Leones v Técnico Universitario — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ECU-LigaPro · 2627

ECU-LigaPro results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Leones

14:00

Técnico Universitario

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 178h before kick-off

Leones win

59.0%

model 56.6%

Draw

21.6%

model 24.2%

Técnico Universitario win

19.4%

model 19.2%

592219

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.8%
2-0 11.5%
1-1 11.2%
2-1 9.3%
0-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.1%	Under 2.5	56.9%
BTTS yes	43.7%	BTTS no	56.3%
Leones 1+	79.8%	Leones 2+	47.4%
Técnico Universitario 1+	55.3%	Técnico Universitario 2+	19.3%

Expected goals 1.60 – 0.81. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Leones (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

56.8% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Leones or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Leones carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1386.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Leones have an estimated 59.0% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 19.4% for Técnico Universitario. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.60 for Leones and 0.81 for Técnico Universitario.

Why Leones

Leones carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1386.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Técnico Universitario can win

Nothing in the data singles out Técnico Universitario.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Leones, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Técnico Universitario, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Leones: 37% possession, 8.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Técnico Universitario: 41% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Leones are the model's most likely outcome at 59.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572419	1.60–0.81	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	602317	1.67–0.73	1-0 16%	43%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to win	60.1%	58.0%	44.2%	1.31×	1.72
Draw	23.3%	24.4%	26.4%	0.93×	4.09
Técnico Universitario to win	16.6%	19.3%	29.6%	0.65×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones & not both score	39.3%	33.2%	25.5%	1.30×	3.01
Leones & both teams score	20.8%	21.9%	19.0%	1.15×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.55
Técnico Universitario & not both score	10.2%	13.2%	18.0%	0.73×	7.55
Draw & not both score	8.7%	8.4%	8.0%	1.05×	11.94
Técnico Universitario & both teams score	6.4%	8.4%	11.7%	0.71×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones & over 1.5	44.6%	40.3%	32.2%	1.25×	2.48
Leones & under 3.5	44.4%	40.3%	33.3%	1.21×	2.48
Leones & over 2.5	32.0%	30.9%	24.5%	1.26×	3.24
Leones & under 2.5	28.1%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Leones & under 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	12.3%	1.47×	5.56
Leones & over 3.5	15.8%	18.0%	11.2%	1.61×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.9%	18.6%	0.69×	7.77
Técnico Universitario & under 3.5	14.2%	12.9%	22.3%	0.58×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.69
Técnico Universitario & over 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	19.1%	0.41×	12.69
Técnico Universitario & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.69
Técnico Universitario & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69
Técnico Universitario & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	14.7%	0.54×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.93
Técnico Universitario & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	7.4%	0.64×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (1UP)	70.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Técnico Universitario (1UP)	31.1%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (2UP)	60.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Técnico Universitario (2UP)	16.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to win 2nd half	47.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	36.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Técnico Universitario to win 2nd half	16.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.22

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario (+2.5)	85.3%	88.5%	92.2%	0.96×	1.13
Leones (+0.5)	83.4%	82.4%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
Técnico Universitario (+1.5)	66.7%	68.7%	80.5%	0.85×	1.46
Leones (-0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	44.2%	1.42×	1.59
Técnico Universitario (+0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	55.8%	0.67×	2.69
Leones (-1.5)	33.3%	31.3%	19.5%	1.60×	3.20
Técnico Universitario (-0.5)	16.6%	17.6%	29.6%	0.60×	5.68
Leones (-2.5)	14.7%	11.5%	7.8%	1.48×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario to concede	81.1%	81.3%	74.2%	1.10×	1.23
Técnico Universitario clean sheet	18.9%	18.7%	25.8%	0.73×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	48.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Técnico Universitario to concede in 1st half	51.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario under 6.5 corners	86.8%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Técnico Universitario under 5.5 corners	77.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Técnico Universitario over 2.5 corners	71.0%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Técnico Universitario under 4.5 corners	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Técnico Universitario over 3.5 corners	52.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Técnico Universitario under 3.5 corners	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Técnico Universitario over 4.5 corners	35.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Técnico Universitario under 2.5 corners	29.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Técnico Universitario over 5.5 corners	22.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Técnico Universitario over 6.5 corners	13.2%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.6%	96.8%	1.01×	1.03
Técnico Universitario under 2.5 goals	96.2%	97.6%	89.8%	1.09×	1.03
Técnico Universitario under 1.5 goals	83.3%	81.5%	73.8%	1.10×	1.23
Técnico Universitario over 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	66.7%	0.80×	1.86
Técnico Universitario under 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	33.3%	1.39×	2.16
Técnico Universitario over 1.5 goals	16.7%	18.5%	26.2%	0.71×	5.40
Técnico Universitario over 2.5 goals	3.8%	2.4%	10.2%	0.24×	40.99
Técnico Universitario over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.4%	3.2%	0.77×	41.17

