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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Slask Wroclaw — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000030 · 2627

FIFA:2000000030 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Jagiellonia Bialystok win
43.1%
Draw
26.1%
Slask Wroclaw win
30.8%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 10.6%
  3. 2-1 8.9%
  4. 0-1 8.7%
  5. 2-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.548.3% Under 2.551.7%
BTTS yes52.5% BTTS no47.5%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1+76.2% Jagiellonia Bialystok 2+42.0%
Slask Wroclaw 1+69.0% Slask Wroclaw 2+32.7%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
0/100
Data quality
0/100
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Jagiellonia Bialystok have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Slask Wroclaw have allowed 1.35.
  • At home Jagiellonia Bialystok average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Jagiellonia Bialystok have only 0 matches on record.
  • Slask Wroclaw have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Jagiellonia Bialystok have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Slask Wroclaw and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.17 for Slask Wroclaw.

Why Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Slask Wroclaw have allowed 1.35. At home Jagiellonia Bialystok average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.1%.

Why Slask Wroclaw can win

Slask Wroclaw have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Jagiellonia Bialystok have allowed 1.35. Away from home Slask Wroclaw average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jagiellonia Bialystok, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Slask Wroclaw, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jagiellonia Bialystok: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Slask Wroclaw: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.43–1.17 0% 0% 0%
deep 1.25–0.94 1-0 17% 37% 41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win 45.9% 47.5% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Slask Wroclaw to win 30.6% 30.4% 31.3% 0.97× 3.29
Draw 23.5% 24.4% 22.8% 1.07× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok & not both score 30.4% 29.7% 23.9% 1.24× 3.37
Slask Wroclaw & not both score 20.2% 21.9% 16.1% 1.36× 4.57
Jagiellonia Bialystok & both teams score 15.5% 17.9% 22.2% 0.81× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 14.9% 13.3% 16.4% 0.81× 7.55
Slask Wroclaw & both teams score 10.4% 13.2% 15.4% 0.86× 7.55
Draw & not both score 8.6% 8.4% 6.6% 1.27× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok & under 3.5 37.1% 34.9% 29.1% 1.20× 2.86
Jagiellonia Bialystok & over 1.5 29.3% 26.0% 36.1% 0.72× 3.84
Slask Wroclaw & under 3.5 25.9% 26.0% 20.5% 1.27× 3.84
Jagiellonia Bialystok & under 2.5 25.3% 26.0% 17.6% 1.48× 3.84
Jagiellonia Bialystok & over 2.5 20.5% 21.6% 28.5% 0.76× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 19.1% 18.0% 16.5% 1.09× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.1% 18.0% 16.5% 1.09× 5.56
Slask Wroclaw & under 2.5 18.2% 18.0% 12.0% 1.50× 5.56
Jagiellonia Bialystok & under 1.5 16.6% 18.0% 10.1% 1.79× 5.56
Slask Wroclaw & over 1.5 17.4% 18.0% 25.2% 0.71× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 14.9% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.77
Slask Wroclaw & under 1.5 13.2% 12.9% 6.3% 2.04× 7.78
Slask Wroclaw & over 2.5 12.4% 12.9% 19.5% 0.66× 7.78
Jagiellonia Bialystok & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 17.0% 0.46× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 6.6% 1.19× 12.69
Slask Wroclaw & over 3.5 4.7% 4.8% 11.0% 0.43× 20.93
Draw & over 2.5 4.4% 4.8% 6.5% 0.74× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.4% 4.8% 6.5% 0.74× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (1UP) 57.6% 58.0% 58.4% 0.99× 1.72
Slask Wroclaw (1UP) 43.9% 38.9% 49.1% 0.79× 2.57
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (2UP) 45.9% 49.8% 47.6% 1.05× 2.01
