Girona v Albacete — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 25 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Girona

14:30

Albacete

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 467h before kick-off

Girona win

51.5%

model 53.2%

Draw

21.2%

model 21.3%

Albacete win

27.3%

model 25.5%

522127

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
1-1 9.4%
1-0 7.6%
2-0 7.3%
1-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.8%	Under 2.5	36.2%
BTTS yes	62.7%	BTTS no	37.3%
Girona 1+	86.2%	Girona 2+	58.8%
Albacete 1+	73.0%	Albacete 2+	37.7%

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 35%

53.6% fair odds 1.87

strong signal · 556 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Girona.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Girona have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for Albacete and 21.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.98 for Girona and 1.31 for Albacete.

Why Girona

Nothing in the data singles out Girona.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.2%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Albacete can win

Nothing in the data singles out Albacete.

Key players

Girona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Viktor Tsygankov (0.37), Azz-Eddine Ounahi (0.33), Bryan Gil Salvatierra (0.18).

Availability

No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Girona: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces. Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Girona are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Girona are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWDLLLDDLD last 10 scored 8 from 12.7 xG conceded 12 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532126	1.98–1.31	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	581923	2.27–1.37	2-1 9%	70%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win	58.1%	54.1%	45.4%	1.19×	1.85
Albacete to win	22.5%	24.4%	28.1%	0.87×	4.09
Draw	19.4%	19.4%	26.6%	0.73×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona & both teams score	35.0%	29.7%	21.9%	1.36×	3.36
Girona & not both score	23.1%	21.9%	23.7%	0.93×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	16.9%	17.9%	17.6%	1.02×	5.58
Albacete & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	14.7%	0.90×	7.54
Albacete & not both score	7.9%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.93
Draw & not both score	2.4%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona & over 1.5	51.9%	48.7%	32.5%	1.50×	2.05
Girona & over 2.5	45.1%	45.2%	26.2%	1.72×	2.22
Girona & over 3.5	30.7%	30.8%	13.2%	2.33×	3.24
Girona & under 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	32.3%	0.81×	3.84
Albacete & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Albacete & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Girona & under 2.5	13.0%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Albacete & under 3.5	12.9%	12.9%	19.7%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Albacete & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	8.5%	0.92×	12.70
Girona & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	13.0%	0.60×	12.70
Albacete & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.6%	0.68×	12.70
Albacete & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	2.4%	4.8%	9.1%	0.52×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (1UP)	73.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Albacete (1UP)	44.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (2UP)	58.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Albacete (2UP)	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win 2nd half	47.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	28.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Albacete to win 2nd half	23.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (+2.5)	80.8%	82.4%	92.3%	0.89×	1.21
Girona (+0.5)	77.5%	78.5%	71.9%	1.09×	1.28
Albacete (+1.5)	63.6%	62.9%	80.4%	0.78×	1.59
Girona (-0.5)	58.1%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
Albacete (+0.5)	41.9%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
Girona (-1.5)	36.4%	37.1%	19.6%	1.90×	2.70
Albacete (-0.5)	22.5%	21.5%	28.1%	0.77×	4.64
Girona (-2.5)	19.2%	17.6%	7.7%	2.29×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede	89.7%	86.5%	77.5%	1.12×	1.16
Albacete clean sheet	10.3%	13.5%	22.5%	0.60×	7.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede in 1st half	62.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Albacete clean sheet in 1st half	37.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Albacete under 5.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Albacete over 2.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Albacete under 4.5 corners	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Albacete over 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Albacete under 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Albacete over 4.5 corners	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Albacete under 2.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Albacete over 5.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Albacete over 6.5 corners	15.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 3.5 goals	95.0%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Albacete under 2.5 goals	84.2%	81.4%	89.2%	0.91×	1.23
Albacete over 0.5 goals	74.5%	72.0%	67.3%	1.07×	1.39
Albacete under 1.5 goals	60.4%	62.9%	69.5%	0.91×	1.59
Albacete over 1.5 goals	39.6%	37.1%	30.5%	1.22×	2.70
Albacete under 0.5 goals	25.5%	28.0%	32.7%	0.86×	3.57
Albacete over 2.5 goals	15.8%	18.6%	10.8%	1.71×	5.39
Albacete over 3.5 goals	5.0%	2.5%	3.0%	0.81×	40.71

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half	89.6%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half	10.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (away no bet)	75.0%	73.5%	63.1%	1.17×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	25.0%	26.5%	36.9%	0.72×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete even goals	53.3%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.90
Albacete odd goals	46.7%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.9%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.68

