Hannover 96 v St. Pauli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Hannover 96

14:00

St. Pauli

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Hannover 96 win

58.4%

model 59.9%

Draw

22.9%

model 21.8%

St. Pauli win

18.7%

model 18.4%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 10.0%
2-0 9.7%
1-0 9.3%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.7%	Under 2.5	41.3%
BTTS yes	56.1%	BTTS no	43.9%
Hannover 96 1+	86.7%	Hannover 96 2+	59.8%
St. Pauli 1+	64.3%	St. Pauli 2+	27.5%

Expected goals 2.02 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Hannover 96 carry the stronger rating, 1576 Elo against 1319.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0041 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hannover 96 have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for St. Pauli. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.02 for Hannover 96 and 1.03 for St. Pauli.

Why Hannover 96

Hannover 96 carry the stronger rating, 1576 Elo against 1319.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why St. Pauli can win

Nothing in the data singles out St. Pauli.

Key players

St. Pauli's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Danel Sinani (0.27), Ricky-Jade Jones (0.26), Andréas Hountondji (0.26).

Availability

No lineup on record for Hannover 96, so availability is unknown. 2 of St. Pauli's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hannover 96: 56% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St. Pauli: 45% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.56 xG a match from set pieces. Hannover 96's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hannover 96 are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

St. Pauli are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DLLDLDLLLL last 10 scored 6 from 10.7 xG conceded 20 from 22.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	602317	1.89–0.91	1-0 11%	53%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to win	59.9%	54.1%	43.1%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	22.7%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09
St. Pauli to win	17.4%	19.4%	31.2%	0.62×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 & not both score	33.7%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.36
Hannover 96 & both teams score	26.2%	25.2%	22.2%	1.14×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	17.9%	19.7%	0.91×	5.58
St. Pauli & both teams score	8.7%	8.4%	18.1%	0.46×	11.92
St. Pauli & not both score	8.7%	8.4%	13.3%	0.63×	11.92
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.4%	6.4%	1.31×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 & over 1.5	48.8%	45.2%	34.3%	1.32×	2.21
Hannover 96 & under 3.5	38.6%	34.9%	27.8%	1.26×	2.86
Hannover 96 & over 2.5	38.0%	34.9%	27.8%	1.26×	2.86
Hannover 96 & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	15.4%	1.40×	4.62
Hannover 96 & over 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	15.4%	1.40×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.92×	5.56
St. Pauli & under 3.5	13.3%	12.9%	21.1%	0.61×	7.77
St. Pauli & over 1.5	12.2%	12.9%	25.9%	0.50×	7.77
Hannover 96 & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	8.9%	1.45×	7.77
St. Pauli & over 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.70
St. Pauli & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
St. Pauli & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.5%	1.44×	12.70
St. Pauli & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	10.3%	0.46×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (1UP)	72.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
St. Pauli (1UP)	34.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (2UP)	59.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
St. Pauli (2UP)	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to win 2nd half	48.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	33.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
St. Pauli to win 2nd half	18.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli (+2.5)	82.9%	82.4%	90.6%	0.91×	1.21
Hannover 96 (+0.5)	82.6%	82.4%	68.8%	1.20×	1.21
St. Pauli (+1.5)	64.4%	62.9%	77.7%	0.81×	1.59
Hannover 96 (-0.5)	59.9%	57.0%	43.1%	1.32×	1.75
St. Pauli (+0.5)	40.1%	43.0%	56.9%	0.75×	2.33
Hannover 96 (-1.5)	35.6%	37.1%	22.3%	1.66×	2.70
St. Pauli (-0.5)	17.4%	17.6%	31.2%	0.56×	5.68
Hannover 96 (-2.5)	17.1%	17.6%	9.4%	1.88×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli to concede	84.9%	81.4%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
St. Pauli clean sheet	15.1%	18.6%	19.5%	0.95×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli to concede in 1st half	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
St. Pauli clean sheet in 1st half	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli under 6.5 corners	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
St. Pauli under 5.5 corners	75.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
St. Pauli over 2.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St. Pauli under 4.5 corners	62.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
St. Pauli over 3.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
St. Pauli under 3.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St. Pauli over 4.5 corners	37.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
St. Pauli under 2.5 corners	27.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
St. Pauli over 5.5 corners	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
St. Pauli over 6.5 corners	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.6%	94.5%	1.03×	1.03
St. Pauli under 2.5 goals	93.5%	92.4%	83.6%	1.10×	1.08
St. Pauli under 1.5 goals	76.7%	76.2%	60.2%	1.27×	1.31
St. Pauli over 0.5 goals	59.9%	59.6%	72.7%	0.82×	1.68
St. Pauli under 0.5 goals	40.1%	40.4%	27.3%	1.48×	2.47
St. Pauli over 1.5 goals	23.3%	23.8%	39.8%	0.60×	4.21
St. Pauli over 2.5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	16.4%	0.47×	13.08
St. Pauli over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.4%	5.5%	0.45×	40.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
St. Pauli under 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
St. Pauli over 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
St. Pauli over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (away no bet)	72.5%	68.6%	62.4%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.5%	31.5%	37.6%	0.84×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli even goals	58.0%	56.9%	54.1%	1.05×	1.76
St. Pauli odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	45.9%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Hannover 96 to score 2+ in a row	49.1%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Hannover 96 to score 3+ in a row	21.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
St. Pauli to score 2+ in a row	15.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
St. Pauli to score 3+ in a row	3.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.48

