Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Nürnberg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Karlsruher SC

07:00

1. FC Nürnberg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 315h before kick-off

Karlsruher SC win

36.6%

model 35.1%

Draw

20.7%

model 22.9%

1. FC Nürnberg win

42.7%

model 42.0%

372143

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.6%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 7.0%
0-1 5.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.7%	Under 2.5	32.3%
BTTS yes	68.3%	BTTS no	31.7%
Karlsruher SC 1+	81.0%	Karlsruher SC 2+	49.5%
1. FC Nürnberg 1+	83.9%	1. FC Nürnberg 2+	54.5%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger rating, 1576 Elo against 1454.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0041 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

1. FC Nürnberg have an estimated 42.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Karlsruher SC and 20.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for Karlsruher SC and 1.83 for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Why Karlsruher SC

Nothing in the data singles out Karlsruher SC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.66 to 1.83. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why 1. FC Nürnberg can win

1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger rating, 1576 Elo against 1454. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Karlsruher SC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for 1. FC Nürnberg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Karlsruher SC: 52% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. 1. FC Nürnberg: 53% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Karlsruher SC's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

1. FC Nürnberg are the model's most likely outcome at 42.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352342	1.66–1.83	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322246	1.66–2.00	1-1 9%	71%	70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to win	45.8%	47.4%	31.2%	1.52×	2.11
Karlsruher SC to win	32.2%	30.4%	43.1%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg & both teams score	29.6%	25.2%	18.1%	1.39×	3.97
Karlsruher SC & both teams score	21.5%	21.9%	22.2%	0.99×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	19.7%	0.91×	5.58
1. FC Nürnberg & not both score	16.2%	17.9%	13.3%	1.35×	5.58
Karlsruher SC & not both score	10.7%	13.2%	21.1%	0.63×	7.55
Draw & not both score	2.9%	4.9%	6.4%	0.76×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg & over 1.5	40.9%	40.3%	25.9%	1.56×	2.48
1. FC Nürnberg & over 2.5	35.8%	34.9%	22.2%	1.58×	2.86
Karlsruher SC & over 1.5	28.2%	26.0%	34.3%	0.76×	3.84
Karlsruher SC & over 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	27.8%	0.78×	4.62
1. FC Nürnberg & over 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	10.3%	2.10×	4.62
1. FC Nürnberg & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	21.1%	1.03×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	19.7%	0.92×	5.56
Karlsruher SC & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	27.8%	0.65×	5.56
Karlsruher SC & over 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.4%	1.17×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	11.7%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	11.7%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.78
Draw & over 3.5	10.3%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.78
1. FC Nürnberg & under 2.5	10.0%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.78
Karlsruher SC & under 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	15.4%	0.51×	12.69
1. FC Nürnberg & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	5.5%	0.88×	20.92
Karlsruher SC & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	8.9%	0.54×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (1UP)	65.1%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Karlsruher SC (1UP)	54.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (2UP)	45.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Karlsruher SC (2UP)	32.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to win 2nd half	41.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	29.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Karlsruher SC to win 2nd half	28.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (+2.5)	93.6%	92.1%	90.6%	1.02×	1.09
1. FC Nürnberg (+1.5)	84.1%	82.4%	77.7%	1.06×	1.21
1. FC Nürnberg (+0.5)	67.8%	68.7%	56.9%	1.21×	1.46
Karlsruher SC (+0.5)	54.2%	52.4%	68.8%	0.76×	1.91
1. FC Nürnberg (-0.5)	45.8%	47.6%	31.2%	1.53×	2.10
Karlsruher SC (-0.5)	32.2%	31.3%	43.1%	0.73×	3.20
Karlsruher SC (-1.5)	15.9%	17.6%	22.3%	0.79×	5.69
Karlsruher SC (-2.5)	6.4%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to concede	80.9%	81.3%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet	19.1%	18.7%	19.5%	0.96×	5.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1. FC Nürnberg to concede in 1st half	51.0%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 6.5 corners	82.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
1. FC Nürnberg over 2.5 corners	75.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
1. FC Nürnberg under 5.5 corners	72.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
1. FC Nürnberg under 4.5 corners	58.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
1. FC Nürnberg over 3.5 corners	58.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
1. FC Nürnberg under 3.5 corners	41.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
1. FC Nürnberg over 4.5 corners	41.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
1. FC Nürnberg over 5.5 corners	27.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
1. FC Nürnberg under 2.5 corners	25.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
1. FC Nürnberg over 6.5 corners	17.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.9%	72.7%	1.21×	1.14
1. FC Nürnberg under 3.5 goals	85.8%	87.9%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
1. FC Nürnberg under 2.5 goals	67.7%	68.0%	83.6%	0.81×	1.47
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 goals	59.3%	59.6%	39.8%	1.50×	1.68
1. FC Nürnberg under 1.5 goals	40.7%	40.4%	60.2%	0.67×	2.48
1. FC Nürnberg over 2.5 goals	32.3%	32.0%	16.4%	1.96×	3.12
1. FC Nürnberg over 3.5 goals	14.2%	12.1%	5.5%	2.22×	8.24
1. FC Nürnberg under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.1%	27.3%	0.44×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
1. FC Nürnberg over 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
1. FC Nürnberg under 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (away no bet)	59.3%	57.5%	62.4%	0.92×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.7%	42.5%	37.6%	1.13×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg even goals	50.9%	52.7%	54.1%	0.97×	1.90
1. FC Nürnberg odd goals	49.1%	47.3%	45.9%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.8%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
1. FC Nürnberg to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Karlsruher SC to score 2+ in a row	36.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
1. FC Nürnberg to score 3+ in a row	19.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
