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Konyaspor v Trabzonspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Konyaspor win
26.6%
model 27.9%
Draw
26.6%
model 26.9%
Trabzonspor win
46.8%
model 45.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.7%
  2. 1-2 9.3%
  3. 0-1 7.7%
  4. 0-2 7.4%
  5. 2-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.555.4% Under 2.544.6%
BTTS yes59.0% BTTS no41.0%
Konyaspor 1+71.5% Konyaspor 2+35.7%
Trabzonspor 1+80.7% Trabzonspor 2+49.0%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Trabzonspor or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 55%
72.3% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1552 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Konyaspor to concede
Home clean sheet · usually 70%
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Trabzonspor carry the stronger rating, 1644 Elo against 1442.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Trabzonspor have an estimated 46.8% win probability, against 26.6% for Konyaspor and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Konyaspor and 1.65 for Trabzonspor.

Why Konyaspor

Nothing in the data singles out Konyaspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Trabzonspor can win

Trabzonspor carry the stronger rating, 1644 Elo against 1442.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Konyaspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Trabzonspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Konyaspor: 46% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Trabzonspor: 54% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Trabzonspor are the model's most likely outcome at 46.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.26–1.65 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.28–1.63 1-1 13% 56% 59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 44.3% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.32
Konyaspor to win 28.8% 27.9% 45.4% 0.61× 3.59
Draw 26.9% 27.9% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & both teams score 23.3% 21.9% 14.5% 1.51× 4.57
Trabzonspor & not both score 21.0% 21.9% 14.3% 1.52× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.2% 21.9% 18.2% 1.20× 4.57
Konyaspor & both teams score 16.0% 17.9% 23.2% 0.77× 5.58
Konyaspor & not both score 12.8% 13.2% 22.3% 0.59× 7.55
Draw & not both score 6.7% 8.4% 8.0% 1.05× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor & over 1.5 36.8% 34.9% 22.3% 1.56× 2.86
Trabzonspor & over 2.5 29.5% 26.0% 18.0% 1.44× 3.84
Trabzonspor & under 3.5 27.9% 26.0% 19.5% 1.33× 3.84
Konyaspor & over 1.5 23.2% 21.6% 36.2% 0.60× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.2% 21.6% 18.2% 1.19× 4.62
Konyaspor & over 2.5 18.7% 18.0% 30.3% 0.59× 5.56
Konyaspor & under 3.5 19.3% 18.0% 29.4% 0.61× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.4% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Trabzonspor & over 3.5 16.4% 18.0% 9.3% 1.93× 5.56
Trabzonspor & under 2.5 14.7% 12.9% 10.8% 1.19× 7.77
Konyaspor & under 2.5 10.1% 12.9% 15.2% 0.84× 7.78
Konyaspor & over 3.5 9.5% 7.9% 16.1% 0.49× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 7.5% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.69
Trabzonspor & under 1.5 7.5% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 0.99× 12.69
Konyaspor & under 1.5 5.6% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (1UP) 61.3% 63.1% 1.59
Konyaspor (1UP) 48.0% 43.0% 2.33
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (2UP) 44.3% 47.8% 2.09
Konyaspor (2UP) 28.8% 24.7% 4.05
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win 2nd half 39.7% 36.2% 2.77
2nd half drawn 34.4% 34.5% 2.90
Konyaspor to win 2nd half 25.9% 26.2% 3.82
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (+2.5) 95.7% 96.3% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Trabzonspor (+1.5) 87.2% 88.5% 78.6% 1.13× 1.13
Trabzonspor (+0.5) 71.2% 73.7% 54.6% 1.35× 1.36
Konyaspor (+0.5) 55.7% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.75
Trabzonspor (-0.5) 44.3% 43.0% 28.7% 1.50× 2.33
Konyaspor (-0.5) 28.8% 26.3% 45.4% 0.58× 3.80
Konyaspor (-1.5) 12.8% 11.5% 21.5% 0.54× 8.69
Konyaspor (-2.5) 4.3% 3.7% 9.9% 0.38× 26.73
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to concede 72.3% 76.5% 77.8% 0.98× 1.31
Trabzonspor clean sheet 27.7% 23.5% 22.2% 1.06× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor clean sheet in 1st half 57.6% 57.7% 1.73
Trabzonspor to concede in 1st half 42.4% 42.3% 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 6.5 corners 80.2% 80.9% 1.24
Trabzonspor over 2.5 corners 75.6% 75.8% 1.32
Trabzonspor under 5.5 corners 69.7% 68.3% 1.47
Trabzonspor over 3.5 corners 59.6% 56.9% 1.76