Slask Wroclaw (2UP) 30.6% 30.9% 33.7% 0.92× 3.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.5% 36.1% 30.9% 1.17× 2.77
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win 2nd half 35.2% 36.0% 42.5% 0.85× 2.78
Slask Wroclaw to win 2nd half 26.2% 26.2% 26.8% 0.98× 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (+2.5) 93.4% 92.1% 89.9% 1.02× 1.09
Slask Wroclaw (+1.5) 80.7% 82.4% 74.8% 1.10× 1.21
Jagiellonia Bialystok (+0.5) 69.4% 68.7% 68.7% 1.00× 1.46
Slask Wroclaw (+0.5) 54.1% 52.4% 54.0% 0.97× 1.91
Jagiellonia Bialystok (-0.5) 45.9% 47.6% 46.0% 1.04× 2.10
Slask Wroclaw (-0.5) 30.6% 31.3% 31.3% 1.00× 3.20
Jagiellonia Bialystok (-1.5) 19.3% 17.6% 25.2% 0.70× 5.68
Jagiellonia Bialystok (-2.5) 6.6% 7.9% 10.1% 0.78× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw to concede 71.2% 76.5% 77.5% 0.99× 1.31
Slask Wroclaw clean sheet 28.8% 23.5% 22.5% 1.04× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw clean sheet in 1st half 58.5% 57.7% 52.4% 1.10× 1.73
Slask Wroclaw to concede in 1st half 41.5% 42.3% 47.6% 0.89× 2.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw under 3.5 goals 98.4% 97.6% 93.5% 1.04× 1.03
Slask Wroclaw under 2.5 goals 93.0% 92.4% 84.7% 1.09× 1.08
Slask Wroclaw under 1.5 goals 75.7% 76.2% 63.5% 1.20× 1.31
Slask Wroclaw over 0.5 goals 61.0% 62.9% 69.6% 0.90× 1.59
Slask Wroclaw under 0.5 goals 39.0% 37.1% 30.4% 1.22× 2.70
Slask Wroclaw over 1.5 goals 24.3% 23.8% 36.5% 0.65× 4.20
Slask Wroclaw over 2.5 goals 7.0% 7.6% 15.3% 0.50× 13.07
Slask Wroclaw over 3.5 goals 1.6% 2.4% 6.5% 0.38× 41.12
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw under 1.5 in 1st half 94.5% 94.2% 87.6% 1.08× 1.06
Slask Wroclaw under 0.5 in 1st half 68.6% 68.0% 57.6% 1.18× 1.47
Slask Wroclaw over 0.5 in 1st half 31.4% 32.0% 42.4% 0.76× 3.13
Slask Wroclaw over 1.5 in 1st half 5.5% 5.8% 12.4% 0.46× 17.29
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (away no bet) 66.1% 66.4% 66.8% 0.99× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 33.9% 33.6% 33.2% 1.01× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw even goals 57.6% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
Slask Wroclaw odd goals 42.4% 43.1% 43.6% 0.99× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.6% 92.2% 83.2% 1.11× 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.4% 7.8% 16.9% 0.46× 12.86
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 50.2% 50.0% 34.6% 1.44× 2.00
Not both halves under 1.5 49.8% 50.0% 65.4% 0.76× 2.00
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 44.6% 38.3% 60.3% 0.64× 2.61
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score 2+ in a row 29.4% 25.2% 38.4% 0.66× 3.97
Slask Wroclaw to score 2+ in a row 18.6% 16.4% 27.9% 0.59× 6.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.3% 12.0% 22.7% 0.53× 8.32
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score 3+ in a row 9.1% 5.6% 14.2% 0.40× 17.79
Slask Wroclaw to score 3+ in a row 4.3% 2.7% 9.1% 0.29× 37.51
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 16.6% 13.8% 10.1% 1.36× 7.27
0-1 13.2% 11.5% 6.3% 1.82× 8.73
1-1 10.5% 11.4% 10.1% 1.14× 8.73
0-0 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.46
2-0 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.46
2-1 8.2% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.46
1-2 6.2% 7.4% 6.3% 1.18× 13.46
0-2 5.0% 1.7% 5.8% 0.29× 58.56
0-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.58
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.59
1-3 1.9% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.58
1-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.59
2-2 3.9% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.57
2-3 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 58.59
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.17× 58.59
3-0 3.6% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.57
3-1 3.4% 1.7% 6.3% 0.27× 58.57
3-2 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.60× 58.58
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.59
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.17× 58.59
