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Goztepe v Caykur Rizespor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Goztepe win
46.9%
model 47.0%
Draw
26.5%
model 25.5%
Caykur Rizespor win
26.6%
model 27.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.7%
  2. 2-1 9.4%
  3. 2-0 7.1%
  4. 1-2 7.0%
  5. 1-0 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.560.4% Under 2.539.6%
BTTS yes62.6% BTTS no37.4%
Goztepe 1+83.3% Goztepe 2+53.4%
Caykur Rizespor 1+73.6% Caykur Rizespor 2+38.5%

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 74%
78.9% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Goztepe over 0.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 78%
82.8% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Goztepe carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1509.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Goztepe have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.6% for Caykur Rizespor and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.79 for Goztepe and 1.33 for Caykur Rizespor.

Why Goztepe

Goztepe carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1509.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Caykur Rizespor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Caykur Rizespor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Goztepe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Caykur Rizespor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Goztepe: 38% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Caykur Rizespor: 54% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Goztepe are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.79–1.33 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.93–1.25 1-1 11% 62% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to win 52.2% 51.5% 45.4% 1.13× 1.94
Draw 24.5% 24.5% 26.0% 0.94× 4.09
Caykur Rizespor to win 23.3% 24.4% 28.7% 0.85× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe & both teams score 28.8% 25.2% 23.2% 1.08× 3.97
Goztepe & not both score 23.4% 21.9% 22.3% 0.98× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.1% 17.9% 18.2% 0.98× 5.58
Caykur Rizespor & both teams score 14.2% 13.3% 14.5% 0.91× 7.54
Caykur Rizespor & not both score 9.1% 8.4% 14.3% 0.58× 11.92
Draw & not both score 5.3% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe & over 1.5 45.4% 45.2% 36.2% 1.25× 2.21
Goztepe & over 2.5 37.6% 34.9% 30.3% 1.15× 2.86
Goztepe & under 3.5 29.4% 26.0% 29.4% 0.88× 3.84
Goztepe & over 3.5 22.9% 21.6% 16.1% 1.34× 4.62
Caykur Rizespor & over 1.5 19.3% 18.0% 22.3% 0.81× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 19.1% 18.0% 18.2% 0.99× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 16.5% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 16.5% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Caykur Rizespor & over 2.5 16.1% 18.0% 18.0% 1.00× 5.56
Caykur Rizespor & under 3.5 14.8% 12.9% 19.5% 0.66× 7.77
Goztepe & under 2.5 14.7% 12.9% 15.2% 0.85× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 7.9% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.9% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.70
Caykur Rizespor & under 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 10.8% 0.73× 12.70
Caykur Rizespor & over 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.70
Goztepe & under 1.5 6.9% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 5.3% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.70
Caykur Rizespor & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 6.5% 0.73× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (1UP) 68.3% 70.0% 1.43
Caykur Rizespor (1UP) 43.8% 39.2% 2.55
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (2UP) 52.2% 55.9% 1.79
Caykur Rizespor (2UP) 23.3% 23.5% 4.25
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to win 2nd half 43.3% 41.3% 2.42
2nd half drawn 32.4% 34.3% 2.92
Caykur Rizespor to win 2nd half 24.3% 23.1% 4.34
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (+2.5) 85.4% 88.5% 90.1% 0.98× 1.13
Goztepe (+0.5) 76.7% 78.5% 71.3% 1.10× 1.28
Caykur Rizespor (+1.5) 69.1% 68.7% 78.6% 0.87× 1.46
Goztepe (-0.5) 52.2% 52.4% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Caykur Rizespor (+0.5) 47.8% 47.6% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Goztepe (-1.5) 30.9% 31.3% 21.5% 1.46× 3.20
Caykur Rizespor (-0.5) 23.3% 21.6% 28.7% 0.75× 4.64
Goztepe (-2.5) 14.6% 11.5% 9.9% 1.16× 8.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to concede 85.5% 86.4% 77.8% 1.11× 1.16
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet 14.5% 13.6% 22.2% 0.61× 7.35
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to concede in 1st half 56.4% 57.8% 1.73
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet in 1st half 43.6% 42.2% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 6.5 corners 83.6% 81.5% 1.23
