Halmstads BK v AIK — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
SWE-Allsvenskan
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyHalmstads BK win
26.6%
model 26.8%
Draw
26.6%
model 27.4%
AIK win
46.9%
model 45.8%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 0-1 10.9%
- 1-2 9.1%
- 0-2 8.5%
- 0-0 8.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 46.8% | Under 2.5 | 53.2% |
| BTTS yes | 51.4% | BTTS no | 48.6% |
| Halmstads BK 1+ | 65.8% | Halmstads BK 2+ | 29.1% |
| AIK 1+ | 77.1% | AIK 2+ | 43.4% |
Expected goals 1.07 – 1.48. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
21/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
AIK or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 59%
72.3% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1552 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.0% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1353.
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
AIK have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.6% for Halmstads BK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Halmstads BK and 1.48 for AIK.
Why Halmstads BK
Nothing in the data singles out Halmstads BK.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why AIK can win
AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1353. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Halmstads BK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Halmstads BK: 42% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Halmstads BK's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
AIK are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.07–1.48 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.90–1.40 | 0-1 13% | 40% | 45% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to win | 48.0% | 47.5% | 36.6% | 1.30× | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28.6% | 27.9% | 22.9% | 1.22× | 3.59 |
| Halmstads BK to win | 23.3% | 24.4% | 40.7% | 0.60× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK & not both score | 30.0% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 1.58× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.9% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| AIK & both teams score | 18.0% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 0.99× | 5.58 |
| Halmstads BK & not both score | 13.9% | 13.3% | 23.7% | 0.56× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 10.7% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 2.48× | 7.55 |
| Halmstads BK & both teams score | 9.5% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 0.48× | 11.92 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK & under 3.5 | 36.7% | 34.9% | 25.4% | 1.37× | 2.86 |
| AIK & over 1.5 | 34.7% | 30.9% | 27.7% | 1.11× | 3.24 |
| AIK & over 2.5 | 24.8% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 0.95× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 1.20× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 1.20× | 4.62 |
| AIK & under 2.5 | 23.2% | 21.6% | 14.0% | 1.55× | 4.62 |
| Halmstads BK & under 3.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 0.69× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| Halmstads BK & over 1.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 34.6% | 0.52× | 5.56 |
| AIK & under 1.5 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 1.41× | 7.77 |
| Halmstads BK & under 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 0.83× | 7.77 |
| AIK & over 3.5 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 1.12× | 7.77 |
| Halmstads BK & over 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 25.4% | 0.51× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 2.41× | 7.77 |
| Halmstads BK & under 1.5 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.92 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.92 |
| Halmstads BK & over 3.5 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 0.32× | 20.92 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (1UP) | 61.0% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Halmstads BK (1UP) | 38.9% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (2UP) | 48.0% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Halmstads BK (2UP) | 23.3% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to win 2nd half | 40.7% | 41.1% | — | — | 2.43 |
| 2nd half drawn | 38.7% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Halmstads BK to win 2nd half | 20.7% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.37 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (+2.5) | 97.9% | 96.3% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| AIK (+1.5) | 91.9% | 92.1% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| AIK (+0.5) | 76.7% | 78.5% | 59.3% | 1.32× | 1.28 |
| Halmstads BK (+0.5) | 52.0% | 52.4% | 63.4% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| AIK (-0.5) | 48.0% | 47.6% | 36.6% | 1.30× | 2.10 |
| Halmstads BK (-0.5) | 23.3% | 21.6% | 40.7% | 0.53× | 4.64 |
| Halmstads BK (-1.5) | 8.1% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 0.33× | 12.64 |
| Halmstads BK (-2.5) | 2.1% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.32× | 26.92 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to concede | 59.3% | 62.8% | 76.1% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| AIK clean sheet | 40.7% | 37.2% | 23.9% | 1.56× | 2.69 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK clean sheet in 1st half | 68.0% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| AIK to concede in 1st half | 32.0% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK over 2.5 corners | 87.9% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| AIK over 3.5 corners | 76.4% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| AIK under 6.5 corners | 65.1% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| AIK over 4.5 corners | 62.5% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| AIK under 5.5 corners | 52.0% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| AIK over 5.5 corners | 48.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| AIK under 4.5 corners | 37.5% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| AIK over 6.5 corners | 34.9% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| AIK under 3.5 corners | 23.6% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| AIK under 2.5 corners | 12.1% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK under 3.5 goals | 94.6% | 92.4% | 95.2% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| AIK under 2.5 goals | 83.3% | 81.4% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| AIK over 0.5 goals | 75.4% | 76.2% | 71.2% | 1.07× | 1.31 |
| AIK under 1.5 goals | 59.0% | 59.6% | 60.8% | 0.98× | 1.68 |
| AIK over 1.5 goals | 41.0% | 40.4% | 39.2% | 1.03× | 2.47 |
| AIK under 0.5 goals | 24.6% | 23.8% | 28.8% | 0.83× | 4.21 |
| AIK over 2.5 goals | 16.7% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 1.01× | 5.39 |
| AIK over 3.5 goals | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.58× | 13.09 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.1% | 89.5% | — | — | 1.12 |
| AIK under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.0% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| AIK over 0.5 in 1st half | 43.0% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.66 |
| AIK over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.9% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.52 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 55.1% | 57.5% | 36.0% | 1.60× | 1.74 |