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 58.59
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.83× 58.59
4-2 0.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.59
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.42× 58.59
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 5.42× 58.59
Any other score 1.2% 1.7% 5.0% 0.34× 58.59
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok leading at HT (DNB) 60.5% 66.0% 53.7% 1.23× 1.52
Slask Wroclaw leading at HT (DNB) 39.5% 34.0% 46.3% 0.73× 2.94
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok or Slask Wroclaw (12) 76.5% 75.6% 77.2% 0.98× 1.32
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw (1X) 69.4% 69.6% 68.7% 1.01× 1.44
Slask Wroclaw or draw (X2) 54.1% 52.5% 54.0% 0.97× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw at HT 79.4% 80.1% 71.5% 1.12× 1.25
Slask Wroclaw or draw at HT 68.4% 66.1% 66.9% 0.99× 1.51
Jagiellonia Bialystok or Slask Wroclaw at HT 52.2% 47.5% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw (1UP) 69.4% 76.1% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Slask Wroclaw or draw (1UP) 54.1% 58.9% 61.9% 0.95× 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw in 2nd half 73.8% 73.8% 73.2% 1.01× 1.36
Slask Wroclaw or draw in 2nd half 64.8% 64.0% 57.5% 1.11× 1.56
Jagiellonia Bialystok or Slask Wroclaw in 2nd half 61.5% 63.9% 69.1% 0.92× 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 70.7% 70.0% 56.5% 1.24× 1.43
Neither half drawn 29.3% 30.0% 43.5% 0.69× 3.33
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (DNB) 60.0% 58.3% 59.5% 0.98× 1.72
Slask Wroclaw (DNB) 40.0% 41.7% 40.5% 1.03× 2.40
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score first 52.1% 54.2% 49.6% 1.09× 1.85
Slask Wroclaw to score first 39.3% 32.6% 43.9% 0.74× 3.07
No goal scored 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.45
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 59.2% 54.8% 46.3% 1.18× 1.83
Both teams to score 40.8% 45.2% 53.7% 0.84× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 52.1% 47.1% 35.9% 1.31× 2.13
Both score & over 2.5 30.3% 34.4% 43.8% 0.78× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 10.5% 12.3% 10.1% 1.22× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.4% 10.6% 0.79× 11.97
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.4% 89.1% 84.9% 1.05× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.6% 10.9% 15.1% 0.72× 9.17
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 79.0% 75.3% 70.1% 1.07× 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 21.0% 24.7% 29.9% 0.83× 4.04
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 69.3% 63.1% 57.8% 1.09× 1.58
Both score 2nd half only 18.2% 15.7% 23.8% 0.66× 6.37
Both score 1st half only 9.7% 6.8% 12.4% 0.54× 14.79
Both score in both halves 2.9% 4.9% 6.3% 0.78× 20.36
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 87.4% 85.5% 81.4% 1.05× 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 12.6% 14.5% 18.6% 0.78× 6.92
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 58.2% 57.3% 40.5% 1.42× 1.74
A goal in each half 41.8% 42.7% 59.5% 0.72× 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.8% 42.1% 43.3% 0.97× 2.37
0-1 goals 38.4% 35.0% 22.7% 1.54× 2.86
4-6 goals 17.1% 20.2% 30.9% 0.66× 4.94
7+ goals 0.7% 1.8% 3.5% 0.52× 55.37
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw to score exactly 0 39.0% 36.0% 30.4% 1.18× 2.78
Slask Wroclaw to score exactly 1 36.7% 36.0% 33.2% 1.08× 2.78
Slask Wroclaw to score exactly 2 17.3% 19.5% 21.4% 0.91× 5.12
Slask Wroclaw to score 3+ 7.0% 8.5% 15.3% 0.55× 11.80
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score exactly 1 35.8% 35.6% 31.7% 1.13× 2.81
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score exactly 0 28.8% 26.5% 22.5% 1.18× 3.77
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score exactly 2 22.3% 23.3% 23.0% 1.01× 4.30
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score 3+ 13.0% 14.3% 23.2% 0.62× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.8% 52.5% 38.6% 1.36× 1.91