Trabzonspor under 4.5 corners 56.2% 56.9% 1.76
Trabzonspor over 4.5 corners 43.8% 43.1% 2.32
Trabzonspor under 3.5 corners 40.4% 43.1% 2.32
Trabzonspor over 5.5 corners 30.3% 31.7% 3.15
Trabzonspor under 2.5 corners 24.4% 24.2% 4.13
Trabzonspor over 6.5 corners 19.8% 19.1% 5.24
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 3.5 goals 91.7% 92.3% 95.4% 0.97× 1.08
Trabzonspor over 0.5 goals 80.5% 81.5% 69.8% 1.17× 1.23
Trabzonspor under 2.5 goals 77.5% 76.2% 86.2% 0.88× 1.31
Trabzonspor under 1.5 goals 51.4% 53.7% 65.2% 0.82× 1.86
Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 48.6% 46.3% 34.8% 1.33× 2.16
Trabzonspor over 2.5 goals 22.5% 23.8% 13.8% 1.73× 4.21
Trabzonspor under 0.5 goals 19.5% 18.5% 30.2% 0.61× 5.39
Trabzonspor over 3.5 goals 8.3% 7.7% 4.6% 1.67× 13.06
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor under 1.5 in 1st half 86.0% 89.5% 1.12
Trabzonspor under 0.5 in 1st half 52.0% 55.8% 1.79
Trabzonspor over 0.5 in 1st half 48.0% 44.2% 2.26
Trabzonspor over 1.5 in 1st half 14.0% 10.5% 9.50
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (away no bet) 51.6% 51.2% 63.6% 0.81× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 48.4% 48.8% 36.4% 1.34× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor even goals 51.9% 52.7% 54.4% 0.97× 1.90
Trabzonspor odd goals 48.1% 47.3% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.7% 83.2% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.3% 16.8% 5.95
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.3% 68.5% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 31.7% 31.5% 3.17
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 59.2% 55.5% 1.80
Trabzonspor to score 2+ in a row 39.4% 36.4% 2.75
Konyaspor to score 2+ in a row 27.3% 25.2% 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.9% 19.3% 5.18
Trabzonspor to score 3+ in a row 14.5% 12.1% 8.30
Konyaspor to score 3+ in a row 7.7% 5.6% 17.91
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor corners (+3.5) 84.6% 80.0% 1.25
Trabzonspor corners (+3.5) 82.4% 80.0% 1.25
Konyaspor corners (+2.5) 77.3% 75.5% 1.33
Trabzonspor corners (+2.5) 74.5% 69.9% 1.43
Konyaspor corners (+1.5) 68.1% 66.8% 1.50
Trabzonspor corners (+1.5) 64.8% 61.7% 1.62
Konyaspor corners (-1.5) 35.2% 38.3% 2.61
Trabzonspor corners (-1.5) 31.9% 33.2% 3.01
Konyaspor corners (-2.5) 25.5% 30.1% 3.32
Trabzonspor corners (-2.5) 22.7% 24.5% 4.08
Konyaspor corners (-3.5) 17.6% 20.0% 5.00
Trabzonspor corners (-3.5) 15.4% 20.0% 5.01
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.8% 40.7% 2.46
9-11 corners 28.4% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 23.9% 26.3% 3.80
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 82.8% 79.8% 1.25
Under 11.5 corners 76.1% 76.6% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.9% 67.9% 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 63.2% 62.7% 1.60
Under 9.5 corners 58.4% 57.8% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.2% 52.2% 1.91
Under 8.5 corners 47.8% 47.8% 2.09
Over 9.5 corners 41.6% 42.2% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 36.8% 37.3% 2.68
Over 10.5 corners 32.1% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 23.9% 23.4% 4.28
Over 12.5 corners 17.2% 20.2% 4.96
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.7% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.73
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 6.7% 1.12× 13.46
0-0 6.7% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.46
0-1 7.5% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.46
0-2 7.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.67× 13.46
2-1 7.3% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.46
1-0 5.6% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.46
1-3 5.0% 7.4% 2.7% 2.79× 13.46
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.46
0-3 3.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.57
0-4 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.58
1-4 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.58
2-0 4.5% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.57
2-3 3.2% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 58.57
2-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.59
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.58
3-1 3.1% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.57
3-2 2.5% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.58
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.28× 58.58
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 3.85× 58.59
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.59
4-1 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.15× 58.59