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 corners (+3.5)	93.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hannover 96 corners (+2.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hannover 96 corners (+1.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
St. Pauli corners (+3.5)	66.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
St. Pauli corners (+2.5)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Hannover 96 corners (-1.5)	54.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
St. Pauli corners (+1.5)	45.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Hannover 96 corners (-2.5)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Hannover 96 corners (-3.5)	33.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
St. Pauli corners (-1.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
St. Pauli corners (-2.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
St. Pauli corners (-3.5)	6.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.8%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.2%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	26.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.1%	11.4%	8.9%	1.29×	8.74
1-1	10.8%	11.4%	10.6%	1.08×	8.74
2-0	10.8%	11.4%	6.7%	1.71×	8.74
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.47
3-0	6.8%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.47
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.47
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.47
3-1	6.2%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.47
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	9.0%	0.19×	58.50
0-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.51
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.52
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.52
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.52
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.52
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.2%	0.24×	58.50
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.52
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.51
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.52
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.51
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.51
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.52
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 leading at HT (DNB)	73.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
St. Pauli leading at HT (DNB)	26.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 or draw (1X)	82.6%	80.6%	68.8%	1.17×	1.24
Hannover 96 or St. Pauli (12)	77.3%	75.6%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
St. Pauli or draw (X2)	40.1%	45.9%	56.9%	0.81×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 or draw at HT	84.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hannover 96 or St. Pauli at HT	59.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
St. Pauli or draw at HT	56.3%	56.5%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 or draw (1UP)	82.6%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
St. Pauli or draw (1UP)	40.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 or draw in 2nd half	81.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Hannover 96 or St. Pauli in 2nd half	66.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
St. Pauli or draw in 2nd half	51.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.2%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	39.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (DNB)	77.5%	74.6%	58.0%	1.29×	1.34
St. Pauli (DNB)	22.5%	25.4%	42.0%	0.61×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to score first	63.1%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
St. Pauli to score first	30.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.2%	51.4%	59.6%	0.86×	1.94
Not both teams to score	48.8%	48.6%	40.4%	1.20×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.4%	41.6%	49.1%	0.85×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	36.1%	38.5%	30.7%	1.25×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	9.8%	1.25×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.3%	10.6%	1.16×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.9%	85.7%	80.5%	1.06×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.1%	14.3%	19.5%	0.74×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.48
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.11

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	44.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.4%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.4%	26.5%	30.6%	0.87×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.8%	20.4%	1.12×	4.38
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	4.2%	0.43×	55.00

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli to score exactly 0	40.1%	37.0%	27.3%	1.35×	2.71
St. Pauli to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
St. Pauli to score exactly 2	16.7%	19.5%	23.6%	0.83×	5.12
St. Pauli to score 3+	6.5%	8.5%	16.4%	0.52×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to score 3+	29.3%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.77
Hannover 96 to score exactly 1	28.6%	26.5%	31.8%	0.83×	3.77
Hannover 96 to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Hannover 96 to score exactly 0	15.1%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 leading at HT	43.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	40.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
St. Pauli leading at HT	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 -1: 2	40.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Hannover 96 -1: 1	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Hannover 96 -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli (0:1)	40.1%	42.6%	56.9%	0.75×	2.35
Hannover 96 (0:1)	35.6%	37.3%	22.3%	1.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	20.9%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli (0:2)	64.4%	67.3%	77.7%	0.87×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.6%	15.3%	13.1%	1.17×	6.53
Hannover 96 (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	9.4%	1.63×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli (0:3)	82.9%	85.1%	90.6%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.3%	10.0%	5.9%	1.68×	10.02
Hannover 96 (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	3.6%	1.62×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli (0:4)	93.2%	94.7%	96.4%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.5%	1.2%	2.0%	0.59×	83.08
Hannover 96 (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	83.35

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (1:0)	82.6%	81.4%	68.8%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.6%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.81
St. Pauli (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	13.3%	0.52×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 (2:0)	94.2%	94.0%	86.7%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	7.2%	0.32×	44.23
St. Pauli (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	6.2%	0.36×	44.42