Karlsruher SC to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC corners (+3.5)	89.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Karlsruher SC corners (+2.5)	83.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+3.5)	76.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Karlsruher SC corners (+1.5)	75.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+2.5)	67.0%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+1.5)	56.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Karlsruher SC corners (-1.5)	43.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Karlsruher SC corners (-2.5)	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-1.5)	24.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Karlsruher SC corners (-3.5)	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-2.5)	16.8%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-3.5)	10.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.9%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	30.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
12+ corners	28.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	63.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 8.5 corners	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 9.5 corners	47.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 8.5 corners	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 7.5 corners	31.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.9%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.46
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.46
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
2-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.2%	1.04×	13.46
Any other score	7.8%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.46
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.46
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	2.5%	2.98×	13.46
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.56
2-3	4.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.57
0-0	2.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.58
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.57
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.58
1-0	4.0%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.57
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.82×	58.58
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.57
2-4	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.58
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.58
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.57
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.57
3-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.58
3-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.82×	58.59
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.82×	58.59
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.58
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.58
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.59
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.47×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg leading at HT (DNB)	54.0%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Karlsruher SC leading at HT (DNB)	46.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC or 1. FC Nürnberg (12)	78.0%	75.6%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
1. FC Nürnberg or draw (X2)	67.8%	69.6%	56.9%	1.22×	1.44
Karlsruher SC or draw (1X)	54.2%	52.6%	68.8%	0.76×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg or draw at HT	70.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Karlsruher SC or draw at HT	65.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Karlsruher SC or 1. FC Nürnberg at HT	63.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg or draw (1UP)	67.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Karlsruher SC or draw (1UP)	54.2%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Karlsruher SC or 1. FC Nürnberg in 2nd half	70.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Karlsruher SC or draw in 2nd half	58.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	45.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (DNB)	58.8%	58.2%	42.0%	1.39×	1.72
Karlsruher SC (DNB)	41.3%	41.8%	58.0%	0.72×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to score first	53.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Karlsruher SC to score first	44.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	2.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	70.2%	62.2%	59.6%	1.04×	1.61
Not both teams to score	29.8%	37.8%	40.4%	0.94×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.4%	50.0%	49.1%	1.02×	2.00
Not both score & under 2.5	20.5%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	9.8%	0.85×	11.96
Both score & under 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	10.6%	0.79×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	70.7%	80.4%	80.5%	1.00×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	29.3%	19.6%	19.5%	1.00×	5.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.2%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	41.1%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Both score 2nd half only	30.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	71.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	28.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.9%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	31.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.9%	42.1%	30.6%	1.38×	2.37
2-3 goals	38.6%	35.0%	45.1%	0.78×	2.86
0-1 goals	11.8%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.91
7+ goals	7.8%	7.6%	4.2%	1.81×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to score 3+	32.3%	33.9%	16.4%	2.07×	2.95
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 1	27.1%	27.4%	33.1%	0.83×	3.65
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 0	13.6%	12.8%	27.3%	0.47×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 1	31.6%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Karlsruher SC to score 3+	23.1%	23.3%	22.6%	1.03×	4.30
Karlsruher SC to score exactly 0	19.1%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	36.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
1. FC Nürnberg leading at HT	34.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Karlsruher SC leading at HT	29.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg -1: 1	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
1. FC Nürnberg -1: 2	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1. FC Nürnberg -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:1)	67.8%	65.5%	56.9%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	16.3%	17.8%	20.9%	0.85×	5.62
Karlsruher SC (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	22.3%	0.80×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:2)	84.1%	82.8%	77.7%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.5%	7.7%	13.1%	0.59×	12.96
Karlsruher SC (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:3)	93.6%	92.7%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	41.95
Karlsruher SC (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	3.6%	0.66×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.0%	0.59×	83.30
Karlsruher SC (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	83.40