4-2 0.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.44× 58.59
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.31× 58.59
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 11.54× 58.59
Any other score 3.5% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor leading at HT (DNB) 55.6% 57.3% 1.75
Konyaspor leading at HT (DNB) 44.4% 42.7% 2.34
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor or Trabzonspor (12) 73.1% 72.1% 74.0% 0.98× 1.39
Trabzonspor or draw (X2) 71.2% 72.1% 54.6% 1.32× 1.39
Konyaspor or draw (1X) 55.7% 57.0% 71.3% 0.80× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw at HT 74.3% 74.7% 1.34
Konyaspor or draw at HT 67.9% 66.1% 1.51
Konyaspor or Trabzonspor at HT 57.8% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw (1UP) 71.2% 79.9% 1.25
Konyaspor or draw (1UP) 55.7% 62.5% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor or draw in 2nd half 74.1% 73.8% 1.36
Konyaspor or Trabzonspor in 2nd half 65.6% 65.5% 1.53
Konyaspor or draw in 2nd half 60.3% 63.8% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.7% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.3% 38.5% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (DNB) 60.6% 62.8% 38.7% 1.62× 1.59
Konyaspor (DNB) 39.4% 37.2% 61.3% 0.61× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score first 52.2% 54.2% 1.85
Konyaspor to score first 41.0% 41.6% 2.41
No goal scored 6.7% 7.4% 13.57
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 59.5% 54.8% 55.6% 0.99× 1.83
Not both teams to score 40.5% 45.2% 44.4% 1.02× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 46.8% 44.2% 43.2% 1.02× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 31.6% 34.4% 33.7% 1.02× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 12.7% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 9.0% 8.4% 10.8% 0.77× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.2% 83.2% 83.4% 1.00× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.8% 16.8% 16.6% 1.02× 5.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.1% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.9% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.2% 56.2% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 26.3% 26.0% 3.85
Both score 1st half only 14.0% 10.5% 9.51
Both score in both halves 6.6% 6.7% 14.97
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.4% 81.8% 1.22
Both teams to score by HT 20.6% 18.2% 5.49
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 58.0% 57.3% 1.75
A half without a goal 42.0% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 47.4% 45.7% 1.04× 2.11
4-6 goals 30.5% 30.7% 28.4% 1.08× 3.26
0-1 goals 19.9% 20.3% 23.5% 0.86× 4.94
7+ goals 2.9% 1.8% 2.7% 0.68× 55.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score exactly 1 31.9% 33.9% 35.2% 0.96× 2.95
Trabzonspor to score exactly 2 26.0% 27.4% 21.2% 1.29× 3.65
Trabzonspor to score 3+ 22.5% 22.4% 13.8% 1.63× 4.47
Trabzonspor to score exactly 0 19.5% 19.6% 30.2% 0.65× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor to score exactly 1 35.6% 35.6% 32.1% 1.11× 2.81
Konyaspor to score exactly 0 27.7% 26.5% 22.2% 1.19× 3.77
Konyaspor to score exactly 2 22.8% 23.3% 23.8% 0.98× 4.30
Konyaspor to score 3+ 13.9% 14.4% 22.2% 0.65× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.2% 43.2% 2.32
Trabzonspor leading at HT 32.1% 33.9% 2.95
Konyaspor leading at HT 25.7% 25.3% 3.96
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor -1: 1 55.7% 56.7% 1.77
Trabzonspor -1: 2 23.6% 23.6% 4.24
Trabzonspor -1: X 20.6% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:1) 71.2% 71.0% 54.6% 1.30× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 15.9% 17.8% 24.1% 0.74× 5.63
Konyaspor (0:1) 12.8% 13.8% 21.5% 0.65× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:2) 87.2% 87.0% 78.6% 1.11× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.5% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.97
Konyaspor (0:2) 4.3% 3.8% 9.9% 0.38× 26.44
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:3) 95.7% 96.6% 90.1% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.1% 2.4% 6.5% 0.37× 42.00
Konyaspor (0:3) 1.2% 2.4% 3.6% 0.67× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (0:4) 98.8% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 83.37
Konyaspor (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.01× 83.44
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (1:0) 55.7% 58.1% 71.3% 0.81× 1.72
Trabzonspor (1:0) 23.6% 21.7% 13.0% 1.67× 4.60
Draw (1:0) 20.6% 21.7% 15.8% 1.37× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor (2:0) 76.4% 80.3% 87.0% 0.92× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 13.8% 10.4% 7.7% 1.35× 9.60
Trabzonspor (2:0) 9.9% 6.5% 5.5% 1.18× 15.46
