Gazovik Orenburg v Krasnodar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 17 September 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Gazovik Orenburg

09:15

Krasnodar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 269h before kick-off

Gazovik Orenburg win

10.7%

model 14.3%

Draw

28.4%

model 26.2%

Krasnodar win

60.9%

model 59.5%

112861

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.6%
0-2 13.1%
1-1 12.0%
0-0 10.5%
1-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.0%	Under 2.5	58.0%
BTTS yes	41.8%	BTTS no	58.2%
Gazovik Orenburg 1+	50.2%	Gazovik Orenburg 2+	15.5%
Krasnodar 1+	81.0%	Krasnodar 2+	49.5%

Expected goals 0.70 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

72/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

90%

★ Best pick

Krasnodar (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 28%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gazovik Orenburg to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 67%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Krasnodar carry the stronger rating, 1768 Elo against 1402.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.90).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Krasnodar have an estimated 60.9% win probability, against 28.4% for the draw and 10.7% for Gazovik Orenburg. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.70 for Gazovik Orenburg and 1.66 for Krasnodar.

Why Gazovik Orenburg

Nothing in the data singles out Gazovik Orenburg.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.4%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Krasnodar can win

Krasnodar carry the stronger rating, 1768 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gazovik Orenburg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Krasnodar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gazovik Orenburg: 38% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Krasnodar: 53% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Krasnodar are the model's most likely outcome at 60.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 72/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	142660	0.70–1.66	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	92170	0.60–2.00	0-2 15%	48%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar to win	69.7%	65.2%	28.2%	2.31×	1.53
Draw	21.2%	24.4%	27.8%	0.88×	4.09
Gazovik Orenburg to win	9.1%	8.2%	44.2%	0.18×	12.25

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar & not both score	46.7%	42.8%	14.9%	2.87×	2.34
Krasnodar & both teams score	22.9%	21.9%	13.5%	1.62×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	12.8%	13.2%	20.7%	0.64×	7.55
Draw & not both score	8.4%	8.4%	7.4%	1.14×	11.94
Gazovik Orenburg & not both score	5.2%	8.4%	25.6%	0.33×	11.96
Gazovik Orenburg & both teams score	3.9%	4.9%	18.8%	0.26×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar & over 1.5	55.7%	54.9%	20.7%	2.66×	1.82
Krasnodar & under 3.5	47.8%	45.2%	20.7%	2.19×	2.21
Krasnodar & over 2.5	40.7%	40.3%	16.6%	2.43×	2.48
Krasnodar & under 2.5	29.0%	26.0%	11.9%	2.19×	3.84
Krasnodar & over 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	7.8%	2.78×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Krasnodar & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	7.8%	1.66×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	12.8%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.78
Gazovik Orenburg & under 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	30.9%	0.26×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.4%	1.07×	12.69
Gazovik Orenburg & over 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	33.5%	0.23×	12.69
Gazovik Orenburg & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	18.4%	0.26×	20.92
Gazovik Orenburg & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	26.0%	0.18×	20.93
Gazovik Orenburg & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	10.8%	0.44×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.0%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.94
Gazovik Orenburg & over 3.5	1.3%	4.8%	13.5%	0.35×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (1UP)	78.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Gazovik Orenburg (1UP)	23.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (2UP)	69.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Gazovik Orenburg (2UP)	9.1%	9.0%	—	—	11.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar to win 2nd half	58.1%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
2nd half drawn	31.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Gazovik Orenburg to win 2nd half	10.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (+2.5)	99.6%	96.3%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Krasnodar (+1.5)	97.7%	96.3%	77.3%	1.25×	1.04
Krasnodar (+0.5)	90.9%	92.1%	55.8%	1.65×	1.09
Krasnodar (-0.5)	69.7%	68.7%	28.2%	2.44×	1.46
Gazovik Orenburg (+0.5)	30.3%	31.3%	71.8%	0.44×	3.20
Gazovik Orenburg (-0.5)	9.1%	7.9%	44.2%	0.18×	12.65
Gazovik Orenburg (-1.5)	2.3%	3.7%	22.7%	0.16×	26.86
Gazovik Orenburg (-2.5)	0.4%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar clean sheet	55.1%	62.6%	22.1%	2.83×	1.60
Krasnodar to concede	44.9%	37.4%	77.9%	0.48×	2.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar clean sheet in 1st half	77.4%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Krasnodar to concede in 1st half	22.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar under 6.5 corners	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Krasnodar over 2.5 corners	75.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Krasnodar under 5.5 corners	72.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Krasnodar over 3.5 corners	58.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Krasnodar under 4.5 corners	58.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Krasnodar over 4.5 corners	41.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Krasnodar under 3.5 corners	41.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Krasnodar over 5.5 corners	27.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Krasnodar under 2.5 corners	24.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Krasnodar over 6.5 corners	17.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.9%	67.3%	1.31×	1.14
Krasnodar under 3.5 goals	85.8%	87.9%	96.9%	0.91×	1.14
Krasnodar under 2.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	88.8%	0.77×	1.47
Krasnodar over 1.5 goals	59.4%	59.6%	29.9%	2.00×	1.68
Krasnodar under 1.5 goals	40.6%	40.4%	70.1%	0.58×	2.48
Krasnodar over 2.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	11.2%	2.85×	3.12
Krasnodar over 3.5 goals	14.2%	12.1%	3.1%	3.95×	8.24
Krasnodar under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.1%	32.7%	0.37×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Krasnodar over 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Krasnodar under 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Krasnodar over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	69.8%	66.5%	38.6%	1.72×	1.50
Gazovik Orenburg (away no bet)	30.2%	33.5%	61.4%	0.55×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar even goals	50.9%	52.7%	53.4%	0.99×	1.90
Krasnodar odd goals	49.1%	47.3%	46.6%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.3%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Krasnodar to score 2+ in a row	54.4%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Krasnodar to score 3+ in a row	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Gazovik Orenburg to score 2+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.92
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+ in a row	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.51

