Lincoln City v Swansea City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Lincoln City

10:00

Swansea City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 318h before kick-off

Lincoln City win

25.4%

Draw

29.7%

Swansea City win

44.9%

253045

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
0-1 11.0%
0-0 10.2%
1-2 9.0%
0-2 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.0%	Under 2.5	56.0%
BTTS yes	49.8%	BTTS no	50.2%
Lincoln City 1+	63.7%	Lincoln City 2+	26.9%
Swansea City 1+	75.9%	Swansea City 2+	41.6%

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

36/100

Data quality

45/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Swansea City carry the stronger rating, 1539 Elo against 1477.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Lincoln City have only 4 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Swansea City have an estimated 44.9% win probability, against 29.7% for the draw and 25.4% for Lincoln City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.01 for Lincoln City and 1.42 for Swansea City.

Why Lincoln City

Nothing in the data singles out Lincoln City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.7%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Swansea City can win

Swansea City carry the stronger rating, 1539 Elo against 1477. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Lincoln City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Swansea City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Lincoln City: 33% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Swansea City: 63% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Swansea City are the model's most likely outcome at 44.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 36/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	253045	1.01–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	263341	0.90–1.19	1-1 15%	35%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City to win	41.1%	43.0%	29.0%	1.48×	2.33
Draw	32.8%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Lincoln City to win	26.1%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City & not both score	26.8%	25.2%	15.3%	1.65×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Lincoln City & not both score	16.5%	17.9%	23.4%	0.77×	5.58
Swansea City & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	13.8%	0.96×	7.55
Draw & not both score	14.0%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55
Lincoln City & both teams score	9.6%	8.4%	20.2%	0.42×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City & under 3.5	33.3%	30.9%	22.3%	1.38×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	28.8%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.8%	26.0%	21.6%	1.20×	3.84
Swansea City & over 1.5	27.8%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Lincoln City & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	32.5%	0.67×	4.62
Swansea City & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	13.0%	1.67×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Swansea City & over 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Lincoln City & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Lincoln City & under 2.5	14.6%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.77
Swansea City & under 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	7.7%	1.66×	7.78
Lincoln City & over 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	26.4%	0.49×	7.78
Lincoln City & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.69
Swansea City & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.69
Lincoln City & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (1UP)	54.4%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Lincoln City (1UP)	40.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (2UP)	41.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Lincoln City (2UP)	26.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Swansea City to win 2nd half	35.2%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Lincoln City to win 2nd half	22.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Swansea City (+1.5)	90.5%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Swansea City (+0.5)	73.9%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
Lincoln City (+0.5)	58.9%	57.0%	71.0%	0.80×	1.75
Swansea City (-0.5)	41.1%	43.0%	29.0%	1.48×	2.33
Lincoln City (-0.5)	26.1%	26.3%	43.5%	0.61×	3.80
Lincoln City (-1.5)	9.5%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.65
Lincoln City (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.85

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City to concede	59.2%	62.8%	77.5%	0.81×	1.59
Swansea City clean sheet	40.8%	37.2%	22.5%	1.65×	2.69

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City clean sheet in 1st half	68.0%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Swansea City to concede in 1st half	32.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City under 3.5 goals	96.7%	97.6%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Swansea City under 2.5 goals	88.2%	87.9%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Swansea City over 0.5 goals	69.5%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Swansea City under 1.5 goals	66.7%	68.0%	69.9%	0.97×	1.47
Swansea City over 1.5 goals	33.3%	32.0%	30.1%	1.07×	3.12
Swansea City under 0.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	30.6%	1.05×	3.12
Swansea City over 2.5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	9.5%	1.28×	8.26
Swansea City over 3.5 goals	3.3%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	41.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Swansea City under 0.5 in 1st half	62.2%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Swansea City over 0.5 in 1st half	37.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Swansea City over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.98

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.6%	57.5%	38.8%	1.48×	1.74
Lincoln City (away no bet)	44.4%	42.5%	61.2%	0.70×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City even goals	54.7%	52.8%	52.6%	1.00×	1.90
Swansea City odd goals	45.3%	47.2%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	49.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Swansea City to score 2+ in a row	27.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lincoln City to score 2+ in a row	17.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Swansea City to score 3+ in a row	8.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.86
Lincoln City to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.7%	—	—	37.74