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 corners 74.0% 71.6% 1.40
Caykur Rizespor under 5.5 corners 73.4% 71.6% 1.40
Caykur Rizespor under 4.5 corners 59.7% 57.1% 1.75
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 corners 56.8% 57.1% 1.75
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 corners 43.2% 42.9% 2.33
Caykur Rizespor over 4.5 corners 40.3% 42.9% 2.33
Caykur Rizespor over 5.5 corners 26.6% 28.4% 3.52
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 corners 26.0% 28.4% 3.52
Caykur Rizespor over 6.5 corners 16.4% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 3.5 goals 96.2% 97.5% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Caykur Rizespor under 2.5 goals 86.9% 87.9% 86.2% 1.02× 1.14
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 goals 71.2% 71.9% 69.8% 1.03× 1.39
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 goals 64.6% 63.0% 65.2% 0.97× 1.59
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 goals 35.4% 37.0% 34.8% 1.07× 2.70
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 goals 28.8% 28.1% 30.2% 0.93× 3.56
Caykur Rizespor over 2.5 goals 13.1% 12.1% 13.8% 0.88× 8.26
Caykur Rizespor over 3.5 goals 3.8% 2.5% 4.6% 0.53× 40.78
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor under 1.5 in 1st half 91.0% 94.1% 1.06
Caykur Rizespor under 0.5 in 1st half 60.8% 64.4% 1.55
Caykur Rizespor over 0.5 in 1st half 39.3% 35.6% 2.81
Caykur Rizespor over 1.5 in 1st half 9.0% 5.9% 16.87
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (away no bet) 68.1% 66.4% 63.6% 1.05× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 31.9% 33.6% 36.4% 0.92× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor even goals 54.1% 52.8% 54.4% 0.97× 1.89
Caykur Rizespor odd goals 45.9% 47.2% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 78.8% 82.5% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 21.2% 17.5% 5.72
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 73.0% 67.2% 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 27.0% 32.9% 3.04
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.4% 59.8% 1.67
Goztepe to score 2+ in a row 48.1% 46.0% 2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row 26.6% 25.1% 3.98
Caykur Rizespor to score 2+ in a row 24.9% 19.6% 5.11
Goztepe to score 3+ in a row 20.5% 19.5% 5.14
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ in a row 6.5% 5.6% 17.83
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe corners (+3.5) 87.5% 84.5% 1.18
Caykur Rizespor corners (+3.5) 81.3% 79.7% 1.25
Goztepe corners (+2.5) 80.6% 79.7% 1.25
Caykur Rizespor corners (+2.5) 72.8% 70.7% 1.41
Goztepe corners (+1.5) 71.7% 70.7% 1.41
Caykur Rizespor corners (+1.5) 62.4% 61.9% 1.62
Goztepe corners (-1.5) 37.6% 38.1% 2.63
Caykur Rizespor corners (-1.5) 28.3% 29.3% 3.41
Goztepe corners (-2.5) 27.2% 29.3% 3.42
Caykur Rizespor corners (-2.5) 19.4% 20.3% 4.93
Goztepe corners (-3.5) 18.7% 20.3% 4.93
Caykur Rizespor corners (-3.5) 12.5% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 49.4% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.0% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 21.6% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 84.9% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 78.4% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 70.2% 72.7% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 62.1% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 60.4% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 50.6% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 49.4% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 39.6% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 37.9% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 29.8% 27.3% 3.66
Over 11.5 corners 21.6% 23.5% 4.26
Over 12.5 corners 15.1% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.2% 11.4% 12.6% 0.91× 8.74
2-1 9.7% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.47
1-0 6.9% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.47
2-0 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.47
0-0 5.3% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.47
1-2 6.2% 7.4% 6.7% 1.12× 13.47
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
3-0 5.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.47
3-1 6.2% 7.4% 4.7% 1.57× 13.47
Any other score 5.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.47
0-1 4.0% 1.7% 6.5% 0.26× 58.50
0-2 3.2% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.51
0-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.52
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.52
1-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.51
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.52
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.51
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
3-2 3.9% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.50
3-3 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.51