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	96.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Técnico Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Técnico Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Técnico Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (away no bet)	72.1%	68.5%	62.6%	1.09×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.9%	31.5%	37.4%	0.84×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario even goals	61.5%	59.1%	51.7%	1.14×	1.69
Técnico Universitario odd goals	38.5%	40.9%	48.3%	0.85×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.8%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Leones to score 2+ in a row	43.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.07
Leones to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Técnico Universitario to score 2+ in a row	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Técnico Universitario to score 3+ in a row	2.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones corners (+3.5)	91.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Leones corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Leones corners (+1.5)	78.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Técnico Universitario corners (+3.5)	75.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Técnico Universitario corners (+2.5)	65.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Técnico Universitario corners (+1.5)	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Leones corners (-1.5)	45.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Leones corners (-2.5)	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Leones corners (-3.5)	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Técnico Universitario corners (-1.5)	21.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Técnico Universitario corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Técnico Universitario corners (-3.5)	8.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.3%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	22.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	64.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 9.5 corners	58.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 8.5 corners	47.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 9.5 corners	41.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	31.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	16.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.5%	13.7%	12.3%	1.12×	7.28
2-0	12.6%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
1-1	10.7%	11.5%	14.3%	0.80×	8.73
0-0	8.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.46
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.46
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.46
3-0	7.0%	7.4%	3.3%	2.22×	13.46
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.46
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.58
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	58.59
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
1-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.57
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.59
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.57
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.59
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.83×	58.58
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.18×	58.59
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.58
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.58
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.59
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.18×	58.59
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones leading at HT (DNB)	75.2%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Técnico Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	24.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones or draw (1X)	83.4%	80.7%	70.4%	1.15×	1.24
Leones or Técnico Universitario (12)	76.7%	75.6%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Técnico Universitario or draw (X2)	39.9%	42.0%	55.8%	0.75×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones or draw at HT	86.2%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Técnico Universitario or draw at HT	58.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Leones or Técnico Universitario at HT	55.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones or draw (1UP)	83.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Técnico Universitario or draw (1UP)	39.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones or draw in 2nd half	83.2%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Leones or Técnico Universitario in 2nd half	63.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Técnico Universitario or draw in 2nd half	53.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (DNB)	78.4%	74.7%	60.0%	1.25×	1.34
Técnico Universitario (DNB)	21.6%	25.3%	40.1%	0.63×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to score first	63.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Técnico Universitario to score first	27.9%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
No goal scored	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.3%	54.8%	51.1%	1.07×	1.83
Both teams to score	41.7%	45.2%	48.9%	0.93×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.3%	44.2%	42.6%	1.04×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.0%	34.4%	34.8%	0.99×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	8.7%	1.41×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	14.3%	0.86×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.7%	89.1%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.3%	10.9%	10.0%	1.09×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.37

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	47.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	47.0%	1.01×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.3%	30.7%	30.5%	1.01×	3.26
4-6 goals	20.9%	22.8%	21.4%	1.07×	4.38
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	1.5%	1.22×	55.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario to score exactly 0	48.0%	43.0%	33.3%	1.29×	2.33
Técnico Universitario to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	40.7%	0.88×	2.78
Técnico Universitario to score exactly 2	12.9%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.80
Técnico Universitario to score 3+	3.8%	4.5%	10.2%	0.44×	22.21

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to score exactly 1	31.5%	32.6%	35.1%	0.93×	3.06
Leones to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Leones to score 3+	23.4%	23.3%	14.9%	1.56×	4.30
Leones to score exactly 0	18.9%	18.9%	25.8%	0.73×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Leones leading at HT	41.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Técnico Universitario leading at HT	13.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones -1: 2	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Leones -1: 1	33.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Leones -1: X	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario (0:1)	39.9%	37.4%	55.8%	0.67×	2.68
Leones (0:1)	33.3%	30.0%	19.5%	1.54×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	24.9%	1.08×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario (0:2)	66.7%	72.2%	80.5%	0.90×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.6%	15.3%	11.9%	1.29×	6.53
Leones (0:2)	14.7%	11.0%	7.8%	1.41×	9.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario (0:3)	85.3%	90.7%	92.2%	0.98×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	9.4%	5.8%	4.6%	1.25×	17.20
Leones (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	3.3%	1.73×	17.27

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario (0:4)	94.7%	94.7%	96.7%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	2.2%	0.54×	83.04
Leones (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.92×	83.29

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (1:0)	83.4%	81.5%	70.4%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.0%	12.8%	18.2%	0.70×	7.81
Técnico Universitario (1:0)	4.6%	3.2%	11.5%	0.28×	31.35

