Libertad v Rubio Ñu — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000071 · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 1-0 11.7%
- 0-1 10.4%
- 0-0 9.3%
- 2-1 8.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | Under 2.5 | 57.5% |
| BTTS yes | 48.3% | BTTS no | 51.7% |
| Libertad 1+ | 71.7% | Libertad 2+ | 35.9% |
| Rubio Ñu 1+ | 67.3% | Rubio Ñu 2+ | 30.8% |
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- They have had 30 days' rest to Rubio Ñu's 14.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Rubio Ñu have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Libertad have an estimated 39.6% win probability, against 32.7% for Rubio Ñu and 27.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Libertad and 1.12 for Rubio Ñu.
Why Libertad
They have had 30 days' rest to Rubio Ñu's 14.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.7%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.12.
Why Rubio Ñu can win
Rubio Ñu carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1439. Away from home Rubio Ñu average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Libertad, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rubio Ñu, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Libertad: 43% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rubio Ñu: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Libertad are the model's most likely outcome at 39.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.26–1.12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.