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.52
4-0 2.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.51
4-1 3.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.51
4-2 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.51
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.52
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 11.55× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe leading at HT (DNB) 66.6% 74.1% 1.35
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT (DNB) 33.4% 25.9% 3.86
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe or draw (1X) 76.7% 75.6% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
Goztepe or Caykur Rizespor (12) 75.5% 75.5% 74.0% 1.02× 1.32
Caykur Rizespor or draw (X2) 47.8% 48.5% 54.6% 0.89× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe or draw at HT 79.6% 80.0% 1.25
Goztepe or Caykur Rizespor at HT 61.0% 62.2% 1.61
Caykur Rizespor or draw at HT 59.4% 56.6% 1.77
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe or draw (1UP) 76.7% 84.0% 1.19
Caykur Rizespor or draw (1UP) 47.8% 52.5% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe or draw in 2nd half 75.7% 76.9% 1.30
Goztepe or Caykur Rizespor in 2nd half 67.6% 65.7% 1.52
Caykur Rizespor or draw in 2nd half 56.7% 58.7% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.5% 58.1% 1.72
Neither half drawn 42.5% 41.9% 2.39
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (DNB) 69.1% 67.2% 61.3% 1.10× 1.49
Caykur Rizespor (DNB) 30.9% 32.8% 38.7% 0.85× 3.05
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to score first 57.6% 61.9% 1.61
Caykur Rizespor to score first 37.1% 32.7% 3.06
No goal scored 5.3% 7.4% 13.47
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 62.1% 56.5% 55.6% 1.02× 1.77
Not both teams to score 37.9% 43.5% 44.4% 0.98× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 50.9% 47.0% 43.2% 1.09× 2.13
Not both score & under 2.5 27.2% 33.6% 33.7% 1.00× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 11.2% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 10.7% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.12
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 79.6% 80.0% 83.4% 0.96× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 20.4% 20.0% 16.6% 1.21× 5.01
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.4% 66.0% 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 35.6% 34.0% 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 49.9% 53.8% 1.86
Both score 2nd half only 27.8% 26.3% 3.80
Both score 1st half only 14.6% 10.6% 9.45
Both score in both halves 7.8% 6.8% 14.76
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.6% 81.3% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 22.4% 18.7% 5.35
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 62.5% 58.7% 1.71
A half without a goal 37.5% 41.3% 2.42
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.5% 42.1% 45.7% 0.92× 2.38
4-6 goals 35.0% 30.8% 28.4% 1.08× 3.25
0-1 goals 16.2% 20.2% 23.5% 0.86× 4.96
7+ goals 4.3% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.80
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 1 35.8% 36.0% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 0 28.8% 27.4% 30.2% 0.91× 3.65
Caykur Rizespor to score exactly 2 22.3% 22.4% 21.2% 1.06× 4.46
Caykur Rizespor to score 3+ 13.1% 12.8% 13.8% 0.93× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to score 3+ 30.5% 32.6% 22.2% 1.47× 3.06
Goztepe to score exactly 1 28.0% 26.5% 32.1% 0.83× 3.77
Goztepe to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 23.8% 1.11× 3.77
Goztepe to score exactly 0 14.5% 14.4% 22.2% 0.65× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe leading at HT 40.6% 43.4% 2.31
Draw at HT 39.0% 37.8% 2.65
Caykur Rizespor leading at HT 20.4% 20.0% 5.00
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe -1: 2 47.8% 46.9% 2.13
Goztepe -1: 1 30.9% 30.0% 3.33
Goztepe -1: X 21.3% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (0:1) 47.8% 45.9% 54.6% 0.84× 2.18
Goztepe (0:1) 30.9% 30.0% 21.5% 1.40× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 21.3% 24.3% 24.1% 1.01× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (0:2) 69.1% 72.2% 78.6% 0.92× 1.38
Draw (0:2) 16.2% 15.3% 11.7% 1.31× 6.54
Goztepe (0:2) 14.6% 11.0% 9.9% 1.11× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (0:3) 85.4% 90.7% 90.1% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.9% 5.8% 6.5% 0.90× 17.15
Goztepe (0:3) 5.8% 5.8% 3.6% 1.64× 17.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor (0:4) 94.2% 94.7% 96.5% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.9% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.16
Goztepe (0:4) 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.39
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (1:0) 76.7% 78.4% 71.3% 1.10× 1.28
Draw (1:0) 13.3% 12.8% 15.8% 0.81× 7.80
Caykur Rizespor (1:0) 10.0% 6.9% 13.0% 0.53× 14.43