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.5%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Girona to score 2+ in a row	56.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Albacete to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Girona to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Albacete to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona corners (+3.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Girona corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Girona corners (+1.5)	81.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Albacete corners (+3.5)	67.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Albacete corners (+2.5)	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Girona corners (-1.5)	53.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Albacete corners (+1.5)	46.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Girona corners (-2.5)	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Girona corners (-3.5)	32.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Albacete corners (-1.5)	18.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Albacete corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Albacete corners (-3.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	74.2%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	25.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.47
Any other score	9.2%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.47
1-1	7.9%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.47
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.47
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.5%	1.64×	13.47
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.47
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.47
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.47
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	3.0%	2.43×	13.47
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.50
0-0	2.4%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.51
0-1	3.8%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.50
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.51
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.52
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.52
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.52
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.51
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.52
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.51
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.52
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.51
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.50
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.51
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.42×	58.52
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Albacete leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or Albacete (12)	80.6%	80.6%	73.4%	1.10×	1.24
Girona or draw (1X)	77.5%	75.6%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
Albacete or draw (X2)	41.9%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw at HT	80.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Girona or Albacete at HT	65.0%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Albacete or draw at HT	55.0%	56.5%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw (1UP)	77.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Albacete or draw (1UP)	44.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Girona or Albacete in 2nd half	71.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Albacete or draw in 2nd half	52.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.2%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (DNB)	72.1%	71.4%	61.8%	1.16×	1.40
Albacete (DNB)	27.9%	28.6%	38.2%	0.75×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score first	61.0%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Albacete to score first	36.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	2.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.6%	58.2%	53.9%	1.08×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.4%	41.8%	46.1%	0.91×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.6%	47.3%	42.8%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	21.7%	27.7%	39.9%	0.70×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	6.3%	1.95×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	7.9%	8.4%	11.3%	0.74×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.7%	80.7%	85.7%	0.94×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.3%	19.3%	14.3%	1.35×	5.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.5%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Both score 1st half only	15.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score in both halves	10.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.8%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.7%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	31.3%	33.1%	—	—	3.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.7%	42.1%	26.5%	1.59×	2.38
2-3 goals	38.3%	35.1%	41.4%	0.85×	2.85
0-1 goals	12.4%	16.9%	30.7%	0.55×	5.90
7+ goals	7.6%	7.6%	1.6%	4.82×	13.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.9%	36.9%	0.92×	2.95
Albacete to score exactly 0	25.5%	27.4%	32.7%	0.84×	3.65
Albacete to score exactly 2	23.8%	22.4%	19.8%	1.13×	4.46
Albacete to score 3+	15.8%	19.5%	10.8%	1.80×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score 3+	39.7%	35.6%	17.0%	2.09×	2.81
Girona to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Girona to score exactly 1	23.4%	23.3%	35.6%	0.65×	4.30
Girona to score exactly 0	10.3%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona leading at HT	45.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	35.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Albacete leading at HT	20.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona -1: 2	41.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Girona -1: 1	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Girona -1: X	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:1)	41.9%	42.7%	54.6%	0.78×	2.34
Girona (0:1)	36.4%	37.3%	19.6%	1.91×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.3%	26.0%	0.93×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:2)	63.6%	67.3%	80.4%	0.84×	1.49
Girona (0:2)	19.2%	15.3%	7.7%	2.00×	6.53
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	12.0%	1.28×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:3)	80.8%	85.1%	92.3%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.6%	10.0%	5.4%	1.86×	10.01
Girona (0:3)	8.5%	5.8%	2.4%	2.41×	17.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:4)	91.5%	94.6%	97.6%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.3%	4.6%	2.1%	2.20×	21.65
Girona (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	0.4%	2.86×	83.23