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (1:0)	54.2%	54.1%	68.8%	0.79×	1.85
1. FC Nürnberg (1:0)	26.1%	25.1%	13.3%	1.89×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.0%	18.1%	0.94×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC (2:0)	73.9%	76.5%	86.7%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.4%	7.2%	1.45×	9.60
1. FC Nürnberg (2:0)	12.3%	10.4%	6.2%	1.67×	9.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to concede	86.4%	86.0%	72.7%	1.18×	1.16
Karlsruher SC clean sheet	13.6%	14.0%	27.3%	0.51×	7.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC to concede in 1st half	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Karlsruher SC clean sheet in 1st half	45.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC over 2.5 corners	84.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Karlsruher SC over 3.5 corners	71.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Karlsruher SC under 6.5 corners	70.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Karlsruher SC under 5.5 corners	58.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Karlsruher SC over 4.5 corners	56.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Karlsruher SC under 4.5 corners	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Karlsruher SC over 5.5 corners	42.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Karlsruher SC over 6.5 corners	29.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Karlsruher SC under 3.5 corners	28.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Karlsruher SC under 2.5 corners	15.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC under 3.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Karlsruher SC over 0.5 goals	80.9%	82.1%	80.5%	1.02×	1.22
Karlsruher SC under 2.5 goals	76.9%	77.7%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Karlsruher SC under 1.5 goals	50.7%	53.3%	51.2%	1.04×	1.88
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals	49.3%	46.7%	48.8%	0.96×	2.14
Karlsruher SC over 2.5 goals	23.1%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.48
Karlsruher SC under 0.5 goals	19.1%	17.9%	19.5%	0.92×	5.60
Karlsruher SC over 3.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Karlsruher SC under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Karlsruher SC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	15.2%	—	—	6.56

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (home no bet)	67.5%	63.8%	54.6%	1.17×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	32.5%	36.2%	45.4%	0.80×	2.76

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC even goals	51.8%	50.6%	50.9%	1.00×	1.98
Karlsruher SC odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	12.6%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
Any other HT score	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 0-2	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
HT 2-0	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 1-2	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.59
HT 2-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.80

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Karlsruher SC at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Karlsruher SC at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Karlsruher SC at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / Karlsruher SC at FT	2.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.18