Jagiellonia Bialystok leading at HT 31.6% 33.9% 33.1% 1.02× 2.95
Slask Wroclaw leading at HT 20.6% 19.9% 28.5% 0.70× 5.03
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok -1: 2 54.1% 52.1% 1.92
Jagiellonia Bialystok -1: X 26.6% 26.5% 3.77
Jagiellonia Bialystok -1: 1 19.3% 17.5% 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (0:1) 54.1% 51.2% 54.0% 0.95× 1.95
Draw (0:1) 26.6% 27.0% 20.9% 1.29× 3.70
Jagiellonia Bialystok (0:1) 19.3% 17.8% 25.2% 0.71× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (0:2) 80.7% 82.7% 74.8% 1.11× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.7% 11.0% 15.3% 0.72× 9.08
Jagiellonia Bialystok (0:2) 6.6% 7.7% 10.1% 0.76× 12.98
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (0:3) 93.4% 92.6% 89.9% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.8% 2.4% 6.1% 0.39× 41.93
Jagiellonia Bialystok (0:3) 1.8% 2.4% 4.1% 0.58× 42.06
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (0:4) 98.2% 98.1% 95.9% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 0.45× 83.31
Jagiellonia Bialystok (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 0.76× 83.43
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (1:0) 69.4% 69.9% 68.7% 1.02× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 20.7% 21.7% 14.6% 1.48× 4.61
Slask Wroclaw (1:0) 9.9% 6.9% 16.9% 0.41× 14.44
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok (2:0) 90.1% 93.9% 83.2% 1.13× 1.07
Draw (2:0) 7.2% 6.5% 9.9% 0.65× 15.49
Slask Wroclaw (2:0) 2.6% 2.3% 7.1% 0.32× 44.24
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.0% 48.2% 47.2% 1.02× 2.08
1st half highest scoring 28.3% 26.5% 26.6% 1.00× 3.77
Halves equal 24.7% 24.3% 26.3% 0.92× 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok to concede 61.0% 63.3% 69.6% 0.91× 1.58
Jagiellonia Bialystok clean sheet 39.0% 36.7% 30.4% 1.21× 2.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok clean sheet in 1st half 68.6% 68.4% 57.6% 1.19× 1.46
Jagiellonia Bialystok to concede in 1st half 31.4% 31.6% 42.4% 0.75× 3.16
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 3.5 goals 96.2% 96.3% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 2.5 goals 87.0% 87.2% 76.9% 1.14× 1.15
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 0.5 goals 71.2% 74.2% 77.5% 0.96× 1.35
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 1.5 goals 64.6% 63.4% 54.0% 1.17× 1.58
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 1.5 goals 35.4% 36.6% 46.0% 0.80× 2.73
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 0.5 goals 28.8% 25.8% 22.5% 1.14× 3.88
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 2.5 goals 13.0% 12.8% 23.2% 0.55× 7.83
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 3.5 goals 3.8% 3.7% 8.3% 0.44× 27.39
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 1.5 in 1st half 89.9% 90.1% 87.2% 1.03× 1.11
Jagiellonia Bialystok under 0.5 in 1st half 58.5% 57.3% 52.4% 1.09× 1.74
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 0.5 in 1st half 41.5% 42.7% 47.6% 0.90× 2.34
Jagiellonia Bialystok over 1.5 in 1st half 10.1% 9.9% 12.8% 0.78× 10.07
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw (home no bet) 56.5% 56.7% 57.8% 0.98× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 43.5% 43.3% 42.2% 1.03× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok even goals 54.1% 50.7% 51.3% 0.99× 1.97
Jagiellonia Bialystok odd goals 45.9% 49.3% 48.7% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 39.7% 38.8% 28.7% 1.35× 2.58
HT 1-0 22.0% 24.2% 21.3% 1.14× 4.13
HT 0-1 15.6% 18.8% 16.9% 1.12× 5.31
HT 1-1 7.6% 7.1% 9.4% 0.75× 14.10
HT 2-0 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 1.07× 14.13
HT 0-2 2.8% 2.2% 5.5% 0.41× 44.71
Any other HT score 2.4% 2.2% 4.7% 0.47× 44.75
HT 2-1 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 0.68× 44.77
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.2% 4.1% 0.55× 44.82
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.2% 0.8% 2.83× 44.91
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok at HT / Jagiellonia Bialystok at FT 25.9% 26.5% 27.7% 0.96× 3.77
