FC Volendam v FC Den Bosch — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Volendam

10:45

FC Den Bosch

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 175h before kick-off

FC Volendam win

59.2%

model 59.9%

Draw

19.3%

model 18.0%

FC Den Bosch win

21.5%

model 22.1%

591921

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 8.8%
3-1 7.2%
1-1 6.8%
2-2 6.4%
2-0 6.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	74.9%	Under 2.5	25.1%
BTTS yes	69.8%	BTTS no	30.2%
FC Volendam 1+	91.4%	FC Volendam 2+	70.4%
FC Den Bosch 1+	76.7%	FC Den Bosch 2+	42.8%

Expected goals 2.46 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

FC Volendam over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 51%

71.9% fair odds 1.39

strong signal · 985 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1461 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Volendam have an estimated 59.2% win probability, against 21.5% for FC Den Bosch and 19.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.46 for FC Volendam and 1.46 for FC Den Bosch.

Why FC Volendam

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1461 Elo against 1417.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Den Bosch can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch: 49% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Volendam are the model's most likely outcome at 59.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.8%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	601822	2.46–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	641719	2.62–1.42	2-1 9%	77%	70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	63.5%	58.2%	44.4%	1.31×	1.72
FC Den Bosch to win	19.5%	19.4%	33.5%	0.58×	5.17
Draw	17.0%	19.3%	22.3%	0.87×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	40.8%	40.0%	21.6%	1.85×	2.50
FC Volendam & not both score	22.7%	21.9%	22.9%	0.96×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	15.5%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.55
FC Den Bosch & not both score	5.8%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.95
Draw & not both score	1.4%	4.9%	4.7%	1.03×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	58.6%	55.1%	36.8%	1.50×	1.82
FC Volendam & over 2.5	52.6%	48.7%	30.6%	1.59×	2.05
FC Volendam & over 3.5	38.7%	34.9%	18.7%	1.87×	2.86
FC Volendam & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	25.9%	0.84×	4.62
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	27.2%	0.66×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	23.6%	0.54×	7.77
FC Volendam & under 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.78
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	10.1%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.69
FC Volendam & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.92
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.93
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	78.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	42.5%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	63.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	52.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	21.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+0.5)	80.5%	82.4%	66.5%	1.24×	1.21
FC Den Bosch (+2.5)	75.3%	78.5%	88.1%	0.89×	1.28
FC Volendam (-0.5)	63.5%	62.9%	44.4%	1.42×	1.59
FC Den Bosch (+1.5)	57.3%	57.0%	75.6%	0.75×	1.75
FC Volendam (-1.5)	42.7%	43.0%	24.4%	1.76×	2.33
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	36.5%	37.1%	55.6%	0.67×	2.69
FC Volendam (-2.5)	24.7%	21.5%	11.9%	1.80×	4.64
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	19.5%	17.6%	33.5%	0.53×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	92.7%	91.8%	81.5%	1.13×	1.09
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	7.3%	8.2%	18.5%	0.44×	12.14

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	67.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	90.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	80.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	68.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	31.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	19.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	9.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	82.8%	81.5%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	75.9%	76.2%	72.5%	1.05×	1.31
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	58.5%	59.6%	58.1%	1.03×	1.68
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.4%	41.9%	0.96×	2.48
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	24.1%	23.8%	27.5%	0.87×	4.20
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	17.2%	18.5%	18.5%	1.00×	5.40
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.0%	1.10×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (away no bet)	78.9%	73.8%	66.6%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.1%	26.3%	33.4%	0.79×	3.81

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	52.9%	52.7%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
FC Den Bosch odd goals	47.1%	47.3%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	65.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Both halves over 1.5 goals	34.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	84.0%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	16.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.45

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	63.5%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	39.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	33.5%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	27.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.96