| Halmstads BK (away no bet) | 44.9% | 42.5% | 64.0% | 0.66× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK even goals | 53.0% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| AIK odd goals | 47.0% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 90.4% | 92.0% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 9.6% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.50 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 54.5% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 45.5% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 47.8% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
| AIK to score 2+ in a row | 34.7% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Halmstads BK to score 2+ in a row | 16.8% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.10 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.5% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.11 |
| AIK to score 3+ in a row | 12.0% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.27 |
| Halmstads BK to score 3+ in a row | 3.6% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.22 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK corners (+3.5) | 90.6% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| AIK corners (+2.5) | 85.2% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| AIK corners (+1.5) | 77.9% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Halmstads BK corners (+3.5) | 73.2% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Halmstads BK corners (+2.5) | 63.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Halmstads BK corners (+1.5) | 52.9% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| AIK corners (-1.5) | 47.1% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| AIK corners (-2.5) | 36.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| AIK corners (-3.5) | 26.8% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Halmstads BK corners (-1.5) | 22.1% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Halmstads BK corners (-2.5) | 14.8% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Halmstads BK corners (-3.5) | 9.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.57 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 36.5% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 32.5% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 31.1% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 75.8% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 73.8% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 67.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 63.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 57.9% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 47.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 42.1% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 36.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 32.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 26.2% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 24.2% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.25× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.88× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.14× | 8.74 |
| 0-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.46× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.47 |
| 1-0 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.17× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.47 |
| 0-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.50 |
| 0-4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.51 |
| 1-3 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.35× | 58.50 |
| 1-4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.52 |
| 2-0 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 0.18× | 58.50 |
| 2-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.50 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.51 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.52 |
| 3-1 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.51 |
| 3-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.51 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK leading at HT (DNB) | 61.5% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Halmstads BK leading at HT (DNB) | 38.5% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK or draw (X2) | 76.7% | 75.6% | 59.3% | 1.27× | 1.32 |
| Halmstads BK or AIK (12) | 71.4% | 72.1% | 77.1% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| Halmstads BK or draw (1X) | 52.0% | 52.5% | 63.4% | 0.83× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK or draw at HT | 79.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Halmstads BK or draw at HT | 67.9% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Halmstads BK or AIK at HT | 52.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK or draw (1UP) | 76.7% | 84.0% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Halmstads BK or draw (1UP) | 52.0% | 59.2% | — | — | 1.69 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK or draw in 2nd half | 79.3% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Halmstads BK or AIK in 2nd half | 61.3% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Halmstads BK or draw in 2nd half | 59.3% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 67.3% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 32.7% | 30.5% | — | — | 3.28 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (DNB) | 67.3% | 67.2% | 47.4% | 1.42× | 1.49 |
| Halmstads BK (DNB) | 32.7% | 32.8% | 52.6% | 0.62× | 3.05 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to score first | 54.5% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Halmstads BK to score first | 34.8% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
| No goal scored | 10.7% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.36 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 54.6% | 51.5% | 47.3% | 1.09× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 45.4% | 48.5% | 52.7% | 0.92× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 46.2% | 44.3% | 34.4% | 1.29× | 2.26 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 32.1% | 34.3% | 39.9% | 0.86× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 0.95× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 0.63× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 90.7% | 89.1% | 84.2% | 1.06× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 0.69× | 9.16 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 77.0% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 23.0% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.09 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 66.2% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 19.9% | 15.9% | — | — | 6.29 |
| Both score 1st half only | 10.7% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.1% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.47 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 86.1% | 85.7% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 13.9% | 14.3% | — | — | 6.98 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 54.2% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A goal in each half | 45.8% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.6% | 47.4% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 32.3% | 30.8% | 20.4% | 1.51× | 3.25 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.2% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 0.77× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 0.38× | 55.16 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to score exactly 1 | 34.5% | 33.9% | 32.3% | 1.05× | 2.95 |
| AIK to score exactly 0 | 24.6% | 22.4% | 28.8% | 0.78× | 4.46 |
| AIK to score exactly 2 | 24.2% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 1.06× | 4.46 |