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+3.5)	86.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Krasnodar corners (+3.5)	83.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+2.5)	79.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Krasnodar corners (+2.5)	74.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+1.5)	70.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Krasnodar corners (+1.5)	64.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-1.5)	35.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Krasnodar corners (-1.5)	29.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-2.5)	25.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Krasnodar corners (-2.5)	20.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Krasnodar corners (-3.5)	13.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.1%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	21.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.4%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	62.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 9.5 corners	60.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 8.5 corners	50.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 8.5 corners	49.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 9.5 corners	39.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 7.5 corners	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.80

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	14.9%	11.5%	4.3%	2.67×	8.73
0-1	14.0%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.46
0-3	9.9%	7.4%	2.5%	3.03×	13.46
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	14.9%	0.50×	13.46
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.46
1-3	5.9%	7.4%	2.5%	3.03×	13.46
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.46
0-4	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.56
1-0	3.6%	1.7%	10.8%	0.16×	58.57
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.58
2-0	1.3%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.59
2-1	2.7%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.58
2-2	2.7%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.58
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.58
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.59
3-0	0.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.59
3-1	0.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.59
3-2	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.59
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.17×	58.59
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.59
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.59
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.17×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.35×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar leading at HT (DNB)	80.8%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT (DNB)	19.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.12

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar or draw (X2)	90.9%	91.8%	55.8%	1.65×	1.09
Gazovik Orenburg or Krasnodar (12)	78.8%	75.6%	72.2%	1.05×	1.32
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1X)	30.3%	34.8%	71.8%	0.48×	2.88