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	81.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	74.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	73.7%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	55.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	45.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	26.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	25.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
0-8 corners	25.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 8.5 corners	74.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 12.5 corners	64.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 11.5 corners	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Under 10.5 corners	45.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Over 11.5 corners	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 9.5 corners	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	13.8%	11.5%	4.7%	2.42×	8.73
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.46
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.46
1-1	6.2%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.46
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.46
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.46
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.81×	13.46
3-2	5.3%	7.4%	4.2%	1.76×	13.46
1-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.56
1-2	4.6%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.57
4-1	4.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.56
0-0	1.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.58
0-1	2.8%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.58
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.58
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.59
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.58
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.59
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.58
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.59
3-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.57
4-2	3.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.57
4-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.43×	58.58
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	13.72×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	72.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	27.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or FC Den Bosch (12)	83.0%	80.7%	77.7%	1.04×	1.24
FC Volendam or draw (1X)	80.5%	80.6%	66.5%	1.21×	1.24
FC Den Bosch or draw (X2)	36.5%	41.8%	55.6%	0.75×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw at HT	81.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
FC Volendam or FC Den Bosch at HT	68.0%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	50.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	80.5%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	42.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	78.4%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
FC Volendam or FC Den Bosch in 2nd half	74.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	49.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	50.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	76.5%	74.6%	57.0%	1.31×	1.34
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	23.5%	25.4%	43.0%	0.59×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	63.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
FC Den Bosch to score first	34.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	1.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	70.0%	62.2%	58.7%	1.06×	1.61
Not both teams to score	30.0%	37.8%	41.3%	0.92×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.8%	50.1%	49.3%	1.02×	2.00
Not both score & under 2.5	17.0%	21.8%	28.4%	0.77×	4.59
Not both score & over 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	6.2%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	69.4%	71.1%	79.0%	0.90×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	30.6%	28.9%	21.0%	1.38×	3.46

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Both score 2nd half only	31.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Both score in both halves	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	29.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	73.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
A half without a goal	26.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	46.0%	47.4%	37.3%	1.27×	2.11
2-3 goals	33.4%	30.7%	41.2%	0.75×	3.26
7+ goals	11.4%	16.9%	3.2%	5.23×	5.91
0-1 goals	9.2%	7.6%	18.5%	0.41×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.9%	30.7%	1.10×	2.95
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.47
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	24.1%	22.4%	27.5%	0.81×	4.47
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	17.2%	19.5%	18.5%	1.05×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score 3+	48.7%	36.9%	25.4%	1.45×	2.71
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	25.0%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.30
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	19.1%	18.9%	30.5%	0.62×	5.30
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	7.3%	10.3%	18.5%	0.56×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT	49.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	32.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	18.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	42.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
FC Volendam -1: 2	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Volendam -1: X	20.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	42.7%	42.7%	24.4%	1.75×	2.34
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	36.5%	37.3%	55.6%	0.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	20.1%	1.21×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	57.3%	62.8%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
FC Volendam (0:2)	24.7%	20.4%	11.9%	1.71×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	12.6%	1.22×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	75.3%	80.5%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.5%	10.0%	5.7%	1.75×	9.97
FC Volendam (0:3)	12.2%	10.0%	6.3%	1.58×	9.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	87.8%	91.9%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.0%	4.6%	4.4%	1.06×	21.64
FC Volendam (0:4)	5.2%	4.6%	2.1%	2.17×	21.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1:0)	80.5%	81.4%	66.5%	1.22×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.4%	12.8%	18.2%	0.71×	7.81
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	8.1%	6.9%	15.4%	0.45×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2:0)	91.9%	93.9%	84.6%	1.11×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	8.8%	0.73×	15.51
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	44.23

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	19.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	75.9%	75.8%	72.5%	1.05×	1.32
FC Volendam clean sheet	24.1%	24.2%	27.5%	0.88×	4.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	56.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	43.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	72.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	27.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	16.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.2%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	73.7%	74.2%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	89.8%	0.83×	1.35
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	51.3%	53.3%	74.6%	0.71×	1.88
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	48.7%	46.7%	25.4%	1.84×	2.14
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	10.2%	2.53×	3.88
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	26.3%	25.8%	48.9%	0.53×	3.88
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	18.5%	0.42×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	68.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	67.6%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	31.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (home no bet)	53.5%	51.6%	60.0%	0.86×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.5%	48.4%	40.0%	1.21×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	50.3%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Volendam odd goals	49.7%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-0	18.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
Any other HT score	12.3%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 2-0	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 0-1	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 2-1	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.68
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 2-2	1.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.79