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.8%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
0-0	14.0%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
0-1	13.2%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
0-2	8.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.46
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.46
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.46
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.46
2-0	5.0%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.56
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.57
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	3.97×	58.59
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.57
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.59
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.57
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.58
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.58
3-1	1.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.58
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.59
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.62×	58.59
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.59
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.93×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	19.87×	58.59
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City leading at HT (DNB)	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Lincoln City leading at HT (DNB)	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City or draw (X2)	73.9%	72.1%	56.5%	1.28×	1.39
Lincoln City or Swansea City (12)	67.2%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Lincoln City or draw (1X)	58.9%	57.0%	71.0%	0.80×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City or draw at HT	78.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Lincoln City or draw at HT	72.3%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Lincoln City or Swansea City at HT	49.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City or draw (1UP)	73.9%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Lincoln City or draw (1UP)	58.9%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City or draw in 2nd half	77.5%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Lincoln City or draw in 2nd half	64.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Lincoln City or Swansea City in 2nd half	57.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.1%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	29.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (DNB)	61.1%	62.8%	40.0%	1.57×	1.59
Lincoln City (DNB)	38.9%	37.2%	60.0%	0.62×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City to score first	49.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Lincoln City to score first	37.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	14.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	57.3%	54.8%	45.8%	1.20×	1.83
Both teams to score	42.7%	45.2%	54.2%	0.83×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.6%	47.0%	37.3%	1.26×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	27.9%	33.6%	39.9%	0.84×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	14.8%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.7%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.5%	89.1%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.5%	10.9%	11.0%	0.99×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.9%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Both score 1st half only	9.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.78
Both score in both halves	2.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.45

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.6%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.4%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	41.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	36.8%	35.0%	25.9%	1.35×	2.86
4-6 goals	15.3%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.4%	1.31×	55.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City to score exactly 1	36.2%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
Swansea City to score exactly 0	30.5%	33.9%	30.6%	1.11×	2.95
Swansea City to score exactly 2	21.5%	22.4%	20.7%	1.08×	4.47
Swansea City to score 3+	11.8%	12.8%	9.5%	1.36×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	36.9%	0.96×	2.81
Lincoln City to score exactly 0	40.8%	35.0%	22.5%	1.55×	2.86
Lincoln City to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.9%	24.6%	0.77×	5.30
Lincoln City to score 3+	6.2%	10.3%	16.2%	0.64×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Swansea City leading at HT	27.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Lincoln City leading at HT	21.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City -1: 1	58.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Swansea City -1: X	22.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Swansea City -1: 2	18.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (0:1)	73.9%	71.1%	56.5%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.7%	17.8%	24.2%	0.73×	5.62
Lincoln City (0:1)	9.5%	9.3%	19.3%	0.48×	10.78

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (0:2)	90.5%	90.7%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	12.98
Lincoln City (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.06
Lincoln City (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.43
Lincoln City (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (1:0)	58.9%	58.2%	71.0%	0.82×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.7%	17.3%	1.26×	4.60
Swansea City (1:0)	18.5%	17.0%	11.9%	1.44×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City (2:0)	81.5%	84.5%	88.1%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.3%	10.4%	8.7%	1.20×	9.62
Swansea City (2:0)	6.1%	6.5%	3.3%	1.98×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.3%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Halves equal	31.7%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
1st half highest scoring	25.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to concede	69.5%	66.5%	69.4%	0.96×	1.50
Lincoln City clean sheet	30.5%	33.5%	30.6%	1.09×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City clean sheet in 1st half	62.2%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Lincoln City to concede in 1st half	37.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City under 3.5 goals	98.7%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Lincoln City under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.08
Lincoln City under 1.5 goals	77.4%	77.7%	59.4%	1.31×	1.29
Lincoln City over 0.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	77.5%	0.76×	1.70
Lincoln City under 0.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	22.5%	1.83×	2.43
Lincoln City over 1.5 goals	22.6%	22.3%	40.6%	0.55×	4.48
Lincoln City over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.90
Lincoln City over 3.5 goals	1.3%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Lincoln City under 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Lincoln City over 0.5 in 1st half	32.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Lincoln City over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.00