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones (2:0)	95.4%	96.9%	88.5%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	7.4%	0.30×	44.18
Técnico Universitario (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to concede	52.0%	53.1%	66.7%	0.80×	1.88
Leones clean sheet	48.0%	46.9%	33.3%	1.41×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones clean sheet in 1st half	74.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Leones to concede in 1st half	25.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones over 2.5 corners	83.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Leones under 6.5 corners	72.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Leones over 3.5 corners	69.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Leones under 5.5 corners	60.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Leones over 4.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Leones under 4.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Leones over 5.5 corners	39.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Leones under 3.5 corners	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Leones over 6.5 corners	27.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Leones under 2.5 corners	16.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones under 3.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	94.6%	0.97×	1.08
Leones over 0.5 goals	81.1%	82.1%	74.2%	1.11×	1.22
Leones under 2.5 goals	76.6%	77.7%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Leones under 1.5 goals	50.4%	53.3%	60.8%	0.88×	1.88
Leones over 1.5 goals	49.6%	46.7%	39.2%	1.19×	2.14
Leones over 2.5 goals	23.4%	22.3%	14.9%	1.50×	4.48
Leones under 0.5 goals	18.9%	17.9%	25.8%	0.69×	5.60
Leones over 3.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	5.4%	1.44×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones under 1.5 in 1st half	83.9%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Leones under 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Leones over 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Leones over 1.5 in 1st half	16.1%	15.3%	—	—	6.56

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.4%	56.7%	47.2%	1.20×	1.76
Técnico Universitario (home no bet)	41.6%	43.3%	52.8%	0.82×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones even goals	51.8%	50.6%	54.3%	0.93×	1.98
Leones odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	45.7%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	26.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 0-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 2-0	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-1	7.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.63
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.85
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones at HT / Leones at FT	36.8%	41.1%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Leones at FT	21.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Técnico Universitario at HT / Técnico Universitario at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Técnico Universitario at FT	7.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Leones at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Técnico Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Técnico Universitario at HT / Leones at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Leones at HT / Técnico Universitario at FT	1.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.25

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones to score last	63.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Técnico Universitario to score last	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Leones to lead by 1 at any time	70.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Leones to lead by 2 at any time	38.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Técnico Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	31.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Leones to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Técnico Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	7.4%	6.5%	—	—	15.33
Técnico Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	1.4%	1.5%	—	—	64.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones most corners	57.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Técnico Universitario most corners	31.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	11.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	89.0%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.2%	69.0%	69.5%	0.99×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.6%	69.0%	68.2%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.2%	69.0%	66.5%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.2%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.3%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	47.0%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.8%	43.6%	42.0%	1.04×	2.29
3-5 goals	39.4%	39.2%	40.3%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.4%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.9%	24.4%	21.4%	1.14×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.5%	18.6%	19.7%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.4%	8.7%	9.1%	0.96×	11.44
7+ goals	1.1%	2.5%	1.5%	1.70×	39.53

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones never behind	60.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Técnico Universitario never behind	21.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	96.8%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.9%	77.4%	77.3%	1.00×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.7%	66.3%	69.5%	0.95×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.0%	58.8%	56.7%	1.04×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.0%	41.2%	43.3%	0.95×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.3%	33.7%	30.5%	1.11×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	3.2%	1.43×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.3%	98.5%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.1%	86.7%	88.1%	0.98×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.1%	72.6%	71.4%	1.02×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.9%	55.5%	58.7%	0.95×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.1%	44.5%	41.3%	1.08×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.9%	27.4%	28.6%	0.96×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.9%	13.3%	11.9%	1.12×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.33
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.7%	1.5%	1.82×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.8%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.2%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario not to score in both halves	91.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Leones not to score in both halves	68.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Leones to score in both halves	31.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Técnico Universitario to score in both halves	9.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.7%	46.6%	48.9%	0.95×	2.15
Only Leones scores	39.3%	39.9%	25.5%	1.57×	2.51
Only Técnico Universitario scores	10.2%	10.9%	18.0%	0.61×	9.15
Neither team scores	8.7%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	25.0%	26.4%	0.95×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	22.6%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.9%	22.6%	20.8%	1.09×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.5%	12.1%	12.5%	0.97×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.7%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.5%	4.4%	3.2%	1.40×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Leones not to win both halves	80.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Leones to win both halves	19.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.28
Técnico Universitario to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.79

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario to win neither half	71.8%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Leones to win either half	69.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Leones to win neither half	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Técnico Universitario to win either half	28.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Técnico Universitario not to win to nil	89.8%	88.2%	82.0%	1.08×	1.13
Leones not to win to nil	60.7%	66.7%	74.5%	0.90×	1.50
Leones to win to nil	39.3%	33.3%	25.5%	1.31×	3.01
Técnico Universitario to win to nil	10.2%	11.8%	18.0%	0.65×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leones by 1	26.8%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Draw	23.3%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.14
Leones by 2	18.6%	16.9%	11.9%	1.42×	5.90
Leones by 3+	14.7%	11.8%	7.8%	1.51×	8.46
Técnico Universitario by 1	12.0%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.46
Técnico Universitario by 2	3.6%	2.7%	7.4%	0.36×	36.95
Técnico Universitario by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.04