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.1% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.8% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor to concede 80.5% 80.7% 69.8% 1.16× 1.24
Konyaspor clean sheet 19.5% 19.3% 30.2% 0.64× 5.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor clean sheet in 1st half 52.0% 55.8% 1.79
Konyaspor to concede in 1st half 48.0% 44.2% 2.26
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor under 6.5 corners 78.2% 76.1% 1.31
Konyaspor over 2.5 corners 77.3% 76.1% 1.31
Konyaspor under 5.5 corners 67.4% 67.7% 1.48
Konyaspor over 3.5 corners 61.9% 62.0% 1.61
Konyaspor under 4.5 corners 53.7% 53.1% 1.89
Konyaspor over 4.5 corners 46.3% 46.9% 2.13
Konyaspor under 3.5 corners 38.1% 38.0% 2.63
Konyaspor over 5.5 corners 32.6% 32.3% 3.10
Konyaspor under 2.5 corners 22.7% 23.9% 4.19
Konyaspor over 6.5 corners 21.8% 23.9% 4.19
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor under 3.5 goals 95.9% 96.3% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Konyaspor under 2.5 goals 86.1% 87.2% 77.8% 1.12× 1.15
Konyaspor over 0.5 goals 72.3% 74.2% 77.8% 0.95× 1.35
Konyaspor under 1.5 goals 63.3% 63.4% 54.1% 1.17× 1.58
Konyaspor over 1.5 goals 36.7% 36.6% 45.9% 0.80× 2.73
Konyaspor under 0.5 goals 27.7% 25.8% 22.2% 1.16× 3.88
Konyaspor over 2.5 goals 13.9% 12.8% 22.2% 0.58× 7.83
Konyaspor over 3.5 goals 4.1% 3.7% 7.4% 0.49× 27.38
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor under 1.5 in 1st half 89.4% 90.0% 1.11
Konyaspor under 0.5 in 1st half 57.6% 57.3% 1.75
Konyaspor over 0.5 in 1st half 42.4% 42.7% 2.34
Konyaspor over 1.5 in 1st half 10.6% 10.0% 10.05
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor (home no bet) 62.2% 60.1% 52.4% 1.15× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 37.8% 39.9% 47.6% 0.84× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor even goals 53.8% 50.7% 50.9% 1.00× 1.97
Konyaspor odd goals 46.2% 49.3% 49.1% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.2% 32.4% 3.09
HT 0-1 19.4% 18.9% 5.29
HT 1-0 16.3% 18.9% 5.30
HT 1-1 11.0% 11.0% 9.06
HT 0-2 6.4% 7.1% 14.12
Any other HT score 4.7% 2.2% 44.57
HT 2-0 4.6% 2.2% 44.58
HT 1-2 3.5% 2.2% 44.66
HT 2-1 3.0% 2.2% 44.70
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.2% 44.86
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 25.1% 26.5% 3.77
Konyaspor at HT / Konyaspor at FT 16.6% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 16.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Konyaspor at FT 10.2% 12.6% 7.91
Konyaspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.62
Trabzonspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.64
Konyaspor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT 3.2% 3.4% 29.15
Trabzonspor at HT / Konyaspor at FT 1.9% 3.4% 29.21
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to score last 52.3% 51.9% 1.93
Konyaspor to score last 41.0% 40.1% 2.50
No goal scored 6.7% 7.4% 13.57
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.3% 92.7% 1.08
Trabzonspor to lead by 1 at any time 61.3% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 49.3% 44.1% 2.27
Konyaspor to lead by 1 at any time 48.0% 44.0% 2.27
Trabzonspor to lead by 2 at any time 30.7% 29.4% 3.40
Konyaspor to lead by 2 at any time 18.9% 15.0% 6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.3% 14.9% 6.69
Trabzonspor to lead by 3 at any time 12.3% 10.5% 9.57
Konyaspor to lead by 3 at any time 6.0% 6.5% 15.40
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor most corners 46.1% 46.8% 2.14
Trabzonspor most corners 42.6% 43.2% 2.32
Corners level 11.3% 10.6% 9.39
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.7% 87.4% 85.5% 1.02× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.2% 78.6% 74.0% 1.06× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.2% 78.6% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.6% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 63.0% 63.5% 59.9% 1.06× 1.58
1-3 goals 59.9% 59.2% 61.2% 0.97× 1.69
3-6 goals 52.8% 53.1% 51.3% 1.04× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.2% 48.7% 47.3% 1.03× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.7% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-4 goals 38.7% 39.2% 37.3% 1.05× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.5% 39.2% 38.3% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.5% 35.4% 28.4% 1.24× 2.83
4-5 goals 25.8% 30.2% 24.4% 1.24× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.1% 14.9% 14.2% 1.05× 6.73
7+ goals 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 0.95× 39.44
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor never behind 45.2% 57.0% 1.76