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City (home no bet)	55.6%	56.7%	51.3%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.4%	43.4%	48.7%	0.89×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City even goals	58.3%	55.5%	50.5%	1.10×	1.80
Lincoln City odd goals	41.7%	44.5%	49.5%	0.90×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.6%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
HT 0-1	19.8%	18.9%	—	—	5.28
HT 1-0	16.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Swansea City at HT / Swansea City at FT	22.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Draw at HT / Swansea City at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Lincoln City at HT / Lincoln City at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Lincoln City at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Lincoln City at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Swansea City at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Lincoln City at HT / Swansea City at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.20
Swansea City at HT / Lincoln City at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.24

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City to score last	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Lincoln City to score last	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	14.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Swansea City to lead by 1 at any time	54.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Lincoln City to lead by 1 at any time	40.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Swansea City to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Lincoln City to lead by 2 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Swansea City to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.33
Lincoln City to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.72

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.0%	83.5%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.6%	63.5%	72.8%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.2%	63.5%	70.2%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.1%	59.2%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.4%	53.1%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	34.0%	35.4%	47.1%	0.75×	2.83
3-5 goals	32.6%	35.4%	44.5%	0.79×	2.83
3-4 goals	28.5%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.3%	18.6%	22.4%	0.83×	5.38
4-5 goals	13.8%	14.9%	19.8%	0.75×	6.73
5-6 goals	5.5%	8.7%	8.1%	1.08×	11.46
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.4%	1.84×	39.56

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Swansea City never behind	45.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Lincoln City never behind	31.6%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.1%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.9%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	40.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.0%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.0%	87.7%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.2%	82.4%	76.3%	1.08×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	65.4%	66.3%	51.6%	1.28×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	63.2%	61.8%	74.1%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	36.8%	38.2%	25.9%	1.47×	2.62
Over 2.5 goals	34.6%	33.8%	48.4%	0.70×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	15.8%	17.6%	23.7%	0.74×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	14.0%	12.3%	7.3%	1.69×	8.11
Over 4.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.96
Over 5.5 goals	2.0%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.3%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.9%	97.3%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.3%	92.5%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.5%	81.1%	68.5%	1.18×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.6%	51.8%	34.9%	1.48×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.4%	48.2%	65.1%	0.74×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.5%	18.9%	31.5%	0.60×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.7%	7.5%	10.9%	0.69×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.1%	2.7%	4.2%	0.66×	36.39
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.7%	1.4%	1.95×	36.43

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.4%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.4%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.6%	7.0%	—	—	14.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Swansea City not to score in both halves	80.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Swansea City to score in both halves	19.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Lincoln City to score in both halves	12.8%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.7%	46.6%	54.2%	0.86×	2.15
Only Swansea City scores	26.8%	26.2%	15.3%	1.71×	3.82
Only Lincoln City scores	16.5%	16.1%	23.4%	0.69×	6.21
Neither team scores	14.0%	11.0%	7.3%	1.50×	9.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.6%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	22.8%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	18.8%	17.5%	24.7%	0.71×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.0%	12.1%	7.3%	1.65×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	9.8%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.1%	4.4%	5.5%	0.80×	22.61
6 or more goals	2.0%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	30.0%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to win both halves	95.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Swansea City not to win both halves	90.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Swansea City to win both halves	10.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
Lincoln City to win both halves	5.0%	2.9%	—	—	34.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City to win neither half	61.1%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Swansea City to win either half	52.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Swansea City to win neither half	47.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Lincoln City to win either half	38.9%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lincoln City not to win to nil	83.5%	83.0%	76.6%	1.08×	1.21
Swansea City not to win to nil	73.2%	75.3%	84.7%	0.89×	1.33
Swansea City to win to nil	26.8%	24.7%	15.3%	1.62×	4.04
Lincoln City to win to nil	16.5%	17.0%	23.4%	0.73×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.8%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Swansea City by 1	22.6%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Lincoln City by 1	16.7%	16.9%	24.2%	0.70×	5.90
Swansea City by 2	12.3%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.46
Lincoln City by 2	7.0%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.81
Swansea City by 3+	6.1%	7.2%	3.3%	2.22×	13.81
Lincoln City by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	8.1%	0.33×	36.99