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe (2:0) 90.0% 93.9% 87.0% 1.08× 1.07
Draw (2:0) 6.7% 6.4% 7.7% 0.84× 15.53
Caykur Rizespor (2:0) 3.2% 2.3% 5.5% 0.41× 44.30
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.7% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.9% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 24.5% 24.3% 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to concede 71.2% 73.0% 69.8% 1.05× 1.37
Goztepe clean sheet 28.8% 27.0% 30.2% 0.89× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe clean sheet in 1st half 60.8% 64.5% 1.55
Goztepe to concede in 1st half 39.3% 35.5% 2.82
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe over 2.5 corners 79.0% 76.6% 1.31
Goztepe under 6.5 corners 78.1% 76.6% 1.31
Goztepe under 5.5 corners 66.7% 66.7% 1.50
Goztepe over 3.5 corners 63.6% 62.3% 1.61
Goztepe under 4.5 corners 52.4% 52.8% 1.90
Goztepe over 4.5 corners 47.6% 47.2% 2.12
Goztepe under 3.5 corners 36.4% 37.7% 2.65
Goztepe over 5.5 corners 33.3% 33.3% 3.00
Goztepe over 6.5 corners 21.9% 23.4% 4.27
Goztepe under 2.5 corners 21.0% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe under 3.5 goals 86.9% 87.2% 92.6% 0.94× 1.15
Goztepe over 0.5 goals 85.5% 87.2% 77.8% 1.12× 1.15
Goztepe under 2.5 goals 69.5% 67.9% 77.8% 0.87× 1.47
Goztepe over 1.5 goals 57.5% 58.8% 45.9% 1.28× 1.70
Goztepe under 1.5 goals 42.5% 41.2% 54.1% 0.76× 2.43
Goztepe over 2.5 goals 30.5% 32.1% 22.2% 1.45× 3.11
Goztepe under 0.5 goals 14.5% 12.8% 22.2% 0.58× 7.83
Goztepe over 3.5 goals 13.1% 12.8% 7.4% 1.73× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe under 1.5 in 1st half 79.8% 77.2% 1.30
Goztepe over 0.5 in 1st half 56.4% 57.4% 1.74
Goztepe under 0.5 in 1st half 43.6% 42.6% 2.35
Goztepe over 1.5 in 1st half 20.2% 22.8% 4.39
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 51.2% 51.6% 47.6% 1.08× 1.94
Caykur Rizespor (home no bet) 48.8% 48.4% 52.4% 0.92× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe even goals 51.0% 50.6% 50.9% 0.99× 1.98
Goztepe odd goals 49.0% 49.4% 49.1% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.7% 29.0% 3.44
HT 1-0 21.8% 24.2% 4.14
HT 0-1 13.0% 11.0% 9.10
HT 1-1 11.2% 11.0% 9.12
HT 2-0 9.1% 7.1% 14.14
Any other HT score 6.6% 7.1% 14.18
HT 2-1 4.6% 2.3% 43.73
HT 0-2 3.3% 2.3% 43.82
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.86
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.3% 43.99
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe at HT / Goztepe at FT 32.9% 32.4% 3.08
Draw at HT / Goztepe at FT 16.2% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.0% 12.7% 7.89
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 12.3% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 8.8% 6.0% 16.54
Goztepe at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% 16.64
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% 28.80
Caykur Rizespor at HT / Goztepe at FT 3.2% 3.5% 28.86
Goztepe at HT / Caykur Rizespor at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to score last 57.7% 56.7% 1.77
Caykur Rizespor to score last 37.0% 38.1% 2.62
No goal scored 5.3% 7.4% 13.47
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.7% 92.7% 1.08
Goztepe to lead by 1 at any time 68.3% 69.5% 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 54.3% 50.7% 1.97
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 1 at any time 43.8% 39.2% 2.55
Goztepe to lead by 2 at any time 38.7% 34.8% 2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 22.6% 19.6% 5.11
Goztepe to lead by 3 at any time 17.8% 15.0% 6.68
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 2 at any time 16.1% 14.9% 6.69
Caykur Rizespor to lead by 3 at any time 4.8% 1.6% 61.67
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe most corners 49.2% 47.0% 2.13
Caykur Rizespor most corners 39.1% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.4% 83.5% 85.5% 0.98× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.5% 78.6% 74.0% 1.06× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.5% 72.4% 70.0% 1.04× 1.38
1-4 goals 73.1% 72.4% 75.4% 0.96× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.2% 63.4% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
3-6 goals 57.2% 59.2% 51.3% 1.15× 1.69
1-3 goals 55.4% 59.2% 61.2% 0.97× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.3% 53.2% 47.3% 1.12× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.5% 43.6% 45.7% 0.95× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.0% 43.6% 37.3% 1.17× 2.30
4-6 goals 35.0% 35.4% 28.4% 1.25× 2.83
1-2 goals 33.1% 35.4% 38.3% 0.92× 2.83
4-5 goals 29.0% 30.2% 24.4% 1.24× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.2% 18.6% 14.2% 1.31× 5.37
7+ goals 4.3% 2.5% 2.7% 0.96× 39.32
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe never behind 50.8% 62.2% 1.61