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (1:0)	77.5%	78.5%	71.9%	1.09×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.1%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.80
Albacete (1:0)	9.4%	6.9%	10.2%	0.68×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (2:0)	90.6%	93.9%	89.8%	1.05×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.2%	6.4%	7.0%	0.91×	15.54
Albacete (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to concede	74.5%	73.1%	67.3%	1.09×	1.37
Girona clean sheet	25.5%	26.9%	32.7%	0.82×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Girona to concede in 1st half	42.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Girona over 3.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Girona over 4.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Girona under 6.5 corners	60.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Girona over 5.5 corners	52.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Girona under 5.5 corners	47.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Girona over 6.5 corners	39.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Girona under 4.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Girona under 3.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Girona under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Girona under 3.5 goals	80.5%	82.1%	93.7%	0.88×	1.22
Girona over 1.5 goals	66.3%	67.8%	42.0%	1.62×	1.47
Girona under 2.5 goals	60.3%	63.4%	83.0%	0.76×	1.58
Girona over 2.5 goals	39.7%	36.6%	17.0%	2.15×	2.73
Girona under 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.2%	58.0%	0.55×	3.11
Girona over 3.5 goals	19.5%	17.9%	6.3%	2.84×	5.59
Girona under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Girona over 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Girona under 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Girona over 1.5 in 1st half	25.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (home no bet)	53.8%	51.6%	51.3%	1.01×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.2%	48.4%	48.7%	0.99×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona even goals	50.5%	50.6%	51.8%	0.98×	1.98
Girona odd goals	49.5%	49.4%	48.2%	1.03×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	21.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-1	5.7%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.83
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.83
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona at HT / Girona at FT	37.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Girona at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Draw at HT / Albacete at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Girona at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Albacete at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Albacete at HT / Girona at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Girona at HT / Albacete at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score last	60.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Albacete to score last	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
No goal scored	2.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Girona to lead by 1 at any time	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Girona to lead by 2 at any time	45.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Albacete to lead by 1 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Girona to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Albacete to lead by 2 at any time	16.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Albacete to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona most corners	63.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Albacete most corners	26.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	9.8%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.5%	83.5%	85.8%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.6%	67.8%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.5%	72.4%	64.2%	1.13×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.5%	69.0%	78.1%	0.88×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.8%	63.4%	47.5%	1.33×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.5%	59.2%	56.6%	1.05×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	44.0%	1.21×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.3%	48.7%	63.0%	0.77×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.7%	43.6%	26.5%	1.64×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	36.3%	1.20×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.3%	39.2%	41.4%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.2%	35.4%	22.9%	1.54×	2.83
1-2 goals	27.2%	30.2%	42.0%	0.72×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.5%	24.5%	11.4%	2.15×	4.09
7+ goals	7.6%	8.7%	1.6%	5.55×	11.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona never behind	53.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Albacete never behind	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	51.5%	0.95×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.6%	95.5%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	69.3%	1.26×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	94.8%	0.87×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	70.4%	72.5%	49.0%	1.48×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.9%	66.2%	87.2%	0.76×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	50.7%	52.4%	72.0%	0.73×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	49.3%	47.6%	28.0%	1.70×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	30.1%	33.8%	12.8%	2.63×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	29.6%	27.5%	51.0%	0.54×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	5.2%	3.42×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	30.7%	0.40×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.7%	92.5%	98.4%	0.94×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.0%	86.7%	61.5%	1.41×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.3%	81.1%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.8%	62.1%	84.9%	0.73×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.5%	62.1%	35.4%	1.75×	1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.5%	37.9%	64.6%	0.59×	2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.2%	37.9%	15.1%	2.51×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.7%	18.9%	5.6%	3.39×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	15.0%	13.3%	38.5%	0.34×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.3%	7.5%	1.6%	4.61×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.2%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	45.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Girona not to score in both halves	54.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Girona to score in both halves	45.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Albacete to score in both halves	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.6%	59.5%	53.9%	1.10×	1.68
Only Girona scores	23.1%	22.4%	23.7%	0.94×	4.47
Only Albacete scores	7.9%	7.2%	13.5%	0.53×	13.91
Neither team scores	2.4%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.86

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.4%	15.2%	1.14×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.2%	17.4%	20.4%	0.86×	5.73
6 or more goals	16.1%	17.4%	5.2%	3.38×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	10.0%	12.1%	21.7%	0.56×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	2.4%	4.4%	9.1%	0.48×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	12.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win both halves	95.3%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Girona not to win both halves	78.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Girona to win both halves	21.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Albacete to win both halves	4.7%	2.9%	—	—	35.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to win either half	71.3%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Albacete to win neither half	61.0%	65.2%	—	—	1.54
Albacete to win either half	39.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Girona to win neither half	28.7%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete not to win to nil	92.1%	92.0%	86.5%	1.06×	1.09
Girona not to win to nil	76.9%	78.0%	76.3%	1.02×	1.28
Girona to win to nil	23.1%	22.0%	23.7%	0.93×	4.55
Albacete to win to nil	7.9%	8.0%	13.5%	0.59×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona by 1	21.7%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.14
Girona by 3+	19.2%	17.0%	7.7%	2.21×	5.90
Draw	19.4%	17.0%	26.6%	0.64×	5.90
Girona by 2	17.2%	17.0%	12.0%	1.41×	5.90
Albacete by 1	13.1%	11.8%	18.0%	0.66×	8.47
Albacete by 2	6.2%	7.2%	7.0%	1.03×	13.80
Albacete by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	37.03