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to concede	59.9%	61.0%	72.7%	0.84×	1.64
Hannover 96 clean sheet	40.1%	39.0%	27.3%	1.43×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 clean sheet in 1st half	69.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Hannover 96 to concede in 1st half	30.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 over 2.5 corners	89.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Hannover 96 over 3.5 corners	79.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Hannover 96 over 4.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Hannover 96 under 6.5 corners	60.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Hannover 96 over 5.5 corners	52.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Hannover 96 under 5.5 corners	47.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Hannover 96 over 6.5 corners	40.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Hannover 96 under 4.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Hannover 96 under 3.5 corners	20.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Hannover 96 under 2.5 corners	10.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 under 3.5 goals	87.7%	87.2%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Hannover 96 over 0.5 goals	84.9%	82.1%	80.5%	1.02×	1.22
Hannover 96 under 2.5 goals	70.7%	74.2%	77.4%	0.96×	1.35
Hannover 96 over 1.5 goals	56.3%	58.8%	48.8%	1.20×	1.70
Hannover 96 under 1.5 goals	43.7%	41.2%	51.2%	0.81×	2.43
Hannover 96 over 2.5 goals	29.3%	25.8%	22.6%	1.14×	3.88
Hannover 96 under 0.5 goals	15.1%	17.9%	19.5%	0.92×	5.60
Hannover 96 over 3.5 goals	12.3%	12.8%	7.6%	1.67×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 under 1.5 in 1st half	80.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Hannover 96 over 0.5 in 1st half	55.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Hannover 96 under 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Hannover 96 over 1.5 in 1st half	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.7%	56.7%	45.4%	1.25×	1.76
St. Pauli (home no bet)	43.3%	43.3%	54.6%	0.79×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 even goals	51.1%	50.6%	50.9%	1.00×	1.98
Hannover 96 odd goals	48.9%	49.4%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	25.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
Any other HT score	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	44.02

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 at HT / Hannover 96 at FT	37.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Hannover 96 at FT	19.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
St. Pauli at HT / St. Pauli at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Draw at HT / St. Pauli at FT	7.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Hannover 96 at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
St. Pauli at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
St. Pauli at HT / Hannover 96 at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Hannover 96 at HT / St. Pauli at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to score last	63.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
St. Pauli to score last	30.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Hannover 96 to lead by 1 at any time	72.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Hannover 96 to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
St. Pauli to lead by 1 at any time	34.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Hannover 96 to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
St. Pauli to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.11
St. Pauli to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	64.31

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 most corners	65.0%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
St. Pauli most corners	25.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	9.6%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.6%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.9%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	70.5%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.7%	63.4%	59.1%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.4%	61.5%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.7%	53.2%	54.8%	0.97×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.7%	45.1%	1.08×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.6%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.5%	43.6%	34.9%	1.25×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	40.7%	0.96×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.4%	30.2%	30.6%	0.99×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.3%	24.5%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.8%	14.9%	14.2%	1.05×	6.72
7+ goals	2.4%	2.5%	4.2%	0.60×	39.41

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 never behind	58.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
St. Pauli never behind	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.7%	82.4%	81.7%	1.01×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.4%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.1%	66.2%	65.4%	1.01×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.5%	58.8%	0.89×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.5%	41.2%	1.15×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	30.9%	33.8%	34.6%	0.97×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.3%	17.6%	18.3%	0.97×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	9.2%	0.84×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	6.4%	1.21×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.5%	89.9%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.9%	81.1%	78.2%	1.04×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.0%	72.6%	74.2%	0.98×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.3%	62.1%	54.3%	1.14×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.7%	37.9%	45.7%	0.83×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.0%	27.4%	25.8%	1.06×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.1%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.5%	10.1%	0.74×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.0%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.0%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli not to score in both halves	87.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Hannover 96 not to score in both halves	63.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Hannover 96 to score in both halves	36.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St. Pauli to score in both halves	12.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.2%	53.9%	59.6%	0.90×	1.86
Only Hannover 96 scores	33.7%	33.4%	21.1%	1.59×	3.00
Only St. Pauli scores	8.7%	7.2%	13.3%	0.54×	13.90
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.2%	6.4%	1.12×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.3%	17.4%	14.2%	1.23×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.4%	16.5%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.10
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	6.4%	1.19×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Hannover 96 not to win both halves	78.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Hannover 96 to win both halves	21.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
St. Pauli to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.83

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 to win either half	70.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
St. Pauli to win neither half	68.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
St. Pauli to win either half	31.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Hannover 96 to win neither half	29.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Pauli not to win to nil	91.3%	92.0%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Hannover 96 not to win to nil	66.3%	69.6%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
Hannover 96 to win to nil	33.7%	30.4%	21.1%	1.44×	3.29
St. Pauli to win to nil	8.7%	8.0%	13.3%	0.60×	12.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hannover 96 by 1	24.3%	24.2%	20.9%	1.16×	4.14
Draw	22.7%	24.2%	25.9%	0.93×	4.14
Hannover 96 by 2	18.6%	17.0%	13.1%	1.29×	5.90
Hannover 96 by 3+	17.1%	16.9%	9.4%	1.81×	5.90
St. Pauli by 1	11.6%	11.8%	18.1%	0.65×	8.47
St. Pauli by 2	4.3%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	37.00
St. Pauli by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	6.2%	0.43×	37.09