Caykur Rizespor never behind 26.4% 29.9% 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.6% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.4% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.9% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.1% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.0% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.0% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.7% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 89.7% 87.7% 93.3% 0.94× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.8% 82.4% 76.5% 1.08× 1.21
Under 4.5 goals 78.4% 77.4% 83.3% 0.93× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 61.6% 61.7% 53.8% 1.15× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 60.7% 61.7% 69.1% 0.89× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 39.3% 38.3% 30.9% 1.24× 2.61
Under 2.5 goals 38.4% 38.3% 46.2% 0.83× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.6% 22.6% 16.7% 1.35× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 16.2% 17.6% 23.5% 0.75× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 10.3% 12.3% 6.7% 1.85× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 5.3% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.4% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.4% 86.8% 92.6% 0.94× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 79.1% 75.9% 69.6% 1.09× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 73.8% 72.6% 80.5% 0.90× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.5% 51.8% 40.1% 1.29× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.5% 48.2% 59.9% 0.81× 2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 26.2% 27.4% 19.5% 1.41× 3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 20.9% 24.1% 30.4% 0.79× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.6% 13.3% 7.4% 1.79× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.6% 2.8% 2.8% 0.99× 36.28
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.0% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.3% 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 61.4% 63.6% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 38.6% 36.4% 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.7% 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 15.0% 11.0% 9.07
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.9% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.7% 77.7% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.6% 54.6% 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.4% 45.4% 2.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.3% 22.3% 4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.1% 17.1% 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to score in both halves 79.3% 78.3% 1.28
Goztepe not to score in both halves 62.3% 63.5% 1.58
Goztepe to score in both halves 37.7% 36.5% 2.74
Caykur Rizespor to score in both halves 20.7% 21.7% 4.62
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 62.1% 60.2% 55.6% 1.08× 1.66
Only Goztepe scores 23.4% 22.4% 22.3% 1.00× 4.47
Only Caykur Rizespor scores 9.1% 7.2% 14.3% 0.50× 13.89
Neither team scores 5.3% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.93
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.2% 22.6% 22.8% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 17.7% 17.4% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 11.3% 12.1% 10.2% 1.18× 8.29
Exactly 1 goals 10.9% 12.1% 15.7% 0.77× 8.29
6 or more goals 10.3% 12.1% 6.7% 1.81× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 5.3% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.10
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.6% 52.7% 1.90
1 goal in 2nd half 28.3% 29.9% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 16.1% 17.0% 5.88
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to win both halves 94.9% 94.0% 1.06
Goztepe not to win both halves 82.2% 84.1% 1.19
Goztepe to win both halves 17.8% 15.9% 6.29
Caykur Rizespor to win both halves 5.1% 6.0% 16.77
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Goztepe to win either half 66.1% 67.8% 1.48
Caykur Rizespor to win neither half 60.4% 65.1% 1.54
Caykur Rizespor to win either half 39.6% 34.9% 2.87
Goztepe to win neither half 33.9% 32.2% 3.11
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Caykur Rizespor not to win to nil 90.9% 92.0% 85.7% 1.07× 1.09
Goztepe not to win to nil 76.6% 78.0% 77.7% 1.00× 1.28
Goztepe to win to nil 23.4% 22.0% 22.3% 0.98× 4.55
Caykur Rizespor to win to nil 9.1% 8.0% 14.3% 0.56× 12.52
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.5% 24.2% 26.0% 0.93× 4.14
Goztepe by 1 21.3% 24.1% 24.1% 1.00× 4.14
Goztepe by 2 16.2% 16.9% 11.7% 1.45× 5.90
Goztepe by 3+ 14.6% 11.8% 9.9% 1.19× 8.46
Caykur Rizespor by 1 13.3% 11.8% 15.8% 0.75× 8.47
Caykur Rizespor by 2 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.80
Caykur Rizespor by 3+ 3.2% 2.7% 5.5% 0.49× 37.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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