Draw at HT / Jagiellonia Bialystok at FT 18.2% 16.8% 15.0% 1.12× 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.7% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.96
Slask Wroclaw at HT / Slask Wroclaw at FT 15.2% 16.8% 18.9% 0.89× 5.96
Draw at HT / Slask Wroclaw at FT 13.9% 12.7% 11.0% 1.15× 7.89
Jagiellonia Bialystok at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.4% 3.9% 0.87× 29.12
Slask Wroclaw at HT / Draw at FT 3.7% 3.4% 6.3% 0.54× 29.14
Slask Wroclaw at HT / Jagiellonia Bialystok at FT 1.8% 3.4% 3.6% 0.95× 29.21
Jagiellonia Bialystok at HT / Slask Wroclaw at FT 1.5% 3.4% 1.7% 1.98× 29.22
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score last 51.9% 51.8% 53.1% 0.98× 1.93
Slask Wroclaw to score last 39.5% 38.4% 40.5% 0.95× 2.60
No goal scored 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.45
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.4% 92.7% 93.4% 0.99× 1.08
Jagiellonia Bialystok to lead by 1 at any time 57.6% 55.0% 58.4% 0.94× 1.82
Slask Wroclaw to lead by 1 at any time 43.9% 39.1% 49.1% 0.80× 2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 37.5% 34.7% 51.3% 0.68× 2.88
Jagiellonia Bialystok to lead by 2 at any time 23.9% 19.6% 29.8% 0.66× 5.09
Slask Wroclaw to lead by 2 at any time 13.7% 10.5% 21.7% 0.48× 9.54
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.4% 10.4% 20.2% 0.52× 9.59
Jagiellonia Bialystok to lead by 3 at any time 7.9% 6.5% 12.0% 0.55× 15.30
Slask Wroclaw to lead by 3 at any time 3.4% 1.6% 8.3% 0.19× 62.41
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.0% 87.4% 85.0% 1.03× 1.14
1-4 goals 84.3% 83.5% 76.5% 1.09× 1.20
1-3 goals 73.6% 72.4% 59.4% 1.22× 1.38
2-6 goals 60.9% 63.5% 74.0% 0.86× 1.58
2-5 goals 59.1% 59.2% 69.0% 0.86× 1.69
2-4 goals 54.5% 53.2% 60.5% 0.88× 1.88
1-2 goals 54.0% 53.1% 39.4% 1.35× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.8% 43.6% 43.3% 1.01× 2.29
3-6 goals 36.6% 39.2% 50.9% 0.77× 2.55
3-5 goals 34.9% 35.4% 45.8% 0.77× 2.83
3-4 goals 30.3% 35.4% 37.3% 0.95× 2.83
4-6 goals 17.1% 18.6% 30.9% 0.60× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.4% 18.6% 25.8% 0.72× 5.38
5-6 goals 6.4% 8.7% 13.7% 0.64× 11.45
7+ goals 0.7% 2.5% 3.5% 0.73× 39.55
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok never behind 47.5% 57.1% 50.9% 1.12× 1.75
Slask Wroclaw never behind 33.8% 35.5% 41.6% 0.85× 2.82
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 45.4% 50.8% 52.9% 0.96× 1.97
Odd number of goals 54.6% 49.2% 47.1% 1.05× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.2% 57.9% 51.8% 1.12× 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.8% 42.1% 48.2% 0.87× 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.1% 52.0% 49.3% 1.06× 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.9% 48.0% 50.7% 0.95× 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.6% 95.5% 91.5% 1.04× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.9% 92.3% 83.0% 1.11× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 93.4% 0.99× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 82.2% 82.4% 65.8% 1.25× 1.21
Under 2.5 goals 62.6% 61.8% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
Over 1.5 goals 61.6% 61.7% 77.3% 0.80× 1.62
Under 1.5 goals 38.4% 38.3% 22.7% 1.69× 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 37.4% 38.2% 54.2% 0.71× 2.62
Over 3.5 goals 17.8% 17.6% 34.2% 0.52× 5.67
Under 0.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 6.6% 1.17× 12.94
Over 4.5 goals 7.1% 7.7% 17.0% 0.45× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 2.4% 4.5% 8.5% 0.53× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.3% 96.4% 1.01× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.5% 97.3% 90.7% 1.07× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.1% 92.5% 79.5% 1.16× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 77.9% 75.9% 57.3% 1.33× 1.32
