What this page is for
One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the
prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a
match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.
How to read the shot map
Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored.
A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy
without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better
of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.
How to read the xG timeline
The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and
when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.
Things to watch
The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept
deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.
