over 2.5 goals	24.9%	22.3%	23.7%	0.94×	4.48
FC Groningen under 0.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	16.5%	1.08×	5.60
FC Groningen over 3.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	10.9%	0.71×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
FC Groningen under 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Groningen over 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
FC Groningen over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	15.3%	—	—	6.53

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.7%	51.6%	45.5%	1.13×	1.94
PEC Zwolle (home no bet)	47.3%	48.4%	54.5%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen even goals	51.6%	50.6%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
FC Groningen odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	48.9%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	22.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	13.5%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 2-0	8.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.54
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.76
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen at HT / FC Groningen at FT	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / FC Groningen at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
PEC Zwolle at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
FC Groningen at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
PEC Zwolle at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
PEC Zwolle at HT / FC Groningen at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
FC Groningen at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	1.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score last	56.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
PEC Zwolle to score last	36.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Groningen to lead by 1 at any time	65.3%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
PEC Zwolle to lead by 1 at any time	42.7%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
FC Groningen to lead by 2 at any time	34.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
PEC Zwolle to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
FC Groningen to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
PEC Zwolle to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.64

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen most corners	75.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
PEC Zwolle most corners	16.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.86
Corners level	7.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.9%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.4%	78.6%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.5%	63.7%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.9%	63.5%	59.0%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.7%	53.1%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.3%	48.7%	50.8%	0.96×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.7%	46.9%	1.04×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	36.9%	1.06×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.3%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.3%	30.2%	33.7%	0.90×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.9%	16.8%	0.88×	6.73
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen never behind	50.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
PEC Zwolle never behind	27.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.8%	49.0%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.2%	51.0%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	79.2%	1.04×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.1%	77.4%	84.4%	0.92×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.3%	62.3%	1.06×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.3%	52.4%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.7%	47.6%	40.3%	1.18×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	32.0%	33.7%	37.7%	0.90×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.9%	22.6%	15.6%	1.45×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	20.8%	0.85×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	3.5%	2.19×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	9.0%	0.85×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.5%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.9%	81.1%	75.0%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.2%	72.6%	79.3%	0.92×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.8%	55.5%	51.7%	1.08×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.2%	44.5%	48.3%	0.92×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.1%	18.9%	25.0%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.5%	10.2%	0.74×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	4.3%	0.63×	36.36

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Groningen not to score in both halves	67.3%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
FC Groningen to score in both halves	32.7%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
PEC Zwolle to score in both halves	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.9%	58.2%	60.2%	0.97×	1.72
Only FC Groningen scores	25.2%	26.1%	23.4%	1.12×	3.83
Only PEC Zwolle scores	10.8%	10.9%	13.2%	0.83×	9.15
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.2%	3.5%	2.04×	13.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.7%	24.8%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.2%	1.02×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.4%	17.0%	1.03×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.9%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	11.9%	0.64×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	3.5%	2.16×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	9.0%	0.84×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	30.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to win both halves	95.1%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
FC Groningen not to win both halves	84.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Groningen to win both halves	16.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
PEC Zwolle to win both halves	4.9%	2.9%	—	—	34.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win either half	63.4%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
PEC Zwolle to win neither half	60.9%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
PEC Zwolle to win either half	39.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
FC Groningen to win neither half	36.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to win to nil	89.2%	88.2%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
FC Groningen not to win to nil	74.8%	75.3%	76.6%	0.98×	1.33
FC Groningen to win to nil	25.2%	24.7%	23.4%	1.06×	4.05
PEC Zwolle to win to nil	10.8%	11.8%	13.2%	0.89×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.4%	27.8%	25.3%	1.10×	3.59
FC Groningen by 1	22.0%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.14
FC Groningen by 2	15.7%	16.9%	12.3%	1.38×	5.90
PEC Zwolle by 1	14.0%	11.8%	14.9%	0.80×	8.46
FC Groningen by 3+	12.3%	11.8%	13.3%	0.89×	8.46
PEC Zwolle by 2	6.7%	7.2%	8.9%	0.82×	13.81
PEC Zwolle by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.98