| AIK to score 3+ | 16.7% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 1.07× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.6% | 32.8% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| Halmstads BK to score exactly 0 | 40.7% | 34.9% | 23.9% | 1.46× | 2.87 |
| Halmstads BK to score exactly 2 | 16.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 0.85× | 5.30 |
| Halmstads BK to score 3+ | 6.3% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 0.48× | 9.73 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 47.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| AIK leading at HT | 32.1% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Halmstads BK leading at HT | 20.1% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK -1: 1 | 52.0% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| AIK -1: X | 24.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| AIK -1: 2 | 23.8% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:1) | 76.7% | 73.8% | 59.3% | 1.24× | 1.36 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.3% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 1.03× | 5.63 |
| Halmstads BK (0:1) | 8.1% | 9.2% | 23.7% | 0.39× | 10.84 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:2) | 91.9% | 90.8% | 76.3% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 0.62× | 12.97 |
| Halmstads BK (0:2) | 2.1% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.61 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:3) | 97.9% | 96.6% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 1.6% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.35× | 42.14 |
| Halmstads BK (0:3) | 0.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.19 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:4) | 99.6% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.57 |
| Halmstads BK (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.61 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK (1:0) | 52.0% | 54.1% | 63.4% | 0.85× | 1.85 |
| Draw (1:0) | 24.3% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.07× | 4.59 |
| AIK (1:0) | 23.8% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 1.32× | 4.59 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK (2:0) | 76.2% | 80.3% | 83.5% | 0.96× | 1.25 |
| Draw (2:0) | 14.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 1.00× | 9.60 |
| AIK (2:0) | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 1.01× | 15.50 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.6% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 28.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK to concede | 75.4% | 75.9% | 71.2% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| Halmstads BK clean sheet | 24.6% | 24.1% | 28.8% | 0.84× | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK clean sheet in 1st half | 57.0% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Halmstads BK to concede in 1st half | 43.0% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.66 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK under 6.5 corners | 82.0% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Halmstads BK over 2.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Halmstads BK under 5.5 corners | 71.1% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Halmstads BK over 3.5 corners | 60.1% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Halmstads BK under 4.5 corners | 56.8% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Halmstads BK over 4.5 corners | 43.2% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Halmstads BK under 3.5 corners | 39.9% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Halmstads BK over 5.5 corners | 28.9% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Halmstads BK under 2.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Halmstads BK over 6.5 corners | 18.0% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK under 3.5 goals | 98.7% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Halmstads BK under 2.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 78.4% | 1.18× | 1.08 |
| Halmstads BK under 1.5 goals | 77.3% | 77.7% | 56.5% | 1.38× | 1.29 |
| Halmstads BK over 0.5 goals | 59.3% | 58.8% | 76.1% | 0.77× | 1.70 |
| Halmstads BK under 0.5 goals | 40.7% | 41.2% | 23.9% | 1.72× | 2.43 |
| Halmstads BK over 1.5 goals | 22.7% | 22.3% | 43.5% | 0.51× | 4.49 |
| Halmstads BK over 2.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 21.6% | 0.36× | 12.93 |
| Halmstads BK over 3.5 goals | 1.3% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.52 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.2% | 95.5% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Halmstads BK under 0.5 in 1st half | 68.0% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Halmstads BK over 0.5 in 1st half | 32.0% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Halmstads BK over 1.5 in 1st half | 5.8% | 4.5% | — | — | 22.14 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (home no bet) | 62.7% | 60.1% | 61.5% | 0.98× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 37.3% | 39.9% | 38.5% | 1.04× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK even goals | 58.3% | 55.5% | 53.9% | 1.03× | 1.80 |
| Halmstads BK odd goals | 41.7% | 44.5% | 46.1% | 0.97× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 38.9% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| HT 0-1 | 21.6% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 1-0 | 14.8% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.15 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.1% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.19 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.85 |
| Any other HT score | 2.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.87 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.89 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.95 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.04 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK at HT / AIK at FT | 26.5% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 19.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / AIK at FT | 19.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Halmstads BK at HT / Halmstads BK at FT | 12.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Halmstads BK at FT | 9.6% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.52 |
| Halmstads BK at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| AIK at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Halmstads BK at HT / AIK at FT | 2.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| AIK at HT / Halmstads BK at FT | 1.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.94 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to score last | 54.5% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Halmstads BK to score last | 34.8% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goal scored | 10.7% | 9.0% | — | — | 11.07 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 89.3% | 90.9% | — | — | 1.10 |
| AIK to lead by 1 at any time | 61.0% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 40.5% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Halmstads BK to lead by 1 at any time | 38.9% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| AIK to lead by 2 at any time | 28.8% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 13.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Halmstads BK to lead by 2 at any time | 11.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.63 |
| AIK to lead by 3 at any time | 10.6% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.65 |