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar or draw at HT	89.0%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Gazovik Orenburg or Krasnodar at HT	57.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Gazovik Orenburg or draw at HT	53.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar or draw (1UP)	90.9%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1UP)	30.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar or draw in 2nd half	89.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Gazovik Orenburg or Krasnodar in 2nd half	68.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Gazovik Orenburg or draw in 2nd half	41.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (DNB)	88.4%	87.6%	39.0%	2.25×	1.14
Gazovik Orenburg (DNB)	11.6%	12.4%	61.0%	0.20×	8.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar to score first	70.6%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Gazovik Orenburg to score first	21.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
No goal scored	8.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.3%	56.5%	47.4%	1.19×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.7%	43.5%	52.6%	0.83×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.5%	37.2%	1.12×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	29.9%	33.6%	37.8%	0.89×	2.97
Not both score & over 2.5	18.1%	21.8%	10.4%	2.09×	4.59
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	14.9%	0.56×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.8%	89.1%	86.9%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.2%	10.9%	13.1%	0.83×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.6%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.4%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score 1st half only	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Both score in both halves	2.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.44

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	48.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.0%	26.4%	25.6%	1.03×	3.79
4-6 goals	24.6%	22.8%	25.4%	0.90×	4.38
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.11×	55.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar to score 3+	32.3%	33.9%	11.2%	3.01×	2.95
Krasnodar to score exactly 1	27.1%	27.4%	37.6%	0.73×	3.65
Krasnodar to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	18.8%	1.46×	3.65
Krasnodar to score exactly 0	13.6%	12.8%	32.7%	0.39×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 0	55.1%	44.4%	22.1%	2.01×	2.25
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.6%	35.2%	0.93×	3.06
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 2	9.8%	10.3%	24.3%	0.42×	9.67
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+	2.3%	6.1%	18.8%	0.32×	16.38

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar leading at HT	46.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	42.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT	11.0%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar -1: 2	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Krasnodar -1: 1	30.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Krasnodar -1: X	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (0:1)	90.9%	87.3%	55.8%	1.56×	1.15
Draw (0:1)	6.8%	9.2%	21.7%	0.43×	10.85
Gazovik Orenburg (0:1)	2.3%	5.7%	22.7%	0.25×	17.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (0:2)	97.7%	94.2%	77.3%	1.22×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	1.9%	3.8%	12.5%	0.30×	26.58
Gazovik Orenburg (0:2)	0.4%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (0:3)	99.6%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.13
Gazovik Orenburg (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	4.7%	0.50×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Gazovik Orenburg (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.48
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (1:0)	44.8%	43.1%	11.5%	3.76×	2.32
Gazovik Orenburg (1:0)	30.3%	30.2%	71.8%	0.42×	3.31
Draw (1:0)	24.9%	21.7%	17.0%	1.28×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (2:0)	55.2%	62.6%	88.5%	0.71×	1.60
Krasnodar (2:0)	23.0%	19.2%	4.3%	4.47×	5.21
Draw (2:0)	21.8%	19.1%	7.4%	2.59×	5.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede	86.4%	86.0%	67.3%	1.28×	1.16
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet	13.6%	14.0%	32.7%	0.43×	7.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 1st half	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 1st half	45.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 corners	78.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Gazovik Orenburg under 5.5 corners	68.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 corners	63.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Gazovik Orenburg under 4.5 corners	53.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Gazovik Orenburg over 4.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Gazovik Orenburg over 5.5 corners	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 corners	21.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Gazovik Orenburg over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 goals	99.7%	96.4%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	81.2%	1.19×	1.04
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 goals	87.9%	87.2%	57.1%	1.53×	1.15
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 goals	55.1%	58.8%	22.1%	2.66×	1.70
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 goals	44.9%	41.2%	77.9%	0.53×	2.43
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 goals	12.1%	12.8%	42.9%	0.30×	7.84
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	18.8%	0.19×	27.46
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 goals	0.3%	3.6%	7.4%	0.49×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 1st half	97.2%	97.5%	—	—	1.03
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 1st half	77.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 1st half	22.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 1st half	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar (home no bet)	76.7%	78.6%	50.4%	1.56×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	23.3%	21.4%	49.6%	0.43×	4.68