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	42.4%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	7.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Volendam at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
FC Volendam at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	63.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Den Bosch to score last	34.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	1.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	78.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.6%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	52.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	42.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	34.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	29.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch most corners	55.2%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
FC Volendam most corners	34.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	10.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.87

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	76.5%	78.6%	86.3%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	68.7%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.4%	69.0%	59.1%	1.17×	1.45
1-4 goals	60.7%	63.5%	74.1%	0.86×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
2-4 goals	52.9%	53.1%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88
4-6 goals	46.0%	48.7%	37.3%	1.30×	2.06
1-3 goals	41.1%	43.6%	55.0%	0.79×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.4%	39.2%	31.5%	1.24×	2.55
2-3 goals	33.4%	35.4%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
5-6 goals	26.5%	30.2%	18.2%	1.66×	3.31
1-2 goals	21.8%	24.4%	33.2%	0.74×	4.09
7+ goals	11.4%	14.8%	3.2%	4.59×	6.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	56.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Den Bosch never behind	20.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.6%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	77.9%	77.4%	90.9%	0.85×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	76.8%	77.4%	62.2%	1.24×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	62.1%	61.8%	78.7%	0.78×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	57.5%	58.8%	40.4%	1.46×	1.70
Under 3.5 goals	42.5%	41.2%	59.6%	0.69×	2.43
Over 4.5 goals	37.9%	38.2%	21.3%	1.80×	2.62
Under 2.5 goals	23.2%	22.6%	37.8%	0.60×	4.42
Over 5.5 goals	22.1%	22.6%	9.1%	2.49×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	18.5%	0.42×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	1.4%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	89.3%	86.7%	77.0%	1.13×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	87.2%	86.7%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	73.8%	72.6%	89.7%	0.81×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.2%	72.6%	51.7%	1.40×	1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	52.9%	51.8%	73.7%	0.70×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	47.1%	48.2%	26.3%	1.83×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.8%	27.4%	48.3%	0.57×	3.65
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	26.2%	27.4%	10.3%	2.65×	3.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	12.8%	13.3%	3.4%	3.86×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	10.7%	13.3%	23.0%	0.58×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.7%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	75.8%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Over 1.5 in 1st half	50.5%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Under 1.5 in 1st half	49.5%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Over 2.5 in 1st half	24.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.3%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
FC Volendam to score in both halves	52.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	47.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	70.0%	65.9%	58.7%	1.12×	1.52
Only FC Volendam scores	22.7%	22.4%	22.9%	0.98×	4.47
Only FC Den Bosch scores	5.8%	7.2%	13.9%	0.51×	13.96
Neither team scores	1.4%	4.6%	4.7%	0.97×	21.83

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	22.1%	22.6%	9.1%	2.49×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.5%	21.9%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.8%	17.4%	12.3%	1.42×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	14.0%	12.1%	19.4%	0.62×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	7.7%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	1.4%	4.4%	4.7%	0.93×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	67.9%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
No goals in 2nd half	9.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.54

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	96.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
FC Volendam not to win both halves	74.2%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
FC Volendam to win both halves	25.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	4.0%	2.9%	—	—	35.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	76.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	63.8%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
FC Den Bosch to win either half	36.2%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
FC Volendam to win neither half	24.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	94.2%	92.1%	86.1%	1.07×	1.09
FC Volendam not to win to nil	77.3%	78.0%	77.1%	1.01×	1.28
FC Volendam to win to nil	22.7%	22.0%	22.9%	0.96×	4.55
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	5.8%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam by 3+	24.7%	24.1%	11.9%	2.02×	4.14
FC Volendam by 1	20.8%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Volendam by 2	18.0%	16.9%	12.6%	1.35×	5.90
Draw	17.0%	16.9%	22.3%	0.76×	5.90
FC Den Bosch by 1	11.4%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.47
FC Den Bosch by 2	5.3%	7.2%	8.8%	0.82×	13.81
FC Den Bosch by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.98