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to score last	53.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Karlsruher SC to score last	44.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	2.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 1 at any time	65.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Karlsruher SC to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 2 at any time	35.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Karlsruher SC to lead by 2 at any time	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Karlsruher SC to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.24

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC most corners	54.6%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
1. FC Nürnberg most corners	34.5%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	10.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.8%	83.5%	84.6%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.5%	1.11×	1.20
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	70.5%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	66.7%	69.0%	75.5%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.9%	63.5%	54.8%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.2%	61.5%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	49.8%	1.07×	1.88
1-3 goals	47.5%	48.7%	59.1%	0.82×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.9%	43.6%	30.6%	1.43×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	40.7%	1.07×	2.29
2-3 goals	38.6%	39.2%	45.1%	0.87×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.3%	35.4%	25.6%	1.38×	2.83
1-2 goals	26.5%	30.2%	34.9%	0.86×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.6%	24.4%	14.2%	1.72×	4.09
7+ goals	7.8%	8.7%	4.2%	2.08×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg never behind	43.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Karlsruher SC never behind	32.0%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.1%	95.5%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.2%	87.7%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.7%	82.4%	90.8%	0.91×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	70.7%	72.5%	58.8%	1.23×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.6%	66.3%	81.7%	0.81×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	50.4%	52.4%	65.4%	0.80×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	49.6%	47.6%	34.6%	1.37×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	30.4%	33.7%	18.3%	1.85×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	29.3%	27.5%	41.2%	0.67×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	16.3%	17.6%	9.2%	1.92×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	11.8%	12.3%	20.4%	0.60×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	2.9%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.5%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.7%	86.7%	74.2%	1.17×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.0%	81.1%	89.9%	0.90×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.9%	62.1%	45.7%	1.36×	1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.4%	62.1%	78.2%	0.79×	1.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.6%	37.9%	21.8%	1.73×	2.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.1%	37.9%	54.3%	0.70×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.0%	18.9%	10.1%	1.87×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.3%	13.3%	25.8%	0.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.5%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.25

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.7%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC not to score in both halves	68.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
1. FC Nürnberg not to score in both halves	61.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
1. FC Nürnberg to score in both halves	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Karlsruher SC to score in both halves	31.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	70.2%	66.0%	59.6%	1.11×	1.52
Only 1. FC Nürnberg scores	16.2%	16.1%	13.3%	1.21×	6.21
Only Karlsruher SC scores	10.7%	10.9%	21.1%	0.52×	9.15
Neither team scores	2.9%	4.6%	6.4%	0.72×	21.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.6%	17.5%	20.9%	0.83×	5.73
6 or more goals	16.3%	17.4%	9.2%	1.90×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.1%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	8.9%	7.6%	14.2%	0.54×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.9%	4.4%	6.4%	0.69×	22.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
No goals in 2nd half	11.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC not to win both halves	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
1. FC Nürnberg not to win both halves	85.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
1. FC Nürnberg to win both halves	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Karlsruher SC to win both halves	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to win either half	61.6%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Karlsruher SC to win neither half	50.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Karlsruher SC to win either half	49.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1. FC Nürnberg to win neither half	38.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Karlsruher SC not to win to nil	89.3%	88.2%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
1. FC Nürnberg not to win to nil	83.8%	83.0%	86.7%	0.96×	1.21
1. FC Nürnberg to win to nil	16.2%	17.0%	13.3%	1.28×	5.88
Karlsruher SC to win to nil	10.7%	11.8%	21.1%	0.56×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.14
1. FC Nürnberg by 1	19.7%	16.9%	18.1%	0.94×	5.90
Karlsruher SC by 1	16.3%	16.9%	20.9%	0.81×	5.90
1. FC Nürnberg by 2	13.8%	11.8%	7.2%	1.65×	8.46
1. FC Nürnberg by 3+	12.3%	11.8%	6.2%	1.89×	8.46
Karlsruher SC by 2	9.5%	7.2%	13.1%	0.55×	13.79
Karlsruher SC by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	9.4%	0.77×	13.81