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg even goals	65.2%	65.3%	50.5%	1.29×	1.53
Gazovik Orenburg odd goals	34.8%	34.7%	49.5%	0.70×	2.88

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
HT 0-1	27.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
HT 0-2	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-0	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 1-1	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.55
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 2-0	1.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.85
HT 2-1	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar at HT / Krasnodar at FT	42.7%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT / Krasnodar at FT	24.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Draw at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Krasnodar at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Krasnodar at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
Krasnodar at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.27

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar to score last	70.8%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Gazovik Orenburg to score last	20.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
No goal scored	8.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Krasnodar to lead by 1 at any time	78.0%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Krasnodar to lead by 2 at any time	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Krasnodar to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 1 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 2 at any time	4.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.44
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.5%	—	—	65.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg most corners	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Krasnodar most corners	40.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.5%	78.6%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.4%	72.4%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.2%	69.0%	69.3%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.4%	69.0%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.5%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.7%	47.9%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.3%	48.7%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.6%	43.6%	44.8%	0.97×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.2%	43.6%	42.9%	1.02×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	39.2%	35.0%	1.12×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.6%	24.5%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.4%	24.4%	21.7%	1.13×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.5%	14.8%	11.9%	1.25×	6.74
7+ goals	1.7%	2.5%	1.6%	1.55×	39.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar never behind	68.7%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Gazovik Orenburg never behind	13.6%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.8%	87.7%	86.7%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.0%	72.5%	74.4%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.0%	52.4%	51.9%	1.01×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.0%	47.6%	48.1%	0.99×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	26.8%	1.02×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	26.0%	27.5%	25.6%	1.07×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.2%	12.3%	13.3%	0.93×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.17

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.3%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.8%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.8%	86.7%	84.6%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.4%	67.3%	66.0%	1.02×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.9%	62.2%	65.3%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.1%	37.8%	34.7%	1.09×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.6%	32.7%	34.0%	0.96×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.2%	13.3%	15.4%	0.86×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.2%	7.5%	5.8%	1.30×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.7%	1.7%	1.62×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.1%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.77

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to score in both halves	93.5%	90.5%	—	—	1.10
Krasnodar not to score in both halves	61.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Krasnodar to score in both halves	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Gazovik Orenburg to score in both halves	6.5%	9.5%	—	—	10.57

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Krasnodar scores	46.7%	50.4%	14.9%	3.37×	1.99
Both teams score	39.7%	39.9%	52.6%	0.76×	2.51
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.2%	7.4%	0.98×	13.93
Only Gazovik Orenburg scores	5.2%	7.2%	25.6%	0.28×	13.96

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	25.0%	26.6%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.1%	12.1%	13.7%	0.88×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.03×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.3%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.8%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.60

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win both halves	98.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Krasnodar not to win both halves	72.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Krasnodar to win both halves	27.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Gazovik Orenburg to win both halves	1.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to win neither half	80.0%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Krasnodar to win either half	77.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Krasnodar to win neither half	22.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Gazovik Orenburg to win either half	20.0%	19.9%	—	—	5.01

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win to nil	94.8%	92.1%	74.4%	1.24×	1.09
Krasnodar not to win to nil	53.3%	54.4%	85.1%	0.64×	1.84
Krasnodar to win to nil	46.7%	45.6%	14.9%	3.05×	2.19
Gazovik Orenburg to win to nil	5.2%	7.9%	25.6%	0.31×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Krasnodar by 1	24.9%	24.1%	17.0%	1.42×	4.14
Krasnodar by 3+	23.0%	24.1%	4.3%	5.62×	4.14
Krasnodar by 2	21.8%	24.1%	7.4%	3.28×	4.14
Draw	21.2%	24.1%	27.8%	0.87×	4.14
Gazovik Orenburg by 1	6.8%	7.2%	21.7%	0.33×	13.81
Gazovik Orenburg by 2	1.9%	2.7%	12.5%	0.22×	37.01
Gazovik Orenburg by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	37.06