Konyaspor never behind 32.0% 35.4% 2.83
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.2% 50.8% 50.7% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.8% 49.2% 49.3% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.9% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.1% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.5% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.5% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.9% 82.4% 83.3% 0.99× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 80.1% 82.3% 76.5% 1.08× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 66.6% 66.3% 69.1% 0.96× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 55.8% 58.8% 53.8% 1.09× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 44.2% 41.2% 46.2% 0.89× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 33.4% 33.7% 30.9% 1.09× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 19.9% 17.7% 23.5% 0.75× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 17.1% 17.6% 16.7% 1.06× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.9% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.6% 92.5% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.6% 76.0% 80.5% 0.94× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 73.7% 72.6% 69.6% 1.04× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.0% 55.5% 59.9% 0.93× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 43.0% 44.5% 40.1% 1.11× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 26.3% 27.4% 30.4% 0.90× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.4% 24.0% 19.5% 1.23× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.4% 7.5% 7.4% 1.02× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 0.99× 36.35
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.8% 89.3% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.8% 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.9% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.1% 31.0% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.2% 30.9% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.2% 10.7% 9.36
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.5% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.4% 79.9% 1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.5% 53.0% 1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.5% 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.6% 20.1% 4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.5% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to score in both halves 78.0% 78.4% 1.28
Trabzonspor not to score in both halves 70.0% 74.2% 1.35
Trabzonspor to score in both halves 30.0% 25.8% 3.87
Konyaspor to score in both halves 22.0% 21.6% 4.63
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 59.5% 58.2% 55.6% 1.05× 1.72
Only Trabzonspor scores 21.0% 22.3% 14.3% 1.56× 4.47
Only Konyaspor scores 12.8% 10.9% 22.3% 0.49× 9.14
Neither team scores 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 0.90× 13.95
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.4% 22.7% 22.8% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.3% 17.4% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 13.1% 12.1% 15.7% 0.77× 8.29
Exactly 5 goals 9.5% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.6% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 6.7% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.5% 50.9% 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 30.0% 33.7% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 18.5% 16.9% 5.91
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to win both halves 93.2% 94.0% 1.06
Trabzonspor not to win both halves 87.0% 88.0% 1.14
Trabzonspor to win both halves 13.0% 12.0% 8.36
Konyaspor to win both halves 6.8% 6.0% 16.62
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Trabzonspor to win either half 58.8% 59.5% 1.68
Konyaspor to win neither half 55.3% 59.3% 1.69
Konyaspor to win either half 44.7% 40.7% 2.46
Trabzonspor to win neither half 41.2% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Konyaspor not to win to nil 87.2% 88.2% 77.7% 1.14× 1.13
Trabzonspor not to win to nil 79.0% 78.0% 85.7% 0.91× 1.28
Trabzonspor to win to nil 21.0% 22.0% 14.3% 1.53× 4.55
Konyaspor to win to nil 12.8% 11.8% 22.3% 0.53× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.9% 27.8% 26.0% 1.07× 3.59
Trabzonspor by 1 20.6% 24.1% 15.8% 1.52× 4.14
Konyaspor by 1 15.9% 16.9% 24.1% 0.70× 5.90
Trabzonspor by 2 13.8% 11.8% 7.7% 1.54× 8.46
Trabzonspor by 3+ 9.9% 7.3% 5.5% 1.32× 13.79
Konyaspor by 2 8.5% 7.2% 11.7% 0.62× 13.80
Konyaspor by 3+ 4.3% 2.7% 9.9% 0.27× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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