Kauno Žalgiris v Džiugas Telšiu — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000027 · 2627
FIFA:2000000027 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| Kauno Žalgiris 1+ | 76.2% | Kauno Žalgiris 2+ | 42.0% |
| Džiugas Telšiu 1+ | 69.0% | Džiugas Telšiu 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Kauno Žalgiris have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Džiugas Telšiu have allowed 1.35.
- At home Kauno Žalgiris average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Kauno Žalgiris have only 0 matches on record.
- Džiugas Telšiu have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Kauno Žalgiris have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Džiugas Telšiu and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.17 for Džiugas Telšiu.
Why Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Džiugas Telšiu have allowed 1.35. At home Kauno Žalgiris average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why Džiugas Telšiu can win
Džiugas Telšiu have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kauno Žalgiris have allowed 1.35. Away from home Džiugas Telšiu average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Kauno Žalgiris, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Džiugas Telšiu, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Kauno Žalgiris: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Džiugas Telšiu: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Kauno Žalgiris are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.43–1.17 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.