| Halmstads BK to lead by 3 at any time | 2.8% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.71 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK most corners | 58.2% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Halmstads BK most corners | 31.3% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.3% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.9% | 83.5% | 78.4% | 1.07× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 69.2% | 69.0% | 64.1% | 1.08× | 1.45 |
| 2-6 goals | 66.7% | 69.0% | 75.1% | 0.92× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 64.7% | 63.4% | 71.8% | 0.88× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.3% | 59.2% | 63.4% | 0.93× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 48.8% | 48.7% | 42.0% | 1.16× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.6% | 48.7% | 49.1% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 39.5% | 39.2% | 48.3% | 0.81× | 2.55 |
| 3-5 goals | 37.4% | 39.2% | 45.0% | 0.87× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 32.1% | 35.4% | 36.6% | 0.97× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.2% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 0.71× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 17.1% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 0.81× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 0.73× | 11.43 |
| 7+ goals | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.52× | 39.48 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK never behind | 50.4% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Halmstads BK never behind | 28.3% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.34 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.1% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.9% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.8% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 42.2% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.8% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.2% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.0% | 95.5% | 91.9% | 1.04× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91.6% | 92.3% | 83.5% | 1.11× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89.3% | 87.7% | 94.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.9% | 77.4% | 69.2% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.7% | 66.2% | 79.6% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.6% | 58.8% | 47.1% | 1.25× | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.4% | 41.2% | 52.9% | 0.78× | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32.3% | 33.8% | 20.4% | 1.66× | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.1% | 22.6% | 30.8% | 0.73× | 4.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10.7% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.31× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8.4% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 0.47× | 12.94 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 0.55× | 22.24 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.0% | 97.3% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.8% | 97.2% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 90.5% | 92.5% | 80.7% | 1.15× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 74.8% | 72.6% | 60.5% | 1.20× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 55.6% | 55.5% | 72.2% | 0.77× | 1.80 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 44.4% | 44.5% | 27.8% | 1.60× | 2.25 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 25.2% | 27.4% | 39.5% | 0.69× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 9.5% | 7.5% | 19.3% | 0.39× | 13.25 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.2% | 2.8% | 8.9% | 0.31× | 36.32 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 0.55× | 36.39 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.9% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.4% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 61.1% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 38.9% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.6% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.1% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.93 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 84.4% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 73.9% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 60.5% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 39.5% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 26.1% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 15.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK not to score in both halves | 87.2% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| AIK not to score in both halves | 75.5% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| AIK to score in both halves | 24.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Halmstads BK to score in both halves | 12.8% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.15 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 45.4% | 50.4% | 52.7% | 0.96× | 1.99 |
| Only AIK scores | 30.0% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 1.77× | 3.00 |
| Only Halmstads BK scores | 13.9% | 11.0% | 23.7% | 0.46× | 9.13 |
| Neither team scores | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.05× | 9.15 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.2% | 24.9% | 27.0% | 0.93× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.6% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 1.48× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.3% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 1.01× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 0.83× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 10.7% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.26× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 0.88× | 13.10 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 0.54× | 22.69 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 39.5% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.48 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.5% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 26.1% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK not to win both halves | 95.8% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| AIK not to win both halves | 86.8% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| AIK to win both halves | 13.2% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Halmstads BK to win both halves | 4.2% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.27 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK to win neither half | 63.5% | 65.3% | — | — | 1.53 |
| AIK to win either half | 59.6% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| AIK to win neither half | 40.4% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
| Halmstads BK to win either half | 36.5% | 34.7% | — | — | 2.88 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstads BK not to win to nil | 86.1% | 88.2% | 76.3% | 1.16× | 1.13 |
| AIK not to win to nil | 70.0% | 69.7% | 81.2% | 0.86× | 1.44 |
| AIK to win to nil | 30.0% | 30.3% | 18.8% | 1.61× | 3.30 |
| Halmstads BK to win to nil | 13.9% | 11.8% | 23.7% | 0.50× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% | 27.8% | 22.9% | 1.21× | 3.59 |
| AIK by 1 | 24.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.14 |
| Halmstads BK by 1 | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.90 |
| AIK by 2 | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 1.13× | 8.46 |
| AIK by 3+ | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 1.14× | 13.79 |
| Halmstads BK by 2 | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 0.58× | 13.80 |
| Halmstads BK by 3+ | 2.1% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 0.24× | 37.07 |