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 50.7% 51.8% 29.5% 1.75× 1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 49.3% 48.2% 70.5% 0.68× 2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 22.1% 24.1% 42.7% 0.56× 4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.0% 7.5% 20.5% 0.37× 13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.5% 2.8% 9.3% 0.30× 36.37
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.7% 3.6% 0.75× 36.43
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.5% 92.9% 87.6% 1.06× 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 77.3% 78.7% 66.5% 1.18× 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 60.3% 63.6% 71.3% 0.89× 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 39.7% 36.4% 28.7% 1.27× 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 22.7% 21.3% 33.5% 0.64× 4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.5% 7.1% 12.4% 0.57× 14.15
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.3% 85.3% 75.3% 1.13× 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.9% 77.9% 81.6% 0.96× 1.28
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 64.5% 62.0% 51.3% 1.21× 1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 35.5% 38.0% 48.7% 0.78× 2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.1% 22.1% 18.4% 1.20× 4.53
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.7% 14.7% 24.7% 0.59× 6.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw not to score in both halves 86.5% 85.8% 77.6% 1.11× 1.17
Jagiellonia Bialystok not to score in both halves 78.9% 78.5% 68.0% 1.15× 1.28
Jagiellonia Bialystok to score in both halves 21.1% 21.5% 32.0% 0.67× 4.64
Slask Wroclaw to score in both halves 13.5% 14.2% 22.4% 0.63× 7.05
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 40.8% 46.6% 53.7% 0.87× 2.15
Only Jagiellonia Bialystok scores 30.4% 33.3% 23.9% 1.39× 3.00
Only Slask Wroclaw scores 20.2% 22.3% 16.1% 1.39× 4.48
Neither team scores 8.6% 7.2% 6.6% 1.09× 13.93
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 29.8% 25.0% 16.2% 1.54× 4.00
Exactly 2 goals 24.2% 22.7% 23.3% 0.97× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.6% 17.5% 20.2% 0.87× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 10.7% 12.1% 17.3% 0.70× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 8.6% 7.6% 6.6% 1.15× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 4.7% 4.4% 8.7% 0.51× 22.60
6 or more goals 2.4% 4.4% 8.5% 0.52× 22.64
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 37.4% 39.9% 33.1% 1.21× 2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half 35.5% 39.7% 48.7% 0.82× 2.52
No goals in 2nd half 27.1% 29.6% 18.4% 1.61× 3.38
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw not to win both halves 94.9% 94.0% 90.7% 1.04× 1.06
Jagiellonia Bialystok not to win both halves 89.3% 88.1% 83.2% 1.06× 1.14
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win both halves 10.7% 11.9% 16.9% 0.70× 8.43
Slask Wroclaw to win both halves 5.1% 6.0% 9.3% 0.64× 16.75
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw to win neither half 58.3% 59.5% 54.0% 1.10× 1.68
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win either half 56.2% 59.4% 58.7% 1.01× 1.68
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win neither half 43.9% 40.6% 41.3% 0.98× 2.46
Slask Wroclaw to win either half 41.7% 40.5% 46.0% 0.88× 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Slask Wroclaw not to win to nil 79.8% 78.0% 83.9% 0.93× 1.28
Jagiellonia Bialystok not to win to nil 69.6% 69.7% 76.1% 0.92× 1.44
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win to nil 30.4% 30.3% 23.9% 1.27× 3.30
Slask Wroclaw to win to nil 20.2% 22.0% 16.1% 1.37× 4.55
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jagiellonia Bialystok by 1 26.6% 27.8% 20.9% 1.33× 3.59
Draw 23.5% 24.1% 22.8% 1.06× 4.14
Slask Wroclaw by 1 20.7% 24.1% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Jagiellonia Bialystok by 2 12.7% 11.8% 15.3% 0.77× 8.46
Slask Wroclaw by 2 7.2% 7.2% 9.9% 0.73× 13.81
Jagiellonia Bialystok by 3+ 6.6% 7.2% 10.1% 0.72× 13.81
Slask Wroclaw by 3+ 2.6% 2.7% 7.1% 0.38× 36.99
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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